MetzMonaco

Metz v Monaco result

Full-time · Metz 1–2 Monaco

Ligue 1 ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Metz 1–2 Monaco — Monaco won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Monaco: 1.59 to 1.15 in expected goals, from 15 shots to 13, ahead on xG from the 39th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Monaco won 2–1 at Metz in Ligue 1 on Saturday 2 May. Metz are winless in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. Monaco are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Metz: J. Deminguet (49’, assisted by Gauthier Hein); Monaco: Folarin Balogun (61’, assisted by Maghnes Akliouche) and Ansu Fati (90’, assisted by Caio Henrique).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ansu Fati’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

R. Buquet showed two yellow cards — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Monaco: Mamadou Coulibaly (62’) and Christian Mawissa Elebi (81’).

What it changes

Metz stay 18th after this result (32 league matches played). Metz have scored 32 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 21 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Metz have conceded 76 goals, the second-most of the 21 clubs.

Monaco move up from seventh to sixth (32 league matches played). Monaco have scored 60 goals, the fifth-most of the 21 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Monaco have conceded 54 goals, the fifth-most of the 21 clubs.

Monaco have scored in 13 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Gauthier Hein (Metz) 6.9, J. Deminguet (Metz) 5.8 and Maghnes Akliouche (Monaco) 4.6 led the match.

Head-to-head

Monaco are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Metz, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.4% of the time in the last 90 days (366 of 543).

Next up

Metz next travel to Montpellier on 6 November 2026.

Monaco next travel to Le Mans on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Metz: Montpellier v Metz, Friday 6 November — the preview. Next for Monaco: Le Mans v Monaco, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Metz 1–2 Monaco · Ligue 1
  • Referee: R. Buquet
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Metz 0 · draws 1 · Monaco 5 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Metz 0W 3D 2L · Monaco 2W 2D 1L

Metz 1–2 Monaco (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 2
Goals
against 2.25 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.75
over 8 matches
5.25 / 5.13
Corners
against 5.38 / 4.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 5
Shots on target
against 5.63 / 5 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 1.75
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.83 yellows
Referee · R. Buquet
21.42 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 12 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameMetz for / againstLineMonaco for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.75our book
2 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
5.25 for · 5.38 against n 8
9.5standard
5.13 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
12.88 for · 15.88 against n 8
19.5standard
12.63 for · 14.38 against n 8
Shots on target
4.25 for · 5.63 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 5 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.13 for · 11.38 against n 8
21.5standard
11.5 for · 10 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: R. Buquet — 2.83 yellow cards a game, 0.08 red cards, 21.42 fouls over 12 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Metz

Metz Goalkeeper

Metz — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Fischer25902250 min883.5 /90532.1 /9010 /90
P. Sy688527 min254.3 /90142.4 /9000 /90
Metz — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Metz before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Fischer n 890
3.17/4
P. Sy n 788.1
3.65/4

Metz Defensive

Metz — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. Kouao28842357 min752.9 /90301.1 /90130.5 /901495.7 /90331.3 /9090.3 /90
J. Gbamin27852288 min502 /90240.9 /90120.5 /901084.2 /90200.8 /9020.1 /90
M. Colin22781717 min382 /90261.4 /90100.5 /90603.1 /90110.6 /9020.1 /90
Sadibou Sané21841763 min452.3 /90361.8 /90180.9 /90944.8 /90191 /9040.2 /90
T. Yegbe20841682 min150.8 /90211.1 /90150.8 /90392.1 /90170.9 /9020.1 /90
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Metz — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Metz before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
G. Tsitaishvili n 880.4
14/3
1.44/3
T. Kehrer
K. Kouao n 881.3
1.24/3
1.57/4
—
G. Hein n 872
0.84/1
0.32/0
M. Akliouche
J. Deminguet n 868
1.26/1
1.87/4
M. Akliouche
J. Gbamin n 881
1.37/2
0.43/0
J. Teze
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Metz — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Metz before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Tsitaishvili n 880.4
0.85/1
K. Kouao n 881.3
2.88/6
G. Hein n 872
0.84/1
J. Deminguet n 868
2.67/5
J. Gbamin n 881
2.26/5
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Metz Attacking

