Lens v Marseille prediction
Team pages: Lens · Marseille · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Lens v Marseille, Ligue 1 on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Lens host Marseille in Ligue 1 on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 19:45 UK).
Form and the table
Nine of Lens’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Lens’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Lens have five wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.88 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.13. Lens have scored 14 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Lens have conceded 11 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Eight of Marseille’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Marseille’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Marseille have three wins, no draws and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.13 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.75. Marseille have scored 14 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Marseille have conceded 10 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Lens (eighth) and Marseille (ninth) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Lens the stronger side, 55 rating points above Marseille (Lens 1723, Marseille 1668, after at least 223 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 24 January 2026, finished Marseille 3–1 Lens.
Team news
Predicted Lens XI (3-4-2-1): R. Risser, K. Antonio, I. Ganiou, S. Sagnan, R. Aguilar, M. Cuisance, Y. Titraoui, M. Skóraś, A. Bulatović, M. Udol, F. Thauvin — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Florian Thauvin (7.3 per match over 10 appearances, five goals and six assists) and Matthieu Udol (4.1 per match over nine appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Lens’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lens (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Florian Thauvin averages 2.9 shots per 90 over 862 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Matthieu Udol averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 738 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last nine appearances.
Predicted Marseille XI (4-2-3-1): J. de Lange, Emerson, C. Egan-Riley, T. Weah, N. Aguerd, A. Harit, H. Abdelli, A. Gomes, I. Paixão, P. Højbjerg, A. Gouiri — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (4.3 per match over six appearances, one goal) and Amine Harit (4.0 per match over nine appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Marseille’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Marseille (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Pierre-Emile Højbjerg averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 882 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Amine Harit averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 686 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last nine appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Ligue 1 · Stade Bollaert-Delelis
- Head-to-head (last 6): Lens 3 · draws 0 · Marseille 3 · 2.67 goals/game
- Recent form: Lens 2W 1D 2L · Marseille 2W 0D 3L
Lens v Marseille (Ligue 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Lens for / against | Line | Marseille for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 7.13 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 17.13 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.88 for · 16.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.88 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.25 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.38 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.25 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.5 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
Lens
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Ivanović n 8 | 47.4 | 2.4 | 0.5 | — |
| T. Hazard n 8 | 31.5 | 1.8 | 1.1 | — |
| M. Skóraś n 8 | 52.1 | 1.7 | 1.7 | — |
| R. Aguilar n 8 | 62.5 | 1.6 | 0.5 | — |
| M. Cuisance n 8 | 68.1 | 1.5 | 0.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| F. Thauvin n 8 | 87.1 | 3 | 1.7 |
| O. Édouard n 8 | 39 | 2.9 | 1.4 |
| Mezian Mesloub n 4 | 35.3 | 2.6 | 0.6 |
| T. Hazard n 8 | 31.5 | 2.5 | 0.4 |
| J. Kadile n 8 | 66.6 | 2 | 1.4 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| F. Thauvin n 8 | 87.1 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| A. Sima n 8 | 69.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| R. Aguilar n 8 | 62.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| F. Sotoca n 8 | 39.6 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Mezian Mesloub n 4 | 35.3 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Bulatović n 8 | 70 | 3.4 |
| S. Sagnan n 4 | 77.5 | 3.2 |
| Yassine Titraoui n 8 | 66.6 | 2.7 |
| R. Aguilar n 8 | 62.5 | 2.7 |
| Saud Abdulhamid n 8 | 74.6 | 2.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| R. Risser n 8 | 90 | 3.6 |
Marseille
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Moumbagna n 8 | 9.8 | 3.5 | 3.5 | — |
| T. Mmadi n 3 | 9.3 | 3.2 | 3.2 | — |
| T. Nnadi n 8 | 54.9 | 2.7 | 1.4 | — |
| K. Abdallah n 8 | 39.1 | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| B. Meité n 8 | 80.9 | 1.8 | 1.5 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| K. Abdallah n 8 | 39.1 | 3.5 | 1.2 |
| T. Mmadi n 3 | 9.3 | 3.2 | 0 |
| Igor Paixão n 8 | 72.4 | 2.6 | 0.9 |
| A. Gouiri n 8 | 70.3 | 1.6 | 1 |
| A. Harit n 8 | 75.4 | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gouiri n 8 | 70.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Nouhoum Kamissoko n 5 | 36.8 | 0.5 | 0 |
| H. Abdelli n 8 | 80.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| A. Harit n 8 | 75.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| T. Weah n 8 | 88.4 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| T. Mmadi n 3 | 9.3 | 3.2 |
| Nouhoum Kamissoko n 5 | 36.8 | 2.9 |
| T. Weah n 8 | 88.4 | 2.5 |
| G. Kondogbia n 8 | 52.1 | 2.4 |
| Q. Timber n 8 | 53.9 | 2.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. de Lange n 8 | 90 | 3.9 |
The day’s free picks, by email
Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Lens v Marseille — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-01-24 Marseille 3–1 Lens
- 2025-10-25 Lens 2–1 Marseille
- 2025-03-08 Marseille 0–1 Lens
- 2024-11-23 Lens 1–3 Marseille
- 2024-04-28 Marseille 2–1 Lens
- 2023-11-12 Lens 1–0 Marseille
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Lens and Marseille?
- In their last 6 meetings, Lens won 3, Marseille won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Lens and Marseille?
- Recent form — Lens 2W 1D 2L; Marseille 2W 0D 3L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.