Walsall v Accrington ST result

Full-time · Walsall 3–2 Accrington ST

League Two · Sat, 29 Aug 2026 15:00 BST · Bescot Stadium

Updated 8 Nov 2026, 02:34 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Walsall · Accrington ST · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Walsall 3–2 Accrington ST — Walsall won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 2.05 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Walsall beat Accrington ST 3–2 at Bescot Stadium in League Two on Saturday 29 August. Walsall are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Accrington ST are winless in their last 10 matches in all competitions.

The goals

Walsall led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Walsall: Reece Smith (8’), Harrison Burke (45’, assisted by Mason Hancock) and Aaron Pressley (53’, assisted by Reece Smith); Accrington ST: Josh Woods (12’) and Stefan Mols (57’, assisted by Tyler Walton).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Harrison Burke’s goal on 45 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Walsall 3.23, Accrington ST 2.69, from 16 shots to 22 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

W. Davis showed seven yellow cards — against 2.6 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Walsall: Sven Sprangler (49’), Isaac Moore (75’), Declan Skura (79’) and Elicha Ahui (90+1’); Accrington ST: Séamus Conneely (-5’), Liam Coyle (60’) and Tyler Walton (75’).

What it changes

Walsall move down from first to second (three league matches played).

Accrington ST move down from 17th to 22nd (three league matches played).

With five goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 3, across 12 matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Reece Smith (Walsall) 9.7, Joseph Anderson (Accrington ST) 8.4 and Stefan Mols (Accrington ST) 7.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.5% of the time in the last 90 days (346 of 505).

Next up

Walsall next host Barnet on 14 November 2026.

Accrington ST next travel to Port Vale on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Walsall: Walsall v Barnet, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Accrington ST: Port Vale v Accrington ST, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Walsall 3–2 Accrington ST · League Two
Venue: Bescot Stadium · Walsall
Referee: W. Davis
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Walsall 2 · draws 2 · Accrington ST 2 · 1.83 goals/game
Recent form: Walsall 2W 2D 1L · Accrington ST 0W 2D 3L

Walsall 3–2 Accrington ST (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.25

Goals

against 1.25 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.57 / 4

Corners

against 7.14 / 5.13 · 4 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4.57 / 4.38

Shots on target

against 5.14 / 5.25 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2 / 1.5

Cards

against 1.29 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

2.63 yellows

Referee · W. Davis

22.38 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Walsall for / against	Line	Accrington ST for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	1.25 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.57 for · 7.14 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	4 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14.14 for · 17.14 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	12 for · 12.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.57 for · 5.14 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	4.38 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.57 for · 9.57 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	11.63 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 1.29 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: W. Davis — 2.63 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 22.38 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Walsall

Walsall Goalkeeper

Walsall — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Ward	3	92275 min	185.9 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Walsall — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Walsall before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Ward n 3	91.7	5.9 2/2

Walsall Defensive

Walsall — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
D. Skura	3	92275 min	31 /90	41.3 /90	20.7 /90	134.3 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
M. Hancock	3	86259 min	62.1 /90	41.4 /90	00 /90	155.2 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90
J. Connolly	3	81243 min	20.7 /90	31.1 /90	20.7 /90	176.3 /90	20.7 /90	10.4 /90
E. Ahui	3	63188 min	62.9 /90	10.5 /90	31.4 /90	188.6 /90	31.4 /90	10.5 /90
Harrison Burke	2	56111 min	43.2 /90	10.8 /90	10.8 /90	86.5 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90
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Walsall — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Walsall before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
S. Sprangler n 3	91.7	2 3/2	0 0/0	D. Love
A. Pressley n 8	62.4	0.9 5/0	1.6 4/1	J. Woods
D. Skura n 3	91.7	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0	F. Rawson
J. Ward n 3	91.7	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
M. Hancock n 8	88.5	0.9 4/3	0.4 3/0	F. Rawson
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Walsall — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Walsall before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
S. Sprangler n 3	91.7	2.3 3/3
D. Skura n 3	91.7	1 2/1
A. Pressley n 8	62.4	0.5 2/1
M. Hancock n 8	88.5	1.7 6/5
J. Connolly n 3	81	0.7 2/0
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Walsall Attacking

Walsall — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Pressley	3	92275 min	20.7 /90	00 /90	82.6 /90	51.6 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90
Taione Richard Evumena Sodje	1	2323 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	13.9 /90
S. Sprangler	3	92275 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90	10.3 /90	31 /90
C. Clarke	3	61183 min	00 /90	10.5 /90	73.4 /90	42 /90	31.5 /90	21 /90
R. Smith	3	61183 min	00 /90	10.5 /90	21 /90	00 /90	52.5 /90	63 /90
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Walsall — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Walsall before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Pressley n 8	62.4	2.3 6/4	1.3 3/3
S. Sprangler n 3	91.7	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
D. Skura n 3	91.7	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
J. Ward n 3	91.7	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Hancock n 8	88.5	0.6 3/1	0.3 1/1
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Walsall — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Walsall before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Pressley n 8	62.4	0.4 2/0	0 0/0
S. Sprangler n 3	91.7	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Ward n 3	91.7	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Skura n 3	91.7	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Hancock n 8	88.5	0.3 1/1	0 0/0
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Accrington ST

Accrington ST Goalkeeper

Accrington ST — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
L. Moulden	3	90270 min	82.7 /90	62 /90	00 /90

Accrington ST — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
L. Moulden n 3	90	2.7 2/2

