Gimnasia M. v Boca Juniors result

Full-time · Gimnasia M. 2–2 Boca Juniors

Liga Profesional Argentina · · Victor Legrotaglie

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Gimnasia M. · Boca Juniors

The model’s pre-match pick

Gimnasia M. 2–2 Boca Juniors — this Liga Profesional Argentina match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
Best price: 1.36 at William Hill
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67.3% of 1371 landed (95% range 64.8–69.8%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Gimnasia M. and Boca Juniors drew 2–2 at Victor Legrotaglie in Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday 5 September. Gimnasia M. are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Boca Juniors are unbeaten in their last 10 matches in all competitions.

The goals

Boca Juniors led 2–1 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Boca Juniors: A. Velasco (17’, assisted by T. Belmonte) and K. Zenon (38’, assisted by D. Gorosito); Gimnasia M.: I. Sabatini (19’, assisted by F. Antonini) and E. Fernández (90’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with E. Fernández’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Gimnasia M. 1.80, Boca Juniors 1.78, from 17 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

D. Herrera showed five yellow cards — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Gimnasia M.: L. Cingolani (37’); Boca Juniors: K. Zenon (6’), J. Figal (57’), C. Palacios (65’) and L. Blanco (70’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, E. Fernández (Gimnasia M.) 7.0, F. Lencioni (Gimnasia M.) 5.7 and T. Belmonte (Boca Juniors) 5.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Boca Juniors, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.3% of the time in the last 90 days (923 of 1371).

Next up

Gimnasia M. next host Platense on 23 October 2026.

Boca Juniors next travel to Vasco DA Gama on 21 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Gimnasia M.: Gimnasia M. v Platense, Friday 23 October — the preview. Next for Boca Juniors: Vasco DA Gama v Boca Juniors, Wednesday 21 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Gimnasia M. 2–2 Boca Juniors · Liga Profesional Argentina
  • Venue: Victor Legrotaglie · Mendoza
  • Referee: D. Herrera
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Gimnasia M. 0 · draws 1 · Boca Juniors 0 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Gimnasia M. 4W 0D 1L · Boca Juniors 2W 3D 0L

Gimnasia M. 2–2 Boca Juniors (Liga Profesional Argentina): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 19 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 1.5
Goals
against 0.75 / 0.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2
over 8 matches
4.25 / 6
Corners
against 4.75 / 3.67 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 6 matches
4.63 / 6
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 3.67 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 6 matches
2.63 / 1.33
Cards
against 1.5 / 3 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 6 matches
4.25 yellows
Referee · D. Herrera
1.63 home / 2.63 away
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 September 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameGimnasia M. for / againstLineBoca Juniors for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 0.75 against n 8
2our book
1.5 for · 0.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 4.75 against n 8
9.5standard
6 for · 3.67 against n 6
Shots
13.25 for · 12.63 against n 8
19.5standard
21.5 for · 9.5 against n 6
Shots on target
4.63 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
6 for · 3.67 against n 6
Fouls committed
13.63 for · 10.88 against n 8
21.5standard
9.5 for · 11.83 against n 6
Cards shown
2.63 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
1.33 for · 3 against n 6

Referee: D. Herrera — 4.25 yellow cards a game, 0.5 red cards, 23.38 fouls over 8 matches (1.63 to the home side, 2.63 to the away side).

