NiceLens

Nice v Lens result

Full-time · Nice 1–1 Lens

Ligue 1 · · Allianz Riviera

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Nice · Lens · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Nice 1–1 Lens — this Ligue 1 match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 557 of 869 times (64.1%), against an average rating of 67.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Nice 1.42, Lens 1.58 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Nice and Lens drew 1–1 at Allianz Riviera in Ligue 1 on Saturday 2 May. Nice are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Lens are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Lens: A. Saint-Maximin (60’, assisted by Adrien Thomasson); Nice: Ali Abdi (84’). Saud Abdulhamid (81’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ali Abdi’s goal on 84 minutes.

Discipline

T. Leonard showed five yellow cards and one red — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Nice: Abdulay Bah (45’) and Melvin Bard (90’); Lens: M. Sarr (27’), Florian Thauvin (44’) and Adrien Thomasson (82’).

What it changes

Nice stay 15th after this result (32 league matches played).

Lens stay second after this result (31 league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, A. Saint-Maximin (Lens) 7.7, M. Sarr (Lens) 7.6 and Adrien Thomasson (Lens) 7.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Nice next travel to Angers on 8 November 2026.

Lens next host Marseille on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Nice: Angers v Nice, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Lens: Lens v Marseille, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Nice 1–1 Lens · Ligue 1
  • Venue: Allianz Riviera · Nice
  • Referee: T. Leonard
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Nice 4 · draws 1 · Lens 1 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Nice 1W 3D 1L · Lens 3W 1D 1L

Nice 1–1 Lens (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 2.63
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
5.38 / 7.43
Corners
against 4.13 / 1.71 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.13 / 7.57
Shots on target
against 5 / 3 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.88 / 1.29
Cards
against 1.63 / 2.14 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.63 yellows
Referee · T. Leonard
23.25 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameNice for / againstLineLens for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.63 against n 8
3our book
2.63 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
5.38 for · 4.13 against n 8
9.5standard
7.43 for · 1.71 against n 7
Shots
8.63 for · 14.5 against n 8
19.5standard
22.43 for · 8.29 against n 7
Shots on target
3.13 for · 5 against n 8
8.5standard
7.57 for · 3 against n 7
Fouls committed
11.63 for · 9.38 against n 8
21.5standard
10.43 for · 10.14 against n 7
Cards shown
1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.29 for · 2.14 against n 7

Referee: T. Leonard — 3.63 yellow cards a game, 0.13 red cards, 23.25 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Nice

Nice Goalkeeper

Nice — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Y. Diouf32902880 min1133.5 /90611.9 /9020.1 /90
M. Dupé12901080 min312.6 /90181.5 /9000 /90
Nice — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Y. Diouf n 890
37/5
M. Dupé n 890
2.35/3

Nice Defensive

Nice — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Bard37853137 min732.1 /90501.4 /90220.6 /901765 /90361 /9040.1 /90
K. Peprah Oppong35822868 min511.6 /90411.3 /90220.7 /901635.1 /90300.9 /9040.1 /90
Abdulay Bah34812744 min521.7 /90351.1 /90401.3 /901364.5 /90341.1 /9070.2 /90
A. Mendy30862572 min622.2 /90240.8 /90281 /901665.8 /90351.2 /9080.3 /90
A. Abdi25571430 min312 /90161 /9050.3 /901046.5 /90201.3 /9040.3 /90
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Nice — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Clauss n 889.1
0.84/2
0.54/0
—
M. Bard n 888.9
1.15/4
0.96/1
M. Sarr
S. Diop n 853
0.42/0
0.42/0
M. Udol
K. Peprah Oppong n 881
0.43/0
0.62/1
M. Sarr
Abdulay Bah n 884.4
0.84/1
0.42/1
M. Sarr
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Nice — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Clauss n 889.1
2.37/6
M. Bard n 888.9
3.58/5
S. Diop n 853
2.37/2
K. Peprah Oppong n 881
1.86/3
Abdulay Bah n 884.4
1.97/4
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Nice Attacking

Nice — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Cho27681840 min50.2 /9040.2 /90221.1 /90140.7 /90231.1 /90271.3 /90
Kevin Carlos25561399 min20.1 /9000 /90281.8 /90140.9 /9050.3 /9070.5 /90
I. Jansson2047945 min10.1 /9000 /90151.4 /90111 /90111 /90111 /90
Tiago Gouveia1948904 min20.2 /9000 /90171.7 /9080.8 /9040.4 /90111.1 /90
J. Boga1655885 min20.2 /9020.2 /90111.1 /9040.4 /90181.8 /90202 /90
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Nice — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Clauss n 889.1
0.95/2
0.43/0
M. Bard n 888.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
S. Diop n 853
0.42/0
0.42/0
K. Peprah Oppong n 881
0.11/0
0.11/0
Abdulay Bah n 884.4
0.11/0
00/0
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Nice — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Clauss n 889.1
00/0
0.32/0
M. Bard n 888.9
0.11/0
00/0
S. Diop n 853
00/0
00/0
K. Peprah Oppong n 881
00/0
00/0
Abdulay Bah n 884.4
00/0
00/0
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Lens

Lens Goalkeeper

Lens — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Risser33902970 min792.4 /90351.1 /9020.1 /90
Lens — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Risser n 890
1.63/3

