MetzLorient

Metz v Lorient result

Full-time · Metz 0–4 Lorient

Ligue 1 ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Metz 0–4 Lorient — Lorient won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Both teams to score: Yes.

Free pick
Both teams to score: Yes
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: 2 of 4 calls the model rated 70% or more on Both teams to score: Yes landed in the last 90 days (too few for a rate). How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Lorient: 1.77 to 0.73 in expected goals, from 14 shots to 8, ahead on xG from the 16th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Lorient won 4–0 at Metz in Ligue 1 on Sunday 10 May. Metz are winless in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions.

The goals

Lorient led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Lorient: Jean-Victor Makengo (24’, assisted by Kan Kouassi), B. Dieng (84’, assisted by Pablo Pagis), Arthur Avom (90’, assisted by Pablo Pagis) and Noah Cadiou (90’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jean-Victor Makengo’s goal on 24 minutes.

Discipline

J. Stinat showed four yellow cards — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Metz: Sadibou Sané (9’) and Giorgi Tsitaishvili (23’); Lorient: Abdoulaye Faye (15’) and Jean-Victor Makengo (42’).

What it changes

Metz stay 18th after this result (33 league matches played). Metz have scored 32 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 33 games, ranked per game). Metz have conceded 76 goals, the most of the 18 clubs.

Lorient stay ninth after this result (33 league matches played). Lorient have scored 48 goals, the ninth-most of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 33 games, ranked per game). Lorient have conceded 49 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

It is Lorient’s first win over Metz since 4 February 2024, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds). Lorient’s four-goal margin was the biggest of round 33, across nine matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jean-Victor Makengo (Lorient) 7.0, Pablo Pagis (Lorient) 6.8 and Noah Cadiou (Lorient) 5.4 led the match.

Head-to-head

Metz are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Lorient.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Both teams to score: Yes, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Metz next travel to Kellermann on 14 November 2026.

Lorient next travel to Le Havre on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Metz: Kellermann v Metz, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Lorient: Le Havre v Lorient, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Metz 0–4 Lorient · Ligue 1
  • Referee: J. Stinat
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Metz 1 · draws 3 · Lorient 2 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Metz 0W 2D 3L · Lorient 1W 2D 2L

Metz 0–4 Lorient (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.25
Goals
against 2.38 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.38 / 3.63
Corners
against 6 / 6.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 4
Shots on target
against 5.88 / 4.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 1.25
Cards
against 1.75 / 2.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.78 yellows
Referee · J. Stinat
21.22 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 2 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameMetz for / againstLineLorient for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 2.38 against n 8
2.75our book
1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
4.38 for · 6 against n 8
9.5standard
3.63 for · 6.5 against n 8
Shots
11.5 for · 17 against n 8
19.5standard
9.25 for · 14.13 against n 8
Shots on target
3.63 for · 5.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.63 for · 11.88 against n 8
21.5standard
9.13 for · 11.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 2.5 against n 8

Referee: J. Stinat — 3.78 yellow cards a game, 0.33 red cards, 21.22 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Metz

Metz Goalkeeper

Metz — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Fischer25902250 min883.5 /90532.1 /9010 /90
P. Sy788617 min263.8 /90162.3 /9000 /90
Metz — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Metz before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Fischer n 890
3.17/4
P. Sy n 888.4
3.35/4

Metz Defensive

Metz — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Gbamin28852378 min501.9 /90271 /90130.5 /901094.1 /90200.8 /9020.1 /90
K. Kouao28842357 min752.9 /90301.1 /90130.5 /901495.7 /90331.3 /9090.3 /90
Sadibou Sané22841853 min462.2 /90391.9 /90201 /90974.7 /90201 /9040.2 /90
M. Colin22781717 min382 /90261.4 /90100.5 /90603.1 /90110.6 /9020.1 /90
T. Yegbe21841772 min150.8 /90211.1 /90160.8 /90392 /90180.9 /9020.1 /90
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Metz — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Metz before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
G. Tsitaishvili n 880.4
0.84/2
25/4
J. Makengo
G. Hein n 880.8
0.74/1
0.32/0
D. Karim
J. Deminguet n 875.1
1.57/2
1.88/4
K. Kouassi
J. Gbamin n 881
1.16/2
0.43/0
K. Kouassi
K. Kouao n 881.3
1.24/3
1.57/4
—
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Metz — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Metz before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Tsitaishvili n 880.4
0.85/1
G. Hein n 880.8
15/2
J. Deminguet n 875.1
2.58/5
J. Gbamin n 881
1.75/4
K. Kouao n 881.3
2.88/6
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Metz Attacking

