Estac TroyesLe Mans

Estac Troyes v Le Mans result

Full-time · Estac Troyes 2–0 Le Mans

Ligue 1 · · Stade de l'Aube

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Estac Troyes · Le Mans

The model’s pre-match pick

Estac Troyes 2–0 Le Mans — Estac Troyes won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.95 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 577 of 895 times (64.5%), against an average rating of 67.5%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Estac Troyes: 2.47 to 0.26 in expected goals, from 14 shots to 3, ahead on xG from the 25th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Estac Troyes have scored seven goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game).

Estac Troyes beat Le Mans 2–0 at Stade de l'Aube in Ligue 1 on Saturday 31 October.

The goals

Estac Troyes led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Estac Troyes: Mouhamed Diop (33’, assisted by Timothee Nkada) and I. Boura (71’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Mouhamed Diop’s goal on 33 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Estac Troyes: Michel Diaz (18’), P. Gozzi (52’) and I. Boura (69’); Le Mans: Raúl Torrente (47’), Nicolas Kocik (67’), Noa Boissé (74’) and Samuel Yohou (90+6’).

What it changes

Estac Troyes move up from 17th to 15th (nine league matches played). Estac Troyes have conceded 16 goals, the seventh-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game).

Le Mans move down from 16th to 17th (nine league matches played). Le Mans have scored 11 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). Le Mans have conceded 18 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs.

Le Mans are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Mouhamed Diop (Estac Troyes) 8.0, Dermane Karim (Estac Troyes) 6.6 and Lucas Buadés (Le Mans) 6.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Estac Troyes next host Le Havre on 21 November 2026.

Le Mans next host Monaco on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Estac Troyes: Estac Troyes v Le Havre, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Le Mans: Le Mans v Monaco, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Estac Troyes 2–0 Le Mans · Ligue 1
  • Venue: Stade de l'Aube · Troyes
  • Referee: Azzedine Souifi
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Estac Troyes 1 · draws 1 · Le Mans 1 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Estac Troyes 0W 1D 4L · Le Mans 1W 2D 2L

Estac Troyes 2–0 Le Mans (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.63 / 1.38
Goals
against 2 / 2 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.5 / 2.5
Corners
against 2.38 / 6 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 3.75
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 5.38 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 2.38
Cards
against 1.88 / 1.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameEstac Troyes for / againstLineLe Mans for / against
Goals scored
0.63 for · 2 against n 8
2.5our book
1.38 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
6.5 for · 2.38 against n 8
9.5standard
2.5 for · 6 against n 8
Shots
13.63 for · 11.75 against n 8
19.5standard
10.63 for · 16.13 against n 8
Shots on target
2.75 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
3.75 for · 5.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.63 for · 13.63 against n 8
21.5standard
14.5 for · 10.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: Azzedine Souifi.

Estac Troyes

Estac Troyes Goalkeeper

Estac Troyes — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
P. Beach790630 min172.4 /90142 /9000 /90
H. Konaté19090 min33 /9000 /9000 /90
Estac Troyes — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estac Troyes before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Beach n 790
2.43/3
H. Konaté n 890
2.46/4

Estac Troyes Defensive

Estac Troyes — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Monfray890720 min212.6 /90141.8 /9030.4 /90435.4 /9020.3 /9000 /90
M. Diaz890720 min111.4 /90121.5 /9030.4 /90243 /90121.5 /9040.5 /90
L. Maronnier771497 min122.2 /9071.3 /9040.7 /90285.1 /9071.3 /9010.2 /90
A. Ouzenadji590450 min122.4 /9061.2 /9020.4 /90306 /9051 /9000 /90
Noah Donkor443173 min00 /9021 /9021 /9031.6 /9052.6 /9000 /90
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Estac Troyes — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estac Troyes before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Diaz n 890
1.56/3
0.53/1
—
A. Monfray n 890
0.32/0
0.84/1
—
M. Diop n 882.3
16/1
1.44/3
A. Lauray
A. Mille n 877.9
2.36/4
0.74/1
A. Lauray
P. Beach n 790
0.11/0
0.11/0
—
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Estac Troyes — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estac Troyes before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Monfray n 890
2.67/6
M. Diaz n 890
1.47/4
M. Diop n 882.3
1.96/5
A. Mille n 877.9
3.57/5
L. Maronnier n 873.4
2.17/5
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Estac Troyes Attacking

