Stade Brestois 29Paris Saint Germain

Stade Brestois 29 v Paris Saint-Germain result

Full-time · Stade Brestois 29 0–1 Paris Saint-Germain

Ligue 1 · · Stade Francis-Le Blé

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Stade Brestois 29 0–1 Paris Saint-Germain — Paris Saint-Germain won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.13 at Unibet
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5270 landed (95% range 76.7–78.9%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 2,041 of 2,727 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Stade Brestois 29 1.24, Paris Saint-Germain 1.34 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Paris Saint-Germain won 1–0 at Stade Francis-Le Blé in Ligue 1 on Sunday 13 September. Paris Saint-Germain have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Paris Saint-Germain led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Paris Saint-Germain: Ferran Torres (5’, assisted by O. Dembélé).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ferran Torres’s goal on 5 minutes.

Discipline

Willy Delajod, France showed three yellow cards — against 2.7 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Stade Brestois 29: Kamory Doumbia (30’); Paris Saint-Germain: Vitinha (84’) and Pedro Fernández (87’).

What it changes

Stade Brestois 29 move down from fourth to seventh (shared) (four league matches played).

Paris Saint-Germain move up from 12th to seventh (shared) (four league matches played).

Paris Saint-Germain recorded the only away win among the nine finished matches of round 4.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, O. Dembélé (Paris Saint-Germain) 6.5, Egil Selvik (Stade Brestois 29) 5.8 and Matvey Safonov (Paris Saint-Germain) 5.2 led the match.

Head-to-head

Paris Saint-Germain are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Stade Brestois 29, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Stade Brestois 29 or Paris Saint-Germain (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (4101 of 5270).

Next up

Stade Brestois 29 next travel to Strasbourg on 21 November 2026.

Paris Saint-Germain next travel to Nice on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Stade Brestois 29: Strasbourg v Stade Brestois 29, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Paris Saint-Germain: Nice v Paris Saint-Germain, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Stade Brestois 29 0–1 Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 1
  • Venue: Stade Francis-Le Blé · Brest
  • Referee: Willy Delajod, France
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Stade Brestois 29 0 · draws 0 · Paris Saint-Germain 6 · 4.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Stade Brestois 29 1W 3D 1L · Paris Saint-Germain 1W 2D 2L

Stade Brestois 29 0–1 Paris Saint-Germain (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 27 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.88
Goals
against 2 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
4.75 / 5.29
Corners
against 5.13 / 1.29 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5 / 6.71
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 4 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.13 / 1.14
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.86 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
2.71 yellows
Referee · Willy Delajod, France
23.71 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 9 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameStade Brestois 29 for / againstLineParis Saint-Germain for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 2 against n 8
3.25our book
1.88 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.75 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
5.29 for · 1.29 against n 7
Shots
16.25 for · 14.38 against n 8
19.5standard
19.71 for · 10.14 against n 7
Shots on target
5 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
6.71 for · 4 against n 7
Fouls committed
11.88 for · 11.5 against n 8
21.5standard
8.57 for · 9.29 against n 7
Cards shown
1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.14 for · 1.86 against n 7

Referee: Willy Delajod, France — 2.71 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 23.71 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Stade Brestois 29

Stade Brestois 29 Goalkeeper

Stade Brestois 29 — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
E. Selvik390270 min62 /9051.7 /9000 /90
Stade Brestois 29 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stade Brestois 29 before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Selvik n 390
22/2

Stade Brestois 29 Defensive

Stade Brestois 29 — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
B. Locko390270 min82.7 /9062 /9010.3 /90196.3 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90
R. Le Guen390270 min20.7 /9041.3 /9020.7 /90175.7 /9000 /9000 /90
K. Lala367202 min41.8 /9000 /9000 /9083.6 /9010.4 /9000 /90
G. Lloris287173 min42.1 /9031.6 /9021 /90126.2 /9010.5 /9000 /90
L. Zogbe16868 min11.3 /9045.3 /9000 /9045.3 /9022.6 /9000 /90
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Stade Brestois 29 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stade Brestois 29 before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Ajorque n 890
2.47/7
1.56/4
—
B. Locko n 878.4
0.94/2
2.47/4
A. Hakimi
R. Le Guen n 790
0.63/1
0.11/0
W. Pacho
J. Chotard n 879
0.62/2
0.11/0
Vitinha
E. Selvik n 390
00/0
00/0
—
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Stade Brestois 29 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stade Brestois 29 before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. Locko n 878.4
4.28/7
J. Chotard n 879
1.67/4
L. Ajorque n 890
1.14/2
R. Le Guen n 790
1.15/2
K. Doumbia n 870.8
2.16/5
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Stade Brestois 29 Attacking

