NantesAuxerre

Nantes v Auxerre result

Full-time · Nantes 1–0 Auxerre

Ligue 1 ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Nantes · Auxerre · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Nantes 1–0 Auxerre — Nantes won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1431 landed (95% range 65.7–70.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated draw or away (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 845 of 1,307 times (64.7%), against an average rating of 69.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Auxerre: 1.11 to 0.42 in expected goals, from 14 shots to 4, ahead on xG from the 61st minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Nantes beat Auxerre 1–0 in Ligue 1 on Saturday 30 August.

The goals

Nantes led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Nantes: Mostafa Mohamed (8’, assisted by Bahereba Guirassy).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Mostafa Mohamed’s goal on 8 minutes.

Discipline

S. Frappart showed four yellow cards — against 3.7 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Nantes: C. Awaziem (43’); Auxerre: Lassine Sinayoko (43’), Kévin Danois (51’) and Oussama El Azzouzi (88’).

What it changes

Nantes move up from 15th to 11th (three league matches played). Nantes have scored 29 goals, the second-fewest of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games, ranked per game). Nantes have conceded 51 goals, the fourth-most of the 18 clubs.

Auxerre move down from 10th to 12th (three league matches played). Auxerre have scored 30 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games, ranked per game). Auxerre have conceded 43 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, J. Lepenant (Nantes) 7.2, Mostafa Mohamed (Nantes) 5.8 and M. Senaya (Auxerre) 5.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Auxerre, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (975 of 1431).

Next up

Nantes next host Grenoble on 20 November 2026.

Auxerre next travel to Monaco on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Nantes: Nantes v Grenoble, Friday 20 November — the preview. Next for Auxerre: Monaco v Auxerre, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Nantes 1–0 Auxerre · Ligue 1
  • Referee: S. Frappart
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Nantes 2 · draws 1 · Auxerre 2 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Nantes 1W 1D 3L · Auxerre 1W 1D 3L

Nantes 1–0 Auxerre (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 1.38
Goals
against 0.88 / 1.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 3.13
Corners
against 6 / 6 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 3.75
Shots on target
against 3.25 / 5.75 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 2.75
Cards
against 2.13 / 1.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.71 yellows
Referee · S. Frappart
22.14 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameNantes for / againstLineAuxerre for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
3.88 for · 6 against n 8
9.5standard
3.13 for · 6 against n 8
Shots
8.75 for · 12.5 against n 8
19.5standard
8.88 for · 14.13 against n 8
Shots on target
2.38 for · 3.25 against n 8
8.5standard
3.75 for · 5.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
11 for · 12.63 against n 8
21.5standard
13.13 for · 11.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.75 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: S. Frappart — 3.71 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 22.14 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Nantes

Nantes Goalkeeper

Nantes — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Anthony Lopes290180 min63 /9021 /9000 /90
Nantes — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nantes before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Anthony Lopes n 883
2.86/3

Nantes Defensive

Nantes — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Awaziem290180 min31.5 /9031.5 /9010.5 /9094.5 /9021 /9010.5 /90
K. Amian290180 min42 /9000 /9000 /9084 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
N. Cozza290180 min21 /9021 /9010.5 /9094.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90
T. Tati290180 min31.5 /9010.5 /9021 /9063 /9000 /9000 /90
J. Lepenant288175 min52.6 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90115.7 /9021 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Nantes — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nantes before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Awaziem n 481
0.82/1
0.31/0
G. Mensah
K. Amian n 885.3
0.43/0
0.53/1
G. Mensah
N. Cozza n 881.9
0.32/0
0.85/1
C. Akpa
Anthony Lopes n 883
0.11/0
0.84/2
—
J. Lepenant n 868.1
2.16/4
1.55/3
K. Danois
See more players · Pro
Nantes — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nantes before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Cozza n 881.9
37/6
K. Amian n 885.3
28/5
C. Awaziem n 481
1.52/1
J. Lepenant n 868.1
2.57/4
Mostafa Mohamed n 854.8
13/1
See more players · Pro

Nantes Attacking

Nantes — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Mostafa Mohamed285169 min00 /9000 /9010.5 /9000 /9010.5 /9000 /90
M. Abline23365 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.4 /9011.4 /90
J. Lepenant288175 min00 /9000 /9010.5 /9000 /9031.5 /9021 /90
Louis Leroux279157 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9010.6 /9010.6 /90
Y. Benhattab272144 min00 /9000 /9010.6 /9000 /9042.5 /9010.6 /90
See more players · Pro
Nantes — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nantes before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Awaziem n 481
1.12/1
0.31/0
N. Cozza n 881.9
0.73/2
0.31/1
K. Amian n 885.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
Anthony Lopes n 883
00/0
00/0
J. Lepenant n 868.1
0.32/0
00/0
See more players · Pro
Nantes — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nantes before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Amian n 885.3
00/0
00/0
Anthony Lopes n 883
00/0
00/0
N. Cozza n 881.9
00/0
00/0
C. Awaziem n 481
00/0
00/0
J. Lepenant n 868.1
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Auxerre

Auxerre Goalkeeper

Auxerre — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. Léon268136 min32 /9021.3 /9000 /90
T. De Percin14646 min47.8 /9012 /9000 /90
Auxerre — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Auxerre before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Léon n 884.5
3.96/6
T. De Percin n 479
3.43/2

