Metz v Paris FC result

Full-time · Metz 1–3 Paris FC

Ligue 1 · Sun, 19 Apr 2026 16:15 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Metz · Paris FC · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Metz 1–3 Paris FC — Paris FC won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.6% of 5130 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,909 of 2,555 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Paris FC: 1.98 to 1.48 in expected goals, from 15 shots to 13, ahead on xG from the 20th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Paris FC won 3–1 at Metz in Ligue 1 on Sunday 19 April. Metz are winless in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. Paris FC are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Paris FC: A. Gory (21’), Otávio (69’, assisted by C. Immobile) and Ilan Kebbal (89’, assisted by Diego Coppola); Metz: G. Kvilitaia (31’, assisted by Sadibou Sané).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Otávio’s goal on 69 minutes.

Discipline

J. Stinat showed four yellow cards — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Metz: U. Mboula (13’) and K. Kouao (38’); Paris FC: Ilan Kebbal (45+1’) and A. Gory (62’).

What it changes

Metz stay 18th after this result (30 league matches played). Metz have scored 32 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 21 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Metz have conceded 76 goals, the second-most of the 21 clubs.

Paris FC move up from 12th to 10th (30 league matches played). Paris FC have scored 47 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 21 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Paris FC have conceded 50 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 21 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Otávio (Paris FC) 8.4, G. Kvilitaia (Metz) 8.1 and Ilan Kebbal (Paris FC) 6.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Metz or Paris FC (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.6% of the time in the last 90 days (3983 of 5130).

Next up

Metz next travel to Montpellier on 6 November 2026.

Paris FC next travel to Auxerre on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Metz: Montpellier v Metz, Friday 6 November — the preview. Next for Paris FC: Auxerre v Paris FC, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Metz 1–3 Paris FC · Ligue 1
Referee: J. Stinat
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Metz 4 · draws 1 · Paris FC 1 · 3.5 goals/game
Recent form: Metz 0W 2D 3L · Paris FC 2W 3D 0L

Metz 1–3 Paris FC (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.63 / 1.38

Goals

against 2.13 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.63 / 4.5

Corners

against 4.88 / 8 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.38 / 4.38

Shots on target

against 5.38 / 5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2 / 2.25

Cards

against 1.38 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

3.78 yellows

Referee · J. Stinat

21.22 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 9 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 10 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Metz for / against	Line	Paris FC for / against
Goals scored	0.63 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.63 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.5 for · 8 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.75 for · 16.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	11.38 for · 15.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.38 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.38 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.13 for · 9.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.25 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: J. Stinat — 3.78 yellow cards a game, 0.33 red cards, 21.22 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Metz

Metz Goalkeeper

Metz — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Fischer	25	902250 min	883.5 /90	532.1 /90	10 /90
P. Sy	4	87347 min	205.2 /90	71.8 /90	00 /90

Metz — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Metz before kick-off, to 10 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Fischer n 8	90	3.1 7/4
P. Sy n 5	87.4	4.1 4/3

Metz Defensive

Metz — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
K. Kouao	27	842267 min	742.9 /90	281.1 /90	130.5 /90	1465.8 /90	321.3 /90	80.3 /90
J. Gbamin	25	872180 min	482 /90	220.9 /90	120.5 /90	1054.3 /90	180.7 /90	20.1 /90
M. Colin	22	781717 min	382 /90	261.4 /90	100.5 /90	603.1 /90	110.6 /90	20.1 /90
Sadibou Sané	19	831583 min	412.3 /90	331.9 /90	150.9 /90	854.8 /90	160.9 /90	40.2 /90
T. Yegbe	18	841518 min	140.8 /90	160.9 /90	130.8 /90	372.2 /90	160.9 /90	20.1 /90
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Metz — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Metz before kick-off, to 10 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
G. Tsitaishvili n 8	80.1	1 4/3	1.1 3/2	I. Kebbal
K. Kouao n 8	81.3	1.5 4/4	1.4 6/4	—
G. Hein n 8	67.9	0.8 4/1	0.2 1/0	I. Kebbal
J. Deminguet n 8	62.8	1.4 7/1	1.6 6/3	—
J. Fischer n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
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Metz — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Metz before kick-off, to 10 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
G. Tsitaishvili n 8	80.1	0.8 6/0
K. Kouao n 8	81.3	3.5 8/7
G. Hein n 8	67.9	0.5 3/0
J. Deminguet n 8	62.8	2.5 6/4
J. Gbamin n 8	90	2.3 7/5
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Metz Attacking