Estac Troyes — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Ripart765457 min10.2 /9000 /90122.4 /9051 /9030.6 /9000 /90
K. Diawara746323 min00 /9010.3 /9010.3 /9000 /9030.8 /9072 /90
M. Ifnaoui583416 min00 /9000 /9020.4 /9000 /90102.2 /9040.9 /90
J. Le Douaron558291 min10.3 /9000 /90103.1 /9030.9 /9041.2 /9020.6 /90
Timothee Nkada547235 min10.4 /9000 /90103.8 /9031.1 /9041.5 /9010.4 /90
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Estac Troyes — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estac Troyes before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Monfray n 890
0.63/2
0.11/0
M. Diaz n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
M. Diop n 882.3
1.14/2
00/0
A. Mille n 877.9
1.36/3
0.43/0
P. Beach n 790
00/0
00/0
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Estac Troyes — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estac Troyes before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Monfray n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Diaz n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Diop n 882.3
00/0
00/0
A. Mille n 877.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
P. Beach n 790
00/0
00/0
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Le Mans

Le Mans Goalkeeper

Le Mans — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Kocik689531 min223.7 /9081.4 /9000 /90
E. Hatfout290180 min52.5 /9031.5 /9000 /90
Le Mans — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Mans before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Kocik n 888.9
35/4
E. Hatfout n 790.7
2.45/3

Le Mans Defensive

Le Mans — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
H. Voyer688527 min61 /9081.4 /9030.5 /90162.7 /9050.9 /9010.2 /90
S. Yohou678466 min81.5 /9091.7 /9051 /90173.3 /9081.5 /9010.2 /90
N. Boissé674442 min173.5 /9051 /9020.4 /90255.1 /9061.2 /9020.4 /90
D. Sidibé470278 min51.6 /9010.3 /9000 /90185.8 /9051.6 /9020.6 /90
T. Eyoum290180 min21 /9021 /9021 /9042 /9021 /9000 /90
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Le Mans — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Mans before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Mafouta n 884.4
1.25/3
0.85/1
—
D. Guèye n 853.8
1.95/3
0.63/0
—
Lucas Bretelle n 873.6
1.77/2
2.15/4
—
L. Calodat n 868.5
0.32/0
14/2
—
A. Lauray n 863
2.17/4
0.53/0
A. Mille
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Le Mans — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Mans before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Mafouta n 884.4
0.32/0
D. Guèye n 853.8
14/1
Lucas Bretelle n 873.6
2.66/4
L. Calodat n 868.5
1.86/3
A. Lauray n 863
3.27/5
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Le Mans Attacking

Le Mans — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Mafouta884675 min40.5 /9010.1 /90172.3 /90111.5 /9040.5 /9020.3 /90
D. Guèye854430 min10.2 /9000 /90102.1 /9020.4 /9020.4 /9010.2 /90
A. Rabillard644263 min00 /9000 /9020.7 /9000 /9020.7 /9041.4 /90
H. Diallo642250 min10.4 /9000 /9041.4 /9020.7 /9010.4 /9031.1 /90
B. Brahimi42391 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9044 /9022 /90
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Le Mans — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Mans before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Mafouta n 884.4
2.38/6
1.56/4
D. Guèye n 853.8
2.16/4
0.42/0
Lucas Bretelle n 873.6
0.21/0
00/0
L. Calodat n 868.5
0.73/1
0.73/1
A. Lauray n 863
0.72/2
0.42/0
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Le Mans — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Mans before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Mafouta n 884.4
0.53/1
0.11/0
D. Guèye n 853.8
0.21/0
00/0
Lucas Bretelle n 873.6
00/0
0.21/0
L. Calodat n 868.5
0.21/0
0.32/0
A. Lauray n 863
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Estac TroyesLe Mans
39%Possession61%
2.06Expected goals (xG)0.22
14Shots3
8Shots on target1
4Shots off target1
2Blocked shots1
12Shots inside the box2
4Corners2
2Offsides1
15Fouls16
3Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
1Saves5
363Passes581

