Boca Juniors v Defensa Y Justicia prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Sat, 07 Nov 2026 20:30 GMT · Estadio Alberto José Armando

Updated 5 Nov 2026, 19:51 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Boca Juniors · Defensa Y Justicia · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Boca Juniors v Defensa Y Justicia, Liga Profesional Argentina on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 20:30 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.22 at Bet365

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.6% of 5130 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,906 of 2,552 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Boca Juniors host Defensa Y Justicia in Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 20:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Boca Juniors or Defensa Y Justicia (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Boca Juniors have won their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Boca Juniors’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Boca Juniors’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Boca Juniors have six wins, no draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.57 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 0.43. Boca Juniors have scored 23 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 15 games). Boca Juniors have conceded 14 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs.

Seven of Defensa Y Justicia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in eight of Defensa Y Justicia’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Defensa Y Justicia have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 1.29. Defensa Y Justicia have scored 21 goals, the eighth-most of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 15 games). Defensa Y Justicia have conceded 14 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs.

Boca Juniors (second) and Defensa Y Justicia (fourth) are two points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Boca Juniors the stronger side, 164 rating points above Defensa Y Justicia (Boca Juniors 1807, Defensa Y Justicia 1643, after at least 283 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 23 April 2026, finished Defensa Y Justicia 0–4 Boca Juniors.

Team news

Predicted Boca Juniors XI (4-3-3): A. Montero, L. Di Lollo, L. Lozano, L. Blanco, F. Herrera, M. Delgado, S. Ascacibar, L. Paredes, M. Merentiel, L. Flores, S. Villa — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, D. Gorosito (4.4 per match over eight appearances, two assists) and L. Flores (4.3 per match over 20 appearances, four goals and three assists) have been Boca Juniors’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Boca Juniors (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), D. Gorosito averages 2.6 tackles per 90 over 648 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last eight appearances. L. Flores averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 1572 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Defensa Y Justicia XI (4-2-3-1): M. Borgogno, D. Martinez, V. Loza, D. Domínguez, D. Fernandez, J. Gutierrez, D. Barbona, S. Sosa, C. Perez, J. Lucco, L. Fernandez — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, J. Gutierrez (4.2 per match over 31 appearances, six goals and eight assists) and C. Perez (4.2 per match over 17 appearances, two goals and three assists) have been Defensa Y Justicia’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Defensa Y Justicia (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), J. Gutierrez averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 2632 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. C. Perez averages 0.6 key passes per 90 over 1389 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 20:30 GMT · Liga Profesional Argentina · Estadio Alberto José Armando
Referee: Sebastian Zunino
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Boca Juniors 3 · draws 2 · Defensa Y Justicia 1 · 2.67 goals/game
Recent form: Boca Juniors 4W 0D 1L · Defensa Y Justicia 3W 1D 1L

Boca Juniors v Defensa Y Justicia (Liga Profesional Argentina): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 1.5

Goals

against 0.88 / 0.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

5.14 / 3.75

Corners

against 2.86 / 6.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4.29 / 6.13

Shots on target

against 2 / 5 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.86 / 1.88

Cards

against 3 / 3 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 2 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Boca Juniors for / against	Line	Defensa Y Justicia for / against
Goals scored	1.88 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	1.5 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.14 for · 2.86 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	3.75 for · 6.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14.29 for · 10.57 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	15.75 for · 16.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.29 for · 2 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	6.13 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11 for · 11.29 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	12.88 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.86 for · 3 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.88 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Sebastian Zunino.

