YorkExeter City

York v Exeter City result

Full-time · York 2–1 Exeter City

League Two · · York Community Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: York · Exeter City

The model’s pre-match pick

York 2–1 Exeter City — York won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
Best price: 1.21 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.5% of 1731 landed (95% range 74.5–78.5%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

York beat Exeter City 2–1 at York Community Stadium in League Two on Saturday 29 August.

The goals

York led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — York: Alexander Newby (7’, assisted by Harry Boyes) and Jovan Malcolm (76’, assisted by Harry Boyes); Exeter City: Jackson Fitzwater (90’, assisted by Andrew Oluwabori).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Alexander Newby’s goal on 7 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: York 0.97, Exeter City 1.22, from 11 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

O. Langford showed five yellow cards — against 2.6 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — York: Morgan Williams (41’) and Ryan Fallowfield (52’); Exeter City: Reece Cole (33’), Gwion Edwards (35’) and Charlie Cummins (62’).

What it changes

York move up from fourth to third (three league matches played).

Exeter City move down from 11th to 15th (three league matches played).

York are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Harry Boyes (York) 8.3, Jackson Fitzwater (Exeter City) 7.3 and Alexander Newby (York) 6.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, York or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.5% of the time in the last 90 days (1325 of 1731).

Next up

York next travel to Rochdale on 14 November 2026.

Exeter City next host Cheltenham on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for York: Rochdale v York, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Exeter City: Exeter City v Cheltenham, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: York 2–1 Exeter City · League Two
  • Venue: York Community Stadium · York
  • Referee: O. Langford
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: York 2W 2D 1L · Exeter City 1W 1D 3L

York 2–1 Exeter City (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.5
Goals
against 0.88 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
7.33 / 4.38
Corners
against 4.67 / 6 · 2 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 3 matches
4 / 3.38
Shots on target
against 3.33 / 6.38 · 0 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 3 matches
2.13 / 2.13
Cards
against 2 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameYork for / againstLineExeter City for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.75our book
1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
7.33 for · 4.67 against n 3
9.5standard
4.38 for · 6 against n 8
Shots
14.67 for · 10.33 against n 3
19.5standard
10.5 for · 17.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4 for · 3.33 against n 3
8.5standard
3.38 for · 6.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
8 for · 10.33 against n 3
21.5standard
12.5 for · 10.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 0.88 against n 8

Referee: O. Langford.

York

York Goalkeeper

York — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Alfie Shane McNally390270 min51.7 /9051.7 /9000 /90
York — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for York before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Alfie Shane McNally n 390
1.71/1

York Defensive

York — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Williams390270 min31 /9041.3 /9031 /90113.7 /9031 /9010.3 /90
Z. Johnson370210 min20.9 /9010.4 /9041.7 /9093.9 /9010.4 /9000 /90
M. Kitching281161 min10.6 /9010.6 /9000 /9052.8 /9010.6 /9000 /90
Z. Medley19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /9066 /9022 /9011 /90
R. Fallowfield16060 min00 /90710.5 /9023 /9011.5 /9000 /9000 /90
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York — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for York before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Williams n 390
12/1
00/0
J. Fitzwater
O. Banks n 390
0.72/0
0.71/1
C. Cummins
O. Pearce n 390
0.72/0
0.31/0
—
J. Grey n 390
0.31/0
2.32/2
—
Alfie Shane McNally n 390
00/0
00/0
—
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York — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for York before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Williams n 390
11/1
J. Grey n 390
12/1
O. Banks n 390
0.72/0
O. Pearce n 390
00/0
A. Hunt n 375.3
0.82/0
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York Attacking

York — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Grey390270 min00 /9010.3 /9000 /9000 /9041.3 /9020.7 /90
O. Pearce390270 min00 /9010.3 /9072.3 /9010.3 /9041.3 /9010.3 /90
Afolabi Akinyemi260120 min00 /9000 /9032.3 /9032.3 /9010.8 /9032.3 /90
O. Banks390270 min00 /9000 /9020.7 /9000 /9020.7 /9000 /90
A. Hunt375226 min00 /9000 /9031.2 /9000 /9062.4 /9020.8 /90
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York — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for York before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
O. Pearce n 390
2.33/2
0.31/0
O. Banks n 390
0.71/1
00/0
M. Williams n 390
00/0
00/0
J. Grey n 390
00/0
00/0
Alfie Shane McNally n 390
00/0
00/0
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York — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for York before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Pearce n 390
00/0
0.31/0
J. Grey n 390
00/0
0.31/0
O. Banks n 390
00/0
00/0
M. Williams n 390
00/0
00/0
Alfie Shane McNally n 390
00/0
00/0
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Exeter City

