Boca Juniors v River Plate prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Sun, 01 Nov 2026 18:00 GMT · Estadio Alberto J. Armando

Updated 29 Oct 2026, 03:03 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Boca Juniors · River Plate · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Boca Juniors v River Plate, Liga Profesional Argentina on Sun, 01 Nov 2026 18:00 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4833 landed (95% range 76.2–78.5%); it had given them 74.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,747 of 2,357 times (74.1%), against an average rating of 73.3%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Boca Juniors host River Plate in Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday 1 November (kick-off 18:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Boca Juniors or River Plate (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

River Plate have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Boca Juniors’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in eight of Boca Juniors’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Boca Juniors have five wins, no draws and one defeat in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 2.50 points per game, scoring 1.67 and conceding 0.50. Boca Juniors have scored 22 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). Boca Juniors have conceded 14 goals, the 13th-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs.

Six of River Plate’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in seven of River Plate’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, River Plate have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 0.86. River Plate have scored 19 goals, the ninth-most of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). River Plate have conceded 13 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs.

Boca Juniors have won their last three matches in all competitions. River Plate are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Boca Juniors (third) and River Plate (fourth) are four points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Boca Juniors the stronger side, 9 rating points above River Plate (Boca Juniors 1774, River Plate 1765, after at least 290 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 19 April 2026, finished River Plate 0–1 Boca Juniors.

Team news

Predicted Boca Juniors XI (4-3-3): A. Montero, L. Di Lollo, L. Lozano, L. Blanco, F. Herrera, M. Delgado, S. Ascacibar, L. Flores, M. Merentiel, E. Valencia, A. Romero — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, L. Flores (4.4 per match over 19 appearances, four goals and three assists) and D. Gorosito (4.4 per match over eight appearances, two assists) have been Boca Juniors’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Boca Juniors (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), L. Flores averages 2.4 shots per 90 over 1510 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. D. Gorosito averages 2.6 tackles per 90 over 648 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last eight appearances.

Predicted River Plate XI (4-1-3-2): S. Beltran, N. Otamendi, G. Montiel, L. Martinez Quarta, M. Acuna, T. Galvan, T. Andrada, T. Almada, F. Vera, A. Correa, S. Driussi — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Correa (6.3 per match over 15 appearances, four goals and three assists) and Thiago Almada (4.8 per match over 12 appearances, three goals and one assist) have been River Plate’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for River Plate (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Correa averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 2020 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Thiago Almada averages 3.0 key passes per 90 over 1329 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 01 Nov 2026 18:00 GMT · Liga Profesional Argentina · Estadio Alberto J. Armando
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Boca Juniors 3 · draws 0 · River Plate 3 · 1.5 goals/game
Recent form: Boca Juniors 3W 1D 1L · River Plate 3W 1D 1L

Boca Juniors v River Plate (Liga Profesional Argentina): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 1.88

Goals

against 0.88 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.25

over 8 matches

4.86 / 5.88

Corners

against 2.86 / 2.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4.43 / 6.75

Shots on target

against 2.14 / 3 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.29 / 1.25

Cards

against 2.86 / 2.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Boca Juniors for / against	Line	River Plate for / against
Goals scored	2 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.25our book	1.88 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.86 for · 2.86 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	5.88 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14.29 for · 10.71 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	18.5 for · 8.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.43 for · 2.14 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	6.75 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.43 for · 12.29 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	10.88 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.29 for · 2.86 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.25 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5

Boca Juniors

Boca Juniors Goalkeeper

Boca Juniors — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
A. Montero	18	911642 min	432.4 /90	120.7 /90
A. Marchesín	12	911088 min	252.1 /90	80.7 /90
L. Brey	12	861027 min	151.3 /90	50.4 /90

Boca Juniors — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Boca Juniors before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Montero n 8	90	2 4/3
A. Marchesín n 8	89	2.1 5/3
L. Brey n 8	83.4	1.1 2/1

Boca Juniors Defensive

Boca Juniors — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
L. Blanco	37	883248 min	882.4 /90	340.9 /90	30.1 /90	1454 /90	270.7 /90	40.1 /90
L. Di Lollo	33	923028 min	682 /90	230.7 /90	120.4 /90	2056.1 /90	200.6 /90	60.2 /90
A. Costa	24	872077 min	251.1 /90	341.5 /90	50.2 /90	1034.5 /90	170.7 /90	90.4 /90
M. Weigandt	14	771078 min	221.8 /90	221.8 /90	20.2 /90	574.8 /90	110.9 /90	00 /90
Marco Pellegrino	13	75977 min	131.2 /90	111 /90	20.2 /90	423.9 /90	10.1 /90	10.1 /90
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Boca Juniors — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Boca Juniors before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. Blanco n 8	87.1	1.4 4/4	0.6 4/1	—
Miguel Merentiel n 8	63.3	0.7 4/0	0.2 1/0	—
M. Delgado n 8	84	2 7/4	0.9 6/1	—
S. Ascacibar n 8	77.8	0.7 3/2	1 5/2	—
L. Di Lollo n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0.4 3/0	—
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Boca Juniors — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Boca Juniors before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
L. Blanco n 8	87.1	2.7 6/5
Miguel Merentiel n 8	63.3	0.2 1/0
M. Delgado n 8	84	3.1 6/6
S. Ascacibar n 8	77.8	1.6 6/3
L. Di Lollo n 8	90	1.1 4/3
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Boca Juniors Attacking