Metz — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
H. Diallo	22	841845 min	40.2 /90	10 /90	271.3 /90	120.6 /90	120.6 /90	130.6 /90
Cheick Tidiane Sabaly	13	74964 min	00 /90	20.2 /90	70.7 /90	40.4 /90	100.9 /90	141.3 /90
Giorgi Abuashvili	13	39505 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	101.8 /90	40.7 /90	40.7 /90	40.7 /90
Ibou Sané	11	58638 min	10.1 /90	10.1 /90	91.3 /90	60.8 /90	40.6 /90	40.6 /90
M. Bokele Mputu	7	33234 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.8 /90	20.8 /90	51.9 /90	20.8 /90
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Metz — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Metz before kick-off, to 10 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
G. Tsitaishvili n 8	80.1	0.6 4/0	0.3 2/0
K. Kouao n 8	81.3	1 6/1	0.6 4/0
G. Hein n 8	67.9	0.8 3/2	0.3 2/0
J. Deminguet n 8	62.8	0.9 4/1	0.5 3/0
J. Fischer n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Metz — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Metz before kick-off, to 10 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
G. Tsitaishvili n 8	80.1	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
K. Kouao n 8	81.3	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
G. Hein n 8	67.9	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
J. Deminguet n 8	62.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Fischer n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Paris FC

Paris FC Goalkeeper

Paris FC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
K. Trapp	18	901620 min	512.8 /90	251.4 /90	10.1 /90
O. Nkambadio	14	901260 min	372.6 /90	171.2 /90	10.1 /90

Paris FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 10 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
K. Trapp n 8	90	3.6 7/6
O. Nkambadio n 8	90	2.6 4/2

Paris FC Defensive

Paris FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Mbow	31	882716 min	531.8 /90	401.3 /90	280.9 /90	1324.4 /90	210.7 /90	30.1 /90
Otávio	21	861814 min	391.9 /90	271.3 /90	160.8 /90	974.8 /90	231.1 /90	70.3 /90
N. Sangui	20	851694 min	231.2 /90	140.7 /90	50.3 /90	583.1 /90	60.3 /90	00 /90
T. De Smet	17	691180 min	292.2 /90	90.7 /90	30.2 /90	624.7 /90	120.9 /90	80.6 /90
H. Traoré	13	70907 min	232.3 /90	151.5 /90	10.1 /90	404 /90	191.9 /90	30.3 /90
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Paris FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 10 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Mbow n 8	80.8	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0	—
A. Camara n 8	78.4	1.4 6/4	0.7 4/1	—
I. Kebbal n 8	65.3	1 4/1	2.1 6/4	G. Hein
M. Simon n 8	70.9	0.5 2/1	1.1 5/2	—
M. Lopez n 8	70.3	1.3 4/2	0.3 2/0	—
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Paris FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 10 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Mbow n 8	80.8	1.7 5/2
A. Camara n 8	78.4	3 8/8
I. Kebbal n 8	65.3	1.9 7/3
M. Simon n 8	70.9	0.6 4/0
M. Lopez n 8	70.3	0.8 5/0
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Paris FC Attacking

