LyonRennes

Lyon v Rennes result

Full-time · Lyon 4–2 Rennes

Ligue 1 ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Lyon · Rennes · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Lyon 4–2 Rennes — Lyon won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,936 of 2,589 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Lyon: 2.67 to 1.06 in expected goals, 0.76 of it from a penalty, from 16 shots to 8, ahead on xG from the 74th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Lyon beat Rennes 4–2 in Ligue 1 on Sunday 3 May. Lyon are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

Lyon led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Rennes: Mousa Tamari (6’, assisted by Esteban Lepaul) and Esteban Lepaul (48’, assisted by Mousa Tamari); Lyon: Roman Yaremchuk (37’, assisted by Corentin Tolisso), Corentin Tolisso (42’ pen), Afonso Moreira (52’, assisted by Abner) and Endrick (75’, assisted by Corentin Tolisso).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Afonso Moreira’s goal on 52 minutes.

Discipline

C. Turpin showed three yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Rennes: Esteban Lepaul (23’), Brice Samba (40’) and Quentin Merlin (82’).

What it changes

Lyon stay third after this result (32 league matches played).

Rennes stay fifth after this result (32 league matches played).

With six goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 32, across nine matches. Rennes have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Corentin Tolisso (Lyon) 12.3, Afonso Moreira (Lyon) 9.1 and Mousa Tamari (Rennes) 8.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Lyon or Rennes (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Lyon next travel to Stade Brestois 29 on 8 November 2026.

Rennes next host Lille on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Lyon: Stade Brestois 29 v Lyon, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Rennes: Rennes v Lille, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Lyon 4–2 Rennes · Ligue 1
  • Referee: C. Turpin
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Lyon 3 · draws 0 · Rennes 3 · 3.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Lyon 3W 1D 1L · Rennes 4W 1D 0L

Lyon 4–2 Rennes (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 2.13
Goals
against 1 / 0.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
4.25 / 6.63
Corners
against 4.88 / 3.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 6.13
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 3.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 1.5
Cards
against 3.38 / 2.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.33 yellows
Referee · C. Turpin
23.75 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 12 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameLyon for / againstLineRennes for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1 against n 8
3our book
2.13 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 4.88 against n 8
9.5standard
6.63 for · 3.5 against n 8
Shots
11.5 for · 12.88 against n 8
19.5standard
16.13 for · 10.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4.13 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
6.13 for · 3.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.63 for · 13.75 against n 8
21.5standard
11.63 for · 11.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 3.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 2.5 against n 8

Referee: C. Turpin — 3.33 yellow cards a game, 0.08 red cards, 23.75 fouls over 12 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Lyon

Lyon Goalkeeper

Lyon — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. Greif32902880 min942.9 /90341.1 /9030.1 /90
R. Descamps12901080 min252.1 /9070.6 /9000 /90
Lyon — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lyon before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Greif n 890
3.56/5
R. Descamps n 890
1.94/2

Lyon Defensive

Lyon — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Clinton Mata39893466 min491.3 /90391 /90340.9 /901564.1 /90441.1 /9070.2 /90
M. Niakhaté38873304 min391.1 /90411.1 /90200.5 /901794.9 /90411.1 /9020.1 /90
A. Maitland-Niles37812983 min792.4 /90411.2 /9060.2 /901314 /90421.3 /9070.2 /90
Abner30822445 min351.3 /9070.3 /9040.1 /90742.7 /90311.1 /9050.2 /90
N. Tagliafico28701956 min502.3 /90301.4 /9050.2 /901316 /90472.2 /90100.5 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Lyon — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lyon before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Morton n 883.4
0.74/1
0.86/0
Mousa Tamari
Clinton Mata n 890
16/2
1.45/3
Q. Merlin
M. Niakhaté n 881.1
1.15/3
1.75/4
Q. Merlin
A. Maitland-Niles n 887.8
0.85/1
0.43/0
Q. Merlin
T. Tessmann n 870.9
1.45/3
0.53/0
—
See more players · Pro
Lyon — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lyon before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Morton n 883.4
1.37/3
Clinton Mata n 890
0.63/2
M. Niakhaté n 881.1
0.64/0
A. Maitland-Niles n 887.8
2.28/4
T. Tessmann n 870.9
14/2
See more players · Pro

