Lille v Stade Brestois 29 result

Full-time · Lille 1–1 Stade Brestois 29

Ligue 1 · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 19:45 BST · Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Updated 18 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Lille · Stade Brestois 29 · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Lille 1–1 Stade Brestois 29 — this Ligue 1 match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.29 at William Hill

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Lille: 2.06 to 0.79 in expected goals, from 17 shots to 8, ahead on xG from the 50th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Lille and Stade Brestois 29 drew 1–1 at Stade Pierre-Mauroy in Ligue 1 on Saturday 17 October.

The goals

Stade Brestois 29 led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Stade Brestois 29: Mama Baldé (6’, assisted by Gautier Lloris); Lille: Olivier Giroud (64’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Olivier Giroud’s goal on 64 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Lille: Calvin Verdonk (90’); Stade Brestois 29: Kamory Doumbia (13’) and B. Locko (58’).

What it changes

Lille move down from first to second (shared) (seven league matches played).

Stade Brestois 29 move down from sixth to seventh (seven league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ngal'ayel Mukau (Lille) 5.9, E. Mbappé (Lille) 5.8 and Olivier Giroud (Lille) 5.8 led the match.

What the model said

Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.3% of the time in the last 90 days (3366 of 4357).

Next up

Lille next host Galatasaray on 21 October 2026.

Stade Brestois 29 next host Nice on 23 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Lille: Lille v Galatasaray, Wednesday 21 October — the preview. Next for Stade Brestois 29: Stade Brestois 29 v Nice, Friday 23 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Lille 1–1 Stade Brestois 29 · Ligue 1
Venue: Stade Pierre-Mauroy · Lille
Referee: Clement Turpin
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Lille 2 · draws 3 · Stade Brestois 29 1 · 2.83 goals/game
Recent form: Lille 2W 0D 3L · Stade Brestois 29 2W 1D 2L

Lille 1–1 Stade Brestois 29 (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 1.75

Goals

against 1.25 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

2.88 / 5.38

Corners

against 5.5 / 3.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.38 / 6.25

Shots on target

against 4.5 / 4 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.38 / 1

Cards

against 1.88 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Lille for / against	Line	Stade Brestois 29 for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	2.88 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.38 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	9.88 for · 16.63 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	19.25 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.38 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	6.25 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.25 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.38 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Clement Turpin.

Lille

Lille — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
D. Bakwa n 8	49.3	2.5 5/2	2.1 6/3	P. Mboup
B. André n 8	71.3	1.7 6/4	1.9 7/3	—
A. Ueda n 8	56.6	1.6 3/2	1.2 3/3	—
G. Perrin n 8	29.1	1.5 4/0	0.8 2/0	—
Félix Correia n 8	65.3	1.4 5/1	1 5/1	—

Lille — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Ueda n 8	56.6	3 7/5	2.2 6/3
E. Mbappé n 8	49	1.8 6/1	1.4 4/1
Tiago Santos n 8	71.8	1.4 4/4	0.9 4/2
Félix Correia n 8	65.3	1.4 6/2	0.3 2/0
D. Bakwa n 8	49.3	1.4 4/2	0.5 2/0

Lille — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Ueda n 8	56.6	1.2 5/1	0.2 1/0
O. Giroud n 8	42.1	0.3 1/0	0.5 1/1
D. Bakwa n 8	49.3	0.5 2/0	0.2 1/0
Félix Correia n 8	65.3	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
M. Kjærgaard n 8	50.3	0 0/0	0.4 2/0

Lille — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Verdonk n 8	20	5.1 5/2
B. André n 8	71.3	2.7 7/6
G. Perrin n 8	29.1	2.7 4/3
Tiago Santos n 8	71.8	2.2 6/4
R. Perraud n 8	78.8	2.1 7/6

Lille — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
B. Özer n 8	90	3.2 7/3

Stade Brestois 29

Stade Brestois 29 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
P. Mboup n 8	72	3.4 7/5	1.9 6/4	D. Bakwa
L. Ajorque n 8	89	2 7/6	1.6 7/4	—
M. Diambou n 8	47.4	1.7 4/2	0.9 3/1	—
Mama Baldé n 8	29	1.6 4/0	1.9 4/1	—
D. Guindo n 8	90	1.5 6/4	0.6 5/0	—