Stade Brestois 29 — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Ajorque390270 min10.3 /9000 /90124 /9041.3 /9062 /9041.3 /90
Mama Baldé336109 min00 /9010.8 /9043.3 /9010.8 /9032.5 /9021.7 /90
N. Edjouma12323 min00 /9000 /9013.9 /9013.9 /9013.9 /9000 /90
G. Versini11515 min00 /9000 /9016 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
G. Versini11515 min00 /9000 /9016 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
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Stade Brestois 29 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stade Brestois 29 before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Ajorque n 890
2.56/5
0.84/2
R. Le Guen n 790
1.45/4
0.11/0
J. Chotard n 879
0.74/1
0.43/0
E. Selvik n 390
00/0
00/0
B. Locko n 878.4
00/0
00/0
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Stade Brestois 29 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stade Brestois 29 before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Ajorque n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
J. Chotard n 879
00/0
0.11/0
B. Locko n 878.4
00/0
0.11/0
E. Selvik n 390
00/0
00/0
R. Le Guen n 790
00/0
00/0
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Paris Saint-Germain

Paris Saint-Germain Goalkeeper

Paris Saint-Germain — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Safonov691546 min91.5 /9081.3 /9000 /90
Paris Saint-Germain — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Safonov n 890.8
35/4

Paris Saint-Germain Defensive

Paris Saint-Germain — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Hakimi687520 min71.2 /9030.5 /9000 /90254.3 /9010.2 /9020.3 /90
W. Pacho687520 min91.6 /9050.9 /9040.7 /90223.8 /9020.3 /9000 /90
Marquinhos492366 min20.5 /9020.5 /9010.2 /9082 /9030.7 /9010.2 /90
L. Hernández441163 min31.7 /9010.6 /9000 /9042.2 /9010.6 /9010.6 /90
Beraldo440161 min63.4 /9021.1 /9010.6 /9095 /9000 /9000 /90
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Paris Saint-Germain — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Safonov n 890.8
00/0
0.11/0
—
Vitinha n 879.8
0.32/0
0.42/1
J. Chotard
A. Hakimi n 881.9
0.52/1
0.84/2
B. Locko
W. Pacho n 887.5
0.32/0
0.64/1
R. Le Guen
M. Akliouche n 662
13/1
1.54/2
—
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Paris Saint-Germain — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Vitinha n 879.8
17/0
W. Pacho n 887.5
1.84/3
A. Hakimi n 881.9
1.46/3
M. Akliouche n 662
2.45/3
Fabián Ruiz n 854.8
2.96/4
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Paris Saint-Germain Attacking

Paris Saint-Germain — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Akliouche662372 min00 /9010.2 /9071.7 /9010.2 /90112.7 /9030.7 /90
D. Doué575375 min10.2 /9010.2 /90112.6 /9071.7 /90122.9 /90163.8 /90
K. Kvaratskhelia563316 min10.3 /9010.3 /90113.1 /9051.4 /9061.7 /9082.3 /90
O. Dembélé542211 min20.9 /9031.3 /90187.7 /9062.6 /90125.1 /9073 /90
Ferran Torres454217 min52.1 /9000 /90114.6 /9052.1 /9031.2 /9000 /90
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Paris Saint-Germain — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Safonov n 890.8
00/0
00/0
Vitinha n 879.8
1.45/2
0.42/1
A. Hakimi n 881.9
1.56/4
0.53/1
W. Pacho n 887.5
00/0
00/0
M. Akliouche n 662
1.74/2
0.21/0
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Paris Saint-Germain — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Safonov n 890.8
00/0
00/0
Vitinha n 879.8
0.11/0
0.11/0
A. Hakimi n 881.9
00/0
0.11/0
W. Pacho n 887.5
00/0
00/0
M. Akliouche n 662
00/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Stade Brestois 29Paris Saint-Germain
41%Possession59%
1.24Expected goals (xG)1.16
16Shots15
5Shots on target7
7Shots off target4
4Blocked shots4
8Shots inside the box9
3Corners2
3Offsides1
13Fouls7
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
6Saves6
428Passes650
83%Pass accuracy89%

Stade Brestois 29 Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Selvik9000001007.7
K. Lala9000001206.2
R. Le Guen9000100206.7
G. Lloris9000000006.7
H. Magnetti9000101307
P. Mboup9000421106
L. Ajorque9000411006.9
B. Locko8800001307.4
J. Chotard7800001006.6
K. Doumbia78004120Y5.9
G. Versini6600001206.5
J. Nonge Boende2400100006.2
L. Tousart1200000106.3
D. N´Guessan1200100006.3
J. Bourgault200000006.1
D. N'Guessan sub1200100006.5