Gimnasia M.
Gimnasia M. — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Barboza n 829.1
2.74/2
1.22/1
—
F. Antonini n 884.5
2.48/6
1.57/2
T. Belmonte
A. Módica n 875
2.36/3
1.35/3
—
L. Carrera n 848.6
2.14/2
0.21/0
—
T. O'Connor n 847.9
2.15/2
1.63/2
T. Belmonte
Gimnasia M. — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Lencioni n 889.9
2.57/6
14/3
A. Módica n 875
2.15/5
1.24/3
I. Sabatini n 844.9
25/3
0.83/0
U. Sánchez n 838
1.84/2
1.24/0
M. Vargas n 861.8
1.65/3
0.74/0
Gimnasia M. — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Módica n 875
1.24/3
00/0
E. Fernández n 862.3
0.21/0
0.52/1
M. Vargas n 861.8
0.21/0
0.42/0
F. Lencioni n 889.9
0.31/1
0.32/0
T. O'Connor n 847.9
00/0
0.52/0
Gimnasia M. — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Guiffrey n 876.4
3.78/6
J. Ceballos n 855.1
3.17/5
L. Paredes n 853.4
35/5
U. Sánchez n 838
36/2
L. Carrera n 848.6
2.85/2
Gimnasia M. — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Rigamonti n 892.8
3.88/8
Boca Juniors
Boca Juniors — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Belmonte n 862.6
2.78/5
2.35/4
T. O'Connor
D. Gorosito n 678
1.54/2
1.34/1
—
T. Aranda n 873.9
1.45/3
1.45/2
—
L. Flores n 873.1
1.47/1
2.56/5
—
M. Delgado n 879.9
1.35/4
27/5
—
Boca Juniors — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Velasco n 830.6
5.16/2
1.84/1
Angel Romero n 830
3.85/4
1.13/0
K. Zenon n 829.1
3.55/2
1.93/1
L. Flores n 873.1
3.18/7
0.83/1
S. Ascacibar n 889
2.78/5
15/2
Boca Juniors — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Sebastián Villa n 847.1
0.21/0
0.72/1
S. Ascacibar n 889
0.65/0
0.11/0
A. Velasco n 830.6
0.72/0
00/0
Miguel Merentiel n 871.5
0.32/0
0.21/0
M. Gimenez n 868.3
0.53/0
00/0
Boca Juniors — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Facundo Herrera n 349
3.12/1
D. Gorosito n 678
2.76/5
L. Paredes n 882.1
2.58/3
L. Di Lollo n 893.8
2.47/4
M. Delgado n 879.9
2.48/5
Boca Juniors — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Montero n 892.8
2.77/4

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Gimnasia M.Boca Juniors
59%Possession41%
1.80Expected goals (xG)1.78
17Shots12
7Shots on target6
8Shots off target3
2Blocked shots3
11Shots inside the box9
5Corners6
1Offsides1
6Fouls8
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
4Saves5
450Passes319
81%Pass accuracy73%

Gimnasia M. player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Muñoz9000000106.9
M. Recalde9000100105.9
F. Lencioni9000225008.2
E. Fernández9010111207.9
I. Sabatini9010420007.3
C. Rigamonti9000000007.2
D. Mondino8900000206.9
L. Cingolani81001120Y6.9
L. Paredes8000101106.3
F. Antonini8001002206.9
T. O'Connor2000200006.5
M. Vargas sub7000310006.3
N. Barboza sub1000000006.7
I. Cortez sub1000000207
V. Simoni sub900000006.3
B. Andrada sub10000000–

Boca Juniors player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Figal90000011Y6.6
C. Rey9000000206.6
E. Valencia9000000106.7
A. Montero9000000008.2
D. Gorosito9001001006.6
L. Flores9000333007.2
T. Belmonte7801101207.3
K. Zenon78103221Y7.3
Marco Pellegrino6800000006.2
Matias Satas6800001206.3
A. Velasco5910211106.9
C. Palacios sub31000002Y6.6
L. Blanco sub22000001Y6.2
Facundo Herrera sub2200000006.5
W. H. Alarcon Cepeda sub1200000106.7
L. Di Lollo sub1200000006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Gimnasia M. v Boca Juniors — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Gimnasia M.WLWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Boca JuniorsDWDWD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Gimnasia M. 0 · 1 draw · Boca Juniors 0 · 2 goals/game
  • 2026-02-28 Boca Juniors 1–1 Gimnasia M.
League standing · 2026
Gimnasia M.#6 pos20 pts13 pl+2 GD
Boca Juniors#2 pos24 pts13 pl+7 GD
Goals per game
Gimnasia M. scored1.15
Boca Juniors scored1.62
Gimnasia M. conceded1
Boca Juniors conceded1.08

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Gimnasia M. v Boca Juniors?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Gimnasia M. v Boca Juniors was Draw or Away (best price 1.36 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Gimnasia M. and Boca Juniors?
In their last 1 meetings, Gimnasia M. won 0, Boca Juniors won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Gimnasia M. and Boca Juniors?
Recent form — Gimnasia M. 4W 0D 1L; Boca Juniors 2W 3D 0L.

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