NantesStade Brestois 29

Nantes v Stade Brestois 29 result

Full-time · Nantes 1–1 Stade Brestois 29

Ligue 1 ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Nantes 1–1 Stade Brestois 29 — this Ligue 1 match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5270 landed (95% range 76.7–78.9%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 2,041 of 2,727 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Nantes: 0.98 to 0.63 in expected goals, from 17 shots to 4, ahead on xG from the 49th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Nantes and Stade Brestois 29 drew 1–1 in Ligue 1 on Sunday 19 April.

The goals

Nantes led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Nantes: Mostafa Mohamed (9’, assisted by F. Coquelin); Stade Brestois 29: B. Chardonnet (90’, assisted by Romain Del Castillo). D. Assoumani (65’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with B. Chardonnet’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

G. Paradis showed four yellow cards and one red — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Nantes: Louis Leroux (56’) and Anthony Lopes (90+4’); Stade Brestois 29: D. Guindo (41’) and Romain Del Castillo (45+1’).

What it changes

Nantes stay 17th after this result (29 league matches played). Nantes have scored 29 goals, the second-fewest of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games, ranked per game). Nantes have conceded 51 goals, the fourth-most of the 18 clubs.

Stade Brestois 29 move down from 11th to 12th (29 league matches played). Stade Brestois 29 have scored 41 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 31 games, ranked per game). Stade Brestois 29 have conceded 51 goals, the third-most of the 18 clubs.

Nantes are winless in their last six matches in all competitions. Stade Brestois 29 are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, B. Chardonnet (Stade Brestois 29) 8.7, Mostafa Mohamed (Nantes) 5.8 and F. Guilbert (Nantes) 5.2 led the match.

Head-to-head

Stade Brestois 29 are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Nantes, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Nantes or Stade Brestois 29 (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (4101 of 5270).

Next up

Nantes next travel to Castelbourgeois on 15 November 2026.

Stade Brestois 29 next travel to Strasbourg on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Nantes: Castelbourgeois v Nantes, Sunday 15 November — the preview. Next for Stade Brestois 29: Strasbourg v Stade Brestois 29, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Nantes 1–1 Stade Brestois 29 · Ligue 1
  • Referee: G. Paradis
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Nantes 0 · draws 2 · Stade Brestois 29 4 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Nantes 0W 2D 3L · Stade Brestois 29 2W 0D 3L

Nantes 1–1 Stade Brestois 29 (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.63 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 3.75
Corners
against 5.25 / 6.63 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 2.88
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 4.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.63 / 2.13
Cards
against 2.75 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.09 yellows
Referee · G. Paradis
23.73 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 11 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameNantes for / againstLineStade Brestois 29 for / against
Goals scored
0.63 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
3.13 for · 5.25 against n 8
9.5standard
3.75 for · 6.63 against n 8
Shots
10.38 for · 10.63 against n 8
19.5standard
10.5 for · 15.5 against n 8
Shots on target
3.13 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
2.88 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.38 for · 15 against n 8
21.5standard
11.75 for · 11.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.63 for · 2.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: G. Paradis — 4.09 yellow cards a game, 0.18 red cards, 23.73 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Nantes

Nantes Goalkeeper

Nantes — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Anthony Lopes28902519 min893.2 /90471.7 /9000 /90
P. Carlgren19090 min33 /9011 /9000 /90
Nantes — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nantes before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Anthony Lopes n 890
2.86/4

Nantes Defensive

Nantes — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. Amian23892051 min281.2 /9080.4 /90100.4 /90833.6 /90251.1 /9040.2 /90
C. Awaziem23892041 min231 /90190.8 /90170.7 /90863.8 /90221 /9070.3 /90
N. Cozza23841926 min331.5 /90160.7 /9070.3 /90904.2 /90160.7 /9010 /90
T. Tati20861724 min191 /90170.9 /90150.8 /90542.8 /90231.2 /9050.3 /90
F. Centonze1173798 min313.5 /90202.3 /9020.2 /90556.2 /90151.7 /9040.5 /90
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Nantes — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nantes before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Anthony Lopes n 890
00/0
0.53/1
—
M. Abline n 878.9
0.73/2
1.46/4
—
K. Amian n 887.6
1.47/4
0.86/0
—
C. Awaziem n 888.1
1.35/4
0.84/1
—
N. Cozza n 882
0.82/2
1.86/5
—
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Nantes — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nantes before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Abline n 878.9
0.73/1
K. Amian n 887.6
0.53/1
C. Awaziem n 888.1
1.56/3
N. Cozza n 882
2.15/5
J. Lepenant n 881.8
37/6
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Nantes Attacking

