Le MansLens

Le Mans v Lens result

Full-time · Le Mans 2–2 Lens

Ligue 1 · · Stade Marie-Marvingt

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Le Mans · Lens

The model’s pre-match pick

Le Mans 2–2 Lens — this Ligue 1 match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.25 at William Hill
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 78% of 5167 landed (95% range 76.8–79.1%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,997 of 2,670 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Le Mans: 3.01 to 1.88 in expected goals, from 12 shots to 16, ahead on xG from the 18th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Le Mans and Lens drew 2–2 at Stade Marie-Marvingt in Ligue 1 on Sunday 13 September. Le Mans have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Le Mans led 2–1 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Le Mans: A. Bourabaa (32’) and Lucas Calodat (44’, assisted by A. Bourabaa); Lens: Abdallah Sima (45’) and Franjo Ivanović (51’, assisted by Ruben Aguilar).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Franjo Ivanović’s goal on 51 minutes.

Discipline

Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj, France showed five yellow cards — against 3.2 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Le Mans: Noa Boissé (15’) and Jean Vercruysse (28’); Lens: Michaël Cuisance (20’), Andrija Bulatović (38’) and Florian Thauvin (53’).

What it changes

Le Mans stay 13th after this result (four league matches played).

Lens stay ninth after this result (four league matches played).

Le Mans are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, A. Bourabaa (Le Mans) 8.7, Lucas Calodat (Le Mans) 7.7 and Franjo Ivanović (Lens) 6.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Le Mans or Lens (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).

Next up

Le Mans next host Monaco on 8 November 2026.

Lens next host Marseille on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Le Mans: Le Mans v Monaco, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Lens: Lens v Marseille, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Le Mans 2–2 Lens · Ligue 1
  • Venue: Stade Marie-Marvingt · Le Mans
  • Referee: Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj, France
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Le Mans 0 · draws 0 · Lens 1 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Le Mans 1W 3D 1L · Lens 3W 0D 2L

Le Mans 2–2 Lens (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 27 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 2.13
Goals
against 1 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4 / 6.5
Corners
against 4.25 / 6.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 6.25
Shots on target
against 3.38 / 4.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 2.13
Cards
against 1.88 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.2 yellows
Referee · Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj, France
24 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 10 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameLe Mans for / againstLineLens for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1 against n 8
2.75our book
2.13 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 4.25 against n 8
9.5standard
6.5 for · 6.5 against n 8
Shots
10.88 for · 11.38 against n 8
19.5standard
16.88 for · 14.5 against n 8
Shots on target
4.75 for · 3.38 against n 8
8.5standard
6.25 for · 4.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
16 for · 10.38 against n 8
21.5standard
11 for · 10 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj, France — 3.2 yellow cards a game, 0.4 red cards, 24 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Le Mans

Le Mans Goalkeeper

Le Mans — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Kocik286171 min94.7 /9042.1 /9000 /90
E. Hatfout19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /90
Le Mans — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Mans before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Kocik n 888.9
2.35/2
E. Hatfout n 690.8
2.14/2

Le Mans Defensive

Le Mans — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
N. Boissé390270 min82.7 /9031 /9010.3 /90155 /9051.7 /9010.3 /90
H. Voyer290180 min31.5 /9031.5 /9010.5 /9073.5 /9031.5 /9010.5 /90
T. Eyoum290180 min21 /9021 /9021 /9042 /9021 /9000 /90
Théo Eyoum19090 min00 /9011 /9022 /9000 /9011 /9000 /90
Raúl Torrente16161 min34.4 /9000 /9000 /9045.9 /9023 /9000 /90
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Le Mans — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Mans before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Boissé n 889.9
1.88/4
0.62/1
M. Udol
A. Lauray n 863.6
2.36/3
1.15/1
—
L. Mafouta n 381
1.11/1
0.72/0
—
A. Bourabaa n 857.8
13/2
1.24/1
F. Thauvin
D. Guèye n 855.9
26/4
0.42/0
—
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Le Mans — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Mans before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Boissé n 889.9
2.88/6
A. Lauray n 863.6
3.27/5
L. Mafouta n 381
0.41/0
A. Bourabaa n 857.8
1.44/3
D. Guèye n 855.9
1.25/1
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Le Mans Attacking

