Paris FCLille

Paris FC v Lille result

Full-time · Paris FC 0–1 Lille

Ligue 1 · · Stade Jean Bouin

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Paris FC 0–1 Lille — Lille won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,987 of 2,656 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Lille: 1.76 to 1.37 in expected goals, 0.76 of it from a penalty and 0.76 of Paris FC’s from a penalty, from 10 shots to 7, ahead on xG from the 13th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Lille won 1–0 at Stade Jean Bouin in Ligue 1 on Sunday 26 April. Lille are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

Lille led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Lille: Matias Fernandez-Pardo (26’ pen). Pierre Lees-Melou (85’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Matias Fernandez-Pardo’s goal on 26 minutes.

Discipline

M. Vernice showed nine yellow cards and one red — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition).

What it changes

Paris FC move down from 10th to 12th (31 league matches played).

Lille stay third after this result (31 league matches played).

Lille have kept a clean sheet in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Matias Fernandez-Pardo (Lille) 6.4, Benjamin André (Lille) 4.1 and Félix Correia (Lille) 3.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Paris FC or Lille (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Paris FC next host Angers on 21 November 2026.

Lille next travel to Rennes on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Paris FC: Paris FC v Angers, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Lille: Rennes v Lille, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Paris FC 0–1 Lille · Ligue 1
  • Venue: Stade Jean Bouin · Paris
  • Referee: M. Vernice
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Paris FC 0 · draws 0 · Lille 1 · 6 goals/game
  • Recent form: Paris FC 3W 2D 0L · Lille 3W 1D 1L

Paris FC 0–1 Lille (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.5
Goals
against 0.88 / 0.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 3.63
Corners
against 8.13 / 3.63 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 4.13
Shots on target
against 5 / 2.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 2.25
Cards
against 1.38 / 1.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.08 yellows
Referee · M. Vernice
26.5 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 12 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 19 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameParis FC for / againstLineLille for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.75 for · 8.13 against n 8
9.5standard
3.63 for · 3.63 against n 8
Shots
11.88 for · 15.25 against n 8
19.5standard
10.38 for · 8.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4.5 for · 5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.13 for · 2.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.5 for · 9.38 against n 8
21.5standard
9.75 for · 11.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: M. Vernice — 4.08 yellow cards a game, 0.33 red cards, 26.5 fouls over 12 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Paris FC

Paris FC Goalkeeper

Paris FC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
K. Trapp18901620 min512.8 /90251.4 /9010.1 /90
O. Nkambadio15901350 min412.7 /90181.2 /9010.1 /90
Paris FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Trapp n 890
3.67/6
O. Nkambadio n 890
35/3

Paris FC Defensive

Paris FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Mbow31882716 min531.8 /90401.3 /90280.9 /901324.4 /90210.7 /9030.1 /90
Otávio22871904 min422 /90271.3 /90180.9 /901055 /90241.1 /9070.3 /90
N. Sangui20851694 min231.2 /90140.7 /9050.3 /90583.1 /9060.3 /9000 /90
T. De Smet18701268 min302.1 /9090.6 /9030.2 /90634.5 /90120.9 /9080.6 /90
H. Traoré1470985 min262.4 /90161.5 /9010.1 /90433.9 /90191.7 /9030.3 /90
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Paris FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Mbow n 880.8
0.32/0
0.32/0
—
I. Kebbal n 867.3
0.84/1
2.26/4
—
A. Camara n 878.4
1.46/4
0.74/1
—
M. Simon n 870.9
0.52/1
1.15/2
Félix Correia
M. Lopez n 870.3
1.34/2
0.32/0
A. Bouaddi
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Paris FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Mbow n 880.8
1.75/2
I. Kebbal n 867.3
1.36/2
A. Camara n 878.4
38/8
M. Simon n 870.9
0.64/0
M. Lopez n 870.3
0.85/0
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Paris FC Attacking

Paris FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Krasso21501059 min10.1 /9020.2 /90211.8 /9090.8 /90221.9 /90151.3 /90
J. Ikoné21501057 min70.6 /9000 /90181.5 /90110.9 /9080.7 /90161.4 /90
A. Gory2142873 min30.3 /9010.1 /90131.3 /9040.4 /9040.4 /9030.3 /90
W. Geubbels2049971 min30.3 /9010.1 /90222 /9060.6 /9070.6 /9030.3 /90
L. Koleosho1434472 min20.4 /9000 /90101.9 /9071.3 /9081.5 /9061.1 /90
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Paris FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Mbow n 880.8
0.11/0
00/0
I. Kebbal n 867.3
1.36/2
15/1
A. Camara n 878.4
0.32/0
00/0
M. Simon n 870.9
15/1
0.64/0
M. Lopez n 870.3
0.52/1
0.32/0
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Paris FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Mbow n 880.8
00/0
00/0
I. Kebbal n 867.3
0.32/0
00/0
A. Camara n 878.4
00/0
00/0
M. Simon n 870.9
00/0
0.21/0
M. Lopez n 870.3
00/0
00/0
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Lille

Lille Goalkeeper

Lille — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Özer39893467 min852.2 /90431.1 /9040.1 /90
A. Bodart581406 min112.4 /9061.3 /9000 /90
Lille — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Özer n 884.3
1.52/2
A. Bodart n 581.2
2.43/2

