Le HavreLens

Le Havre v Lens result

Full-time · Le Havre 1–2 Lens

Ligue 1 · · Stade Océane

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Le Havre · Lens · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Le Havre 1–2 Lens — Lens won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,943 of 2,598 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Le Havre: 2.29 to 1.29 in expected goals, 0.76 of Lens’s from a penalty, from 18 shots to 6, ahead on xG from the second minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Lens won 2–1 at Stade Océane in Ligue 1 on Sunday 24 August. Le Havre have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Lens led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Lens: W. Saïd (9’ pen) and Rayan Fofana (40’, assisted by W. Saïd); Le Havre: Fodé Doucouré (45’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with W. Saïd’s goal on 9 minutes.

Discipline

G. Paradis showed four yellow cards — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Le Havre: Yanis Zouaoui (7’), Mbwana Samatta (25’) and Arouna Sangante (47’); Lens: Adrien Thomasson (60’).

What it changes

Le Havre move up from 18th to 16th (two league matches played). Le Havre have scored 30 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games, ranked per game). Le Havre have conceded 43 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Lens move up from 17th to ninth (two league matches played). Lens have scored 61 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 31 games, ranked per game). Lens have conceded 33 goals, the third-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Lens recorded the only away win among the nine finished matches of round 2.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, W. Saïd (Lens) 7.8, Fodé Doucouré (Le Havre) 7.3 and Matthieu Udol (Lens) 6.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Le Havre or Lens (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Le Havre next host Lorient on 8 November 2026.

Lens next host Marseille on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Le Havre: Le Havre v Lorient, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Lens: Lens v Marseille, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Le Havre 1–2 Lens · Ligue 1
  • Venue: Stade Océane · Le Havre
  • Referee: G. Paradis
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Le Havre 2 · draws 3 · Lens 1 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Le Havre 2W 1D 2L · Lens 2W 1D 2L

Le Havre 1–2 Lens (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.38
Goals
against 2.13 / 1.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 6.13
Corners
against 4.88 / 4.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.5 / 6
Shots on target
against 5.38 / 4.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1 / 2.5
Cards
against 1.63 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.09 yellows
Referee · G. Paradis
23.73 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 16 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLe Havre for / againstLineLens for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 2.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
3.75 for · 4.88 against n 8
9.5standard
6.13 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
10.25 for · 13.38 against n 8
19.5standard
17.88 for · 10.63 against n 8
Shots on target
3.5 for · 5.38 against n 8
8.5standard
6 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.13 for · 11.5 against n 8
21.5standard
12.13 for · 13.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2.5 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: G. Paradis — 4.09 yellow cards a game, 0.18 red cards, 23.73 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Le Havre

Le Havre Goalkeeper

Le Havre — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Diaw19090 min11 /9033 /9000 /90

Le Havre Defensive

Le Havre — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Seko19090 min00 /9011 /9011 /9011 /9000 /9000 /90
G. Lloris19090 min00 /9044 /9000 /9055 /9022 /9011 /90
Y. Zouaoui19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /9066 /9000 /9000 /90
A. Sangante17878 min00 /9011.2 /9000 /9022.3 /9033.5 /9000 /90
F. Doucouré13232 min12.8 /9000 /9000 /9012.8 /9012.8 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Le Havre — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Havre before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Y. Kechta n 875.5
1.86/4
1.36/2
W. Saïd
G. Lloris n 887.5
1.36/3
00/0
M. Sarr
I. Soumaré n 880.6
15/2
3.18/5
W. Saïd
Y. Zouaoui n 857.8
0.63/0
1.24/2
M. Sarr
R. Ndiaye n 846
0.73/0
0.21/0
W. Saïd
See more players · Pro
Le Havre — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Havre before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Y. Zouaoui n 857.8
2.37/4
Y. Kechta n 875.5
2.16/5
G. Lloris n 887.5
1.95/4
I. Soumaré n 880.6
1.56/4
R. Ndiaye n 846
2.75/3
See more players · Pro

Le Havre Attacking

Le Havre — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
I. Soumaré19090 min00 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Samatta13232 min00 /9000 /9025.6 /9012.8 /9000 /9000 /90
Y. Kechta19090 min00 /9011 /9000 /9000 /9022 /9011 /90
R. Ndiaye17979 min11.1 /9000 /9011.1 /9011.1 /9000 /9000 /90
A. Seko19090 min00 /9000 /9011 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Le Havre — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Havre before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
I. Soumaré n 880.6
1.86/4
0.85/1
Y. Zouaoui n 857.8
0.83/1
0.42/0
Y. Kechta n 875.5
0.73/2
0.11/0
G. Lloris n 887.5
00/0
00/0
R. Ndiaye n 846
0.52/0
0.21/0
See more players · Pro
Le Havre — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Havre before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Soumaré n 880.6
0.32/0
0.11/0
Y. Kechta n 875.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
G. Lloris n 887.5
00/0
00/0
Y. Zouaoui n 857.8
00/0
00/0
R. Ndiaye n 846
0.21/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Lens

Lens Goalkeeper

Lens — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Risser19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /90

Lens Defensive

Lens — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Sarr19090 min22 /9044 /9011 /9066 /9011 /9011 /90
M. Udol19090 min11 /9022 /9000 /9033 /9000 /9000 /90
S. Baidoo19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /9044 /9044 /9011 /90
A. Thomasson19090 min11 /9033 /9000 /9044 /9000 /9000 /90
Andy Diouf19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /9055 /9000 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Lens — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Guilavogui n 829.5
2.75/1
1.52/2
—
Andy Diouf n 878.6
1.65/4
1.15/2
—
A. Thomasson n 888.3
1.46/4
1.97/4
—
M. Sarr n 879.4
1.16/2
15/2
Y. Zouaoui
W. Saïd n 861.6
2.25/5
0.41/1
R. Ndiaye
See more players · Pro
Lens — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Guilavogui n 829.5
3.45/3
A. Thomasson n 888.3
2.48/5
M. Sarr n 879.4
1.76/4
Andy Diouf n 878.6
16/1
W. Saïd n 861.6
1.65/3
See more players · Pro

