Le Mans v Lyon prediction

Ligue 1 · Sat, 02 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT · Stade Marie-Marvingt

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:25 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Le Mans v Lyon, Ligue 1 on Sat, 02 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Le Mans host Lyon in Ligue 1 on Saturday 2 January (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Le Mans are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Le Mans’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Le Mans’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Le Mans have three wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 1.29. Le Mans have scored 11 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Le Mans have conceded 18 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs.

Eight of Lyon’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Lyon’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Lyon have two wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.13 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 1.25. Lyon have scored 15 goals, the eighth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Lyon have conceded seven goals, the second-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Le Mans (17th) and Lyon (third) are 10 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Lyon the stronger side, 400 rating points above Le Mans (Lyon 1766, Le Mans 1366, after at least nine rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Le Mans XI (3-1-4-2): N. Kocik, S. Yohou, N. Boissé, H. Voyer, L. Bretelle, L. Calodat, L. Buadés, J. Vercruysse, A. Lauray, L. Mafouta, D. Guèye — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Bourabaa (6.1 per match over five appearances, three goals and two assists) and Lucas Calodat (3.8 per match over nine appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Le Mans’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Le Mans (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Bourabaa averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 398 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last five appearances. Lucas Calodat averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 547 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Lyon XI (4-3-3): D. Greif, Z. Athekame, Abner, F. Bacher, M. Niakhaté, C. Tolisso, T. Tessmann, M. Bidstrup, K. Nakamura, K. Boudache, E. Nuamah — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Corentin Tolisso (4.7 per match over 17 appearances, four goals and five assists) and Zachary Athekame (4.5 per match over 12 appearances, two goals and three assists) have been Lyon’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lyon (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Corentin Tolisso averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 1247 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Zachary Athekame averages 2.5 tackles per 90 over 1305 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 02 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT · Ligue 1 · Stade Marie-Marvingt
Recent form: Le Mans 1W 1D 3L · Lyon 2W 1D 2L

Le Mans v Lyon (Ligue 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.63

Goals

against 2 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

2.63 / 4.5

Corners

against 5.25 / 6.63 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.25 / 4.75

Shots on target

against 5.5 / 5.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.75 / 1.63

Cards

against 2 / 2.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Le Mans for / against	Line	Lyon for / against
Goals scored	1.13 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	2.63 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.5 for · 6.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	10 for · 14.63 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.13 for · 13.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.25 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.75 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.75 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.13 for · 13.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.75 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.63 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5

Le Mans

Le Mans Goalkeeper

Le Mans — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
N. Kocik	7	89621 min	273.9 /90	81.2 /90	00 /90
E. Hatfout	2	90180 min	52.5 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90

Le Mans — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Mans before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
N. Kocik n 8	88.9	3.5 6/5
E. Hatfout n 7	90.7	2.4 5/3

Le Mans Defensive

Le Mans — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
S. Yohou	7	79556 min	81.3 /90	101.6 /90	50.8 /90	233.7 /90	101.6 /90	20.3 /90
N. Boissé	7	76532 min	183 /90	50.8 /90	20.3 /90	274.6 /90	91.5 /90	30.5 /90
H. Voyer	6	88527 min	61 /90	81.4 /90	30.5 /90	162.7 /90	50.9 /90	10.2 /90
D. Sidibé	4	70278 min	51.6 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90	185.8 /90	51.6 /90	20.6 /90
Raúl Torrente	3	80241 min	103.7 /90	20.7 /90	10.4 /90	186.7 /90	31.1 /90	10.4 /90
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Le Mans — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Mans before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. Mafouta n 8	85.8	0.8 4/2	1.2 6/2	—
D. Guèye n 8	50.4	1.8 5/2	0.7 3/0	—
Lucas Bretelle n 8	73	1.7 7/2	1.8 5/4	—
L. Calodat n 8	67.3	0.5 3/0	1 4/2	—
A. Lauray n 8	60.1	2.4 8/4	0.4 2/0	—
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Le Mans — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Mans before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
L. Mafouta n 8	85.8	0.3 2/0
D. Guèye n 8	50.4	0.9 4/0
Lucas Bretelle n 8	73	2.2 6/3
L. Calodat n 8	67.3	2 7/3
A. Lauray n 8	60.1	2.8 7/5
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Le Mans Attacking

