Metz v Lorient result
Team pages: Metz · Lorient · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Metz 0–4 Lorient — Lorient won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Both teams to score: Yes.
What xG said
xG said Lorient: 1.77 to 0.73 in expected goals, from 14 shots to 8, ahead on xG from the 16th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).
The result
Lorient won 4–0 at Metz in Ligue 1 on Sunday 10 May. Metz are winless in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions.
The goals
Lorient led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Lorient: Jean-Victor Makengo (24’, assisted by Kan Kouassi), B. Dieng (84’, assisted by Pablo Pagis), Arthur Avom (90’, assisted by Pablo Pagis) and Noah Cadiou (90’).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jean-Victor Makengo’s goal on 24 minutes.
Discipline
J. Stinat showed four yellow cards — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Metz: Sadibou Sané (9’) and Giorgi Tsitaishvili (23’); Lorient: Abdoulaye Faye (15’) and Jean-Victor Makengo (42’).
What it changes
Metz stay 18th after this result (33 league matches played). Metz have scored 32 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 33 games, ranked per game). Metz have conceded 76 goals, the most of the 18 clubs.
Lorient stay ninth after this result (33 league matches played). Lorient have scored 48 goals, the ninth-most of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 33 games, ranked per game). Lorient have conceded 49 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.
It is Lorient’s first win over Metz since 4 February 2024, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds). Lorient’s four-goal margin was the biggest of round 33, across nine matches.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jean-Victor Makengo (Lorient) 7.0, Pablo Pagis (Lorient) 6.8 and Noah Cadiou (Lorient) 5.4 led the match.
Head-to-head
Metz are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Lorient.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Both teams to score: Yes, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.
Next up
Metz next travel to Kellermann on 14 November 2026.
Lorient next travel to Le Havre on 8 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Metz: Kellermann v Metz, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Lorient: Le Havre v Lorient, Sunday 8 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Metz 0–4 Lorient · Ligue 1
- Referee: J. Stinat
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Metz 1 · draws 3 · Lorient 2 · 2.17 goals/game
- Recent form: Metz 0W 2D 3L · Lorient 1W 2D 2L
Metz 0–4 Lorient (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Metz for / against | Line | Lorient for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.25 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.75our book | 1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.38 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.63 for · 6.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.5 for · 17 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 9.25 for · 14.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.63 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.63 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 9.13 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.25 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: J. Stinat — 3.78 yellow cards a game, 0.33 red cards, 21.22 fouls over 9 matches.
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Metz
Metz Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Fischer | 25 | 902250 min | 883.5 /90 | 532.1 /90 | 10 /90 |
| P. Sy | 7 | 88617 min | 263.8 /90 | 162.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Fischer n 8 | 90 | 3.1 |
| P. Sy n 8 | 88.4 | 3.3 |
Metz Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gbamin | 28 | 852378 min | 501.9 /90 | 271 /90 | 130.5 /90 | 1094.1 /90 | 200.8 /90 | 20.1 /90 |
| K. Kouao | 28 | 842357 min | 752.9 /90 | 301.1 /90 | 130.5 /90 | 1495.7 /90 | 331.3 /90 | 90.3 /90 |
| Sadibou Sané | 22 | 841853 min | 462.2 /90 | 391.9 /90 | 201 /90 | 974.7 /90 | 201 /90 | 40.2 /90 |
| M. Colin | 22 | 781717 min | 382 /90 | 261.4 /90 | 100.5 /90 | 603.1 /90 | 110.6 /90 | 20.1 /90 |
| T. Yegbe | 21 | 841772 min | 150.8 /90 | 211.1 /90 | 160.8 /90 | 392 /90 | 180.9 /90 | 20.1 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Tsitaishvili n 8 | 80.4 | 0.8 | 2 | J. Makengo |
| G. Hein n 8 | 80.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | D. Karim |
| J. Deminguet n 8 | 75.1 | 1.5 | 1.8 | K. Kouassi |
| J. Gbamin n 8 | 81 | 1.1 | 0.4 | K. Kouassi |
| K. Kouao n 8 | 81.3 | 1.2 | 1.5 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| G. Tsitaishvili n 8 | 80.4 | 0.8 |
| G. Hein n 8 | 80.8 | 1 |
| J. Deminguet n 8 | 75.1 | 2.5 |
| J. Gbamin n 8 | 81 | 1.7 |
| K. Kouao n 8 | 81.3 | 2.8 |
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Metz Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Diallo | 23 | 821875 min | 40.2 /90 | 10 /90 | 271.3 /90 | 120.6 /90 | 120.6 /90 | 130.6 /90 |
| Giorgi Abuashvili | 14 | 37521 min | 10.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 101.7 /90 | 40.7 /90 | 40.7 /90 | 50.9 /90 |
| Cheick Tidiane Sabaly | 13 | 74964 min | 00 /90 | 20.2 /90 | 70.7 /90 | 40.4 /90 | 100.9 /90 | 141.3 /90 |
| Ibou Sané | 11 | 58638 min | 10.1 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 91.3 /90 | 60.8 /90 | 40.6 /90 | 40.6 /90 |
| M. Bokele Mputu | 7 | 33234 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 20.8 /90 | 20.8 /90 | 51.9 /90 | 20.8 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| G. Tsitaishvili n 8 | 80.4 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| G. Hein n 8 | 80.8 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| J. Deminguet n 8 | 75.1 | 1 | 0.6 |
| J. Gbamin n 8 | 81 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| K. Kouao n 8 | 81.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| G. Tsitaishvili n 8 | 80.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| G. Hein n 8 | 80.8 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| J. Deminguet n 8 | 75.1 | 0.1 | 0 |
| J. Gbamin n 8 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| K. Kouao n 8 | 81.3 | 0.1 | 0 |
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Lorient
Lorient Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Mvogo | 29 | 902610 min | 702.4 /90 | 371.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