Lille Defensive

Lille — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Mandi33852790 min421.4 /90521.7 /90180.6 /901244 /90220.7 /9080.3 /90
N. Ngoy32852715 min411.4 /90411.4 /90160.5 /90913 /90220.7 /9090.3 /90
R. Perraud32802571 min551.9 /90281 /9050.2 /901354.7 /90291 /9050.2 /90
T. Meunier31742281 min371.5 /90230.9 /9060.2 /90793.1 /90351.4 /9020.1 /90
Tiago Santos20611222 min171.3 /90100.7 /9000 /90685 /90151.1 /9000 /90
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Lille — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Félix Correia n 858.6
0.84/0
1.76/3
M. Simon
B. Özer n 884.3
00/0
0.43/0
—
H. Haraldsson n 878.3
0.62/1
1.65/3
—
A. Bouaddi n 877.9
1.25/3
14/2
M. Lopez
M. Fernandez-Pardo n 873.5
0.53/0
1.25/2
—
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Lille — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Félix Correia n 858.6
1.76/2
H. Haraldsson n 878.3
0.32/0
A. Bouaddi n 877.9
1.97/3
M. Fernandez-Pardo n 873.5
0.94/2
O. Giroud n 846.3
1.54/2
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Lille Attacking

Lille — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Fernandez-Pardo35752623 min70.2 /9060.2 /90451.5 /90341.2 /90421.4 /90361.2 /90
O. Giroud35632198 min70.3 /9010 /90461.9 /90210.9 /90251 /9020.1 /90
H. Igamane1450699 min81 /9010.1 /90303.9 /90172.2 /9070.9 /90182.3 /90
M. Broholm1043430 min10.2 /9000 /9051 /9030.6 /90102.1 /9061.3 /90
G. Perrin850396 min10.2 /9000 /9051.1 /9030.7 /90102.3 /9071.6 /90
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Lille — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Félix Correia n 858.6
0.61/1
0.41/1
B. Özer n 884.3
00/0
00/0
H. Haraldsson n 878.3
1.45/4
0.94/2
A. Bouaddi n 877.9
0.32/0
00/0
M. Fernandez-Pardo n 873.5
27/3
1.57/2
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Lille — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Félix Correia n 858.6
0.21/0
00/0
B. Özer n 884.3
00/0
00/0
H. Haraldsson n 878.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
A. Bouaddi n 877.9
00/0
00/0
M. Fernandez-Pardo n 873.5
0.64/0
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Paris FCLille
47%Possession53%
1.06Expected goals (xG)1.71
7Shots10
2Shots on target4
3Shots off target3
2Blocked shots3
7Shots inside the box6
7Corners3
4Offsides1
12Fouls10
6Yellow cards3
1Red cards0
3Saves2
419Passes491
82%Pass accuracy85%

Paris FC Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. Trapp9000000006.9
Diego Coppola9000000206.7
M. Mbow90001102Y6.6
N. Sangui9000000206.3
J. Ikoné90001001Y6.9
A. Camara8900001106.6
P. Lees-Melou85000004RY6.7
M. Simon6900000006.7
C. Immobile6900100006.5
M. Lopez4500001206.7
M. Munetsi4500000005.6
R. Matondo sub4500000307.5
A. Gory sub45000000Y6.3
I. Kebbal sub21001020Y6.3
L. Koleosho sub2100111006.7
H. Traoré sub10000000–

Lille Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Özer9000000006.9
T. Meunier9000101106.9
N. Ngoy90000000Y7.2
A. Mandi9000000007.5
R. Perraud9000101107.2
B. André90002214Y7.3
A. Bouaddi90000002Y6.6
N. Mukau9000001307.2
Félix Correia8300002207
M. Fernandez-Pardo8310210006.6
H. Haraldsson7800111306.7
G. Perrin sub1300001106.7
O. Giroud sub1300000006.9
E. Mbappé sub1200000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Paris FC v Lille — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Paris FCDWDWW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
LilleLWWWD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Paris FC 0 · 0 draws · Lille 1 · 6 goals/game
  • 2025-11-23 Lille 4–2 Paris FC
League standing · 2025/26
Paris FC#11 pos44 pts34 pl-3 GD
Lille#3 pos61 pts34 pl+15 GD
Goals per game
Paris FC scored1.38
Lille scored1.53
Paris FC conceded1.47
Lille conceded1.09

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Paris FC 1.37 xG from 7 shots, Lille 1.76 from 10. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Ilan Kebbal 73' · 0.76 xGBenjamin André 78' · 0.35 xGLuca Koleosho 73' · 0.32 xGMatias Fernandez-Pardo 66' · 0.19 xGRomain Perraud 13' · 0.16 xGAlimami Gory 75' · 0.13 xGMatias Fernandez-Pardo 50' · 0.12 xGCiro Immobile 5' · 0.09 xGBenjamin André 53' · 0.05 xGHákon Haraldsson 4' · 0.04 xGRomain Perraud 91' · 0.03 xGJonathan Ikone 69' · 0.03 xGThomas Meunier 51' · 0.03 xGHákon Haraldsson 7' · 0.03 xGMamadou Mbow 87' · 0.02 xGMamadou Mbow 15' · 0.02 xGMatias Fernandez-Pardo 25' · 0.76 xG · goal
Paris FC (attacking right)Lille (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Paris FC701.37
Lille1011.76

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Lille led on xG, 0.98 to 0.11, 0.76 of it from a penalty, level on open-play xG. At full time, Lille led on xG, 1.76 to 1.37, 0.76 of it from a penalty and 0.76 of Paris FC’s from a penalty. The widest gap was 1.26 xG to Lille, in the 66th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.80.900′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Lille 25 min
Paris FC 1.37 xGLille 1.76 xGdots = goals · 17 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Paris FC v Lille?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Paris FC v Lille was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Paris FC and Lille?
In their last 1 meetings, Paris FC won 0, Lille won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 6 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Paris FC and Lille?
Recent form — Paris FC 3W 2D 0L; Lille 3W 1D 1L.

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