Paris FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Krasso	21	501059 min	10.1 /90	20.2 /90	211.8 /90	90.8 /90	221.9 /90	151.3 /90
J. Ikoné	21	501057 min	70.6 /90	00 /90	181.5 /90	110.9 /90	80.7 /90	161.4 /90
W. Geubbels	20	49971 min	30.3 /90	10.1 /90	222 /90	60.6 /90	70.6 /90	30.3 /90
A. Gory	20	40807 min	20.2 /90	10.1 /90	121.3 /90	30.3 /90	30.3 /90	30.3 /90
L. Koleosho	13	30384 min	20.5 /90	00 /90	81.9 /90	51.2 /90	61.4 /90	61.4 /90
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Paris FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 10 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Mbow n 8	80.8	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
A. Camara n 8	78.4	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
I. Kebbal n 8	65.3	1.2 6/1	0.9 4/1
M. Simon n 8	70.9	1 5/1	0.6 4/0
M. Lopez n 8	70.3	0.5 2/1	0.3 2/0
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Paris FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 10 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Mbow n 8	80.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Camara n 8	78.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
I. Kebbal n 8	65.3	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
M. Simon n 8	70.9	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
M. Lopez n 8	70.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Metz		Paris FC
51%	Possession	49%
1.01	Expected goals (xG)	1.74
13	Shots	15
6	Shots on target	7
3	Shots off target	7
4	Blocked shots	1
9	Shots inside the box	9
6	Corners	5
1	Offsides	1
9	Fouls	8
2	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
4	Saves	4
504	Passes	488
87%	Pass accuracy	84%

Metz Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
P. Sy	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.5
K. Kouao	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6
Sadibou Sané	90	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	7.2
J. Gbamin	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.6
G. Hein	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6
G. Tsitaishvili	90	0	0	3	2	2	0	0	7.5
J. Deminguet	75	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
N. Mbala	75	0	0	1	0	3	2	0	6.6
T. Yegbe	74	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
U. Mboula	57	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.5
H. Diallo	30	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
G. Kvilitaia sub	60	1	0	4	4	1	1	0	7.5
B. Sarr sub	33	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.6
J. Pandore sub	16	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
B. Stambouli sub	15	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.7
L. Michal sub	15	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.5

Paris FC Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
O. Nkambadio	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Diego Coppola	90	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	7.2
Otávio	90	1	0	1	1	0	3	0	8.3
S. Chergui	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.9
R. Matondo	90	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	6.9
I. Kebbal	90	1	0	2	1	5	0	Y	7.9
T. De Smet	88	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
L. Koleosho	88	0	0	2	2	2	2	0	6.7
H. Traoré	78	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	6.7
C. Immobile	78	0	1	2	1	3	0	0	6.2
A. Gory	66	1	0	1	1	1	0	Y	6.9
V. Marchetti sub	24	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.9
A. Camara sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
W. Geubbels sub	12	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	6.2
N. Sangui sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
M. Cafaro sub	8	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Metz v Paris FC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

MetzLLDDL

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2 conceded per game

Paris FCDDWDW

Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Metz 4 · 1 draw · Paris FC 1 · 3.5 goals/game

2025-08-31 Paris FC 3–2 Metz
2025-01-18 Metz 3–1 Paris FC
2024-09-14 Paris FC 1–2 Metz
2023-04-29 Metz 1–1 Paris FC
2022-11-12 Paris FC 1–4 Metz
2019-02-22 Metz 2–0 Paris FC

League standing · 2025/26

Metz#18 pos17 pts34 pl-44 GD

Paris FC#11 pos44 pts34 pl-3 GD

Goals per game

Metz scored0.94

Paris FC scored1.38

Metz conceded2.24

Paris FC conceded1.47

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Metz 1.48 xG from 13 shots, Paris FC 1.98 from 15. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Metz (attacking right)Paris FC (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Metz	13	1	1.48
Paris FC	15	3	1.98

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Metz 0.32, Paris FC 0.49. At full time, Paris FC led on xG, 1.98 to 1.48. The widest gap was 1.25 xG to Paris FC, in the 77th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

Metz 1.48 xGParis FC 1.98 xGdots = goals · 28 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Metz v Paris FC?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Metz v Paris FC was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Metz and Paris FC?: In their last 6 meetings, Metz won 4, Paris FC won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Metz and Paris FC?: Recent form — Metz 0W 2D 3L; Paris FC 2W 3D 0L.

Today’s Boards

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Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.