Lens Defensive

Lens — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Sarr33902970 min641.9 /90702.1 /90240.7 /901414.3 /90210.6 /9020.1 /90
I. Ganiou23892040 min371.6 /90221 /90110.5 /901124.9 /90241.1 /9040.2 /90
S. Baidoo22831826 min321.6 /90241.2 /90211 /90874.3 /90201 /9020.1 /90
J. Gradit990808 min171.9 /90161.8 /9091 /90434.8 /90141.6 /9020.2 /90
N. Čelik775528 min183.1 /9081.4 /9040.7 /90254.3 /90101.7 /9010.2 /90
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Lens — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Udol n 890
0.95/2
0.54/0
S. Diop
M. Sarr n 890
0.42/1
0.65/0
Abdulay Bah
R. Risser n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
A. Thomasson n 881.1
15/2
1.45/3
—
F. Thauvin n 865.4
0.53/0
1.24/2
—
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Lens — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Udol n 890
26/5
M. Sarr n 890
1.66/3
A. Thomasson n 881.1
3.68/7
F. Thauvin n 865.4
1.44/4
M. Sangaré n 882.3
1.86/4
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Lens Attacking

Lens — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
F. Thauvin31762362 min110.4 /9060.2 /90552.1 /90281.1 /90752.9 /90491.9 /90
W. Saïd29671929 min100.5 /9020.1 /90472.2 /90251.2 /90251.2 /90321.5 /90
O. Édouard29621789 min130.7 /9030.2 /90512.6 /90311.6 /90201 /90201 /90
R. Fofana2141866 min60.6 /9000 /90282.9 /90121.2 /9060.6 /90121.2 /90
M. Guilavogui1639627 min10.1 /9000 /90101.4 /9030.4 /90121.7 /9081.1 /90
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Lens — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Udol n 890
2.46/5
1.16/2
M. Sarr n 890
0.62/2
0.11/0
R. Risser n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Thomasson n 881.1
1.75/3
0.72/1
F. Thauvin n 865.4
2.47/3
1.46/2
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Lens — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Udol n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
M. Sarr n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Risser n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Thomasson n 881.1
0.32/0
0.32/0
F. Thauvin n 865.4
0.74/0
0.52/1
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
NiceLens
46%Possession54%
1.07Expected goals (xG)1.53
9Shots16
2Shots on target4
2Shots off target6
5Blocked shots6
7Shots inside the box6
7Corners8
2Offsides1
11Fouls10
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
3Saves1
390Passes468
84%Pass accuracy85%

Nice Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Y. Diouf9000000006.9
T. Louchet9000001406.3
A. Mendy9000000406.9
Abdulay Bah90001103Y7.3
K. Peprah Oppong9000000306.6
M. Bard90000001Y6.9
H. Boudaoui8900001007
S. Diop8900002107.3
K. Boudache7100000106.3
M. Sanson7100000006.2
M. Cho7100100006.2
A. Abdi sub1910111007.7
S. Abdul Samed sub1900000006.6
I. Jansson sub1900000006.5
C. Vanhoutte sub10000000–
Kevin Carlos sub10010000–

Lens Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Risser9000000006.9
I. Ganiou9000110307.7
S. Baidoo9000000307.3
M. Sarr90000025Y7.9
M. Sangaré9000203407.2
A. Thomasson90010025Y6.6
M. Udol9000001406.6
A. Saint-Maximin9010411107.9
F. Thauvin86001041Y6.3
Saud Abdulhamid81000022R6.7
O. Édouard7700220006.5
A. Sima sub1300000006.5
R. Aguilar sub1000000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Nice v Lens — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NiceLDDWD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game
LensWLWWD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 3 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Nice 4 · 1 draw · Lens 1 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2025-12-14 Lens 2–0 Nice
  • 2025-02-08 Nice 2–0 Lens
  • 2024-09-28 Lens 0–0 Nice
  • 2024-03-16 Lens 1–3 Nice
  • 2023-12-20 Nice 2–0 Lens
  • 2023-02-01 Lens 0–1 Nice
League standing · 2025/26
Nice#16 pos32 pts34 pl-23 GD
Lens#2 pos70 pts34 pl+31 GD
Goals per game
Nice scored1.09
Lens scored1.94
Nice conceded1.76
Lens conceded1.03

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Nice 1.42 xG from 9 shots, Lens 1.58 from 16. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Allan Saint-Maximin 73' · 0.41 xGOdsonne Edouard 3' · 0.39 xGJuma Bah 16' · 0.36 xGSofiane Diop 83' · 0.16 xGSofiane Diop 18' · 0.13 xGMamadou Sangaré 3' · 0.08 xGMohamed Ali-Cho 10' · 0.07 xGKevin Omoruyi 94' · 0.06 xGAli Abdi 74' · 0.06 xGMamadou Sangaré 5' · 0.05 xGPierre Ganiou 14' · 0.05 xGAllan Saint-Maximin 46' · 0.05 xGMohamed Ali-Cho 45' · 0.04 xGAllan Saint-Maximin 14' · 0.04 xGMamadou Sangaré 21' · 0.03 xGKail Boudache 18' · 0.03 xGAllan Saint-Maximin 53' · 0.02 xGFlorian Thauvin 70' · 0.02 xGPierre Ganiou 29' · 0.02 xGSamson Baidoo 5' · 0.02 xGAllan Saint-Maximin 46' · 0.01 xGOdsonne Edouard 39' · 0.01 xGMalang Sarr 69' · 0.01 xGAli Abdi 83' · 0.51 xG · goalAllan Saint-Maximin 59' · 0.39 xG · goal
Nice (attacking right)Lens (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Nice911.42
Lens1611.58

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Nice 0.63, Lens 0.67. At full time, xG was level: Nice 1.42, Lens 1.58. The widest gap was 0.95 xG to Lens, in the 73rd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.60.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Lens 59 minGoal - Nice 83 min
Nice 1.42 xGLens 1.58 xGdots = goals · 25 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Nice v Lens?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Nice v Lens was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Nice and Lens?
In their last 6 meetings, Nice won 4, Lens won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Nice and Lens?
Recent form — Nice 1W 3D 1L; Lens 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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