Metz — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
H. Diallo23821875 min40.2 /9010 /90271.3 /90120.6 /90120.6 /90130.6 /90
Cheick Tidiane Sabaly1374964 min00 /9020.2 /9070.7 /9040.4 /90100.9 /90141.3 /90
Giorgi Abuashvili1339505 min10.2 /9000 /90101.8 /9040.7 /9040.7 /9040.7 /90
Ibou Sané1158638 min10.1 /9010.1 /9091.3 /9060.8 /9040.6 /9040.6 /90
M. Bokele Mputu733234 min00 /9000 /9020.8 /9020.8 /9051.9 /9020.8 /90
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Metz — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Metz before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Tsitaishvili n 880.4
1.16/1
0.63/1
K. Kouao n 881.3
0.85/1
0.64/0
G. Hein n 872
1.34/3
0.63/1
J. Deminguet n 868
15/1
0.53/0
J. Gbamin n 881
0.42/1
0.42/1
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Metz — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Metz before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Tsitaishvili n 880.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
K. Kouao n 881.3
0.11/0
00/0
G. Hein n 872
0.31/1
0.32/0
J. Deminguet n 868
00/0
00/0
J. Gbamin n 881
00/0
00/0
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Monaco

Monaco Goalkeeper

Monaco — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
P. Köhn28902508 min873.1 /90481.7 /9010 /90
L. Hrádecký16891429 min513.2 /90231.4 /9000 /90
Monaco — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Köhn n 890
3.97/6
L. Hrádecký n 890
3.97/5

Monaco Defensive

Monaco — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
T. Kehrer36863112 min792.3 /90431.2 /90331 /901975.7 /90300.9 /90100.3 /90
Caio Henrique32782506 min441.6 /90260.9 /90110.4 /90983.5 /90160.6 /9030.1 /90
Vanderson22581278 min453.2 /90322.3 /9040.3 /90835.8 /90282 /9050.4 /90
K. Ouattara19701330 min372.5 /90201.4 /9020.1 /90815.5 /90271.8 /9040.3 /90
M. Salisu18901613 min271.5 /90221.2 /90311.7 /901005.6 /90211.2 /9050.3 /90
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Monaco — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Akliouche n 872.5
1.45/3
1.66/2
J. Deminguet
J. Teze n 880
0.42/1
0.43/0
J. Gbamin
F. Balogun n 881.9
2.26/5
1.45/4
—
T. Kehrer n 887.4
0.64/1
0.64/1
G. Tsitaishvili
Caio Henrique n 866.1
0.21/0
0.52/1
—
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Monaco — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Akliouche n 872.5
1.15/2
J. Teze n 880
2.36/4
F. Balogun n 881.9
00/0
T. Kehrer n 887.4
38/7
Caio Henrique n 866.1
1.56/1
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Monaco Attacking

Monaco — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
F. Balogun40752995 min180.5 /9040.1 /90862.6 /90471.4 /90290.9 /90170.5 /90
M. Biereth25521294 min50.3 /9020.1 /90171.2 /90110.8 /90171.2 /9030.2 /90
Ansu Fati25461146 min100.8 /9000 /90312.4 /90221.7 /90181.4 /90151.2 /90
G. Ilenikhena1134372 min10.2 /9000 /90122.9 /9051.2 /9020.5 /9010.2 /90
Paris Josua Brunner33089 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011 /90
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Monaco — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Akliouche n 872.5
1.77/3
1.16/1
J. Teze n 880
0.63/1
0.32/0
F. Balogun n 881.9
2.37/4
1.47/2
T. Kehrer n 887.4
0.11/0
00/0
Caio Henrique n 866.1
00/0
00/0
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Monaco — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Akliouche n 872.5
0.53/0
0.53/0
J. Teze n 880
0.11/0
0.32/0
F. Balogun n 881.9
17/0
0.11/0
T. Kehrer n 887.4
00/0
00/0
Caio Henrique n 866.1
00/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
MetzMonaco
34%Possession66%
1.22Expected goals (xG)1.25
13Shots15
1Shots on target3
10Shots off target7
2Blocked shots5
10Shots inside the box9
5Corners9
1Offsides1
10Fouls15
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Saves0
295Passes584
79%Pass accuracy86%