| B. Kamara | 6 | 90540 min | 152.5 /90 | 91.5 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Y. Mvogo n 8 | 90 | 3.1 |
| B. Kamara n 6 | 90 | 2.5 |
Lorient Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Talbi | 28 | 902520 min | 220.8 /90 | 260.9 /90 | 230.8 /90 | 1154.1 /90 | 80.3 /90 | 40.1 /90 |
| B. Meité | 25 | 842109 min | 311.3 /90 | 140.6 /90 | 140.6 /90 | 1345.7 /90 | 361.5 /90 | 50.2 /90 |
| D. Yongwa | 19 | 701335 min | 332.2 /90 | 120.8 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 875.9 /90 | 130.9 /90 | 30.2 /90 |
| Igor Silva | 17 | 821394 min | 241.5 /90 | 161 /90 | 80.5 /90 | 654.2 /90 | 90.6 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| A. Faye | 16 | 831323 min | 292 /90 | 271.8 /90 | 70.5 /90 | 815.5 /90 | 231.6 /90 | 70.5 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Makengo n 8 | 68.8 | 0.5 | 0.8 | G. Tsitaishvili |
| K. Kouassi n 8 | 80.3 | 0.1 | 2.1 | J. Gbamin |
| A. Avom n 8 | 79.1 | 1.4 | 1 | — |
| Y. Mvogo n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| D. Karim n 8 | 46.5 | 0.7 | 2.7 | G. Hein |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Makengo n 8 | 68.8 | 1.5 |
| K. Kouassi n 8 | 80.3 | 0.8 |
| A. Avom n 8 | 79.1 | 2.3 |
| D. Karim n 8 | 46.5 | 1 |
| M. Talbi n 8 | 90 | 1 |
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Lorient Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Makengo | 31 | 591837 min | 30.1 /90 | 20.1 /90 | 271.3 /90 | 130.6 /90 | 221.1 /90 | 231.1 /90 |
| P. Pagis | 28 | 641804 min | 100.5 /90 | 30.1 /90 | 482.4 /90 | 201 /90 | 502.5 /90 | 251.2 /90 |
| A. Tosin | 24 | 41982 min | 50.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 262.4 /90 | 141.3 /90 | 100.9 /90 | 121.1 /90 |
| S. Soumano | 24 | 40951 min | 40.4 /90 | 20.2 /90 | 191.8 /90 | 100.9 /90 | 100.9 /90 | 60.6 /90 |
| B. Dieng | 20 | 621230 min | 141 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 402.9 /90 | 241.8 /90 | 131 /90 | 60.4 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Makengo n 8 | 68.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| K. Kouassi n 8 | 80.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| A. Avom n 8 | 79.1 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| Y. Mvogo n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| D. Karim n 8 | 46.5 | 0.7 | 0 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Makengo n 8 | 68.8 | 0 | 0 |
| K. Kouassi n 8 | 80.3 | 0 | 0.1 |
| A. Avom n 8 | 79.1 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Y. Mvogo n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| D. Karim n 8 | 46.5 | 0 | 0 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Metz | Lorient | |
|---|---|---|
| 54% | Possession | 46% |
| 0.67 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.00 |
| 8 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 4 | Shots off target | 5 |
| 2 | Blocked shots | 2 |
| 5 | Shots inside the box | 7 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 2 |
| 517 | Passes | 466 |
| 90% | Pass accuracy | 86% |
Metz Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Sy | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Sadibou Sané | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.2 |
| T. Yegbe | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| G. Tsitaishvili | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | Y | 6.5 |
| J. Deminguet | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| B. Sarr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| G. Hein | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| J. Gbamin | 76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| K. Kouao | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| G. Kvilitaia | 64 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| N. Mbala | 40 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Giorgi Abuashvili sub | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| H. Diallo sub | 26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| B. Stambouli sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| B. Munongo sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
Lorient Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Mvogo | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.9 |
| N. Adjei | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| M. Talbi | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.5 |
| N. Cadiou | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8.3 |
| L. Abergel | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| K. Kouassi | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| P. Katseris | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| J. Makengo | 74 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | Y | 8 |
| A. Tosin | 74 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| A. Faye | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 6.9 |
| D. Karim | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Souleymane Isaak Touré sub | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| P. Pagis sub | 28 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| A. Avom sub | 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.6 |
| B. Dieng sub | 16 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.7 |
| Igor Silva sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Metz v Lorient — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-01-04 Lorient 1–1 Metz
- 2025-01-11 Lorient 0–0 Metz
- 2024-09-21 Metz 1–1 Lorient
- 2024-02-04 Metz 1–2 Lorient
- 2023-11-26 Lorient 2–3 Metz
- 2022-04-20 Lorient 1–0 Metz
Shot Map and Expected Goals
Metz 0.73 xG from 8 shots, Lorient 1.77 from 14. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.
| Team | Shots | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Metz | 8 | 0 | 0.73 |
| Lorient | 14 | 4 | 1.77 |
Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.
Expected Goals Race
At half-time, xG was level: Metz 0.37, Lorient 0.65. At full time, Lorient led on xG, 1.77 to 0.73. The widest gap was 1.04 xG to Lorient, in the 97th minute.
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Metz v Lorient?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Metz v Lorient was Both teams to score: Yes.
- What is the head-to-head record between Metz and Lorient?
- In their last 6 meetings, Metz won 1, Lorient won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Metz and Lorient?
- Recent form — Metz 0W 2D 3L; Lorient 1W 2D 2L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.