Estac Troyes v Strasbourg result

Full-time · Estac Troyes 2–6 Strasbourg

Ligue 1 · Sun, 06 Sep 2026 14:00 BST · Stade de l'Aube

Updated 20 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Estac Troyes · Strasbourg · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Estac Troyes 2–6 Strasbourg — Strasbourg won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick

Home or Draw

Best price: 1.65 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.3% of 1490 landed (95% range 73–77.4%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Strasbourg: 3.87 to 2.65 in expected goals, from 19 shots to 27, ahead on xG from the 40th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Strasbourg won 6–2 at Stade de l'Aube in Ligue 1 on Sunday 6 September. It is Strasbourg’s first win over Estac Troyes since 11 February 2018, after four meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

Strasbourg led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Estac Troyes: Antoine Mille (9’, assisted by Anis Ouzenadji) and Jérémy Le Douaron (90’, assisted by Kandet Diawara); Strasbourg: J. Ortega (40’, assisted by Gessime Yassine), Diogo Sousa (42’), Giovanni Reyna (57’, assisted by J. Ortega), Samuel Amo-Ameyaw (85’, assisted by Dário Essugo; 88’) and C. Harder (90’, assisted by Diogo Sousa).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s eight key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Diogo Sousa’s goal on 42 minutes.

Discipline

Guillaume Paradis, France showed two yellow cards — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Estac Troyes: Michel Diaz (37’); Strasbourg: Pape Diop (45+2’).

What it changes

Estac Troyes move down from second to ninth (three league matches played).

Strasbourg move up from sixth to fourth (three league matches played).

Strasbourg’s four-goal margin was the biggest of round 3, across nine matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Antoine Mille (Estac Troyes) 11.2, Diogo Sousa (Strasbourg) 10.1 and Gessime Yassine (Strasbourg) 9.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Estac Troyes or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 75.3% of the time in the last 90 days (1122 of 1490).

Next up

Estac Troyes next travel to Toulouse on 24 October 2026.

Strasbourg next travel to Rennes on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Estac Troyes: Toulouse v Estac Troyes, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Strasbourg: Rennes v Strasbourg, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Estac Troyes 2–6 Strasbourg · Ligue 1
Venue: Stade de l'Aube · Troyes
Referee: Guillaume Paradis, France
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Estac Troyes 2 · draws 3 · Strasbourg 1 · 2.83 goals/game
Recent form: Estac Troyes 3W 1D 1L · Strasbourg 3W 1D 1L

Estac Troyes 2–6 Strasbourg (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 20 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 1.38

Goals

against 0.75 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

6 / 3.88

Corners

against 3.38 / 4.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.5 / 4.25

Shots on target

against 3.38 / 6.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.88 / 2.13

Cards

against 1.25 / 2.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

3.8 yellows

Referee · Guillaume Paradis, France

2 home / 1.8 away

over 5 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 29 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 29 August 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Estac Troyes for / against	Line	Strasbourg for / against
Goals scored	1.63 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.88 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.75 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	10.75 for · 18.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.5 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.25 for · 6.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.13 for · 13.13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.13 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.88 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.13 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Guillaume Paradis, France — 3.8 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 25.4 fouls over 5 matches (2 to the home side, 1.8 to the away side).

Home 2Away 1.8

Estac Troyes

Estac Troyes — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. El Idrissy n 8	7.4	3.1 1/1	1.5 1/0	—
M. Adeline n 8	82.8	2.3 7/5	1 4/3	—
Noah Donkor n 7	31.7	2 3/1	0.8 2/0	—
A. Mille n 8	77.9	1.9 6/5	1.9 5/4	Diogo Sousa
M. Detourbet n 8	36.1	1.9 3/2	1.2 3/1	—

Estac Troyes — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. El Idrissy n 8	7.4	3.1 2/0	1.5 1/0
T. Bentayeb n 8	57.3	2.9 6/6	1.4 5/2
R. Ripart n 8	47.3	2.9 6/3	1.4 5/1
E. Odede n 8	27.9	2.4 3/2	0.8 1/1
M. Detourbet n 8	36.1	2.2 4/2	1.6 4/1

Estac Troyes — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. El Idrissy n 8	7.4	1.5 1/0	1.5 1/0
M. Adeline n 8	82.8	0.5 4/0	0.4 3/0
T. Bentayeb n 8	57.3	0.6 3/0	0.2 1/0
Y. Titi n 8	54.6	0 0/0	0.6 3/0
M. Detourbet n 8	36.1	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0

Estac Troyes — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
E. Odede n 8	27.9	3.6 5/2
A. Ouzenadji n 8	53.3	3.2 5/4
M. Diaz n 8	78.3	2.2 7/4
I. Gomis n 8	43.5	2.1 6/2
A. Mille n 8	77.9	1.9 6/4

Estac Troyes — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
P. Beach n 8	98.3	3 6/4

