This Matchweek

NiceLille

Nice v Lille result

Full-time · Nice 2–1 Lille

Ligue 1 · · Allianz Riviera

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Nice · Lille · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Nice 2–1 Lille — Nice won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
Best price: 1.37 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1452 landed (95% range 65.7–70.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated draw or away (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 829 of 1,283 times (64.6%), against an average rating of 69.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Nice 1.93, Lille 1.93 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Nice beat Lille 2–1 at Allianz Riviera in Ligue 1 on Sunday 20 September. Lille have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Nice led 1–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Lille: an own goal by Nathan Ngoy (22’) and Ayase Ueda (79’, assisted by Maurits Kjærgaard); Nice: Mohammed Amoura (67’, assisted by Gauthier Hein).

Discipline

Willy Delajod, France showed four yellow cards — against 2.7 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Nice: Mohamed Abdelmonem (5’), Xavier Mandza (45+1’) and Mohammed Amoura (57’); Lille: Maurits Kjærgaard (90+1’).

What it changes

Nice move up from 16th to 14th (five league matches played). Nice have scored 13 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Nice have conceded 12 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Lille move down from first to fourth (five league matches played). Lille have scored 12 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Lille have conceded six goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Mohammed Amoura (Nice) 7.2, Ayase Ueda (Lille) 6.6 and Gauthier Hein (Nice) 6.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Lille, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (989 of 1452).

Next up

Nice next travel to Angers on 8 November 2026.

Lille next travel to Rennes on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Nice: Angers v Nice, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Lille: Rennes v Lille, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Nice 2–1 Lille · Ligue 1
  • Venue: Allianz Riviera · Nice
  • Referee: Willy Delajod, France
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Nice 1 · draws 4 · Lille 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Nice 1W 2D 2L · Lille 3W 1D 1L

Nice 2–1 Lille (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 4 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.13 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
6.88 / 4
Corners
against 4.13 / 5.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 5.13
Shots on target
against 3.25 / 3.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.38 / 1.88
Cards
against 0.88 / 1.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.71 yellows
Referee · Willy Delajod, France
23.71 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 13 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameNice for / againstLineLille for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.75our book
1.38 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
6.88 for · 4.13 against n 8
9.5standard
4 for · 5.13 against n 8
Shots
14.13 for · 12 against n 8
19.5standard
11.25 for · 13.25 against n 8
Shots on target
3.88 for · 3.25 against n 8
8.5standard
5.13 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.13 for · 10.13 against n 8
21.5standard
10.38 for · 13.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1.38 for · 0.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: Willy Delajod, France — 2.71 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 23.71 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Nice

Nice Goalkeeper

Nice — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Y. Diouf490360 min92.3 /9051.3 /9000 /90
Nice — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Y. Diouf n 890
25/2

Nice Defensive

Nice — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Y. Ndayishimiye490360 min30.8 /9092.3 /9051.3 /90133.3 /9030.8 /9020.5 /90
Xavier Mandza490358 min82 /9082 /9010.3 /90174.3 /9010.3 /9000 /90
Mohamed Abdelmonem383249 min72.5 /9031.1 /9000 /90155.4 /9010.4 /9000 /90
A. Mendy341124 min53.6 /9021.5 /9000 /9096.5 /9010.7 /9000 /90
A. Abdi21835 min37.7 /9000 /9000 /90410.3 /9012.6 /9000 /90
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Nice — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Coulibaly n 877.8
1.25/2
0.64/0
—
Y. Ndayishimiye n 886.4
0.96/1
0.53/1
Alexsandro Ribeiro
Y. Diouf n 890
0.11/0
0.32/0
—
Xavier Mandza n 489.5
0.31/0
0.52/0
Tiago Santos
J. Clauss n 885.6
0.54/0
0.32/0
—
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Nice — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Coulibaly n 877.8
0.94/1
Y. Ndayishimiye n 886.4
0.43/0
Xavier Mandza n 489.5
24/2
J. Clauss n 885.6
1.37/3
G. Hein n 473.8
0.31/0
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Nice Attacking

