YorkNorthampton

York v Northampton result

Full-time · York 1–1 Northampton

League Two · · York Community Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

York 1–1 Northampton — this League Two match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.65 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 79.1% of 277 landed (95% range 73.9–83.4%); it had given them 75.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

York and Northampton drew 1–1 at York Community Stadium in League Two on Saturday 10 October.

The goals

Northampton led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Northampton: J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh (10’); York: Ollie Pearce (85’, assisted by Jeff King).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ollie Pearce’s goal on 85 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: York 1.91, Northampton 1.71, from 13 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

M. Barlow showed three yellow cards — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — York: Harry Boyes (49’) and Frankie Maguire (86’); Northampton: Joshua Alan Powell (40’).

What it changes

York move down from fourth to fifth (nine league matches played). York have scored 17 goals, the second-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). York have conceded 11 goals, the 12th-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Northampton move down from 22nd to 23rd (eight league matches played). Northampton have scored four goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games, ranked per game). Northampton have conceded seven goals, the fourth-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Northampton are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh (Northampton) 6.1, Ollie Pearce (York) 4.8 and Joseph Wormleighton (Northampton) 4.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, York to win, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

York next travel to Rochdale on 14 November 2026.

Northampton next travel to Salford City on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for York: Rochdale v York, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Northampton: Salford City v Northampton, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: York 1–1 Northampton · League Two
  • Venue: York Community Stadium · York
  • Referee: M. Barlow
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: York 2W 1D 2L · Northampton 1W 2D 2L

York 1–1 Northampton (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 0.38
Goals
against 1.25 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
6.25 / 5.13
Corners
against 4.38 / 3.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.5 / 3.25
Shots on target
against 3.75 / 3.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 1.63
Cards
against 1.75 / 2 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.14 yellows
Referee · M. Barlow
22.71 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameYork for / againstLineNorthampton for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.75our book
0.38 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
6.25 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
5.13 for · 3.88 against n 8
Shots
16.88 for · 12.5 against n 8
19.5standard
9.25 for · 9.75 against n 8
Shots on target
5.5 for · 3.75 against n 8
8.5standard
3.25 for · 3.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.38 for · 12.25 against n 8
21.5standard
11.38 for · 11 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: M. Barlow — 4.14 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 22.71 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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York

York Goalkeeper

York — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Alfie Shane McNally990810 min222.4 /90111.2 /9010.1 /90
York — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for York before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Alfie Shane McNally n 890
2.44/3

York Defensive

York — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Kitching887693 min121.6 /9050.6 /9020.3 /90233 /9020.3 /9010.1 /90
R. Fallowfield783584 min111.7 /90172.6 /9050.8 /90203.1 /9060.9 /9010.2 /90
M. Williams690540 min71.2 /9061 /9061 /90254.2 /90111.8 /9030.5 /90
Z. Johnson680480 min40.8 /9071.3 /9081.5 /90244.5 /9040.8 /9000 /90
J. King641246 min62.2 /9020.7 /9010.4 /90145.1 /9031.1 /9000 /90
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York — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for York before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Alfie Shane McNally n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
O. Banks n 888.8
1.48/2
1.67/4
—
O. Pearce n 886.4
0.86/0
15/2
—
J. Grey n 883.9
0.75/0
1.97/4
—
A. Hunt n 872.5
0.63/1
0.94/2
—
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York — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for York before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
O. Banks n 888.8
15/3
O. Pearce n 886.4
0.54/0
J. Grey n 883.9
1.36/3
A. Hunt n 872.5
1.96/2
A. Newby n 872.8
0.62/1
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York Attacking

York — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
O. Pearce987781 min30.3 /9040.5 /90202.3 /9060.7 /9080.9 /9020.2 /90
J. Grey985761 min10.1 /9010.1 /90121.4 /9050.6 /9080.9 /9080.9 /90
A. Newby968615 min60.9 /9010.1 /90182.6 /90131.9 /9071 /9071 /90
J. Malcolm626157 min31.7 /9000 /9084.6 /9074 /9031.7 /9031.7 /90
Afolabi Akinyemi260120 min00 /9000 /9032.3 /9032.3 /9010.8 /9032.3 /90
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York — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for York before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Alfie Shane McNally n 890
0.11/0
00/0
O. Banks n 888.8
1.35/2
0.32/0
O. Pearce n 886.4
2.57/7
0.84/2
J. Grey n 883.9
1.66/3
0.73/1
A. Hunt n 872.5
1.46/3
0.21/0
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York — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for York before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Alfie Shane McNally n 890
00/0
00/0
O. Banks n 888.8
0.11/0
00/0
O. Pearce n 886.4
0.43/0
0.54/0
J. Grey n 883.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
A. Hunt n 872.5
00/0
00/0
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Northampton