Metz Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
P. Sy9000000006.5
B. Sarr9000202106.6
Sadibou Sané9000000107
T. Yegbe9000101005.9
G. Tsitaishvili9000101007.2
J. Gbamin9000000006.6
G. Hein9001205207.3
J. Deminguet8110211107.9
G. Kvilitaia8100001207.2
N. Mbala7400201106.3
B. Stambouli7300100206.3
B. Munongo sub1700000006.5
Giorgi Abuashvili sub1600000006.6
J. Pandore sub900000106.7
H. Diallo sub900000006.3

Monaco Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Hrádecký9000000006.7
D. Zakaria9000100407
T. Kehrer9000100207.3
J. Teze9000000006.5
M. Akliouche9001213007.2
F. Balogun9010210006.6
C. Mawissa Elebi84000001Y6.3
A. Golovin7400102006.3
L. Camara5800001106.9
P. Pogba5800100106.6
S. Adingra5800003106.2
A. Bamba sub3200000106.3
M. Coulibaly sub32001000Y6.5
Ansu Fati sub3210111007.6
M. Biereth sub1600000006.3
Caio Henrique sub1501002107.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Metz v Monaco — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MetzDDLLD
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 1.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
MonacoWWLDD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.8 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Metz 0 · 1 draw · Monaco 5 · 4 goals/game
  • 2025-09-21 Monaco 5–2 Metz
  • 2024-03-30 Metz 2–5 Monaco
  • 2023-10-22 Monaco 2–1 Metz
  • 2022-04-03 Metz 1–2 Monaco
  • 2021-12-05 Monaco 4–0 Metz
  • 2021-04-06 Monaco 0–0 Metz
League standing · 2025/26
Metz#18 pos17 pts34 pl-44 GD
Monaco#7 pos54 pts34 pl+6 GD
Goals per game
Metz scored0.94
Monaco scored1.76
Metz conceded2.24
Monaco conceded1.59

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Metz 1.15 xG from 13 shots, Monaco 1.59 from 15. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Denis Zakaria 50' · 0.38 xGGauthier Hein 79' · 0.37 xGMaghnes Akliouche 27' · 0.14 xGAleksandr Golovin 39' · 0.13 xGJessy Deminguet 28' · 0.13 xGTerry Yegbe 88' · 0.11 xGBouna Sarr 92' · 0.10 xGNathan Mbala 52' · 0.10 xGThilo Kehrer 83' · 0.08 xGPaul Pogba 39' · 0.08 xGBenjamin Stambouli 71' · 0.07 xGMamadou Coulibaly 69' · 0.07 xGGauthier Hein 27' · 0.06 xGFolarin Balogun 65' · 0.06 xGBouna Sarr 44' · 0.06 xGSimon Adingra 5' · 0.05 xGGauthier Hein 29' · 0.05 xGMaghnes Akliouche 50' · 0.03 xGBouna Sarr 88' · 0.03 xGAleksandr Golovin 56' · 0.02 xGAleksandr Golovin 31' · 0.02 xGGiorgi Tsitaishvili 95' · 0.02 xGDenis Zakaria 40' · 0.02 xGPaul Pogba 19' · 0.01 xGNathan Mbala 38' · 0.01 xGAnssumane Fati 90' · 0.44 xG · goalFolarin Balogun 60' · 0.06 xG · goalJessy Deminguet 48' · 0.05 xG · goal
Metz (attacking right)Monaco (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Metz1311.15
Monaco1521.59

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Metz 0.31, Monaco 0.46. At full time, Monaco led on xG, 1.59 to 1.15. The widest gap was 0.61 xG to Monaco, in the 69th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.60.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Metz 48 minGoal - Monaco 60 minGoal - Monaco 90 min
Metz 1.15 xGMonaco 1.59 xGdots = goals · 28 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Metz v Monaco?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Metz v Monaco was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Metz and Monaco?
In their last 6 meetings, Metz won 0, Monaco won 5 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Metz and Monaco?
Recent form — Metz 0W 3D 2L; Monaco 2W 2D 1L.

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