Boca Juniors

Boca Juniors Goalkeeper

Boca Juniors — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
A. Montero	19	911732 min	432.2 /90	120.6 /90
A. Marchesín	12	911088 min	252.1 /90	80.7 /90
L. Brey	12	861027 min	151.3 /90	50.4 /90

Boca Juniors — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Boca Juniors before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Montero n 8	90	1.6 3/2
A. Marchesín n 8	89	2.1 5/3
L. Brey n 8	83.4	1.1 2/1

Boca Juniors Defensive

Boca Juniors — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
L. Blanco	38	883338 min	892.4 /90	340.9 /90	30.1 /90	1474 /90	290.8 /90	50.1 /90
L. Di Lollo	34	923118 min	702 /90	250.7 /90	120.3 /90	2106.1 /90	210.6 /90	70.2 /90
A. Costa	25	852122 min	251.1 /90	341.4 /90	50.2 /90	1044.4 /90	180.8 /90	100.4 /90
M. Weigandt	14	771078 min	221.8 /90	221.8 /90	20.2 /90	574.8 /90	110.9 /90	00 /90
L. Lozano	13	821072 min	211.8 /90	121 /90	30.3 /90	645.4 /90	131.1 /90	10.1 /90
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Boca Juniors — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Boca Juniors before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. Blanco n 8	90	1.6 5/5	0.8 5/1	—
Miguel Merentiel n 8	62.1	0.7 4/0	0.4 2/0	—
M. Delgado n 8	85.6	1.7 7/4	0.9 6/1	—
S. Ascacibar n 8	77.8	1 4/3	1.2 6/2	—
L. Di Lollo n 8	90	0.6 5/0	0.4 3/0	—
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Boca Juniors — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Boca Juniors before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
L. Blanco n 8	90	2.5 6/4
Miguel Merentiel n 8	62.1	0.2 1/0
M. Delgado n 8	85.6	3.3 6/6
S. Ascacibar n 8	77.8	2.2 6/3
L. Di Lollo n 8	90	1.3 4/4
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Boca Juniors Attacking

Boca Juniors — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Miguel Merentiel	37	672483 min	130.5 /90	30.1 /90	592.1 /90	341.2 /90	391.4 /90	190.7 /90
L. Flores	19	781480 min	40.2 /90	30.2 /90	382.3 /90	120.7 /90	261.6 /90	503 /90
Sebastián Villa	17	55943 min	10.1 /90	60.6 /90	252.4 /90	80.8 /90	262.5 /90	222.1 /90
Angel Romero	14	44617 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	121.8 /90	60.9 /90	71 /90	30.4 /90
A. Bareiro	12	74890 min	40.4 /90	10.1 /90	202 /90	121.2 /90	70.7 /90	20.2 /90
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Boca Juniors — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Boca Juniors before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
L. Blanco n 8	90	0.3 1/1	0 0/0
Miguel Merentiel n 8	62.1	2.9 8/7	1.6 7/2
M. Delgado n 8	85.6	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
S. Ascacibar n 8	77.8	3 6/6	1 4/3
L. Di Lollo n 8	90	1.3 5/4	0.4 3/0
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Boca Juniors — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Boca Juniors before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
L. Blanco n 8	90	0 0/0	0.5 4/0
Miguel Merentiel n 8	62.1	0.7 4/0	0 0/0
M. Delgado n 8	85.6	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
S. Ascacibar n 8	77.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Di Lollo n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
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Defensa Y Justicia

Defensa Y Justicia Goalkeeper

Defensa Y Justicia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
C. Fiermarin	16	931484 min	412.5 /90	211.3 /90	10.1 /90
Matías Borgogno	15	891338 min	594 /90	90.6 /90	00 /90

Defensa Y Justicia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Defensa Y Justicia before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
C. Fiermarin n 8	91.3	2.8 6/6
Matías Borgogno n 8	86	4.4 7/6