Paris Saint-Germain Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Safonov9000000008.5
Marquinhos9000000107
W. Pacho9000100307.7
Nuno Mendes9000101207.3
Vitinha90000020Y6.9
João Neves9000221307.1
W. Zaïre-Emery7700000106.7
Ferran Torres7710112008
O. Dembélé6601421007.6
K. Kvaratskhelia6600421006.6
Fabián Ruiz5100002007.2
A. Hakimi3900102007.7
D. Doué2400100106.5
M. Akliouche2400000407.2
Mika Godts1300000006.5
Pedro Fernández13000000Y6.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Stade Brestois 29 v Paris Saint-Germain — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Stade Brestois 29LDDDW
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Paris Saint-GermainLDDLW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 2.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Stade Brestois 29 0 · 0 draws · Paris Saint-Germain 6 · 4.17 goals/game
  • 2026-05-10 Paris Saint-Germain 1–0 Stade Brestois 29
  • 2025-10-25 Stade Brestois 29 0–3 Paris Saint-Germain
  • 2025-02-19 Paris Saint-Germain 7–0 Stade Brestois 29
  • 2025-02-11 Stade Brestois 29 0–3 Paris Saint-Germain
  • 2025-02-01 Stade Brestois 29 2–5 Paris Saint-Germain
  • 2024-09-14 Paris Saint-Germain 3–1 Stade Brestois 29
League standing · 2026/27
Stade Brestois 29#9 pos15 pts10 pl+6 GD
Paris Saint-Germain#1 pos23 pts10 pl+12 GD
Goals per game
Stade Brestois 29 scored1.8
Paris Saint-Germain scored2.2
Stade Brestois 29 conceded1.2
Paris Saint-Germain conceded1

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Stade Brestois 29 1.24 xG from 16 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 1.34 from 15. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

João Neves 68' · 0.30 xGKhvicha Kvaratskhelia 8' · 0.29 xGKamory Doumbia 49' · 0.29 xGKamory Doumbia 56' · 0.28 xGPathé Mboup 86' · 0.26 xGOusmane Dembélé 48' · 0.13 xGJoão Neves 70' · 0.11 xGKhvicha Kvaratskhelia 44' · 0.10 xGOusmane Dembélé 12' · 0.08 xGNuno Mendes 2' · 0.07 xGKamory Doumbia 64' · 0.05 xGDjylian N'Guessan 92' · 0.05 xGKhvicha Kvaratskhelia 63' · 0.05 xGKamory Doumbia 14' · 0.05 xGPathé Mboup 15' · 0.05 xGWilliam Pacho 78' · 0.04 xGPathé Mboup 9' · 0.03 xGOusmane Dembélé 48' · 0.03 xGLudovic Ajorque 6' · 0.03 xGRaphaël Le Guen 47' · 0.03 xGOusmane Dembélé 8' · 0.03 xGLudovic Ajorque 20' · 0.03 xGKhvicha Kvaratskhelia 21' · 0.03 xGDésiré Doué 76' · 0.03 xGAchraf Hakimi 3' · 0.02 xGLudovic Ajorque 37' · 0.02 xGPathé Mboup 25' · 0.02 xGLudovic Ajorque 58' · 0.02 xGJoseph Nonge 84' · 0.02 xGHugo Magnetti 61' · 0.01 xGFerrán Torres 4' · 0.02 xG · goal
Stade Brestois 29 (attacking right)Paris Saint-Germain (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Stade Brestois 291601.24
Paris Saint-Germain1511.34

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Paris Saint-Germain led on xG, 0.65 to 0.23. At full time, xG was level: Stade Brestois 29 1.24, Paris Saint-Germain 1.34. The widest gap was 0.56 xG to Paris Saint-Germain, in the 48th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.30.700′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Paris Saint Germain 4 min
Stade Brestois 29 1.24 xGParis Saint-Germain 1.34 xGdots = goals · 31 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Stade Brestois 29 v Paris Saint-Germain?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Stade Brestois 29 v Paris Saint-Germain was Home or Away (best price 1.13 at Unibet).
What is the head-to-head record between Stade Brestois 29 and Paris Saint-Germain?
In their last 6 meetings, Stade Brestois 29 won 0, Paris Saint-Germain won 6 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Stade Brestois 29 and Paris Saint-Germain?
Recent form — Stade Brestois 29 1W 3D 1L; Paris Saint-Germain 1W 2D 2L.

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