Accrington ST Defensive

Accrington ST — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
F. Rawson	3	90270 min	20.7 /90	20.7 /90	10.3 /90	217 /90	51.7 /90	10.3 /90
Devon Matthews	3	80239 min	41.5 /90	20.8 /90	20.8 /90	269.8 /90	51.9 /90	00 /90
T. Moore	3	70211 min	10.4 /90	20.9 /90	10.4 /90	146 /90	20.9 /90	10.4 /90
D. Love	3	90270 min	41.3 /90	41.3 /90	00 /90	103.3 /90	31 /90	10.3 /90
Joseph Anderson	3	90270 min	62 /90	31 /90	20.7 /90	144.7 /90	72.3 /90	20.7 /90
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Accrington ST — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Joseph Anderson n 3	90	2.3 3/3	1 2/1	—
D. Love n 8	81.6	1.2 5/3	1.2 5/2	S. Sprangler
F. Rawson n 8	90	1.1 5/3	0.3 2/0	M. Hancock
L. Moulden n 3	90	0 0/0	0.3 1/0	—
J. Woods n 8	84	1.3 6/3	1.1 5/3	A. Pressley
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Accrington ST — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Joseph Anderson n 3	90	2 3/2
D. Love n 8	81.6	1.4 6/3
F. Rawson n 8	90	1 5/2
J. Woods n 8	84	1.3 6/3
C. O'Brien n 8	85.6	3 7/6
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Accrington ST Attacking

Accrington ST — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Woods	3	89267 min	00 /90	00 /90	62 /90	00 /90	51.7 /90	10.3 /90
C. Caton	3	65196 min	20.9 /90	00 /90	94.1 /90	62.8 /90	00 /90	31.4 /90
C. Stockton	3	34103 min	00 /90	00 /90	32.6 /90	10.9 /90	10.9 /90	10.9 /90
S. Whalley	2	69138 min	00 /90	10.7 /90	42.6 /90	21.3 /90	53.3 /90	21.3 /90
D. Love	3	90270 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90	72.3 /90	10.3 /90
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Accrington ST — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
D. Love n 8	81.6	0.8 4/2	0 0/0
F. Rawson n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.3 2/0
Joseph Anderson n 3	90	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
L. Moulden n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Woods n 8	84	2.3 8/5	1.2 5/3
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Accrington ST — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
F. Rawson n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Joseph Anderson n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Moulden n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Love n 8	81.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Woods n 8	84	0.5 3/1	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Walsall		Accrington ST
62%	Possession	38%
3.23	Expected goals (xG)	2.69
16	Shots	22
5	Shots on target	6
6	Shots off target	10
5	Blocked shots	6
13	Shots inside the box	10
4	Corners	4
0	Offsides	2
8	Fouls	18
4	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	2
485	Passes	281
74%	Pass accuracy	62%

Walsall Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. Ward	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
S. Sprangler	90	0	0	0	0	1	4	Y	6.9
A. Pressley	90	1	0	2	2	0	0	0	6.9
M. Hancock	90	0	1	2	0	4	1	0	8.2
Harrison Burke	90	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	8.7
D. Skura	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	Y	6.9
Isaac Moore	89	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.6
R. Smith	86	1	1	3	1	5	1	0	8.2
C. Clarke	73	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.3
Taione Richard Evumena Sodje	73	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	6.3
Courtney Clarke	73	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.3
Rico Browne	45	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.9
E. Ahui sub	45	0	0	0	0	1	1	Y	6.2
L. Simper sub	17	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
A. Dallas sub	17	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
A. Adomah sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
C. Crew sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Accrington ST Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. Woods	90	1	0	5	2	2	0	0	6.9
F. Rawson	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
D. Matthews	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	5.5
D. Love	90	0	0	0	0	5	1	0	7.3
C. Caton	90	0	0	4	1	2	0	0	6.3
Joseph Anderson	90	0	0	1	1	5	4	0	7.3
L. Moulden	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Devon Matthews	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	5.5
T. Moore	78	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6
S. Whalley	55	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.7
Alex Henderson	55	0	0	3	1	0	1	0	5.9
S. Conneely	55	0	0	0	0	0	3	Y	6.6
L. Coyle sub	35	0	0	0	0	1	1	Y	6.9
T. Walton sub	35	0	1	0	0	1	0	Y	5.9
Stefan Mols sub	35	1	0	1	1	0	3	0	7.3
D. Tutonda sub	12	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Walsall v Accrington ST — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

WalsallLWWDD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Accrington STDLLDL

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Walsall 2 · 2 draws · Accrington ST 2 · 1.83 goals/game

2026-01-24 Walsall 0–0 Accrington ST
2025-09-27 Accrington ST 1–3 Walsall
2025-04-26 Walsall 0–1 Accrington ST
2024-10-26 Accrington ST 0–0 Walsall
2024-02-27 Walsall 2–1 Accrington ST
2023-12-23 Accrington ST 2–1 Walsall

League standing · 2026/27

Walsall#3 pos22 pts13 pl+9 GD

Accrington ST#9 pos19 pts14 pl+6 GD

Goals per game

Walsall scored1.62

Accrington ST scored1.64

Walsall conceded0.92

Accrington ST conceded1.21

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Walsall v Accrington ST?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Walsall v Accrington ST was Over 2.5 goals (best price 2.05 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Walsall and Accrington ST?: In their last 6 meetings, Walsall won 2, Accrington ST won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Walsall and Accrington ST?: Recent form — Walsall 2W 2D 1L; Accrington ST 0W 2D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 8 Nov 2026, 02:34 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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