Defensa Y Justicia Defensive

Defensa Y Justicia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
D. Fernandez	26	822124 min	703 /90	371.6 /90	120.5 /90	1506.4 /90	241 /90	80.3 /90
D. Martinez	25	842102 min	522.2 /90	502.1 /90	130.6 /90	1134.8 /90	311.3 /90	80.3 /90
L. Souto	17	911540 min	211.2 /90	362.1 /90	30.2 /90	754.4 /90	191.1 /90	00 /90
E. Amor	15	891335 min	110.7 /90	281.9 /90	120.8 /90	654.4 /90	100.7 /90	20.1 /90
V. Loza	12	76909 min	212.1 /90	131.3 /90	30.3 /90	454.5 /90	131.3 /90	00 /90
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Defensa Y Justicia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Defensa Y Justicia before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Gutierrez n 8	83.5	1.1 3/3	1.9 7/4	—
S. Sosa n 8	77.9	1.9 7/5	1.4 6/3	—
D. Fernandez n 8	84.3	1.3 7/2	0.9 6/1	—
D. Martinez n 8	86	1.2 6/3	0.7 4/1	—
D. Barbona n 8	69.9	0.3 2/0	0.8 4/1	—
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Defensa Y Justicia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Defensa Y Justicia before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Gutierrez n 8	83.5	1.2 6/3
S. Sosa n 8	77.9	3 7/6
D. Fernandez n 8	84.3	2.7 7/6
D. Martinez n 8	86	2 7/3
D. Barbona n 8	69.9	0.5 3/0
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Defensa Y Justicia Attacking

Defensa Y Justicia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Hausch	20	511013 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	151.3 /90	111 /90	121.1 /90	141.2 /90
L. Fernandez	15	761134 min	50.4 /90	10.1 /90	393.1 /90	161.3 /90	191.5 /90	201.6 /90
R. Botta	13	66859 min	10.1 /90	10.1 /90	111.2 /90	60.6 /90	171.8 /90	141.5 /90
Tiziano Perrotta	8	42334 min	00 /90	00 /90	61.6 /90	30.8 /90	30.8 /90	20.5 /90
J. Miritello	6	66397 min	20.5 /90	00 /90	40.9 /90	20.5 /90	30.7 /90	40.9 /90
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Defensa Y Justicia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Defensa Y Justicia before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Gutierrez n 8	83.5	2 7/5	1.1 7/1
S. Sosa n 8	77.9	0.6 4/0	0.1 1/0
D. Fernandez n 8	84.3	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
D. Martinez n 8	86	0.8 5/1	0.1 1/0
D. Barbona n 8	69.9	1.4 7/2	0.8 5/0
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Defensa Y Justicia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Defensa Y Justicia before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Gutierrez n 8	83.5	0.3 2/0	0.4 3/0
S. Sosa n 8	77.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Fernandez n 8	84.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Martinez n 8	86	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
D. Barbona n 8	69.9	0.3 2/0	0.6 4/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Boca Juniors v Defensa Y Justicia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Boca JuniorsLWWWW

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Defensa Y JusticiaWWLWD

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Boca Juniors 3 · 2 draws · Defensa Y Justicia 1 · 2.67 goals/game

2026-04-23 Defensa Y Justicia 0–4 Boca Juniors
2025-09-27 Defensa Y Justicia 2–1 Boca Juniors
2025-03-16 Boca Juniors 4–0 Defensa Y Justicia
2024-07-21 Defensa Y Justicia 2–2 Boca Juniors
2023-03-07 Boca Juniors 0–0 Defensa Y Justicia
2022-08-21 Defensa Y Justicia 0–1 Boca Juniors

League standing · 2026

Boca Juniors#2 pos30 pts15 pl+9 GD

Defensa Y Justicia#4 pos28 pts15 pl+7 GD

Goals per game

Boca Juniors scored1.53

Defensa Y Justicia scored1.4

Boca Juniors conceded0.93

Defensa Y Justicia conceded0.93

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Boca Juniors v Defensa Y Justicia?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Boca Juniors v Defensa Y Justicia is Home or Away (best price 1.22 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Boca Juniors and Defensa Y Justicia?: In their last 6 meetings, Boca Juniors won 3, Defensa Y Justicia won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Boca Juniors and Defensa Y Justicia?: Recent form — Boca Juniors 4W 0D 1L; Defensa Y Justicia 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 5 Nov 2026, 19:51 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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