Independiente v San Lorenzo result

Full-time · Independiente 1–1 San Lorenzo

Liga Profesional Argentina · Sun, 13 Sep 2026 23:15 BST · Libertadores de America

Updated 27 Sep 2026, 04:31 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Independiente · San Lorenzo · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Independiente 1–1 San Lorenzo — this Liga Profesional Argentina match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.48 at Unibet

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.3% of 176 landed (95% range 44.9–59.5%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Independiente and San Lorenzo drew 1–1 at Libertadores de America in Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday 13 September. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Independiente out-shot San Lorenzo 16 to 8 and created the better chances, 0.95 xG to 0.43 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Independiente led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Independiente: Juan Miguel Arrayago (7’, assisted by Santiago Montiel); San Lorenzo: Facundo Farías (51’, assisted by D. Arboleda).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Facundo Farías’s goal on 51 minutes.

Discipline

Facundo Raul Tello Figueroa, Argentina showed three yellow cards — against 4.6 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Independiente: Iván Marcone (26’) and Santiago Montiel (65’); San Lorenzo: Ignacio Perruzzi (6’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Santiago Montiel (Independiente) 8.6, Manuel Insaurralde (San Lorenzo) 5.8 and Juan Miguel Arrayago (Independiente) 5.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Independiente next host Boca Juniors on 25 October 2026.

San Lorenzo next host Newells Old Boys on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Independiente: Independiente v Boca Juniors, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for San Lorenzo: San Lorenzo v Newells Old Boys, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Independiente 1–1 San Lorenzo · Liga Profesional Argentina
Venue: Libertadores de America · Buenos Aires
Referee: Facundo Raul Tello Figueroa, Argentina
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Independiente 2 · draws 4 · San Lorenzo 0 · 1.67 goals/game
Recent form: Independiente 2W 1D 2L · San Lorenzo 2W 1D 2L

Independiente 1–1 San Lorenzo (Liga Profesional Argentina): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 27 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.63 / 0.38

Goals

against 1.25 / 0.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2

over 8 matches

7.14 / 3.13

Corners

against 5 / 4.63 · 4 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

3.71 / 4

Shots on target

against 3.71 / 4.5 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.86 / 2.38

Cards

against 2 / 3.5 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

4.64 yellows

Referee · Facundo Raul Tello Figueroa, Argentina

2 home / 2.64 away

over 14 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 September 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Independiente for / against	Line	San Lorenzo for / against
Goals scored	0.63 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	2our book	0.38 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	7.14 for · 5 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	3.13 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.43 for · 13.43 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	12.38 for · 13.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.71 for · 3.71 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	4 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.29 for · 13.86 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	9.88 for · 16 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.86 for · 2 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2.38 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Facundo Raul Tello Figueroa, Argentina — 4.64 yellow cards a game, 0.07 red cards, 26.5 fouls over 14 matches (2 to the home side, 2.64 to the away side).

Home 2Away 2.64

Independiente

Independiente — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Palais n 4	56.5	2.4 3/3	2 4/1	—
Leonardo Godoy n 8	51.3	2 6/2	1.1 5/0	—
Facundo Zabala n 8	91	1.6 8/3	1 4/4	—
E. Ávila n 8	14.4	1.6 2/0	0.8 1/0	—
Maxi Meza n 8	29.1	1.5 3/1	1.5 4/0	Manuel Insaurralde

Independiente — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Felipe Tempone n 7	32	2.4 2/2	2 2/2
Lautaro Millán n 8	41.9	1.9 5/2	1.1 3/1
Gabriel Ávalos n 8	77.9	1.6 5/3	0.6 2/1
Maximiliano Gutiérrez n 8	57.8	1.6 5/3	0.6 3/0
E. Ávila n 8	14.4	1.6 1/1	0 0/0

Independiente — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Santiago Montiel n 8	85.8	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
Lautaro Millán n 8	41.9	0.5 1/1	0 0/0
Felipe Tempone n 7	32	0 0/0	0.4 1/0
Matías Abaldo n 8	44.4	0 0/0	0.3 1/0
Mateo Perez n 8	73.6	0 0/0	0.2 1/0

Independiente — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
D. Martínez n 8	49.9	3.6 7/5
Maxi Meza n 8	29.1	3.5 5/3
Facundo Zabala n 8	91	3 8/6
Lautaro Millán n 8	41.9	3 5/3
Santiago Arias n 8	63.1	2.9 6/5

Independiente — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Rodrigo Rey n 8	91.4	2.5 5/4

