Boca Juniors v Lanus result

Full-time · Boca Juniors 1–0 Lanus

Liga Profesional Argentina · Sat, 29 Aug 2026 01:30 BST · Estadio Alberto J. Armando

Updated 11 Sep 2026, 04:32 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Boca Juniors · Lanus · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Boca Juniors 1–0 Lanus — Boca Juniors won this Liga Profesional Argentina match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 2.55 at Unibet

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.6% of 643 landed (95% range 61.9–69.2%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 386 of 591 times (65.3%), against an average rating of 68.8%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Boca Juniors beat Lanus 1–0 at Estadio Alberto J. Armando in Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday 29 August. Boca Juniors are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions. Lanus are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Boca Juniors: T. Belmonte (90’, assisted by S. Ascacibar).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with T. Belmonte’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Boca Juniors 1.16, Lanus 0.91, from 19 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

P. Dovalo showed three yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Boca Juniors: L. Flores (13’) and M. Delgado (76’); Lanus: Carlos Izquierdoz (44’).

What it changes

Boca Juniors have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, D. Gorosito (Boca Juniors) 5.8, Dylan Aquino (Lanus) 5.6 and S. Ascacibar (Boca Juniors) 5.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Boca Juniors next travel to Vasco DA Gama on 21 October 2026.

Lanus next travel to Banfield on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Boca Juniors: Vasco DA Gama v Boca Juniors, Wednesday 21 October — the preview. Next for Lanus: Banfield v Lanus, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Boca Juniors 1–0 Lanus · Liga Profesional Argentina
Venue: Estadio Alberto J. Armando · Buenos Aires
Referee: P. Dovalo
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Boca Juniors 2 · draws 3 · Lanus 1 · 1.5 goals/game
Recent form: Boca Juniors 2W 3D 0L · Lanus 1W 1D 3L

Boca Juniors 1–0 Lanus (Liga Profesional Argentina): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 11 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 1.13

Goals

against 0.88 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 2

over 8 matches

5.14 / 5.88

Corners

against 4 / 3.5 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

5.43 / 5.5

Shots on target

against 3.86 / 4.5 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.86 / 2.38

Cards

against 3.14 / 2 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

4.22 yellows

Referee · P. Dovalo

1.78 home / 2.44 away

over 9 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 August 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Boca Juniors for / against	Line	Lanus for / against
Goals scored	1.63 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5	2our book	1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.14 for · 4 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	5.88 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	20.14 for · 10.14 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	16 for · 13.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.43 for · 3.86 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	5.5 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	9.86 for · 11.71 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	10.25 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.86 for · 3.14 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2.38 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: P. Dovalo — 4.22 yellow cards a game, 0.11 red cards, 25.44 fouls over 9 matches (1.78 to the home side, 2.44 to the away side).

Home 1.78Away 2.44

Boca Juniors

Boca Juniors — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
T. Belmonte n 8	68.9	2.5 8/5	2.3 6/4	—
S. Ascacibar n 8	89	1.4 6/2	1.1 5/2	—
L. Paredes n 8	86.5	1.4 5/4	1.8 7/4	—
D. Gorosito n 5	75.6	1.4 3/1	1.7 4/1	—
T. Aranda n 8	73.9	1.4 5/3	1.4 5/2	—

Boca Juniors — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Velasco n 8	29.8	4.2 6/2	1.9 4/1
Angel Romero n 8	30	3.8 5/4	1.1 3/0
K. Zenon n 8	30.8	3.3 5/2	1.8 3/1
T. Aranda n 8	73.9	2.7 6/5	0.9 4/2
S. Ascacibar n 8	89	2.5 8/4	1 5/2

Boca Juniors — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Sebastián Villa n 8	49	0.2 1/0	0.7 2/1
A. Velasco n 8	29.8	0.8 2/0	0 0/0
S. Ascacibar n 8	89	0.6 5/0	0 0/0
M. Gimenez n 8	68.3	0.5 3/0	0 0/0
Miguel Merentiel n 8	66.9	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0

Boca Juniors — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
L. Paredes n 8	86.5	2.7 8/4
L. Di Lollo n 8	97.5	2.5 7/5
M. Delgado n 8	81.3	2.4 8/5
D. Gorosito n 5	75.6	2.4 5/4
L. Blanco n 8	86.6	1.9 5/4

Boca Juniors — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Montero n 8	92.8	2.5 6/4

Lanus

Lanus — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
B. Acosta n 3	24	2.5 1/1	1.3 1/0	—
Ramiro Carrera n 8	59.6	2.3 6/4	2.6 8/3	—
Matías Sepúlveda n 8	46.5	1.9 6/2	2.4 5/3	—
Yoshan Valois n 8	53	1.7 5/3	0.8 3/1	—
Nicolás Morgantini n 8	48.1	1.6 3/3	0.5 2/0	—