Estac Troyes Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
H. Konaté9000000006.6
L. Maronnier9000000306.9
A. Monfray9000211307.4
M. Diaz90000001Y6.5
A. Mille9000102406.6
D. Karim9000001607.1
M. Ifnaoui8900101406.4
M. Diop7910322108.2
R. Ripart7900110106.3
P. Gozzi66000000Y6.1
K. Diawara4500221207
Timothee Nkada4501101007.1
I. Boura24102200Y6.8
J. Le Douaron1100100006.2
I. Gomis1100000006.6
Hugo Picard100000006.7

Le Mans Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Kocik90000000Y7.3
N. Boissé90000001Y5.9
S. Yohou90001010Y6.5
Raúl Torrente90001004Y6.4
L. Buadés9000000306.4
Lucas Bretelle9000000106.8
L. Calodat7400111106.6
L. Mafouta7400000006.6
A. Lauray6000000206.1
B. Brahimi4500001106.4
D. Guèye4500000106.2
A. Rabillard4500000106
H. Diallo4500000106.1
J. Vercruysse3000000005.8
W. Harhouz1600000006.2
Y. Larouci1600000006

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Estac Troyes v Le Mans — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Estac TroyesLLLLD
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Le MansDWLLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Estac Troyes 1 · 1 draw · Le Mans 1 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-01-31 Estac Troyes 0–2 Le Mans
  • 2025-10-03 Le Mans 2–2 Estac Troyes
  • 2019-10-18 Estac Troyes 2–1 Le Mans
League standing · 2026/27
Estac Troyes#16 pos8 pts10 pl-10 GD
Le Mans#17 pos7 pts9 pl-7 GD
Goals per game
Estac Troyes scored0.7
Le Mans scored1.22
Estac Troyes conceded1.7
Le Mans conceded2

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Estac Troyes 2.47 xG from 14 shots, Le Mans 0.26 from 3. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Ismael Boura 70' · 0.56 xGKandet Diawara 70' · 0.26 xGRaúl Torrente 52' · 0.13 xGMouhamed Diop 72' · 0.11 xGAdrien Monfray 70' · 0.09 xGJeremy Le Douaron 87' · 0.09 xGKandet Diawara 77' · 0.09 xGMerwan Ifnaoui 27' · 0.08 xGMouhamed Diop 70' · 0.08 xGLucas Calodat 72' · 0.07 xGSamuel Yohou 37' · 0.06 xGAntoine Mille 25' · 0.05 xGTimothee Nkada 46' · 0.04 xGRenaud Ripart 72' · 0.02 xGAdrien Monfray 47' · 0.01 xGIsmael Boura 70' · 0.91 xG · goalMouhamed Diop 32' · 0.09 xG · goal
Estac Troyes (attacking right)Le Mans (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Estac Troyes1422.47
Le Mans300.26

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Estac Troyes 0.22, Le Mans 0.06. At full time, Estac Troyes led on xG, 2.47 to 0.26. The widest gap was 2.21 xG to Estac Troyes, in the 87th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.51.200′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Estac Troyes 32 minGoal - Estac Troyes 70 min
Estac Troyes 2.47 xGLe Mans 0.26 xGdots = goals · 17 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Estac Troyes v Le Mans?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Estac Troyes v Le Mans was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.95 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Estac Troyes and Le Mans?
In their last 3 meetings, Estac Troyes won 1, Le Mans won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Estac Troyes and Le Mans?
Recent form — Estac Troyes 0W 1D 4L; Le Mans 1W 2D 2L.

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