Union Santa FeVelez Sarsfield

Union Santa Fe v Velez Sarsfield prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · · Estadio 15 de Abril

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Union Santa Fe · Velez Sarsfield · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Union Santa Fe v Velez Sarsfield, Liga Profesional Argentina on Fri, 06 Nov 2026 22:15 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 2.10 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.2% of 549 landed (95% range 63.2–71%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 543 of 844 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Union Santa Fe host Velez Sarsfield in Liga Profesional Argentina on Friday 6 November (kick-off 22:15 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Velez Sarsfield have scored 25 goals, the most of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 15 games).

Form and the table

10 of Union Santa Fe’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Union Santa Fe’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Union Santa Fe have four wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.57. Union Santa Fe have scored 22 goals, the seventh-most of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 15 games). Union Santa Fe have conceded 24 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 30 clubs.

Six of Velez Sarsfield’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in nine of Velez Sarsfield’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Velez Sarsfield have two wins, four draws and one defeat in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 1.14. Velez Sarsfield have conceded 15 goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 15 games).

Union Santa Fe are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Velez Sarsfield are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Union Santa Fe (10th) and Velez Sarsfield (third) are 10 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Velez Sarsfield the stronger side, 132 rating points above Union Santa Fe (Velez Sarsfield 1655, Union Santa Fe 1523, after at least 285 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Union Santa Fe are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Velez Sarsfield. The most recent meeting, on 27 April 2026, finished Velez Sarsfield 2–2 Union Santa Fe.

Team news

Predicted Union Santa Fe XI (4-4-2): M. Mansilla, J. Ludueña, L. Ayala, T. Rubio, M. Rocha, B. Cuello, J. Mosqueira, J. Palacios, M. Luna Diale, C. Tarragona, M. Estigarribia — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Mateo Del Blanco (4.8 per match over 18 appearances, two goals and two assists) and Cristian Tarragona (4.2 per match over 32 appearances, 15 goals and two assists) have been Union Santa Fe’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Union Santa Fe (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Mateo Del Blanco averages 1.3 tackles per 90 over 1614 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last 10 appearances. Cristian Tarragona averages 2.4 shots per 90 over 2851 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Velez Sarsfield XI (4-2-3-1): T. Marchiori, J. Garcia, T. Silvero, E. Gómez, L. Magallán, L. Robertone, R. Aliendro, M. Lanzini, M. Pellegrini, C. Baeza, R. Martinez — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, R. Martinez (6.8 per match over eight appearances, nine goals and one assist) and Jano Gordon (6.1 per match over three appearances, one goal) have been Velez Sarsfield’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Velez Sarsfield (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), R. Martinez averages 2.0 shots per 90 over 2373 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Liga Profesional Argentina · Estadio 15 de Abril
  • Referee: Andres Gariano
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Union Santa Fe 2 · draws 2 · Velez Sarsfield 2 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Union Santa Fe 1W 2D 2L · Velez Sarsfield 2W 2D 1L

Union Santa Fe v Velez Sarsfield (Liga Profesional Argentina): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.88
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4 / 5.13
Corners
against 4.75 / 4 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 5.38
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 4.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 1.75
Cards
against 3 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameUnion Santa Fe for / againstLineVelez Sarsfield for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5our book
1.88 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 4.75 against n 8
9.5standard
5.13 for · 4 against n 8
Shots
14.5 for · 14.88 against n 8
19.5standard
15.25 for · 11.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4.5 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
5.38 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.13 for · 10.75 against n 8
21.5standard
11 for · 11.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.75 for · 3 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 2.25 against n 8

Referee: Andres Gariano.

Union Santa Fe

Union Santa Fe Goalkeeper

Union Santa Fe — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Matías Mansilla33923035 min1043.1 /90401.2 /9000 /90
Union Santa Fe — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Union Santa Fe before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Matías Mansilla n 890.6
3.27/4

Union Santa Fe Defensive

Union Santa Fe — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Juan Pablo Ludueña32882823 min662.1 /90521.7 /90140.4 /901595.1 /90140.4 /9060.2 /90
Maizon Rodriguez23892036 min281.2 /90251.1 /90160.7 /901165.1 /90210.9 /9030.1 /90
Lautaro Vargas22861890 min422 /90221 /9050.2 /90864.1 /90140.7 /9080.4 /90
Mateo Del Blanco18891595 min221.2 /90231.3 /9050.3 /90975.5 /90171 /9040.2 /90
Lucas Ayala13841086 min262.2 /90181.5 /9070.6 /90514.2 /9090.7 /9030.2 /90
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Union Santa Fe — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Union Santa Fe before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Matías Mansilla n 890.6
00/0
0.22/0
—
Cristian Tarragona n 890.5
2.68/8
2.68/7
—
Juan Pablo Ludueña n 890.6
0.54/0
0.22/0
—
Julián Palacios n 870.1
1.36/2
1.64/4
—
Marcelo Estigarribia n 865.6
1.75/3
1.44/2
—
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Union Santa Fe — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Union Santa Fe before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Cristian Tarragona n 890.5
1.47/2
Juan Pablo Ludueña n 890.6
2.18/5
Julián Palacios n 870.1
2.46/4
Marcelo Estigarribia n 865.6
0.74/0
Brahian Cuello n 867.8
1.76/3
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Union Santa Fe Attacking