San Lorenzo

San Lorenzo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Ignacio Perruzzi n 8	56.9	2.2 6/2	3 5/3	—
G. del Prete n 8	47.3	1.9 5/3	2.9 6/3	—
Manuel Insaurralde n 8	78.5	1.4 5/2	1 6/1	Maxi Meza
J. Álvarez n 8	55.1	1.4 4/2	0.8 2/1	—
Nicolás Tripichio n 8	92.8	1.3 6/2	1.9 8/7	—

San Lorenzo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Rodrigo Auzmendi n 8	89.4	2.4 8/6	0.9 5/2
Alexis Cuello n 8	92.6	2.1 8/6	0.6 5/0
Agustin Ladstatter n 8	21.8	1.6 3/0	0.5 1/0
Matias Reali n 8	60.3	1.3 5/2	0.9 4/1
G. del Prete n 8	47.3	1.2 3/2	0.2 1/0

San Lorenzo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
G. del Prete n 8	47.3	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Rodrigo Auzmendi n 8	89.4	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Nahuel Barrios n 8	54.6	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
Facundo Gulli n 8	49	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
Alexis Cuello n 8	92.6	0.1 1/0	0 0/0

San Lorenzo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Manuel Insaurralde n 8	78.5	3.4 8/6
F. Lorenzón n 3	92	2.9 3/2
Nicolás Tripichio n 8	92.8	2.7 7/6
A. Cordoba n 4	95.5	2.6 4/4
Juan Rattalino n 8	42.8	2.6 5/2

San Lorenzo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Orlando Gill n 8	91.8	4.9 8/7
José Devecchi n 8	83.4	2.3 4/2

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Independiente		San Lorenzo
65%	Possession	35%
0.95	Expected goals (xG)	0.43
16	Shots	8
4	Shots on target	3
3	Shots off target	3
9	Blocked shots	2
7	Shots inside the box	3
7	Corners	5
7	Offsides	0
11	Fouls	14
2	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	3
413	Passes	218
85%	Pass accuracy	72%

Independiente player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Leonardo Godoy	78	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	7.3
Rodrigo Rey	78	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Facundo Zabala	78	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	6.9
Juan Fedorco	78	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Mateo Perez	78	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.7
E. Ávila	78	0	0	2	0	1	1	0	6.6
Santiago Montiel	78	0	1	3	3	4	0	Y	8.2
Iván Marcone	78	0	0	0	0	0	3	Y	7.5
Juan Miguel Arrayago	78	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	7.3
Maxi Meza	72	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	7
Matías Abaldo	72	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.9
Lautaro Millán sub	6	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	–
J. Palais sub	6	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	–

San Lorenzo player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
José Devecchi	78	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
D. Arboleda	78	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	7.3
Guzmán Corujo	78	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.9
E. Amor	78	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.2
Nicolás Tripichio	78	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.2
Manuel Insaurralde	78	0	0	0	0	1	5	0	6.9
Facundo Farías	78	1	0	2	2	0	0	0	7.6
Rodrigo Auzmendi	78	0	0	3	0	1	0	0	6.2
Alexis Cuello	72	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.6
Ignacio Perruzzi	45	0	0	0	0	0	3	Y	6.9
Teo Rodríguez Pagano	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Mathias de Ritis sub	33	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.9
Ezequiel Herrera sub	33	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.7
E. Salas sub	6	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Independiente v San Lorenzo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

IndependienteLWDLW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

San LorenzoLWDLW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 0.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Independiente 2 · 4 draws · San Lorenzo 0 · 1.67 goals/game

2026-05-02 San Lorenzo 1–2 Independiente
2025-09-21 Independiente 1–1 San Lorenzo
2025-03-08 San Lorenzo 1–2 Independiente
2024-08-03 Independiente 0–0 San Lorenzo
2023-04-01 San Lorenzo 0–0 Independiente
2022-06-04 San Lorenzo 1–1 Independiente

League standing · 2026

Independiente#7 pos19 pts13 pl-1 GD

San Lorenzo#9 pos17 pts13 pl-5 GD

Goals per game

Independiente scored0.92

San Lorenzo scored0.54

Independiente conceded1

San Lorenzo conceded0.92

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Independiente v San Lorenzo?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Independiente v San Lorenzo was Under 2.5 goals (best price 1.48 at Unibet).
What is the head-to-head record between Independiente and San Lorenzo?: In their last 6 meetings, Independiente won 2, San Lorenzo won 0 and there were 4 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Independiente and San Lorenzo?: Recent form — Independiente 2W 1D 2L; San Lorenzo 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 27 Sep 2026, 04:31 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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