Le Mans — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
L. Mafouta	9	83749 min	40.5 /90	10.1 /90	172 /90	111.3 /90	40.5 /90	20.2 /90
D. Guèye	9	53475 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	101.9 /90	20.4 /90	20.4 /90	10.2 /90
A. Rabillard	7	44308 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.6 /90	00 /90	20.6 /90	61.8 /90
H. Diallo	7	42295 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	41.2 /90	20.6 /90	10.3 /90	30.9 /90
B. Brahimi	5	27136 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	53.3 /90	21.3 /90
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Le Mans — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Mans before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
L. Mafouta n 8	85.8	2 7/5	1.2 5/3
D. Guèye n 8	50.4	2 5/4	0.2 1/0
Lucas Bretelle n 8	73	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
L. Calodat n 8	67.3	0.8 4/1	0.8 4/1
A. Lauray n 8	60.1	0.7 2/2	0.4 2/0
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Le Mans — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Mans before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
L. Mafouta n 8	85.8	0.4 2/1	0 0/0
D. Guèye n 8	50.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Lucas Bretelle n 8	73	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
L. Calodat n 8	67.3	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0
A. Lauray n 8	60.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Lyon

Lyon Goalkeeper

Lyon — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
D. Greif	14	901264 min	493.5 /90	110.8 /90	00 /90
R. Descamps	3	90270 min	82.7 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90

Lyon — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lyon before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
D. Greif n 8	90	4 8/6
R. Descamps n 8	90	2.6 6/4

Lyon Defensive

Lyon — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Abner	13	891152 min	100.8 /90	90.7 /90	20.2 /90	211.6 /90	131 /90	30.2 /90
F. Bacher	13	771001 min	121.1 /90	70.6 /90	30.3 /90	373.3 /90	111 /90	10.1 /90
Zachary Athekame	12	851018 min	322.8 /90	90.8 /90	10.1 /90	554.9 /90	121.1 /90	10.1 /90
M. Niakhaté	12	83994 min	90.8 /90	141.3 /90	60.5 /90	343.1 /90	201.8 /90	30.3 /90
R. Kluivert	9	89799 min	182 /90	91 /90	40.5 /90	424.7 /90	151.7 /90	00 /90
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Lyon — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lyon before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Tolisso n 8	72.8	1.2 5/2	2.8 8/4	—
D. Greif n 8	90	0 0/0	0.5 2/1	—
T. Morton n 8	78.8	0.6 3/1	1.3 4/3	—
K. Boudache n 8	51.5	0.7 3/0	2.8 5/4	—
Abner n 8	88.9	1.4 5/4	0.4 2/1	—
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Lyon — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lyon before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Tolisso n 8	72.8	1.1 5/1
T. Morton n 8	78.8	1.3 5/4
K. Boudache n 8	51.5	0.9 4/0
Abner n 8	88.9	0.6 3/2
F. Bacher n 8	75	1.2 5/2
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Lyon Attacking

Lyon — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
K. Boudache	14	46647 min	00 /90	00 /90	162.2 /90	50.7 /90	91.3 /90	91.3 /90
Ernest Nuamah	13	66856 min	60.6 /90	10.1 /90	222.3 /90	121.3 /90	121.3 /90	202.1 /90
Loïs Openda	10	82823 min	20.2 /90	10.1 /90	232.5 /90	131.4 /90	101.1 /90	101.1 /90
Keito Nakamura	7	67472 min	10.2 /90	20.4 /90	91.7 /90	40.8 /90	193.6 /90	81.5 /90
M. Fofana	6	56335 min	20.5 /90	00 /90	113 /90	102.7 /90	41.1 /90	51.3 /90
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Lyon — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lyon before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Tolisso n 8	72.8	1.7 5/3	1.2 4/3
D. Greif n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Morton n 8	78.8	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
K. Boudache n 8	51.5	2 6/3	0.7 2/1
Abner n 8	88.9	0.6 3/1	0.1 1/0
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Lyon — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lyon before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Tolisso n 8	72.8	0.6 4/0	0.3 2/0
D. Greif n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Morton n 8	78.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Boudache n 8	51.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Abner n 8	88.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Le Mans v Lyon — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Le MansWLLDL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2 conceded per game

LyonWLLWD

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

Le Mans#17 pos7 pts9 pl-7 GD

Lyon#3 pos17 pts9 pl+8 GD

Goals per game

Le Mans scored1.22

Lyon scored1.67

Le Mans conceded2

Lyon conceded0.78

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