Union Santa Fe — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Cristian Tarragona32892851 min150.5 /9020.1 /90762.4 /90361.1 /90471.5 /90220.7 /90
Marcelo Estigarribia30742208 min60.2 /9030.1 /90692.8 /90281.1 /90210.9 /9070.3 /90
M. Aguirre1637586 min10.2 /9000 /90142.2 /9040.6 /9071.1 /9020.3 /90
Eric Ramírez826210 min31.3 /9000 /9062.6 /9041.7 /9020.9 /9031.3 /90
Agustín Colazo441165 min10.5 /9000 /9063.3 /9031.6 /9021.1 /9031.6 /90
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Union Santa Fe — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Union Santa Fe before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Matías Mansilla n 890.6
00/0
00/0
Cristian Tarragona n 890.5
3.17/6
0.95/2
Juan Pablo Ludueña n 890.6
0.42/1
0.11/0
Julián Palacios n 870.1
1.86/2
0.52/1
Marcelo Estigarribia n 865.6
2.45/3
15/1
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Union Santa Fe — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Union Santa Fe before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Matías Mansilla n 890.6
00/0
00/0
Cristian Tarragona n 890.5
0.53/1
0.11/0
Juan Pablo Ludueña n 890.6
0.11/0
00/0
Julián Palacios n 870.1
00/0
00/0
Marcelo Estigarribia n 865.6
0.32/0
0.21/0
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Velez Sarsfield

Velez Sarsfield Goalkeeper

Velez Sarsfield — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Montero17921560 min673.9 /90130.8 /9000 /90
T. Marchiori15921379 min503.3 /9090.6 /9010.1 /90
Velez Sarsfield — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Velez Sarsfield before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Montero n 892.1
4.28/6
T. Marchiori n 890
37/3

Velez Sarsfield Defensive

Velez Sarsfield — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Elías Gómez31912810 min511.6 /90361.2 /9050.2 /901565 /90301 /9080.3 /90
J. Garcia28892478 min582.1 /90311.1 /9090.3 /901043.8 /90210.8 /9040.1 /90
L. Magallán27872337 min371.4 /90180.7 /90120.5 /90983.8 /90150.6 /9030.1 /90
E. Mammana20881759 min271.4 /90160.8 /9080.4 /90633.2 /9080.4 /9010.1 /90
T. Silvero17921559 min301.7 /90271.6 /90150.9 /901025.9 /9080.5 /9040.2 /90
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Velez Sarsfield — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Velez Sarsfield before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Elías Gómez n 889.9
0.95/2
0.84/2
—
M. Lanzini n 878.3
0.95/1
2.46/5
—
J. Garcia n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
—
R. Aliendro n 889.4
1.47/3
1.35/3
—
L. Robertone n 884.3
2.87/5
1.56/5
—
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Velez Sarsfield — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Velez Sarsfield before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Elías Gómez n 889.9
1.87/5
M. Lanzini n 878.3
1.25/2
J. Garcia n 890
2.38/5
R. Aliendro n 889.4
3.17/6
L. Robertone n 884.3
3.38/7
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Velez Sarsfield Attacking

Velez Sarsfield — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
F. Monzon16771236 min60.4 /9000 /90302.2 /90171.2 /9070.5 /90110.8 /90
D. Godoy1654863 min00 /9030.3 /90181.9 /9080.8 /90131.4 /9030.3 /90
Thiago Aguirre1039392 min10.2 /9010.2 /9010.2 /9010.2 /9051.1 /9061.4 /90
R. Martinez886686 min91.2 /9010.1 /90253.3 /90162.1 /90111.4 /9020.3 /90
A. Veron843344 min00 /9000 /9041 /9041 /9010.3 /9061.6 /90
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Velez Sarsfield — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Velez Sarsfield before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Elías Gómez n 889.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
M. Lanzini n 878.3
2.37/5
0.42/1
J. Garcia n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
R. Aliendro n 889.4
15/2
0.11/0
L. Robertone n 884.3
1.76/5
0.75/0
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Velez Sarsfield — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Velez Sarsfield before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Elías Gómez n 889.9
00/0
0.11/0
M. Lanzini n 878.3
0.11/0
00/0
J. Garcia n 890
00/0
0.11/0
R. Aliendro n 889.4
00/0
00/0
L. Robertone n 884.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Union Santa Fe v Velez Sarsfield — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Union Santa FeLLDWD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Velez SarsfieldDLWWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Union Santa Fe 2 · 2 draws · Velez Sarsfield 2 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-04-27 Velez Sarsfield 2–2 Union Santa Fe
  • 2024-12-07 Union Santa Fe 1–0 Velez Sarsfield
  • 2023-07-24 Velez Sarsfield 0–0 Union Santa Fe
  • 2022-08-06 Union Santa Fe 2–1 Velez Sarsfield
  • 2021-09-06 Velez Sarsfield 4–0 Union Santa Fe
  • 2021-04-04 Velez Sarsfield 4–1 Union Santa Fe
League standing · 2026
Union Santa Fe#10 pos18 pts15 pl-2 GD
Velez Sarsfield#3 pos28 pts15 pl+10 GD
Goals per game
Union Santa Fe scored1.47
Velez Sarsfield scored1.67
Union Santa Fe conceded1.6
Velez Sarsfield conceded1

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Union Santa Fe v Velez Sarsfield?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Union Santa Fe v Velez Sarsfield is Over 2.5 goals (best price 2.10 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Union Santa Fe and Velez Sarsfield?
In their last 6 meetings, Union Santa Fe won 2, Velez Sarsfield won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Union Santa Fe and Velez Sarsfield?
Recent form — Union Santa Fe 1W 2D 2L; Velez Sarsfield 2W 2D 1L.

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