Auxerre v Lorient result

Full-time · Auxerre 1–0 Lorient

Ligue 1 · Sun, 17 Aug 2025 16:15 BST · Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Auxerre · Lorient · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Auxerre 1–0 Lorient — Auxerre won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick

Draw or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1431 landed (95% range 65.7–70.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated draw or away (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 852 of 1,314 times (64.8%), against an average rating of 69.7%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Lorient: 1.85 to 1.49 in expected goals, 0.76 of Auxerre’s from a penalty, from 14 shots to 7, ahead on xG from the 71st minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Auxerre beat Lorient 1–0 at Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps in Ligue 1 on Sunday 17 August. Auxerre have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Auxerre: Lassine Sinayoko (53’, assisted by Ibrahim Osman).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Lassine Sinayoko’s goal on 53 minutes.

Discipline

A. Kherradji showed five yellow cards — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Auxerre: M. Senaya (61’), E. Owusu (87’) and Fredrik Oppegård (90+2’); Lorient: Pablo Pagis (19’) and Igor Silva (45’).

What it changes

Auxerre are second (shared) after this result (one league match played). Auxerre have scored 30 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games, ranked per game). Auxerre have conceded 43 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Lorient are 13th (shared) after this result (one league match played). Lorient have scored 44 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games, ranked per game). Lorient have conceded 49 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Lassine Sinayoko (Auxerre) 7.6, Ibrahim Osman (Auxerre) 6.0 and D. Léon (Auxerre) 4.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Lorient, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (975 of 1431).

Next up

Auxerre next travel to Monaco on 21 November 2026.

Lorient next travel to Le Havre on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Auxerre: Monaco v Auxerre, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Lorient: Le Havre v Lorient, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Auxerre 1–0 Lorient · Ligue 1
Venue: Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps · Auxerre
Referee: A. Kherradji
Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Auxerre 2 · draws 2 · Lorient 2 · 2.33 goals/game
Recent form: Auxerre 1W 1D 3L · Lorient 3W 1D 1L

Auxerre 1–0 Lorient (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 2.88

Goals

against 1.5 / 0.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4 / 8

Corners

against 6.63 / 1.33 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 3 matches

3.5 / 7

Shots on target

against 5.38 / 3 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 3 matches

2.38 / 2

Cards

against 1.38 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 3 matches

182

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 May 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 17 May 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Auxerre for / against	Line	Lorient for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2.88 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4 for · 6.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	8 for · 1.33 against n 3 Last 5
Shots	10.5 for · 14.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	21.33 for · 6.67 against n 3 Last 5
Shots on target	3.5 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	7 for · 3 against n 3 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.38 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.33 for · 7.67 against n 3 Last 5
Cards shown	2.38 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 1 against n 3 Last 5

Referee: A. Kherradji.

The next free picks, by email

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Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Auxerre		Lorient
44%	Possession	56%
1.44	Expected goals (xG)	1.37
7	Shots	14
3	Shots on target	3
3	Shots off target	6
1	Blocked shots	5
4	Shots inside the box	11
4	Corners	4
0	Offsides	2
18	Fouls	14
3	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	2
361	Passes	465
81%	Pass accuracy	84%

Auxerre Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
D. Léon	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	7.3
M. Senaya	90	0	0	2	1	0	6	Y	7.3
G. Osho	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.3
F. Sierralta	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7
C. Akpa	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.9
E. Owusu	90	0	0	0	0	0	4	Y	7.2
K. Danois	90	0	0	1	0	0	3	0	6.7
G. Mensah	89	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.9
L. Sinayoko	88	1	0	1	1	2	2	0	8.5
J. Casimir	82	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	6
I. Osman	82	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	7.3
Thelonius Bair sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
F. Oppegård sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	3	Y	6.9
L. Coulibaly sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
R. Matondo sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7

Lorient Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
B. Kamara	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
F. Mendy	90	0	0	0	3	0	7
M. Talbi	90	2	0	1	3	0	7.3
Igor Silva	90	0	0	1	0	Y	6.2
A. Avom	90	0	0	1	2	0	7
L. Abergel	90	1	1	0	3	0	6.7
A. Tosin	90	3	0	1	0	0	6.2
K. Kouassi	75	0	0	1	0	0	6.6
P. Pagis	66	0	0	0	1	Y	6.5
J. Mvuka	65	0	0	0	2	0	6.5
M. Bamba	65	0	0	1	1	0	6.2
S. Soumano sub	25	2	2	0	0	0	6.9
P. Katseris sub	25	0	0	2	0	0	7
D. Karim sub	24	1	0	0	1	0	6.7
D. Yongwa sub	15	0	0	1	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Auxerre v Lorient — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

AuxerreLWLDL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

LorientWDWLW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Auxerre 2 · 2 draws · Lorient 2 · 2.33 goals/game

2023-02-26 Lorient 0–1 Auxerre
2022-09-16 Auxerre 1–3 Lorient
2019-12-13 Lorient 1–0 Auxerre
2019-04-29 Lorient 2–2 Auxerre
2018-12-03 Auxerre 0–0 Lorient
2018-02-17 Lorient 1–3 Auxerre

League standing · 2025/26

Auxerre#15 pos34 pts34 pl-10 GD

Lorient#9 pos45 pts34 pl-3 GD

Goals per game

Auxerre scored1

Lorient scored1.41

Auxerre conceded1.29

Lorient conceded1.5

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Auxerre 1.49 xG from 7 shots, Lorient 1.85 from 14. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Auxerre (attacking right)Lorient (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Auxerre	7	1	1.49
Lorient	14	0	1.85

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Auxerre 0.51, Lorient 0.57. At full time, Lorient led on xG, 1.85 to 1.49, 0.76 of Auxerre’s from a penalty. The widest gap was 0.87 xG to Auxerre, in the 68th minute (level on open-play xG).

xG timeline (cumulative)

Auxerre 1.49 xGLorient 1.85 xGdots = goals · 21 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Auxerre v Lorient?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Auxerre v Lorient was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Auxerre and Lorient?: In their last 6 meetings, Auxerre won 2, Lorient won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Auxerre and Lorient?: Recent form — Auxerre 1W 1D 3L; Lorient 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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