Marseille v Toulouse prediction
Team pages: Marseille · Toulouse · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Marseille v Toulouse, Ligue 1 on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Marseille host Toulouse in Ligue 1 on Saturday 31 October (kick-off 16:00 UK).
The key numbers
12 of Toulouse’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).
Marseille are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Toulouse, every meeting checked. Toulouse are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Eight of Marseille’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Marseille’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Marseille have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.29. Marseille have scored 14 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Marseille have conceded 10 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Both teams scored in 10 of Toulouse’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Toulouse have two wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.13 points per game, scoring 1.88 and conceding 2.13. Toulouse have scored 12 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Toulouse have conceded 11 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Marseille (ninth) and Toulouse (11th) are level on points, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Toulouse the stronger side, 28 rating points above Marseille (Toulouse 1696, Marseille 1668, after at least 253 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 7 March 2026, finished Toulouse 0–1 Marseille.
Team news
Predicted Marseille XI (4-4-2): J. de Lange, Emerson, C. Egan-Riley, T. Weah, N. Aguerd, A. Harit, H. Abdelli, A. Gomes, I. Paixão, A. Gouiri, K. Abdallah — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (4.3 per match over six appearances, one goal) and Amine Harit (4.0 per match over nine appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Marseille’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Marseille (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Pierre-Emile Højbjerg averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 882 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Amine Harit averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 686 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last nine appearances.
Predicted Toulouse XI (4-2-3-1): G. Restes, M. McKenzie, C. Tape, R. Nicolaisen, R. Messali, C. Cásseres, T. Jørgensen, Y. Azizi, A. Vossah, N. Sigur, J. Russell-Rowe — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, C. Cásseres (8.2 per match over seven appearances, five assists) and Casper Tengstedt (5.6 per match over five appearances, five goals and one assist) have been Toulouse’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Toulouse (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), C. Cásseres averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 946 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Casper Tengstedt averages 4.6 shots per 90 over 316 minutes, with a shot in five of the last five appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Ligue 1
- Head-to-head (last 6): Marseille 3 · draws 3 · Toulouse 0 · 3.67 goals/game
- Recent form: Marseille 2W 0D 3L · Toulouse 2W 2D 1L
Marseille v Toulouse (Ligue 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Marseille for / against | Line | Toulouse for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.88 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12.88 for · 16.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.13 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.25 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.13 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 14.13 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.5 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
Marseille
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Moumbagna n 8 | 9.8 | 3.5 | 3.5 | — |
| T. Mmadi n 3 | 9.3 | 3.2 | 3.2 | — |
| T. Nnadi n 8 | 54.9 | 2.7 | 1.4 | — |
| K. Abdallah n 8 | 39.1 | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| B. Meité n 8 | 80.9 | 1.8 | 1.5 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| K. Abdallah n 8 | 39.1 | 3.5 | 1.2 |
| T. Mmadi n 3 | 9.3 | 3.2 | 0 |
| Igor Paixão n 8 | 72.4 | 2.6 | 0.9 |
| A. Gouiri n 8 | 70.3 | 1.6 | 1 |
| A. Harit n 8 | 75.4 | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gouiri n 8 | 70.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Nouhoum Kamissoko n 5 | 36.8 | 0.5 | 0 |
| H. Abdelli n 8 | 80.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| A. Harit n 8 | 75.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| T. Weah n 8 | 88.4 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| T. Mmadi n 3 | 9.3 | 3.2 |
| Nouhoum Kamissoko n 5 | 36.8 | 2.9 |
| T. Weah n 8 | 88.4 | 2.5 |
| G. Kondogbia n 8 | 52.1 | 2.4 |
| Q. Timber n 8 | 53.9 | 2.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. de Lange n 8 | 90 | 3.9 |
Toulouse
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Hidalgo n 8 | 39.3 | 2.9 | 1.4 | — |
| Y. Azizi n 8 | 44 | 2.6 | 1.3 | — |
| A. Dønnum n 8 | 68.6 | 2.3 | 1.6 | — |
| R. Messali n 8 | 55.5 | 2 | 1.2 | — |
| A. Vossah n 8 | 51.6 | 2 | 1.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Tengstedt n 8 | 53 | 4.2 | 1.7 |
| S. Hidalgo n 8 | 39.3 | 2.6 | 2.3 |
| Emersonn n 8 | 60.9 | 2.4 | 0.7 |
| J. Russell-Rowe n 8 | 61.9 | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| Julián Vignolo n 8 | 33.9 | 2 | 1.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Tengstedt n 8 | 53 | 1.1 | 0.2 |
| C. Cásseres n 8 | 82.5 | 0 | 0.7 |
| Emersonn n 8 | 60.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| D. Methalie n 8 | 59.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| T. Jørgensen n 8 | 77.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| P. Diop n 8 | 62 | 4 |
| C. Cásseres n 8 | 82.5 | 3.8 |
| I. Diallo n 5 | 32.6 | 2.8 |
| Y. Azizi n 8 | 44 | 2.6 |
| A. Dønnum n 8 | 68.6 | 2.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Niflore n 8 | 81.1 | 3.3 |
| Guillaume Restes n 8 | 78.5 | 2.7 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Marseille v Toulouse — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-03-07 Toulouse 0–1 Marseille
- 2026-03-04 Marseille 2–2 Toulouse
- 2025-11-29 Marseille 2–2 Toulouse
- 2025-04-06 Marseille 3–2 Toulouse
- 2024-08-31 Toulouse 1–3 Marseille
- 2024-04-21 Toulouse 2–2 Marseille
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Marseille and Toulouse?
- In their last 6 meetings, Marseille won 3, Toulouse won 0 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Marseille and Toulouse?
- Recent form — Marseille 2W 0D 3L; Toulouse 2W 2D 1L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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