ShrewsburyTranmere

Shrewsbury v Tranmere result

Full-time · Shrewsbury 1–0 Tranmere

League Two ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Shrewsbury 1–0 Tranmere — Shrewsbury won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55% of 140 landed (95% range 46.7–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Shrewsbury beat Tranmere 1–0 in League Two on Friday 3 April. Tranmere are winless in their last nine matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Shrewsbury: Sam Stubbs (55’, assisted by Kevin Berkoe).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Sam Stubbs’s goal on 55 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Shrewsbury 0.00, Tranmere 0.00, from 18 shots to 4 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

O. Yates showed one yellow card — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Tranmere: Patrick Brough (86’).

What it changes

Shrewsbury move up from 19th to 18th (41 league matches played). Shrewsbury have scored 40 goals, the third-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 43 games, ranked per game). Shrewsbury have conceded 67 goals, the sixth-most of the 24 clubs.

Tranmere stay 20th after this result (40 league matches played). Tranmere have scored 52 goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 43 games, ranked per game). Tranmere have conceded 75 goals, the second-most of the 24 clubs.

Tranmere have failed to score in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Sam Stubbs (Shrewsbury) 11.2, J. Marquis (Shrewsbury) 4.8 and Kevin Berkoe (Shrewsbury) 4.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Shrewsbury next travel to Eastleigh on 7 November 2026.

Tranmere next travel to Barnet on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Shrewsbury: Eastleigh v Shrewsbury, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Tranmere: Barnet v Tranmere, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Shrewsbury 1–0 Tranmere · League Two
  • Referee: O. Yates
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Shrewsbury 1 · draws 0 · Tranmere 2 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Shrewsbury 1W 0D 4L · Tranmere 0W 1D 4L

Shrewsbury 1–0 Tranmere (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 0.38
Goals
against 1.63 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3 / 3.75
Corners
against 4.38 / 5.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 2.5
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 5.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.38 / 2.25
Cards
against 1.88 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.75 yellows
Referee · O. Yates
20.13 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameShrewsbury for / againstLineTranmere for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
0.38 for · 2.25 against n 8
Corners won
3 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
3.75 for · 5.5 against n 8
Shots
9.75 for · 12.25 against n 8
19.5standard
9.13 for · 14.38 against n 8
Shots on target
3.13 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
2.5 for · 5.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.25 for · 11 against n 8
21.5standard
12.63 for · 9.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 1.38 against n 8

Referee: O. Yates — 2.75 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 20.13 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Shrewsbury

Shrewsbury Goalkeeper

Shrewsbury — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Elyh Harrison890720 min293.6 /90222.8 /9010.1 /90
Shrewsbury — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shrewsbury before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Elyh Harrison n 890
3.67/6

Shrewsbury Defensive

Shrewsbury — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
W. Boyle41873584 min501.3 /90391 /90290.7 /902957.4 /90451.1 /90110.3 /90
L. Hoole35782733 min892.9 /90301 /90150.5 /902227.3 /90441.4 /9070.2 /90
T. Anderson27862311 min361.4 /90251 /90140.5 /901847.2 /90230.9 /9060.2 /90
T. Perry39762945 min882.7 /90431.3 /9080.2 /901805.5 /90501.5 /90100.3 /90
S. Clucas34842853 min722.3 /90321 /9050.2 /901605 /90210.7 /9050.2 /90
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Shrewsbury — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shrewsbury before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
W. Boyle n 890
0.85/1
0.11/0
N. Smith
T. Perry n 873.1
1.13/2
1.85/3
—
L. Hoole n 884.3
1.15/2
0.53/1
—
G. Lloyd n 867.6
2.36/5
1.86/3
—
S. Clucas n 868.6
13/1
0.21/0
—
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Shrewsbury — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shrewsbury before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
W. Boyle n 890
0.94/3
T. Perry n 873.1
3.27/6
L. Hoole n 884.3
2.87/6
G. Lloyd n 867.6
1.35/2
S. Clucas n 868.6
2.57/5
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Shrewsbury Attacking