Nice — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
G. Hein474295 min00 /9000 /9010.3 /9000 /9051.5 /9020.6 /90
S. Diop379236 min00 /9010.4 /9031.1 /9020.8 /9083.1 /9051.9 /90
E. Wahi368203 min10.4 /9000 /9041.8 /9031.3 /9031.3 /9010.4 /90
Nathan N'Goumou264128 min00 /9000 /9021.4 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Amoura256111 min00 /9000 /9010.8 /9000 /9010.8 /9010.8 /90
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Nice — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Y. Ndayishimiye n 886.4
0.74/1
0.42/1
D. Coulibaly n 877.8
0.32/0
0.32/0
Y. Diouf n 890
00/0
00/0
Xavier Mandza n 489.5
0.82/1
0.31/0
J. Clauss n 885.6
1.47/3
0.54/0
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Nice — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Y. Ndayishimiye n 886.4
0.32/0
00/0
D. Coulibaly n 877.8
0.11/0
00/0
Y. Diouf n 890
00/0
00/0
Xavier Mandza n 489.5
00/0
00/0
J. Clauss n 885.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
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Lille

Lille Goalkeeper

Lille — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Özer590450 min163.2 /9051 /9000 /90
Lille — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Özer n 890
2.86/2

Lille Defensive

Lille — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Alexsandro Ribeiro590450 min81.6 /9030.6 /9071.4 /90265.2 /9030.6 /9000 /90
N. Ngoy590450 min40.8 /9051 /9040.8 /90183.6 /9061.2 /9000 /90
Tiago Santos590450 min102 /9051 /9000 /90295.8 /9040.8 /9000 /90
R. Perraud578389 min71.6 /9030.7 /9030.7 /90143.2 /9040.9 /9020.5 /90
C. Verdonk14545 min36 /9000 /9000 /9036 /9012 /9000 /90
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Lille — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Ngoy n 890
1.36/3
0.85/1
—
Tiago Santos n 881.5
1.25/2
2.18/4
Xavier Mandza
Alexsandro Ribeiro n 887.9
0.95/1
1.36/3
Y. Ndayishimiye
B. Özer n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
H. Haraldsson n 882.3
1.25/2
2.17/4
—
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Lille — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Alexsandro Ribeiro n 887.9
1.86/6
Tiago Santos n 881.5
1.86/4
N. Ngoy n 890
0.95/2
H. Haraldsson n 882.3
1.15/3
R. Perraud n 874.6
1.76/5
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Lille Attacking

Lille — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
O. Giroud457229 min10.4 /9020.8 /9031.2 /9020.8 /9031.2 /9010.4 /90
D. Bakwa442167 min10.5 /9010.5 /9021.1 /9010.5 /9031.6 /9010.5 /90
G. Perrin434136 min00 /9010.7 /9000 /9000 /9010.7 /9010.7 /90
A. Ueda360181 min21 /9000 /9063 /9042 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
H. Haraldsson579397 min10.2 /9000 /9051.1 /9040.9 /9081.8 /9040.9 /90
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Lille — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Tiago Santos n 881.5
1.45/4
0.63/1
Alexsandro Ribeiro n 887.9
0.94/2
0.11/0
N. Ngoy n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
B. Özer n 890
00/0
00/0
H. Haraldsson n 882.3
1.23/3
13/2
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Lille — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Tiago Santos n 881.5
0.32/0
00/0
Alexsandro Ribeiro n 887.9
0.11/0
00/0
B. Özer n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Ngoy n 890
00/0
00/0
H. Haraldsson n 882.3
0.32/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
NiceLille
41%Possession59%
1.50Expected goals (xG)1.58
10Shots21
4Shots on target8
6Shots off target6
0Blocked shots7
7Shots inside the box15
3Corners7
4Offsides1
16Fouls9
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
7Saves3
394Passes539
86%Pass accuracy87%