Lens Attacking

Lens — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Guilavogui19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011 /9011 /90
W. Saïd18686 min00 /9000 /9044.2 /9022.1 /9011 /9011 /90
R. Fofana15757 min00 /9000 /9011.6 /9000 /9000 /9011.6 /90
F. Thauvin13333 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9012.7 /9025.5 /90
A. Thomasson19090 min00 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9044 /9011 /90
See more players · Pro
Lens — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Guilavogui n 829.5
1.12/1
00/0
A. Thomasson n 888.3
16/2
0.95/2
Andy Diouf n 878.6
14/2
0.43/0
M. Sarr n 879.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
W. Saïd n 861.6
25/3
0.93/2
See more players · Pro
Lens — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Thomasson n 888.3
0.11/0
0.53/1
Andy Diouf n 878.6
00/0
0.11/0
M. Sarr n 879.4
00/0
00/0
M. Guilavogui n 829.5
00/0
00/0
W. Saïd n 861.6
0.21/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Le HavreLens
57%Possession43%
1.89Expected goals (xG)1.07
18Shots6
6Shots on target3
7Shots off target2
5Blocked shots1
11Shots inside the box4
7Corners0
2Offsides0
17Fouls16
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Saves5
526Passes407
83%Pass accuracy86%

Le Havre Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Diaw9000001006.3
L. Négo9000211207
G. Lloris9000000307.3
Y. Zouaoui90001130Y6.3
A. Seko9000100106.2
I. Soumaré9000311006.7
A. Sangante84000012Y6.9
Y. Kechta8400001306.3
M. Samatta73003110Y6.3
F. Doucouré6310323208.6
R. Ndiaye6300000006.3
Y. Namli sub2700000107
A. Touré sub2700000006.3
F. Mambimbi sub1700000006.2
G. Kyeremeh sub1500000006.3
S. Ebonog sub1500000006.5

Lens Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Risser9000000007.5
J. Gradit9000000307.5
M. Sarr9000000007
M. Udol9000000306.9
R. Aguilar9000002307.9
A. Thomasson90000000Y6.9
D. Machado9000000006.2
W. Saïd8911321007.5
F. Thauvin7300000006.6
R. Fofana7310210007.7
F. Sylla5900000507.2
M. Sangaré sub3100002106.6
M. Guilavogui sub1700000206.9
F. Sotoca sub1700000006.7
A. Bulatović sub1000000206.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Le Havre v Lens — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Le HavreDWLWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 2 conceded per game
LensLWDWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Le Havre 2 · 3 draws · Lens 1 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2025-03-01 Lens 3–4 Le Havre
  • 2025-01-12 Le Havre 1–2 Lens
  • 2024-04-06 Lens 1–1 Le Havre
  • 2023-10-20 Le Havre 0–0 Lens
  • 2020-01-31 Le Havre 0–0 Lens
  • 2019-08-17 Lens 1–3 Le Havre
League standing · 2025/26
Le Havre#14 pos35 pts34 pl-12 GD
Lens#2 pos70 pts34 pl+31 GD
Goals per game
Le Havre scored0.94
Lens scored1.94
Le Havre conceded1.29
Lens conceded1.03

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Le Havre 2.29 xG from 18 shots, Lens 1.29 from 6. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Issa Soumaré 2' · 0.74 xGIssa Soumaré 42' · 0.38 xGIssa Soumaré 2' · 0.28 xGMbwana Samatta 37' · 0.25 xGMbwana Samatta 10' · 0.11 xGWesley Said 49' · 0.10 xGRayan Fofana 48' · 0.09 xGIssa Soumaré 89' · 0.08 xGMbwana Samatta 24' · 0.06 xGFodé Doucouré 10' · 0.06 xGFodé Doucouré 2' · 0.05 xGMbwana Samatta 46' · 0.05 xGRassoul Ndiaye 42' · 0.05 xGYanis Zouaoui 96' · 0.05 xGAbdoulaye Touré 97' · 0.03 xGAdrien Thomasson 63' · 0.03 xGWesley Said 79' · 0.03 xGAyumu Seko 22' · 0.02 xGLoïc Négo 97' · 0.02 xGFodé Doucouré 13' · 0.01 xGLoïc Négo 46' · 0.01 xGWesley Said 8' · 0.76 xG · goalRayan Fofana 39' · 0.28 xG · goalFodé Doucouré 47' · 0.05 xG · goal
Le Havre (attacking right)Lens (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Le Havre1812.29
Lens621.29

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Le Havre led on xG, 2.01 to 1.04, 0.76 of Lens’s from a penalty. At full time, Le Havre led on xG, 2.29 to 1.29, 0.76 of Lens’s from a penalty. The widest gap was 1.08 xG to Le Havre, in the second minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.31.100′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Lens 8 minGoal - Lens 39 minGoal - Le Havre 47 min
Le Havre 2.29 xGLens 1.29 xGdots = goals · 24 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Le Havre v Lens?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Le Havre v Lens was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Le Havre and Lens?
In their last 6 meetings, Le Havre won 2, Lens won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Le Havre and Lens?
Recent form — Le Havre 2W 1D 2L; Lens 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+