Lorient v Stade Brestois 29 prediction

The match

Lorient host Stade Brestois 29 in Ligue 1 on Monday 2 November (kick-off 19:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Lorient or Stade Brestois 29 (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Both teams scored in 12 of Stade Brestois 29’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%).

Form and the table

Six of Lorient’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in six of Lorient’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Lorient have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 1.25. Lorient have scored seven goals, the second-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Lorient have conceded six goals, the fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

10 of Stade Brestois 29’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Away from home, Stade Brestois 29 have one win, three draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.86 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.71. Stade Brestois 29 have scored 14 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Stade Brestois 29 have conceded 12 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Lorient are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Lorient have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in all competitions. Lorient (10th) and Stade Brestois 29 (13th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Lorient the stronger side, 91 rating points above Stade Brestois 29 (Lorient 1638, Stade Brestois 29 1548, after at least 190 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Stade Brestois 29 are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Lorient. The most recent meeting, on 7 February 2026, finished Stade Brestois 29 2–0 Lorient.

Team news

Lorient have two names on the availability list: P. Katseris (out, Muscle Injury) and B. Fadiga (doubtful, Muscle Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-31. Predicted Lorient XI (3-4-2-1): Y. Mvogo, M. Talbi, N. Adjei, S. Touré, K. Kouassi, N. Cadiou, A. Avom, D. Sylla, T. Le Bris, S. Faye, J. Makengo — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Dembo Sylla (3.5 per match over eight appearances) and Noah Cadiou (3.4 per match over eight appearances, one goal) have been Lorient’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lorient (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Dembo Sylla averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 700 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last eight appearances. Noah Cadiou averages 0.6 key passes per 90 over 714 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last eight appearances.

Stade Brestois 29 have three names on the availability list: B. Chardonnet (out, Calf Injury), R. Le Guen (out, Broken Leg) and G. Versini (doubtful, Leg Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-31. Predicted Stade Brestois 29 XI (4-2-3-1): E. Selvik, B. Locko, K. Lala, G. Lloris, L. Tousart, J. Chotard, K. Doumbia, H. Magnetti, P. Mboup, M. Baldé, L. Ajorque — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Hugo Magnetti (4.7 per match over seven appearances, two assists) and Kamory Doumbia (4.6 per match over eight appearances, four goals and one assist) have been Stade Brestois 29’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Stade Brestois 29 (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Hugo Magnetti averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 537 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last seven appearances. Kamory Doumbia averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 648 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last eight appearances.