Stade Brestois 29 v Marseille prediction

Ligue 1 ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Stade Brestois 29 v Marseille, Ligue 1 on Sat, 02 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Stade Brestois 29 host Marseille in Ligue 1 on Saturday 2 January (kick-off 16:00 UK).

Form and the table

10 of Stade Brestois 29’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Stade Brestois 29’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Stade Brestois 29 have one win, three draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.86 points per game, scoring 2.14 and conceding 2.00. Stade Brestois 29 have scored 13 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Stade Brestois 29 have conceded 10 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Eight of Marseille’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Marseille’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Marseille have three wins, no draws and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.13 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.75. Marseille have scored 14 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Marseille have conceded 10 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Stade Brestois 29 (10th) and Marseille (ninth) are level on points, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Marseille the stronger side, 63 rating points above Stade Brestois 29 (Marseille 1668, Stade Brestois 29 1605, after at least 251 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 20 February 2026, finished Stade Brestois 29 2–0 Marseille.

Team news

Predicted Stade Brestois 29 XI (4-2-3-1): E. Selvik, B. Locko, K. Lala, G. Lloris, L. Tousart, J. Chotard, K. Doumbia, P. Mboup, H. Magnetti, J. Nonge Boende, L. Ajorque — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Kamory Doumbia (5.4 per match over seven appearances, four goals and one assist) and Hugo Magnetti (4.7 per match over six appearances, two assists) have been Stade Brestois 29’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Stade Brestois 29 (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Kamory Doumbia averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 568 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last seven appearances. Hugo Magnetti averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 450 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last six appearances.

Predicted Marseille XI (4-2-3-1): J. de Lange, Emerson, C. Egan-Riley, T. Weah, N. Aguerd, A. Harit, H. Abdelli, A. Gomes, I. Paixão, P. Højbjerg, A. Gouiri — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (4.3 per match over six appearances, one goal) and Amine Harit (4.0 per match over nine appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Marseille’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Marseille (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Pierre-Emile Højbjerg averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 882 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Amine Harit averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 686 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Ligue 1
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Stade Brestois 29 2 · draws 0 · Marseille 4 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Stade Brestois 29 2W 1D 2L · Marseille 2W 0D 3L

Stade Brestois 29 v Marseille (Ligue 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5 / 5
Corners
against 3.88 / 3.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.75 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 4 / 5.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 1.5
Cards
against 1.63 / 2.13 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameStade Brestois 29 for / againstLineMarseille for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 3.88 against n 8
9.5standard
5 for · 3.88 against n 8
Shots
17.63 for · 11.5 against n 8
19.5standard
12.88 for · 16.63 against n 8
Shots on target
5.75 for · 4 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 5.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.63 for · 13 against n 8
21.5standard
12 for · 10.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 2.13 against n 8
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Mboup n 880.1
3.27/6
1.76/4
—
L. Ajorque n 889
2.78/7
1.36/3
—
Ibrahim Yayiya Kante n 311.3
2.61/0
2.61/0
—
M. Diambou n 845.1
25/2
0.72/1
—
J. Nonge Boende n 830.9
1.84/1
5.14/4
—
Stade Brestois 29 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Ibrahim Yayiya Kante n 311.3
7.92/1
2.61/0
P. Mboup n 880.1
2.97/7
1.46/3
L. Ajorque n 889
2.46/5
0.85/1
Mama Baldé n 832.3
2.45/2
13/0
N. Edjouma n 823.1
2.44/1
12/0
Stade Brestois 29 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Mama Baldé n 832.3
0.72/0
0.31/0
K. Doumbia n 880.1
0.63/1
0.32/0
D. Guindo n 890
0.11/0
0.54/0
L. Ajorque n 889
0.32/0
0.11/0
P. Mboup n 880.1
0.32/0
0.11/0
Stade Brestois 29 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Diambou n 845.1
4.56/5
D. N´Guessan n 820.4
3.95/2
H. Magnetti n 868.9
3.35/5
N. Edjouma n 823.1
2.92/2
Ibrahim Yayiya Kante n 311.3
2.61/0
Stade Brestois 29 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Selvik n 890
3.27/6
Marseille
Marseille — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Moumbagna n 89.8
3.53/0
3.52/1
—
T. Mmadi n 39.3
3.21/0
3.21/0
—
T. Nnadi n 854.9
2.76/5
1.46/1
—
K. Abdallah n 839.1
25/1
0.62/0
—
B. Meité n 880.9
1.86/6
1.55/3
—
Marseille — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Abdallah n 839.1
3.56/3
1.23/1
T. Mmadi n 39.3
3.21/0
00/0
Igor Paixão n 872.4
2.66/4
0.94/2
A. Gouiri n 870.3
1.64/3
12/2
A. Harit n 875.4
1.26/2
0.75/0
Marseille — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Gouiri n 870.3
0.52/1
0.21/0
Nouhoum Kamissoko n 536.8
0.51/0
00/0
H. Abdelli n 880.8
0.32/0
0.11/0
A. Harit n 875.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
T. Weah n 888.4
00/0
0.31/1
Marseille — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Mmadi n 39.3
3.21/0
Nouhoum Kamissoko n 536.8
2.93/2
T. Weah n 888.4
2.56/6
G. Kondogbia n 852.1
2.44/4
Q. Timber n 853.9
2.15/4
Marseille — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. de Lange n 890
3.97/7

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Stade Brestois 29 v Marseille — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Stade Brestois 29WLLWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
MarseilleLLWLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Stade Brestois 29 2 · 0 draws · Marseille 4 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2026-02-20 Stade Brestois 29 2–0 Marseille
  • 2025-11-08 Marseille 3–0 Stade Brestois 29
  • 2025-04-27 Marseille 4–1 Stade Brestois 29
  • 2024-08-17 Stade Brestois 29 1–5 Marseille
  • 2024-02-18 Stade Brestois 29 1–0 Marseille
  • 2023-08-26 Marseille 2–0 Stade Brestois 29
League standing · 2026/27
Stade Brestois 29#10 pos9 pts7 pl+3 GD
Marseille#9 pos9 pts7 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
Stade Brestois 29 scored1.86
Marseille scored2
Stade Brestois 29 conceded1.43
Marseille conceded1.43

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Stade Brestois 29 and Marseille?
In their last 6 meetings, Stade Brestois 29 won 2, Marseille won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Stade Brestois 29 and Marseille?
Recent form — Stade Brestois 29 2W 1D 2L; Marseille 2W 0D 3L.

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