Marseille v Le Mans prediction

The match

Marseille host Le Mans in Ligue 1 on Saturday 21 November (kick-off 16:00 UK).

Form and the table

Seven of Marseille’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Marseille’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Marseille have four wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 2.29 and conceding 1.43. Marseille have scored 20 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Marseille have conceded 13 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Seven of Le Mans’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Le Mans’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Le Mans have one win, four draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.88 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.38. Le Mans have scored 11 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Le Mans have conceded 18 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs.

Marseille have won their last three matches in all competitions. Le Mans are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Marseille (sixth) and Le Mans (17th) are eight points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Marseille the stronger side, 368 rating points above Le Mans (Marseille 1733, Le Mans 1366, after at least nine rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Marseille XI (4-1-4-1): J. de Lange, N. Aguerd, C. Egan-Riley, U. Garcia, K. Bezahaf, H. Abdelli, P. Højbjerg, I. Paixão, T. Nnadi, A. Harit, A. Gouiri — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Amine Harit (4.3 per match over 11 appearances, three goals and one assist) and Amine Gouiri (4.2 per match over 13 appearances, seven goals and three assists) have been Marseille’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Marseille (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Amine Harit averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 837 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Amine Gouiri averages 1.6 shots per 90 over 1386 minutes, with a shot in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Le Mans XI (3-1-4-2): N. Kocik, S. Yohou, N. Boissé, H. Voyer, L. Bretelle, L. Calodat, L. Buadés, J. Vercruysse, A. Lauray, L. Mafouta, D. Guèye — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Bourabaa (6.1 per match over five appearances, three goals and two assists) and Lucas Calodat (3.8 per match over nine appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Le Mans’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Le Mans (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Bourabaa averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 398 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last five appearances. Lucas Calodat averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 547 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last nine appearances.