Metz — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
H. Diallo23821875 min40.2 /9010 /90271.3 /90120.6 /90120.6 /90130.6 /90
Giorgi Abuashvili1437521 min10.2 /9000 /90101.7 /9040.7 /9040.7 /9050.9 /90
Cheick Tidiane Sabaly1374964 min00 /9020.2 /9070.7 /9040.4 /90100.9 /90141.3 /90
Ibou Sané1158638 min10.1 /9010.1 /9091.3 /9060.8 /9040.6 /9040.6 /90
M. Bokele Mputu733234 min00 /9000 /9020.8 /9020.8 /9051.9 /9020.8 /90
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Metz — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Metz before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Tsitaishvili n 880.4
1.16/1
0.63/1
G. Hein n 880.8
1.34/4
0.42/1
J. Deminguet n 875.1
15/2
0.64/0
J. Gbamin n 881
0.11/0
0.11/0
K. Kouao n 881.3
0.85/1
0.64/0
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Metz — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Metz before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Tsitaishvili n 880.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
G. Hein n 880.8
0.31/1
0.43/0
J. Deminguet n 875.1
0.11/0
00/0
J. Gbamin n 881
00/0
00/0
K. Kouao n 881.3
0.11/0
00/0
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Lorient

Lorient Goalkeeper

Lorient — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Y. Mvogo29902610 min702.4 /90371.3 /9000 /90
B. Kamara690540 min152.5 /9091.5 /9000 /90
Lorient — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Y. Mvogo n 890
3.17/6
B. Kamara n 690
2.54/2

Lorient Defensive

Lorient — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Talbi28902520 min220.8 /90260.9 /90230.8 /901154.1 /9080.3 /9040.1 /90
B. Meité25842109 min311.3 /90140.6 /90140.6 /901345.7 /90361.5 /9050.2 /90
D. Yongwa19701335 min332.2 /90120.8 /9010.1 /90875.9 /90130.9 /9030.2 /90
Igor Silva17821394 min241.5 /90161 /9080.5 /90654.2 /9090.6 /9010.1 /90
A. Faye16831323 min292 /90271.8 /9070.5 /90815.5 /90231.6 /9070.5 /90
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Lorient — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Makengo n 868.8
0.53/0
0.84/1
G. Tsitaishvili
K. Kouassi n 880.3
0.11/0
2.17/5
J. Gbamin
A. Avom n 879.1
1.46/3
16/1
—
Y. Mvogo n 890
00/0
00/0
—
D. Karim n 846.5
0.73/0
2.74/3
G. Hein
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Lorient — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Makengo n 868.8
1.56/2
K. Kouassi n 880.3
0.84/2
A. Avom n 879.1
2.37/4
D. Karim n 846.5
13/1
M. Talbi n 890
15/3
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Lorient Attacking

Lorient — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Makengo31591837 min30.1 /9020.1 /90271.3 /90130.6 /90221.1 /90231.1 /90
P. Pagis28641804 min100.5 /9030.1 /90482.4 /90201 /90502.5 /90251.2 /90
A. Tosin2441982 min50.5 /9000 /90262.4 /90141.3 /90100.9 /90121.1 /90
S. Soumano2440951 min40.4 /9020.2 /90191.8 /90100.9 /90100.9 /9060.6 /90
B. Dieng20621230 min141 /9010.1 /90402.9 /90241.8 /90131 /9060.4 /90
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Lorient — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Makengo n 868.8
0.32/0
0.21/0
K. Kouassi n 880.3
0.32/0
0.32/0
A. Avom n 879.1
0.73/2
0.62/2
Y. Mvogo n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Karim n 846.5
0.72/1
00/0
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Lorient — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Makengo n 868.8
00/0
00/0
K. Kouassi n 880.3
00/0
0.11/0
A. Avom n 879.1
0.11/0
00/0
Y. Mvogo n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Karim n 846.5
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
MetzLorient
54%Possession46%
0.67Expected goals (xG)2.00
8Shots14
2Shots on target7
4Shots off target5
2Blocked shots2
5Shots inside the box7
7Corners4
0Offsides2
8Fouls8
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Saves2
517Passes466
90%Pass accuracy86%