Lyon Attacking

Lyon — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Šulc32662114 min140.6 /9060.3 /90381.6 /90220.9 /90281.2 /90200.9 /90
Afonso Moreira29681969 min50.2 /90100.5 /90421.9 /90251.1 /90432 /90251.1 /90
Endrick17761296 min70.5 /9060.4 /90453.1 /90302.1 /90302.1 /90402.8 /90
M. Satriano15831251 min30.2 /9010.1 /90231.7 /90100.7 /90130.9 /90100.7 /90
R. Yaremchuk954489 min30.6 /9010.2 /90112 /9050.9 /9071.3 /9020.4 /90
See more players · Pro
Lyon — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lyon before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Morton n 883.4
0.32/0
0.32/0
Clinton Mata n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Niakhaté n 881.1
00/0
00/0
A. Maitland-Niles n 887.8
0.43/0
0.32/0
T. Tessmann n 870.9
0.64/0
0.32/0
See more players · Pro
Lyon — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lyon before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Morton n 883.4
00/0
00/0
Clinton Mata n 890
00/0
0.11/0
M. Niakhaté n 881.1
00/0
00/0
A. Maitland-Niles n 887.8
00/0
0.11/0
T. Tessmann n 870.9
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Rennes

Rennes Goalkeeper

Rennes — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Samba32902880 min842.6 /90431.3 /9020.1 /90
M. Silistrie290180 min10.5 /9031.5 /9000 /90
Rennes — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rennes before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Samba n 890
2.35/3

Rennes Defensive

Rennes — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Q. Merlin33762521 min572 /90341.2 /90120.4 /901164.1 /90200.7 /9020.1 /90
L. Brassier28812267 min301.2 /90391.5 /90230.9 /90993.9 /90281.1 /9020.1 /90
A. Rouault22821814 min301.5 /90201 /90190.9 /90904.5 /90281.4 /9050.2 /90
Jérémy Jacquet21881853 min301.5 /90201 /90170.8 /90894.3 /90231.1 /9060.3 /90
A. Seidu19681299 min352.4 /90191.3 /9020.1 /90916.3 /90151 /9020.1 /90
See more players · Pro
Rennes — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rennes before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Q. Merlin n 890
14/4
1.16/2
A. Maitland-Niles
B. Samba n 890
00/0
0.31/1
—
Esteban Lepaul n 886.4
0.74/1
0.83/2
—
M. Camara n 888.4
15/3
0.95/2
—
Mousa Tamari n 868.4
0.32/0
1.36/1
T. Morton
See more players · Pro
Rennes — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rennes before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Q. Merlin n 890
2.96/5
Esteban Lepaul n 886.4
00/0
M. Camara n 888.4
1.78/3
Mousa Tamari n 868.4
14/2
V. Rongier n 890
2.98/6
See more players · Pro

Rennes Attacking

Rennes — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Esteban Lepaul32762443 min170.6 /9040.1 /90602.2 /90331.2 /90180.7 /9090.3 /90
B. Embolo30631875 min100.5 /9030.1 /90351.7 /90180.9 /90170.8 /90140.7 /90
M. Meïté1440559 min20.3 /9020.3 /90152.4 /9071.1 /9071.1 /9061 /90
A. Nordin866526 min10.2 /9010.2 /90132.2 /9040.7 /9030.5 /9050.9 /90
N. Mukiele32265 min11.4 /9000 /9011.4 /9011.4 /9011.4 /9011.4 /90
See more players · Pro
Rennes — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rennes before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Q. Merlin n 890
0.42/1
0.32/0
B. Samba n 890
00/0
00/0
Esteban Lepaul n 886.4
2.58/6
1.26/3
M. Camara n 888.4
16/1
0.43/0
Mousa Tamari n 868.4
2.37/3
12/2
See more players · Pro
Rennes — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rennes before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Q. Merlin n 890
00/0
0.11/0
B. Samba n 890
00/0
00/0
Esteban Lepaul n 886.4
0.85/1
0.11/0
M. Camara n 888.4
00/0
00/0
Mousa Tamari n 868.4
0.32/0
0.21/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LyonRennes
50%Possession50%
3.17Expected goals (xG)0.84
16Shots8
9Shots on target5
3Shots off target3
4Blocked shots0
9Shots inside the box5
7Corners5
1Offsides4
10Fouls14
0Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
3Saves5
399Passes411
83%Pass accuracy84%