Le Mans — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Mafouta381243 min31.1 /9010.4 /9062.2 /9051.9 /9020.7 /9010.4 /90
D. Guèye367201 min10.4 /9000 /9041.8 /9010.4 /9000 /9000 /90
A. Rabillard347141 min00 /9000 /9010.6 /9000 /9021.3 /9021.3 /90
B. Brahimi21938 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9012.4 /9012.4 /90
H. Diallo12929 min00 /9000 /9013.1 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
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Le Mans — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Mans before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Boissé n 889.9
0.53/1
00/0
L. Mafouta n 381
2.23/2
1.92/2
A. Lauray n 863.6
0.72/2
0.42/0
A. Bourabaa n 857.8
1.67/1
0.83/1
D. Guèye n 855.9
2.27/4
1.24/2
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Le Mans — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Mans before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Boissé n 889.9
00/0
00/0
L. Mafouta n 381
1.12/1
0.41/0
A. Lauray n 863.6
00/0
0.21/0
A. Bourabaa n 857.8
0.21/0
0.42/0
D. Guèye n 855.9
0.42/0
0.21/0
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Lens

Lens Goalkeeper

Lens — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Risser590450 min183.6 /9030.6 /9000 /90
Lens — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Risser n 890
3.47/5

Lens Defensive

Lens — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
I. Ganiou588439 min102.1 /9061.2 /9020.4 /90183.7 /9020.4 /9010.2 /90
S. Sagnan478310 min113.2 /9051.5 /9000 /90195.5 /9030.9 /9020.6 /90
R. Aguilar443171 min84.2 /9063.2 /9000 /9094.7 /9063.2 /9010.5 /90
M. Nawrocki381242 min20.7 /9031.1 /9051.9 /9041.5 /9010.4 /9000 /90
K. Antonio373219 min62.5 /9052.1 /9020.8 /90166.6 /9020.8 /9000 /90
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Lens — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Risser n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
I. Ganiou n 883.8
0.74/1
0.73/2
—
F. Thauvin n 875.4
0.43/0
13/2
A. Bourabaa
A. Sima n 867.4
1.25/1
1.77/2
—
M. Udol n 876.1
0.74/1
0.32/0
N. Boissé
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Lens — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
I. Ganiou n 883.8
2.18/5
F. Thauvin n 875.4
0.94/1
A. Sima n 867.4
0.84/1
M. Udol n 876.1
1.65/4
M. Skóraś n 556.8
1.63/2
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Lens Attacking

Lens — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
F. Thauvin587435 min51 /9010.2 /90173.5 /90102.1 /90142.9 /9061.2 /90
A. Sima580400 min10.2 /9010.2 /9051.1 /9020.5 /9081.8 /9040.9 /90
F. Ivanović460241 min10.4 /9000 /9041.5 /9031.1 /9010.4 /9062.2 /90
O. Édouard32267 min00 /9000 /9045.4 /9022.7 /9011.3 /9022.7 /90
F. Sotoca21835 min00 /9000 /9012.6 /9000 /9025.1 /9000 /90
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Lens — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Risser n 890
00/0
00/0
I. Ganiou n 883.8
0.85/1
0.43/0
F. Thauvin n 875.4
38/4
1.87/3
A. Sima n 867.4
2.36/3
14/1
M. Udol n 876.1
1.34/3
0.32/0
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Lens — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Risser n 890
00/0
00/0
I. Ganiou n 883.8
0.11/0
00/0
F. Thauvin n 875.4
16/1
0.43/0
A. Sima n 867.4
0.32/0
0.21/0
M. Udol n 876.1
00/0
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Le MansLens
53%Possession47%
2.59Expected goals (xG)1.62
13Shots16
5Shots on target6
5Shots off target6
3Blocked shots4
11Shots inside the box12
3Corners9
1Offsides3
17Fouls11
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
4Saves3
484Passes432
85%Pass accuracy84%