Auxerre Defensive

Auxerre — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Akpa290180 min31.5 /9031.5 /9021 /90136.5 /9000 /9000 /90
F. Sierralta290180 min21 /9031.5 /9010.5 /9063 /9021 /9010.5 /90
G. Osho267134 min32 /9010.7 /9021.3 /9064 /9021.3 /9000 /90
F. Oppegård11717 min00 /9000 /9015.3 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
L. Sy11717 min210.6 /9000 /9000 /90210.6 /9000 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Auxerre — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Auxerre before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Owusu n 877.8
1.77/3
0.73/2
—
K. Danois n 888.8
1.67/5
14/3
J. Lepenant
C. Akpa n 881.5
0.73/1
2.18/5
N. Cozza
G. Mensah n 881.8
1.46/2
0.74/1
K. Amian
L. Sinayoko n 884.6
1.55/3
1.66/4
—
See more players · Pro
Auxerre — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Auxerre before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Owusu n 877.8
2.58/5
K. Danois n 888.8
2.38/6
C. Akpa n 881.5
15/2
G. Mensah n 881.8
2.38/5
L. Sinayoko n 884.6
1.26/3
See more players · Pro

Auxerre Attacking

Auxerre — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Casimir286172 min00 /9000 /9042.1 /9031.6 /9000 /9000 /90
L. Sinayoko281161 min21.1 /9000 /9052.8 /9042.2 /9021.1 /9021.1 /90
I. Osman272144 min00 /9021.3 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9031.9 /9042.5 /90
E. Owusu290180 min00 /9000 /9010.5 /9000 /9000 /9031.5 /90
K. Danois290180 min00 /9000 /9031.5 /9021 /9052.5 /9021 /90
See more players · Pro
Auxerre — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Auxerre before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Danois n 888.8
0.95/2
0.63/2
E. Owusu n 877.8
0.64/0
0.11/0
C. Akpa n 881.5
0.11/0
00/0
G. Mensah n 881.8
00/0
00/0
L. Sinayoko n 884.6
2.38/6
1.37/2
See more players · Pro
Auxerre — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Auxerre before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Danois n 888.8
00/0
00/0
C. Akpa n 881.5
00/0
00/0
E. Owusu n 877.8
00/0
00/0
G. Mensah n 881.8
00/0
00/0
L. Sinayoko n 884.6
0.75/0
0.52/1
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
NantesAuxerre
43%Possession57%
0.48Expected goals (xG)0.68
4Shots14
3Shots on target4
0Shots off target3
1Blocked shots7
1Shots inside the box8
3Corners9
1Offsides6
13Fouls11
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
4Saves2
345Passes439
78%Pass accuracy83%

Nantes Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Anthony Lopes9000000007.6
K. Amian9000000107.5
C. Awaziem90000000Y6.9
T. Tati9000000106.6
N. Cozza9000000007.3
J. Lepenant9000110607.9
Y. Benhattab8700000206.9
Mostafa Mohamed8710111007.2
F. Coquelin7200000106.9
Bahereba Guirassy7201001106.7
Hong Hyun-Seok6500110107
Louis Leroux sub2500000106.9
Kwon Hyeok-Kyu sub1800000006.6
M. Abline sub1800000006.9
D. Assoumani sub800000006.5
A. Camara sub800000006.7

Auxerre Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. De Percin9000000007
M. Senaya9000000307.5
C. Akpa9000000006.9
K. Danois90000022Y6.6
D. Namaso9000322106.9
L. Sinayoko90001030Y6.2
E. Owusu8800000006.7
G. Mensah8400101106.9
I. Osman7300112006.5
F. Sierralta7200000106.5
J. Casimir7200111106.3
L. Coulibaly sub1800000006.6
O. El Azzouzi sub18000000Y6.7
F. Oppegård sub1700000006.7
Thelonius Bair sub1100000006.3
R. Matondo sub20000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Nantes v Auxerre — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NantesLDWLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
AuxerreLDLWL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Nantes 2 · 1 draw · Auxerre 2 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-05-10 Auxerre 1–1 Nantes
  • 2024-08-25 Nantes 2–0 Auxerre
  • 2023-04-16 Auxerre 2–1 Nantes
  • 2023-01-01 Nantes 1–0 Auxerre
  • 2018-01-23 Nantes 3–4 Auxerre
League standing · 2025/26
Nantes#17 pos23 pts33 pl-23 GD
Auxerre#15 pos34 pts34 pl-10 GD
Goals per game
Nantes scored0.88
Auxerre scored1
Nantes conceded1.58
Auxerre conceded1.29

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Nantes 0.42 xG from 4 shots, Auxerre 1.11 from 14. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Danny Namaso 70' · 0.59 xGDanny Namaso 59' · 0.10 xGHong Hyun-Seok 44' · 0.07 xGFredrik Oppegård 79' · 0.05 xGDanny Namaso 47' · 0.05 xGMarvin Senaya 32' · 0.05 xGIbrahim Osman 5' · 0.05 xGJosué Casimir 67' · 0.04 xGClément Akpa 29' · 0.04 xGJohann Lepenant 72' · 0.03 xGMarvin Senaya 32' · 0.03 xGIbrahim Osman 50' · 0.02 xGFrancis Coquelin 57' · 0.02 xGLassine Sinayoko 61' · 0.02 xGMarvin Senaya 61' · 0.02 xGDanny Namaso 69' · 0.02 xGGideon Mensah 15' · 0.01 xGMostafa Mohamed 7' · 0.30 xG · goal
Nantes (attacking right)Auxerre (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Nantes410.42
Auxerre1401.11

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Nantes 0.36, Auxerre 0.18. At full time, Auxerre led on xG, 1.11 to 0.42. The widest gap was 0.69 xG to Auxerre, in the 79th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.10.600′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Nantes 7 min
Nantes 0.42 xGAuxerre 1.11 xGdots = goals · 18 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Nantes v Auxerre?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Nantes v Auxerre was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Nantes and Auxerre?
In their last 5 meetings, Nantes won 2, Auxerre won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Nantes and Auxerre?
Recent form — Nantes 1W 1D 3L; Auxerre 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+