Boca Juniors — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Miguel Merentiel	36	672407 min	130.5 /90	30.1 /90	572.1 /90	331.2 /90	381.4 /90	190.7 /90
L. Flores	18	791418 min	40.3 /90	30.2 /90	382.4 /90	120.8 /90	241.5 /90	493.1 /90
Sebastián Villa	16	53855 min	10.1 /90	50.5 /90	242.5 /90	80.8 /90	242.5 /90	222.3 /90
Angel Romero	14	44617 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	121.8 /90	60.9 /90	71 /90	30.4 /90
A. Bareiro	12	74890 min	40.4 /90	10.1 /90	202 /90	121.2 /90	70.7 /90	20.2 /90
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Boca Juniors — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Boca Juniors before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
L. Blanco n 8	87.1	0.3 1/1	0 0/0
Miguel Merentiel n 8	63.3	2.8 8/7	1.4 6/2
M. Delgado n 8	84	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
S. Ascacibar n 8	77.8	2.5 6/5	0.7 3/2
L. Di Lollo n 8	90	0.9 4/3	0.3 2/0
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Boca Juniors — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Boca Juniors before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
L. Blanco n 8	87.1	0 0/0	0.5 4/0
Miguel Merentiel n 8	63.3	0.7 4/0	0 0/0
M. Delgado n 8	84	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
S. Ascacibar n 8	77.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Di Lollo n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
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River Plate

River Plate Goalkeeper

River Plate — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
S. Beltran	39	893487 min	852.2 /90	270.7 /90	10 /90
F. Armani	2	68135 min	53.3 /90	21.3 /90	00 /90

River Plate — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for River Plate before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
S. Beltran n 8	90	2.1 5/5

River Plate Defensive

River Plate — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
L. Martinez Quarta	34	903075 min	692 /90	561.6 /90	140.4 /90	1915.6 /90	381.1 /90	100.3 /90
G. Montiel	30	852558 min	411.4 /90	291 /90	40.1 /90	1204.2 /90	160.6 /90	50.2 /90
L. Rivero	24	902152 min	351.5 /90	291.2 /90	140.6 /90	1225.1 /90	190.8 /90	80.3 /90
M. Acuna	23	741701 min	402.1 /90	160.8 /90	00 /90	945 /90	160.8 /90	80.4 /90
N. Otamendi	15	901356 min	211.4 /90	291.9 /90	50.3 /90	1057 /90	201.3 /90	20.1 /90
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River Plate — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for River Plate before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
S. Beltran n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
T. Galvan n 8	81.4	0.8 4/2	1.9 6/5	—
L. Martinez Quarta n 8	89.8	1.8 6/4	0.5 4/0	—
G. Montiel n 8	85.3	0.5 3/1	2 6/5	—
A. Moreno n 8	80.8	1.8 7/4	0.4 3/0	—
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River Plate — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for River Plate before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
T. Galvan n 8	81.4	2.2 7/4
L. Martinez Quarta n 8	89.8	2.5 7/6
G. Montiel n 8	85.3	2 8/5
A. Moreno n 8	80.8	3.5 7/7
F. Vera n 8	82.1	2.3 6/4
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River Plate Attacking

River Plate — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Freitas	23	621417 min	10.1 /90	20.1 /90	171.1 /90	60.4 /90	261.7 /90	181.1 /90
Sebastian Driussi	22	681505 min	80.5 /90	00 /90	402.4 /90	211.3 /90	191.1 /90	90.5 /90
M. Salas	12	55663 min	30.4 /90	00 /90	182.4 /90	81.1 /90	40.5 /90	50.7 /90
L. Beltrán	12	53632 min	00 /90	20.3 /90	91.3 /90	40.6 /90	101.4 /90	40.6 /90
Rafael Borré	7	49343 min	00 /90	00 /90	41 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90
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River Plate — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for River Plate before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
S. Beltran n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Galvan n 8	81.4	1.9 6/5	1.2 5/3
L. Martinez Quarta n 8	89.8	1 5/2	0 0/0
G. Montiel n 8	85.3	0.7 4/1	0.4 3/0
A. Moreno n 8	80.8	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
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River Plate — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for River Plate before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
S. Beltran n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Galvan n 8	81.4	0.6 3/1	0.3 2/0
L. Martinez Quarta n 8	89.8	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
G. Montiel n 8	85.3	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
A. Moreno n 8	80.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Boca Juniors v River Plate — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Boca JuniorsDLWWW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game

River PlateLWDWW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Boca Juniors 3 · 0 draws · River Plate 3 · 1.5 goals/game

2026-04-19 River Plate 0–1 Boca Juniors
2025-11-09 Boca Juniors 2–0 River Plate
2025-04-27 River Plate 2–1 Boca Juniors
2024-09-21 Boca Juniors 0–1 River Plate
2023-05-07 River Plate 1–0 Boca Juniors
2022-09-11 Boca Juniors 1–0 River Plate

League standing · 2026

Boca Juniors#3 pos27 pts14 pl+8 GD

River Plate#4 pos23 pts14 pl+6 GD

Goals per game

Boca Juniors scored1.57

River Plate scored1.36

Boca Juniors conceded1

River Plate conceded0.93

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Boca Juniors v River Plate?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Boca Juniors v River Plate is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Boca Juniors and River Plate?: In their last 6 meetings, Boca Juniors won 3, River Plate won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Boca Juniors and River Plate?: Recent form — Boca Juniors 3W 1D 1L; River Plate 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 29 Oct 2026, 03:03 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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