Exeter City Goalkeeper

Exeter City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Bycroft392276 min92.9 /9031 /9000 /90
Exeter City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Exeter City before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Bycroft n 890.8
5.17/6

Exeter City Defensive

Exeter City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. James392276 min31 /9000 /9010.3 /90165.2 /9031 /9000 /90
J. Fitzwater392276 min72.3 /9020.7 /90113.6 /90206.5 /9031 /9010.3 /90
L. Woodhouse392276 min62 /9031 /9020.7 /90278.8 /9000 /9000 /90
Ethan Sutherland22142 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9024.3 /9024.3 /90
C. Cummins392276 min31 /9010.3 /9000 /90268.5 /9031 /9010.3 /90
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Exeter City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Exeter City before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Wareham n 890.8
2.58/7
1.15/3
—
C. Cummins n 886
1.47/3
1.27/1
O. Banks
E. James n 885.5
0.85/1
1.36/3
—
J. Fitzwater n 884
0.84/2
0.32/0
M. Williams
L. Woodhouse n 873
0.53/0
1.55/3
—
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Exeter City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Exeter City before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Cummins n 886
1.86/5
J. Fitzwater n 884
1.65/3
L. Woodhouse n 873
1.55/3
J. Wareham n 890.8
16/2
E. James n 885.5
0.83/2
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Exeter City Attacking

Exeter City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Wareham392276 min00 /9000 /9082.6 /9031 /9000 /9000 /90
R. Cole381243 min00 /9000 /9020.7 /9020.7 /9083 /9010.4 /90
J. Gordon344133 min00 /9000 /9042.7 /9010.7 /9010.7 /9010.7 /90
C. Cummins392276 min00 /9000 /9010.3 /9000 /9031 /9020.7 /90
G. Edwards362185 min00 /9000 /9010.5 /9000 /9021 /9021 /90
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Exeter City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Exeter City before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Wareham n 890.8
2.57/5
1.16/2
E. James n 885.5
0.96/1
0.11/0
J. Fitzwater n 884
0.53/1
0.32/0
L. Woodhouse n 873
0.53/0
0.21/0
C. Cummins n 886
0.43/0
0.11/0
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Exeter City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Exeter City before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Wareham n 890.8
0.42/1
00/0
L. Woodhouse n 873
00/0
0.32/0
J. Bycroft n 890.8
0.11/0
00/0
J. Fitzwater n 884
0.11/0
00/0
C. Cummins n 886
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
YorkExeter City
68%Possession32%
0.97Expected goals (xG)1.22
11Shots8
8Shots on target2
1Shots off target2
2Blocked shots4
9Shots inside the box7
7Corners5
1Offsides1
12Fouls10
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Saves6
643Passes297
86%Pass accuracy79%

York Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Fallowfield90000000Y6.7
M. Williams90000000Y6.7
M. Kitching9000000006.5
O. Banks9000001006.9
J. Grey9000112108.7
Alfie Shane McNally9000000006.3
A. Newby8910331008
H. Boyes7702004007.6
J. Felix6700111107.5
J. Felix6700111107.5
A. Hunt6600000106.6
O. Pearce6600000106.5
C. Hewitt1300000006.8
A. Read sub2400000006.6
J. Malcolm sub2410430006.9
J. King sub2300000106.5
C. Hewitt sub1300000006.2
Z. Medley sub10000000–

Exeter City Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Cummins90000013Y6.9
G. Edwards90001004Y6.3
J. Fitzwater9010110108
J. Gordon9000111006.2
V. Harper9000000406.3
E. James9000100006.3
J. Bycroft9000000008.7
T. Perry8200001106.6
R. Cole82000022Y6.5
Ethan Sutherland7700001006.5
S. Cox4500000106.5
George Birch sub4500000006.5
G. Birch sub4500000006.5
L. Samuel sub1300000106.6
Liam Oakes sub800000006.7
A. Oluwabori sub801002007.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind York v Exeter City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
YorkWDLWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Exeter CityDLLLW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
York#7 pos20 pts14 pl+3 GD
Exeter City#12 pos19 pts14 pl+2 GD
Goals per game
York scored1.71
Exeter City scored0.79
York conceded1.5
Exeter City conceded0.64

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for York v Exeter City?
TACTIX’s free model pick for York v Exeter City was Home or Draw (best price 1.21 at Betano).
What is the recent form of York and Exeter City?
Recent form — York 2W 2D 1L; Exeter City 1W 1D 3L.

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