Northampton Goalkeeper

Northampton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Z. Jeacock891729 min182.2 /9070.9 /9000 /90
Northampton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northampton before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Z. Jeacock n 891.1
2.27/2

Northampton Defensive

Northampton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Moore891729 min50.6 /90101.2 /9060.7 /90394.8 /9060.7 /9000 /90
J. Guthrie891729 min81 /90101.2 /9040.5 /90496 /9040.5 /9000 /90
J. Maxwell791639 min131.8 /9081.1 /9010.1 /90354.9 /9030.4 /9010.1 /90
J. Wormleighton773513 min223.9 /90132.3 /9010.2 /90518.9 /90101.8 /9010.2 /90
J. Donacien478313 min133.7 /9051.4 /9010.3 /90246.9 /9020.6 /9000 /90
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Northampton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northampton before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Moore n 891.1
0.75/1
0.52/1
—
J. Guthrie n 891.1
0.54/0
0.53/1
—
Z. Jeacock n 891.1
00/0
0.65/0
—
T. Fornah n 890.8
1.15/3
14/2
—
J. Maxwell n 791.3
0.43/0
1.16/2
—
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Northampton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northampton before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Guthrie n 891.1
15/2
E. Moore n 891.1
0.64/1
T. Fornah n 890.8
1.15/2
J. Maxwell n 791.3
1.86/5
J. Wormleighton n 866.9
4.27/6
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Northampton Attacking

Northampton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
H. Saunders659356 min00 /9000 /90112.8 /9051.3 /9010.3 /9041 /90
Matthew Warhurst650298 min00 /9000 /9010.3 /9010.3 /9020.6 /9030.9 /90
N. Opoku570348 min10.3 /9000 /9051.3 /9030.8 /9000 /9071.8 /90
C. Lemonheigh-Evans476304 min00 /9000 /9020.6 /9020.6 /9010.3 /9020.6 /90
O. Dale263126 min00 /9000 /9042.9 /9021.4 /9032.1 /9010.7 /90
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Northampton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northampton before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Guthrie n 891.1
0.54/0
0.22/0
E. Moore n 891.1
0.42/1
00/0
Z. Jeacock n 891.1
00/0
00/0
T. Fornah n 890.8
0.43/0
0.11/0
J. Maxwell n 791.3
0.32/0
00/0
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Northampton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northampton before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Moore n 891.1
00/0
00/0
J. Guthrie n 891.1
00/0
00/0
Z. Jeacock n 891.1
00/0
00/0
T. Fornah n 890.8
00/0
00/0
J. Maxwell n 791.3
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
YorkNorthampton
77%Possession23%
1.91Expected goals (xG)1.71
13Shots14
2Shots on target3
7Shots off target5
4Blocked shots6
10Shots inside the box11
8Corners4
3Offsides0
8Fouls13
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves1
646Passes186
86%Pass accuracy60%

York Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Newby9000201106.3
O. Banks9000211407
H. Boyes90000002Y6.6
Z. Johnson9000001007.2
M. Kitching9000100006.9
Alfie Shane McNally9000000006.7
O. Pearce9010211107.7
R. Fallowfield7300100107.2
A. Hunt7300002106.7
J. Felix5900001206.6
J. Grey5900002207
J. King sub3101002007.7
J. Malcolm sub3100000006.5
J. Hunt sub1700000007
F. Maguire sub17001000Y6.2

Northampton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Evans9000002106.3
C. Lemonheigh-Evans9000110206.3
E. Moore9000200006.9
Z. Jeacock9000001005.9
J. Wormleighton9000001407.3
J. Guthrie9000100107.2
O. Dale8100211006.9
Joshua Alan Powell81000010Y6.7
J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh7010110107.9
Matthew Warhurst7000101006.5
J. Donacien6100000006.9
M. Dyche sub2900000006.3
T. Fornah sub2000000106.3
N. Opoku sub2000000006.2
S. Hoskins sub900000006.3
J. Maxwell sub900000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind York v Northampton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
YorkLDWLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
NorthamptonDDWLL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
York#7 pos20 pts14 pl+3 GD
Northampton#21 pos14 pts13 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
York scored1.71
Northampton scored0.69
York conceded1.5
Northampton conceded0.77

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for York v Northampton?
TACTIX’s free model pick for York v Northampton was Home win (best price 1.65 at Bet365).
What is the recent form of York and Northampton?
Recent form — York 2W 1D 2L; Northampton 1W 2D 2L.

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