Paris Saint-Germain v Estac Troyes prediction

The match

Paris Saint-Germain host Estac Troyes in Ligue 1 on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 20:05 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Paris Saint-Germain have scored 21 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games).

Paris Saint-Germain have won their last 10 matches in all competitions. Paris Saint-Germain have scored in 13 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

12 of Paris Saint-Germain’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%). Both teams scored in 11 of Paris Saint-Germain’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Paris Saint-Germain have five wins, no draws and one defeat in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 2.50 points per game, scoring 3.00 and conceding 1.17. Paris Saint-Germain have conceded 10 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games).

Seven of Estac Troyes’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in five of Estac Troyes’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Estac Troyes have two wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.25. Estac Troyes have scored seven goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Estac Troyes have conceded 16 goals, the seventh-most of the 18 clubs.

Paris Saint-Germain (first) and Estac Troyes (16th) are 12 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Paris Saint-Germain the stronger side, 522 rating points above Estac Troyes (Paris Saint-Germain 1934, Estac Troyes 1412, after at least 123 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Paris Saint-Germain are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Estac Troyes, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 7 May 2023, finished Estac Troyes 1–3 Paris Saint-Germain.

Team news

Predicted Paris Saint-Germain XI (4-3-3): M. Safonov, I. Zabarnyi, A. Hakimi, L. Hernández, W. Pacho, Vitinha, F. Ruiz, J. Neves, F. Torres, D. Doué, M. Akliouche — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Désiré Doué (6.7 per match over 13 appearances, five goals and four assists) and O. Dembélé (5.4 per match over 10 appearances, four goals and six assists) have been Paris Saint-Germain’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Paris Saint-Germain (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Désiré Doué averages 3.4 shots per 90 over 1547 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. O. Dembélé averages 3.6 shots per 90 over 1399 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Estac Troyes XI (4-2-3-1): P. Beach, A. Monfray, M. Diaz, L. Maronnier, P. Gozzi, A. Mille, D. Karim, M. Diop, I. Gomis, H. Picard, R. Ripart — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Antoine Mille (4.5 per match over nine appearances, one goal and one assist) and Anis Ouzenadji (4.4 per match over five appearances, one assist) have been Estac Troyes’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Estac Troyes (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Antoine Mille averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 713 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last nine appearances. Anis Ouzenadji averages 2.4 tackles per 90 over 450 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last five appearances.