Strasbourg

Strasbourg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Yaya Diémé n 3	51.7	2.3 3/1	0.6 1/0	—
Diogo Sousa n 8	51	2 5/3	0.2 1/0	A. Mille
Gessime Yassine n 8	50.8	2 6/3	3.1 7/3	—
Diego Moreira n 8	56.8	1.8 6/2	0.6 2/1	—
M. Oyedele n 8	53.4	1.5 5/2	1.1 3/2	—

Strasbourg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Enciso n 8	80.9	1.9 7/4	0.6 3/1
Gessime Yassine n 8	50.8	1.8 5/2	0.9 3/1
S. Amo-Ameyaw n 8	52.1	1.5 4/2	1.1 3/2
M. Godo n 8	72.1	1.4 4/4	0.5 2/1
V. Barco n 8	55.6	1.4 4/2	0.6 2/1

Strasbourg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Sebastian Nanasi n 8	66.8	0.5 2/1	0.5 2/1
J. Enciso n 8	80.9	0.1 1/0	0.6 4/0
Gessime Yassine n 8	50.8	0.7 2/1	0 0/0
Diego Moreira n 8	56.8	0.2 1/0	0.4 1/1
V. Barco n 8	55.6	0.4 2/0	0 0/0

Strasbourg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Amougou n 8	42.4	3.5 5/3
S. El Mourabet n 8	28.8	3.5 4/3
P. Diop n 8	51.9	3 6/4
Rafael LuÃs n 8	45.4	2.5 7/2
Diego Moreira n 8	56.8	2.4 5/3

Strasbourg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
F. Jörgensen n 8	76.1	3 6/4

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Estac Troyes		Strasbourg
45%	Possession	55%
2.94	Expected goals (xG)	2.95
27	Shots	19
6	Shots on target	12
10	Shots off target	3
11	Blocked shots	4
18	Shots inside the box	16
11	Corners	0
3	Offsides	1
6	Fouls	16
1	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
6	Saves	4
376	Passes	517
80%	Pass accuracy	87%

Estac Troyes player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
P. Beach	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
A. Ouzenadji	90	0	1	1	0	4	2	0	6.2
A. Monfray	90	0	0	2	1	1	3	0	5.9
A. Mille	90	1	0	1	1	3	4	0	8.7
M. Diop	90	0	0	3	0	1	1	0	5.9
M. Diaz	90	0	0	1	1	0	1	Y	5.3
L. Maronnier	84	0	0	2	0	3	3	0	7.7
D. Karim	84	0	0	1	1	1	3	0	7.5
R. Ripart	70	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.3
Hugo Picard	56	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	6.7
M. Ifnaoui	56	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.7
J. Le Douaron sub	34	1	0	2	1	0	0	0	6.9
K. Diawara sub	34	0	1	1	0	2	0	0	8.2
Timothee Nkada sub	20	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	6.5
I. Gomis sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Yacouba Kone sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7

Strasbourg player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Diogo Sousa	90	1	1	3	3	2	1	0	7.6
Oso	90	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	7.2
J. Mitchell	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	7.7
P. Diop	90	0	0	0	0	2	3	Y	6.7
G. Antwi	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.5
F. Jörgensen	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.3
Gessime Yassine	79	0	1	2	1	3	4	0	8
J. Ortega	71	1	1	2	2	1	0	0	7.7
I. Doukouré	70	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
G. Reyna	63	1	0	3	2	2	0	0	7.3
Sebastian Nanasi	63	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	7.2
S. Amo-Ameyaw sub	27	2	0	3	3	1	0	0	8.9
Dário Essugo sub	27	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	7.2
Abdoul Karim Coulibaly sub	20	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
C. Harder sub	19	1	0	2	1	0	1	0	7.9
L. Høgsberg sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Estac Troyes v Strasbourg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Estac TroyesWWLDW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 0.4 conceded per game

StrasbourgDWWLW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Estac Troyes 2 · 3 draws · Strasbourg 1 · 2.83 goals/game

2023-05-21 Estac Troyes 1–1 Strasbourg
2023-01-02 Strasbourg 2–3 Estac Troyes
2022-04-17 Estac Troyes 1–1 Strasbourg
2021-08-22 Strasbourg 1–1 Estac Troyes
2018-02-11 Strasbourg 2–1 Estac Troyes
2017-11-04 Estac Troyes 3–0 Strasbourg

League standing · 2026/27

Estac Troyes#17 pos4 pts7 pl-11 GD

Strasbourg#12 pos7 pts7 pl-3 GD

Goals per game

Estac Troyes scored0.71

Strasbourg scored1.71

Estac Troyes conceded2.29

Strasbourg conceded2.14

Shot map and expected goals

Estac Troyes 2.65 xG from 27 shots, Strasbourg 3.87 from 19. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Estac Troyes (attacking right)Strasbourg (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Estac Troyes	27	2	2.65
Strasbourg	19	6	3.87

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Estac Troyes v Strasbourg?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Estac Troyes v Strasbourg was Home or Draw (best price 1.65 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Estac Troyes and Strasbourg?: In their last 6 meetings, Estac Troyes won 2, Strasbourg won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Estac Troyes and Strasbourg?: Recent form — Estac Troyes 3W 1D 1L; Strasbourg 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 20 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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