Shrewsbury — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Marquis30712142 min40.2 /9000 /90200.8 /9090.4 /90170.7 /90120.5 /90
T. McDermott28651807 min10 /9010 /90170.8 /9060.3 /90130.6 /90311.5 /90
Iwan Morgan16701122 min30.2 /9000 /90292.3 /90151.2 /90121 /90191.5 /90
T. Ogunsuyi1350649 min20.3 /9000 /9081.1 /9040.6 /9030.4 /9060.8 /90
T. Perry39762945 min20.1 /9000 /90190.6 /9080.2 /90160.5 /90130.4 /90
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Shrewsbury — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shrewsbury before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
W. Boyle n 890
1.35/3
0.54/0
T. Perry n 873.1
0.85/0
0.32/0
L. Hoole n 884.3
0.54/0
0.32/0
G. Lloyd n 867.6
0.32/0
00/0
S. Clucas n 868.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
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Shrewsbury — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shrewsbury before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
W. Boyle n 890
0.11/0
00/0
T. Perry n 873.1
0.21/0
00/0
L. Hoole n 884.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
G. Lloyd n 867.6
00/0
00/0
S. Clucas n 868.6
00/0
00/0
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Tranmere

Tranmere Defensive

Tranmere — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tranmere before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Smith n 887.8
0.95/2
0.85/1
W. Boyle
P. Brough n 890
1.98/4
0.32/0
—
C. Norman n 844.1
2.55/3
1.55/1
—
Charlie Jay Whitaker n 872.6
0.53/0
1.77/2
—
J. Ironside n 881.1
1.46/3
13/3
—
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Tranmere — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tranmere before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Smith n 887.8
0.54/0
P. Brough n 890
1.88/3
C. Norman n 844.1
2.35/3
Charlie Jay Whitaker n 872.6
0.93/2
J. Ironside n 881.1
00/0
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Tranmere Attacking

Tranmere — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tranmere before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Smith n 887.8
0.32/0
0.11/0
P. Brough n 890
0.54/0
0.11/0
C. Norman n 844.1
0.31/0
00/0
Charlie Jay Whitaker n 872.6
1.24/3
0.63/1
J. Ironside n 881.1
0.73/2
0.11/0
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Tranmere — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tranmere before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Smith n 887.8
00/0
00/0
P. Brough n 890
00/0
00/0
C. Norman n 844.1
00/0
00/0
Charlie Jay Whitaker n 872.6
0.21/0
00/0
J. Ironside n 881.1
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ShrewsburyTranmere
52%Possession48%
18Shots4
5Shots on target1
9Shots off target2
4Blocked shots1
13Shots inside the box3
5Corners5
0Offsides2
4Fouls8
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Saves3
247Passes229
55%Pass accuracy49%

Shrewsbury Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Cox9000000006.9
S. Stubbs9010410208.3
W. Boyle9000000006.7
J. Ruffels9000200406.9
Ismeal Kabia9000005207.5
N. Freeman9000101107.6
K. Berkoe9001002008
J. Marquis9000100207.3
Iwan Morgan8900103107.2
Ojinnaka Temple8000100106.3
B. Ihionvien7400440006.6
T. Perry sub1600000006.2
S. Clucas sub1000000006.7
G. Lloyd sub10000000–

Tranmere Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Maroši9000000007.3
S. Negru9000001006.2
N. Smith9000000106.9
A. McGowan9000000107
Jayden Joseph9000100306.6
Billy Blacker9000101406.2
P. Brough90000001Y6.3
J. Ironside7800110006.9
S. Finley6800000407.2
N. Kenneh6100000206.3
Charlie Jay Whitaker6100000106.2
L. O'Connor sub2900000006.7
K. Woolery sub2900000006.2
O. Patrick sub2200000006.5
K. Dennis sub1200000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Shrewsbury v Tranmere — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ShrewsburyWLLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.6 scored / 2 conceded per game
TranmereLLDLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Shrewsbury 1 · 0 draws · Tranmere 2 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2025-08-09 Tranmere 4–0 Shrewsbury
  • 2020-02-25 Shrewsbury 2–3 Tranmere
  • 2019-10-05 Tranmere 0–1 Shrewsbury
League standing · 2025/26
Shrewsbury#19 pos49 pts46 pl-27 GD
Tranmere#21 pos41 pts46 pl-25 GD
Goals per game
Shrewsbury scored0.91
Tranmere scored1.17
Shrewsbury conceded1.5
Tranmere conceded1.72

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Shrewsbury v Tranmere?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Shrewsbury v Tranmere was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Shrewsbury and Tranmere?
In their last 3 meetings, Shrewsbury won 1, Tranmere won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Shrewsbury and Tranmere?
Recent form — Shrewsbury 1W 0D 4L; Tranmere 0W 1D 4L.

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How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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