Lanus — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Wlk n 8	47.9	3.3 6/3	1.6 4/3
Ramiro Carrera n 8	59.6	3.2 7/6	1.9 5/3
Dylan Aquino n 8	48.4	2.6 5/4	0.9 3/1
Walter Bou n 8	43.3	2.6 3/3	1.3 3/2
Franco Watson n 8	30.5	2.2 5/1	1.8 4/1

Lanus — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Yoshan Valois n 8	53	0.6 2/1	0.2 1/0
Felipe Peña Biafore n 8	62.3	0.4 2/0	0 0/0
Ramiro Carrera n 8	59.6	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Dylan Aquino n 8	48.4	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Franco Watson n 8	30.5	0.4 1/0	0 0/0

Lanus — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Agustín Medina n 8	52.6	3 5/4
Lucas Besozzi n 8	39.1	2.9 4/2
Tomás Guidara n 8	84.1	2.3 7/5
Felipe Peña Biafore n 8	62.3	2.3 5/4
Sasha Marcich n 8	90.3	2.2 7/5

Lanus — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Nahuel Losada n 8	92.9	2.9 4/4

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Boca Juniors		Lanus
58%	Possession	42%
1.16	Expected goals (xG)	0.91
19	Shots	10
4	Shots on target	2
7	Shots off target	5
8	Blocked shots	3
9	Shots inside the box	7
11	Corners	3
8	Fouls	15
2	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	3
539	Passes	392
84%	Pass accuracy	78%

Boca Juniors player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
A. Montero	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.1
D. Gorosito	90	0	0	1	0	0	4	0	6.2
L. Di Lollo	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.4
Facundo Herrera	90	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	7.6
L. Blanco	90	0	0	1	1	5	2	0	8
S. Ascacibar	90	0	1	2	0	1	2	0	7.7
M. Delgado	79	0	0	0	0	1	2	Y	6.6
L. Flores	79	0	0	4	0	1	1	Y	6.1
C. Rey	61	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	6.9
Miguel Merentiel	61	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.4
A. Velasco	60	0	0	6	1	1	0	0	6.8
Sebastián Villa	30	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	6.7
L. Paredes	29	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	7.2
E. Valencia	29	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.6
K. Zenon	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.8
T. Belmonte	11	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	8.2

Lanus player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Nahuel Losada	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.8
Tomás Guidara	90	0	0	0	5	0	6.9
Carlos Izquierdoz	90	0	0	0	1	Y	6.7
José Canale	90	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
Sasha Marcich	90	0	0	0	6	0	6.3
Agustín Cardozo	90	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
Felipe Peña Biafore	89	4	1	0	4	0	6.4
Franco Watson	80	1	0	3	1	0	6.1
Eduardo Salvio	69	1	0	1	3	0	6.6
Dylan Aquino	69	3	0	2	3	0	7.1
Yoshan Valois	45	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
A. Wlk	45	1	1	1	0	0	6.5
Matías Sepúlveda	21	0	0	2	2	0	7
Lucas Besozzi	21	0	0	1	0	0	6.7
B. Acosta	10	0	0	0	1	0	6.4
Agustín Medina	1	0	0	0	0	0	6.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Boca Juniors v Lanus — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Boca JuniorsDWDWD

Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

LanusLLWLD

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Boca Juniors 2 · 3 draws · Lanus 1 · 1.5 goals/game

2026-03-05 Lanus 0–3 Boca Juniors
2025-05-11 Boca Juniors 0–0 Lanus
2024-11-03 Lanus 1–0 Boca Juniors
2023-06-10 Boca Juniors 1–1 Lanus
2022-09-15 Lanus 0–1 Boca Juniors
2022-04-17 Boca Juniors 1–1 Lanus

League standing · 2026

Boca Juniors#2 pos24 pts13 pl+7 GD

Lanus#5 pos23 pts13 pl+7 GD

Goals per game

Boca Juniors scored1.62

Lanus scored1.23

Boca Juniors conceded1.08

Lanus conceded0.69

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Boca Juniors v Lanus?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Boca Juniors v Lanus was Over 2.5 goals (best price 2.55 at Unibet).
What is the head-to-head record between Boca Juniors and Lanus?: In their last 6 meetings, Boca Juniors won 2, Lanus won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Boca Juniors and Lanus?: Recent form — Boca Juniors 2W 3D 0L; Lanus 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 11 Sep 2026, 04:32 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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