Metz Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
P. Sy9000000006.2
Sadibou Sané90000001Y6.2
T. Yegbe9000110006.5
G. Tsitaishvili90000020Y6.5
J. Deminguet9000000106.2
B. Sarr9000101006.2
G. Hein9000101006.3
J. Gbamin7600001107
K. Kouao6500000206.6
G. Kvilitaia6400112107
N. Mbala4000100206.5
Giorgi Abuashvili sub5000000006.5
H. Diallo sub2600100006.3
B. Stambouli sub2500000006.5
B. Munongo sub1400000006.2

Lorient Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Y. Mvogo9000000007.9
N. Adjei9000000207.2
M. Talbi9000000007.5
N. Cadiou9010111008.3
L. Abergel9000100106.9
K. Kouassi9001111007.3
P. Katseris8900001106.3
J. Makengo74103212Y8
A. Tosin7400201006.3
A. Faye62000002Y6.9
D. Karim6200001206.7
Souleymane Isaak Touré sub2800000006.9
P. Pagis sub2802005007
A. Avom sub1610110007.6
B. Dieng sub1610320007.7
Igor Silva sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Metz v Lorient — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MetzDLLDL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
LorientDLWLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Metz 1 · 3 draws · Lorient 2 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2026-01-04 Lorient 1–1 Metz
  • 2025-01-11 Lorient 0–0 Metz
  • 2024-09-21 Metz 1–1 Lorient
  • 2024-02-04 Metz 1–2 Lorient
  • 2023-11-26 Lorient 2–3 Metz
  • 2022-04-20 Lorient 1–0 Metz
League standing · 2025/26
Metz#18 pos17 pts34 pl-44 GD
Lorient#9 pos45 pts34 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
Metz scored0.94
Lorient scored1.41
Metz conceded2.24
Lorient conceded1.5

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Metz 0.73 xG from 8 shots, Lorient 1.77 from 14. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Aiyegun Tosin 73' · 0.39 xGTerry Yegbe 43' · 0.35 xGJean-Victor Makengo 60' · 0.12 xGAiyegun Tosin 62' · 0.12 xGHabib Diallo 77' · 0.09 xGGiorgi Kvilitaia 50' · 0.08 xGGauthier Hein 70' · 0.07 xGAhmadou Bamba Dieng 79' · 0.07 xGAhmadou Bamba Dieng 77' · 0.07 xGGiorgi Tsitaishvili 58' · 0.06 xGJean-Victor Makengo 16' · 0.05 xGLaurent Abergel 69' · 0.05 xGGauthier Hein 72' · 0.04 xGArsène Kouassi 48' · 0.04 xGAiyegun Tosin 57' · 0.03 xGBouna Sarr 58' · 0.02 xGLaurent Abergel 62' · 0.02 xGNathan Mbala 28' · 0.01 xGJean-Victor Makengo 23' · 0.60 xG · goalAhmadou Bamba Dieng 83' · 0.11 xG · goalArthur Avom 96' · 0.06 xG · goalNoah Cadiou 97' · 0.06 xG · goal
Metz (attacking right)Lorient (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Metz800.73
Lorient1441.77

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Metz 0.37, Lorient 0.65. At full time, Lorient led on xG, 1.77 to 0.73. The widest gap was 1.04 xG to Lorient, in the 97th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.80.900′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Lorient 23 minGoal - Lorient 83 minGoal - Lorient 96 minGoal - Lorient 97 min
Metz 0.73 xGLorient 1.77 xGdots = goals · 22 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Metz v Lorient?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Metz v Lorient was Both teams to score: Yes.
What is the head-to-head record between Metz and Lorient?
In their last 6 meetings, Metz won 1, Lorient won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Metz and Lorient?
Recent form — Metz 0W 2D 3L; Lorient 1W 2D 2L.

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