Nantes — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Abline28802235 min70.3 /9050.2 /90471.9 /90200.8 /90271.1 /90492 /90
Mostafa Mohamed1757977 min30.3 /9000 /90252.3 /9060.6 /9080.7 /9030.3 /90
Bahereba Guirassy1649776 min20.2 /9010.1 /90101.2 /9060.7 /9060.7 /9091 /90
Y. El-Arabi1563947 min30.3 /9010.1 /90121.1 /9090.9 /9090.9 /9070.7 /90
I. Ganago859468 min10.2 /9000 /9081.5 /9051 /9010.2 /9030.6 /90
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Nantes — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nantes before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Anthony Lopes n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Abline n 878.9
1.66/2
0.63/1
K. Amian n 887.6
0.64/1
0.32/0
C. Awaziem n 888.1
0.43/0
00/0
N. Cozza n 882
0.11/0
0.11/0
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Nantes — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nantes before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Anthony Lopes n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Abline n 878.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
K. Amian n 887.6
00/0
00/0
C. Awaziem n 888.1
00/0
0.32/0
N. Cozza n 882
00/0
00/0
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Stade Brestois 29

Stade Brestois 29 Goalkeeper

Stade Brestois 29 — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
G. Coudert19871651 min583.2 /90281.5 /9010.1 /90
R. Majecki1087865 min262.7 /90151.6 /9000 /90
Stade Brestois 29 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stade Brestois 29 before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Coudert n 890
3.17/5
R. Majecki n 885.6
2.97/4

Stade Brestois 29 Defensive

Stade Brestois 29 — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. Lala27892409 min381.4 /90230.9 /9090.3 /90793 /90130.5 /9030.1 /90
B. Chardonnet25872187 min301.2 /90281.2 /90331.4 /901184.9 /90251 /9040.2 /90
M. Diaz17811370 min231.5 /90211.4 /90191.2 /90674.4 /9070.5 /9040.3 /90
B. Locko16781254 min533.8 /90100.7 /9000 /90876.2 /90100.7 /9000 /90
D. Guindo16771238 min312.3 /90201.5 /9050.4 /90523.8 /90231.7 /9030.2 /90
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Stade Brestois 29 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stade Brestois 29 before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Lala n 890
0.54/0
0.43/0
—
J. Chotard n 888.3
14/3
0.43/0
—
H. Magnetti n 889.1
0.32/0
1.55/4
—
L. Ajorque n 889.9
2.47/6
2.68/7
—
R. Del Castillo n 887.8
0.32/0
15/2
—
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Stade Brestois 29 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stade Brestois 29 before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Lala n 890
27/4
J. Chotard n 888.3
3.18/5
H. Magnetti n 889.1
2.88/6
L. Ajorque n 889.9
1.16/2
R. Del Castillo n 887.8
1.87/5
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Stade Brestois 29 Attacking

Stade Brestois 29 — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Ajorque26882283 min70.3 /9080.3 /90361.4 /90150.6 /90341.3 /90100.4 /90
R. Labeau Lascary2146958 min50.5 /9010.1 /90232.2 /90141.3 /90100.9 /90151.4 /90
P. Mboup1851909 min10.1 /9000 /90151.5 /9090.9 /9070.7 /90191.9 /90
Mama Baldé1253634 min20.3 /9010.1 /90192.7 /9050.7 /9060.9 /9040.6 /90
J. Chotard27862325 min20.1 /9000 /90160.6 /9070.3 /9060.2 /9040.2 /90
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Stade Brestois 29 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stade Brestois 29 before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Lala n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
J. Chotard n 888.3
00/0
00/0
H. Magnetti n 889.1
0.11/0
00/0
L. Ajorque n 889.9
1.66/4
0.84/2
R. Del Castillo n 887.8
0.63/2
0.11/0
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Stade Brestois 29 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stade Brestois 29 before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Lala n 890
00/0
0.11/0
J. Chotard n 888.3
00/0
00/0
H. Magnetti n 889.1
00/0
0.11/0
L. Ajorque n 889.9
0.64/1
0.43/0
R. Del Castillo n 887.8
0.11/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
NantesStade Brestois 29
44%Possession56%
0.92Expected goals (xG)0.42
17Shots4
4Shots on target2
4Shots off target2
9Blocked shots0
12Shots inside the box3
11Corners0
2Offsides4
13Fouls17
2Yellow cards2
1Red cards0
1Saves3
301Passes415
78%Pass accuracy82%