Le Mans Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Hatfout9000000006.9
L. Mafouta9000211006.5
L. Calodat9010221208.6
A. Bourabaa9011212107.2
R. Bamba9000001307.3
H. Voyer9000000106.5
S. Yohou7700000306.7
J. Vercruysse65001000Y6.3
Lucas Bretelle6500000206.6
D. Guèye6500210106.9
N. Boissé45000011Y6.2
D. Sidibé sub4500100106.3
D. Traoré sub2500000106.6
A. Lauray sub2500002106.9
H. Diallo sub2500000207.3
Raúl Torrente sub1300000207.2

Lens Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
F. Thauvin90004330Y6.6
M. Udol9000000106.7
R. Aguilar9001003207.3
K. Antonio9000000106.9
R. Risser9000000006.9
A. Bulatović90001032Y6.9
A. Sima7610110107.5
J. Gradit5500100006
O. Édouard4500002006.7
M. Cuisance45000000Y6.2
M. Skóraś4500001006.2
A. Haidara sub4500000106.9
F. Ivanović sub4510110107.3
Mezian Mesloub sub4500211006.5
J. Todibo sub3500101006.7
T. Hazard sub1400100106.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Le Mans v Lens — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Le MansDWDLD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
LensWWLLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Le Mans 0 · 0 draws · Lens 1 · 3 goals/game
  • 2019-07-27 Le Mans 1–2 Lens
League standing · 2026/27
Le Mans#17 pos7 pts9 pl-7 GD
Lens#9 pos13 pts9 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Le Mans scored1.22
Lens scored1.78
Le Mans conceded2
Lens conceded1.44

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Le Mans 3.01 xG from 12 shots, Lens 1.88 from 16. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Louis Mafouta 31' · 0.87 xGFlorian Thauvin 87' · 0.35 xGDame Gueye 18' · 0.35 xGFlorian Thauvin 43' · 0.26 xGThorgan Hazard 79' · 0.12 xGJean Vercruysse 31' · 0.12 xGAbdallah Sima 58' · 0.10 xGDaouda Traoré 74' · 0.07 xGDjibril Sidibe 74' · 0.06 xGJonathan Gradit 12' · 0.05 xGFlorian Thauvin 41' · 0.05 xGRayan Bamba 5' · 0.04 xGLouis Mafouta 71' · 0.04 xGAdil Bourabaa 53' · 0.04 xGLucas Calodat 26' · 0.04 xGJean Vercruysse 26' · 0.03 xGMezian Soares 79' · 0.03 xGFlorian Thauvin 34' · 0.02 xGJean-Clair Todibo 57' · 0.02 xGMezian Soares 48' · 0.02 xGFlorian Thauvin 87' · 0.02 xGAndrija Bulatovic 93' · 0.01 xGFlorian Thauvin 1' · 0.01 xGFlorian Thauvin 42' · 0.01 xGAdil Bourabaa 31' · 0.98 xG · goalAbdallah Sima 46' · 0.46 xG · goalLucas Calodat 43' · 0.37 xG · goalFranjo Ivanovic 50' · 0.33 xG · goal
Le Mans (attacking right)Lens (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Le Mans1223.01
Lens1621.88

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Le Mans led on xG, 2.79 to 0.42. At full time, Le Mans led on xG, 3.01 to 1.88. The widest gap was 2.64 xG to Le Mans, in the 43rd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
3.01.500′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Le Mans 31 minGoal - Le Mans 43 minGoal - Lens 46 minGoal - Lens 50 min
Le Mans 3.01 xGLens 1.88 xGdots = goals · 28 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Le Mans v Lens?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Le Mans v Lens was Home or Away (best price 1.25 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Le Mans and Lens?
In their last 1 meetings, Le Mans won 0, Lens won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Le Mans and Lens?
Recent form — Le Mans 1W 3D 1L; Lens 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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