Lyon Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Greif9000000007.2
A. Maitland-Niles9000000006.2
Clinton Mata9000100106.5
M. Niakhaté9000000206.9
C. Tolisso9012113008.7
Afonso Moreira9010320108.7
Abner8901112106.9
T. Morton8400110106.3
Endrick8410214108.5
K. Merah8400001306.7
R. Yaremchuk7010221107.9
P. Šulc sub2000111206.7
R. Kluivert sub1400000006.6
M. de Carvalho sub1400000106.6
Ernest Nuamah sub1400000006.5
N. Nartey sub10000000–

Rennes Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Samba90000001Y6.9
A. Ait Boudlal9000000206.2
L. Brassier9000000105.6
Q. Merlin90000004Y6.3
V. Rongier9000000506.7
B. Embolo9000110006.5
M. Camara8700210306.5
Mousa Tamari8711112107.3
Esteban Lepaul87113210Y7.6
A. Seidu7100000105.9
S. Szymański7000102106.6
L. Blas sub2000000106.9
M. Nagida sub1900000006
D. Cissé sub1100000106.7
N. Mukiele sub1100000006.5
M. Zabiri sub1100000106.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Lyon v Rennes — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LyonLDWWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
RennesDWWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Lyon 3 · 0 draws · Rennes 3 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2025-09-14 Rennes 3–1 Lyon
  • 2025-04-26 Lyon 4–1 Rennes
  • 2024-08-18 Rennes 3–0 Lyon
  • 2024-01-26 Lyon 2–3 Rennes
  • 2023-11-12 Rennes 0–1 Lyon
  • 2023-04-09 Lyon 3–1 Rennes
League standing · 2025/26
Lyon#4 pos60 pts34 pl+13 GD
Rennes#6 pos59 pts34 pl+9 GD
Goals per game
Lyon scored1.56
Rennes scored1.74
Lyon conceded1.18
Rennes conceded1.47

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Lyon 2.67 xG from 16 shots, Rennes 1.06 from 8. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Breel Embolo 48' · 0.52 xGPavel Sulc 78' · 0.40 xGNoah Nartey 93' · 0.13 xGAfonso Moreira 77' · 0.11 xGMahdi Camara 24' · 0.07 xGRoman Yaremchuk 62' · 0.05 xGEsteban Lepaul 50' · 0.05 xGSebastian Szymanski 66' · 0.05 xGTyler Morton 53' · 0.04 xGTyler Morton 9' · 0.04 xGEndrick 26' · 0.02 xGEndrick 9' · 0.02 xGAbner 56' · 0.02 xGClinton Mata 17' · 0.02 xGAfonso Moreira 69' · 0.02 xGEsteban Lepaul 49' · 0.01 xGMahdi Camara 85' · 0.01 xGAfonso Moreira 29' · 0.01 xGCorentin Tolisso 41' · 0.76 xG · goalEndrick 74' · 0.37 xG · goalAfonso Moreira 51' · 0.34 xG · goalRoman Yaremchuk 36' · 0.32 xG · goalEsteban Lepaul 47' · 0.32 xG · goalMousa Al Tamari 5' · 0.04 xG · goal
Lyon (attacking right)Rennes (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Lyon1642.67
Rennes821.06

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Lyon led on xG, 1.19 to 0.11, 0.76 of it from a penalty, level on open-play xG. At full time, Lyon led on xG, 2.67 to 1.06, 0.76 of it from a penalty. The widest gap was 1.61 xG to Lyon, in the 93rd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.71.300′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Rennes 5 minGoal - Lyon 36 minGoal - Lyon 41 minGoal - Rennes 47 minGoal - Lyon 51 minGoal - Lyon 74 min
Lyon 2.67 xGRennes 1.06 xGdots = goals · 24 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Lyon v Rennes?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Lyon v Rennes was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Lyon and Rennes?
In their last 6 meetings, Lyon won 3, Rennes won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lyon and Rennes?
Recent form — Lyon 3W 1D 1L; Rennes 4W 1D 0L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+