Nantes Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Anthony Lopes90000000Y6.3
F. Guilbert9000101206.7
Ali Yousef Musrati9000110106.5
N. Cozza9000210006.7
D. Machado9000002306.9
I. Sissoko9000001206.6
J. Lepenant9000112106.6
I. Ganago8900001106.7
Mostafa Mohamed7710111007.7
D. Assoumani65000021R6
F. Coquelin4501101006.7
Louis Leroux sub45001020Y6.5
M. Abline sub1300000006.3
M. Acapandié sub900000106.5

Stade Brestois 29 Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Coudert9000000006.9
L. Zogbe9000000206.5
B. Chardonnet9010111108.5
S. Coulibaly9000000107
J. Chotard9000101206.9
R. Del Castillo90012112Y6.3
R. Labeau Lascary9000000006.3
L. Ajorque9000000006.7
H. Magnetti7800000306.6
D. Guindo67000001Y6.3
J. Dina Ebimbe6700000306.9
K. Lala sub2300000006.9
H. Makalou sub2300000106.6
P. Mboup sub1200000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Nantes v Stade Brestois 29 — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NantesLLLDD
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
Stade Brestois 29WWLLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Nantes 0 · 2 draws · Stade Brestois 29 4 · 2 goals/game
  • 2025-10-04 Stade Brestois 29 0–0 Nantes
  • 2025-02-07 Nantes 0–2 Stade Brestois 29
  • 2025-01-15 Stade Brestois 29 2–1 Nantes
  • 2024-12-15 Stade Brestois 29 4–1 Nantes
  • 2024-05-04 Stade Brestois 29 0–0 Nantes
  • 2023-12-17 Nantes 0–2 Stade Brestois 29
League standing · 2025/26
Nantes#17 pos23 pts33 pl-23 GD
Stade Brestois 29#12 pos39 pts34 pl-12 GD
Goals per game
Nantes scored0.88
Stade Brestois 29 scored1.26
Nantes conceded1.58
Stade Brestois 29 conceded1.62

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Nantes 0.98 xG from 17 shots, Stade Brestois 29 0.63 from 4. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Romain Del Castillo 24' · 0.26 xGNicolas Cozza 97' · 0.10 xGDehmaine Assoumani 48' · 0.09 xGMatthis Abline 85' · 0.09 xGAli Youssif 97' · 0.09 xGDeiver Machado 51' · 0.08 xGNicolas Cozza 48' · 0.07 xGLouis Leroux 73' · 0.07 xGRomain Del Castillo 39' · 0.07 xGJohann Lepenant 51' · 0.07 xGFrederic Guilbert 50' · 0.05 xGLouis Leroux 49' · 0.05 xGMostafa Mohamed 75' · 0.05 xGIgnatius Ganago 34' · 0.05 xGJoris Chotard 98' · 0.04 xGLouis Leroux 57' · 0.03 xGDehmaine Assoumani 11' · 0.03 xGMatthis Abline 79' · 0.02 xGFrancis Coquelin 31' · 0.02 xGBrendan Chardonnet 94' · 0.27 xG · goalMostafa Mohamed 8' · 0.03 xG · goal
Nantes (attacking right)Stade Brestois 29 (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Nantes1710.98
Stade Brestois 29410.63

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Nantes 0.12, Stade Brestois 29 0.33. At full time, Nantes led on xG, 0.98 to 0.63. The widest gap was 0.46 xG to Nantes, in the 85th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.00.500′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Nantes 8 minGoal - Stade Brestois 29 94 min
Nantes 0.98 xGStade Brestois 29 0.63 xGdots = goals · 21 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Nantes v Stade Brestois 29?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Nantes v Stade Brestois 29 was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Nantes and Stade Brestois 29?
In their last 6 meetings, Nantes won 0, Stade Brestois 29 won 4 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Nantes and Stade Brestois 29?
Recent form — Nantes 0W 2D 3L; Stade Brestois 29 2W 0D 3L.

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