Nice Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Mohamed Abdelmonem90000001Y7
Y. Diouf9000000008.3
G. Hein9001212307.5
A. Witsel9000100006.9
J. Clauss9000003007.3
Xavier Mandza90000002Y6.6
N. Nkounkou7800101306.9
M. Amoura77102124Y8.3
E. Wahi7400211006.7
D. Coulibaly7300210206.6
Y. Ndayishimiye5800000006.9
A. Seidu sub3200000006.3
E. Pereira sub1700000006.7
S. Diop sub1600000006.3
Nathan N'Goumou sub1300000106.3
A. Abdi sub1200000006.2

Lille Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Ueda9010441107.7
R. Perraud9000000206.9
Alexsandro Ribeiro9000301206.9
N. Ngoy9000000105.6
Tiago Santos9000323307
B. Özer9000000007
N. Bentaleb7700112107.2
B. Önal6400112007.2
H. Haraldsson6400002006.2
B. André6400001206.7
E. Mbappé5500100006.6
D. Bakwa sub3500002006.9
O. Giroud sub2600101006.2
M. Kjærgaard sub26010021Y6.7
O. Sahraoui sub2600002006.6
N. Mukau sub1300000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Nice v Lille — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NiceWDLDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
LilleWDWLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Nice 1 · 4 draws · Lille 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-04-18 Lille 0–0 Nice
  • 2025-10-29 Nice 2–0 Lille
  • 2025-01-17 Lille 2–1 Nice
  • 2024-11-10 Nice 2–2 Lille
  • 2024-05-19 Lille 2–2 Nice
  • 2023-08-11 Nice 1–1 Lille
League standing · 2026/27
Nice#8 pos14 pts9 pl+1 GD
Lille#2 pos18 pts9 pl+6 GD
Goals per game
Nice scored1.44
Lille scored1.33
Nice conceded1.33
Lille conceded0.67

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Nice 1.93 xG from 10 shots, Lille 1.93 from 22. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Ayase Ueda 35' · 0.57 xGSepe Elye Wahi 30' · 0.47 xGSepe Elye Wahi 65' · 0.29 xGAyase Ueda 81' · 0.22 xGBasar Önal 13' · 0.12 xGGauthier Hein 62' · 0.11 xGAxel Witsel 26' · 0.11 xGGauthier Hein 53' · 0.10 xGAyase Ueda 47' · 0.10 xGAlexsandro Ribeiro 72' · 0.08 xGDjibril Coulibaly 3' · 0.07 xGRomain Perraud 82' · 0.07 xGNiels Nkounkou 48' · 0.07 xGOlivier Giroud 71' · 0.06 xGMaurits Kjærgaard 91' · 0.06 xGHákon Haraldsson 35' · 0.06 xGTiago Santos 35' · 0.05 xGAlexsandro Ribeiro 11' · 0.04 xGTiago Santos 92' · 0.04 xGAlexsandro Ribeiro 83' · 0.04 xGNabil Bentaleb 64' · 0.03 xGHákon Haraldsson 63' · 0.03 xGHákon Haraldsson 10' · 0.02 xGOlivier Giroud 82' · 0.02 xGEthan Mbappé 52' · 0.02 xGMohammed Amoura 17' · 0.02 xGTiago Santos 52' · 0.02 xGDjibril Coulibaly 33' · 0.02 xGRomain Perraud 10' · 0.01 xGNathan Ngoy 21' · 0.00 xGMohammed Amoura 66' · 0.68 xG · goalAyase Ueda 78' · 0.29 xG · goal
Nice (attacking right)Lille (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Nice1011.93
Lille2211.93

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Nice 0.69, Lille 0.88. At full time, xG was level: Nice 1.93, Lille 1.93. The widest gap was 0.87 xG to Nice, in the 66th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.91.000′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Nice 66 minGoal - Lille 78 min
Nice 1.93 xGLille 1.93 xGdots = goals · 32 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Nice v Lille?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Nice v Lille was Draw or Away (best price 1.37 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Nice and Lille?
In their last 6 meetings, Nice won 1, Lille won 1 and there were 4 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Nice and Lille?
Recent form — Nice 1W 2D 2L; Lille 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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