Stade Brestois 29 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
P. Mboup n 8	72	3.3 7/7	1.6 6/3
L. Ajorque n 8	89	3 7/6	1 6/2
R. Labeau Lascary n 8	41.4	2.7 4/3	2.2 3/3
K. Doumbia n 8	79.5	2.3 7/5	1.1 7/1
Mama Baldé n 8	29	2.3 4/2	0.8 2/0

Stade Brestois 29 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
K. Doumbia n 8	79.5	0.6 3/1	0.3 2/0
Mama Baldé n 8	29	0.4 1/0	0.4 1/0
D. Guindo n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.5 4/0
L. Ajorque n 8	89	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
P. Mboup n 8	72	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0

Stade Brestois 29 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Diambou n 8	47.4	4.3 6/5
J. Dina Ebimbe n 8	60.1	4.1 6/6
H. Magnetti n 8	68.9	2.8 5/5
B. Locko n 8	79.5	2.5 6/5
H. Makalou n 8	24	2.3 4/1

Stade Brestois 29 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
E. Selvik n 8	90	3.4 7/6

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Lille		Stade Brestois 29
67%	Possession	32%
2.25	Expected goals (xG)	0.84
17	Shots	8
5	Shots on target	2
9	Shots off target	3
3	Blocked shots	3
10	Shots inside the box	6
5	Corners	2
3	Offsides	0
12	Fouls	20
1	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	4
645	Passes	320

Lille player stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Orlando Gill	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.8
M. Goffi	90	0	3	0	2	3	0	7.2
N. Ngoy	90	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.8
T. Nianzou	90	0	2	1	0	1	0	6.6
E. Mbappé	90	0	1	0	1	4	0	6.3
H. Haraldsson	90	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.3
O. Giroud	90	1	2	2	0	0	0	7.1
N. Mukau	77	0	1	0	0	5	0	6.6
B. André	65	0	2	1	1	2	0	6.5
D. Bakwa	65	0	1	0	2	1	0	7
R. Perraud	54	0	1	0	1	1	0	6.9
C. Verdonk	36	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.2
N. Bentaleb	25	0	2	1	0	1	0	7
S. Diaoune	25	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
M. Kjærgaard	13	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.4

Stade Brestois 29 player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
E. Selvik	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.1
K. Lala	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.6
L. Tousart	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	7
G. Lloris	90	0	1	3	0	1	0	0	7.2
B. Locko	90	0	0	1	0	0	2	Y	6.7
J. Chotard	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.4
H. Magnetti	90	0	0	0	0	1	5	0	6.5
L. Ajorque	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.4
K. Doumbia	82	0	0	0	0	0	3	Y	6.5
P. Mboup	77	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.4
Mama Baldé	46	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	7.6
J. Nonge Boende	44	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	6.8
Ibrahim Yayiya Kante	13	0	0	2	1	0	1	0	6.6
M. Diambou	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Lille v Stade Brestois 29 — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

LilleLWLWL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Stade Brestois 29DWLLW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Lille 2 · 3 draws · Stade Brestois 29 1 · 2.83 goals/game

2026-02-14 Lille 1–1 Stade Brestois 29
2025-08-17 Stade Brestois 29 3–3 Lille
2025-05-10 Stade Brestois 29 2–0 Lille
2024-12-06 Lille 3–1 Stade Brestois 29
2024-03-17 Stade Brestois 29 1–1 Lille
2023-10-22 Lille 1–0 Stade Brestois 29

League standing · 2026/27

Lille#2 pos14 pts7 pl+5 GD

Stade Brestois 29#9 pos9 pts7 pl+3 GD

Goals per game

Lille scored1.43

Stade Brestois 29 scored1.86

Lille conceded0.71

Stade Brestois 29 conceded1.43

Shot map and expected goals

Lille 2.06 xG from 17 shots, Stade Brestois 29 0.79 from 8. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Lille (attacking right)Stade Brestois 29 (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Lille	17	1	2.06
Stade Brestois 29	8	1	0.79

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Lille v Stade Brestois 29?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Lille v Stade Brestois 29 was Home or Away (best price 1.29 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Lille and Stade Brestois 29?: In their last 6 meetings, Lille won 2, Stade Brestois 29 won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lille and Stade Brestois 29?: Recent form — Lille 2W 0D 3L; Stade Brestois 29 2W 1D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 18 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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