Toulouse v Lille result

Full-time · Toulouse 0–1 Lille

Ligue 1 · Thu, 03 Sep 2026 19:45 BST · Stadium de Toulouse

Updated 17 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Toulouse · Lille · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Toulouse 0–1 Lille — Lille won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.30 at William Hill

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4315 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Lille won 1–0 at Stadium de Toulouse in Ligue 1 on Thursday 3 September. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Toulouse out-shot Lille 24 to 10 and created the better chances, 3.01 xG to 1.10 (per-shot expected goals for this match). Context.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Lille: Ayase Ueda (73’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ayase Ueda’s goal on 73 minutes.

Discipline

Mathieu Vernice, France showed one yellow card — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Toulouse: S. Hidalgo (20’).

What it changes

Toulouse stay 16th after this result (three league matches played). Toulouse are winless in their last four matches.

Lille stay first after this result (three league matches played). Lille are unbeaten in their last three matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, C. Cásseres (Toulouse) 9.9, Berke Özer (Lille) 7.0 and Benjamin André (Lille) 5.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Toulouse or Lille (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.3% of the time in the last 90 days (3334 of 4315).

Next up

Toulouse next host Estac Troyes on 24 October 2026.

Lille next host Galatasaray on 21 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Toulouse: Toulouse v Estac Troyes, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Lille: Lille v Galatasaray, Wednesday 21 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Toulouse 0–1 Lille · Ligue 1
Venue: Stadium de Toulouse · Toulouse
Referee: Mathieu Vernice, France
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Toulouse 1 · draws 1 · Lille 4 · 3.17 goals/game
Recent form: Toulouse 2W 2D 1L · Lille 2W 2D 1L

Toulouse 0–1 Lille (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 17 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 1.38

Goals

against 1.88 / 0.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.13 / 4.13

Corners

against 6.5 / 4.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.13 / 5.25

Shots on target

against 5.75 / 2.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.63 / 2.25

Cards

against 1.25 / 2.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4 yellows

Referee · Mathieu Vernice, France

1.8 home / 2.2 away

over 5 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 29 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 29 August 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Toulouse for / against	Line	Lille for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	1.38 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.13 for · 6.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.13 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	10.63 for · 16.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	11.88 for · 9.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.13 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.25 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.5 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.38 for · 12.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.63 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.25 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Mathieu Vernice, France — 4 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 24.6 fouls over 5 matches (1.8 to the home side, 2.2 to the away side).

Home 1.8Away 2.2

Toulouse

Toulouse — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
D. Methalie n 8	64.5	3 7/4	0.5 2/1	—
S. Hidalgo n 8	57.5	2.5 6/3	2.3 5/3	H. Haraldsson
A. Dønnum n 8	81.6	2.3 7/5	1.1 5/3	—
C. Cásseres n 8	80.4	2.2 7/4	1.8 6/4	—
R. Messali n 8	57.8	2.1 7/3	2.1 6/5	N. Ngoy

Toulouse — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Julián Vignolo n 8	33.3	2.7 5/2	2 5/1
Emersonn n 8	44.3	2.3 4/3	1 3/1
S. Hidalgo n 8	57.5	1.8 5/4	1.2 5/1
J. Russell-Rowe n 8	45.8	1.5 3/2	1 3/1
N. Schmidt n 8	55.6	1.4 5/2	0.4 2/0

Toulouse — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Emersonn n 8	44.3	0.8 3/0	0.3 1/0
S. Hidalgo n 8	57.5	0.2 1/0	0.4 2/0
D. Methalie n 8	64.5	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0
J. Russell-Rowe n 8	45.8	0.5 2/0	0 0/0
C. Cásseres n 8	80.4	0 0/0	0.4 2/1

Toulouse — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
P. Diop n 8	51.9	3 6/4
C. Cásseres n 8	80.4	2.9 8/5
Y. Azizi n 5	12.6	2.9 2/0
S. Hidalgo n 8	57.5	2.5 6/2
T. Jørgensen n 8	84.3	2.4 8/6

Toulouse — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Guillaume Restes n 8	80.9	4.2 6/5

Lille

Lille — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
T. Meunier n 8	70.4	1.8 5/2	0.2 1/0	—
Tiago Santos n 8	45.1	1.7 5/1	1.2 4/1	—
H. Haraldsson n 8	83.4	1.5 5/3	2 7/3	S. Hidalgo
G. Perrin n 8	16.1	1.4 2/0	0 0/0	—
N. Ngoy n 8	84.8	1.3 7/3	0.5 4/0	R. Messali

Lille — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Fernandez-Pardo n 8	45	1.8 6/1	0.3 1/0
H. Haraldsson n 8	83.4	1.6 6/3	1.1 4/2
O. Giroud n 8	36.5	1.5 4/1	1.2 4/0
Félix Correia n 8	63.9	1.2 4/2	0.2 1/0
Tiago Santos n 8	45.1	1.2 2/2	0.5 1/1

Lille — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
O. Giroud n 8	36.5	0.6 2/0	0.6 1/1
D. Bakwa n 8	41.1	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
B. Önal n 8	69.1	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
H. Haraldsson n 8	83.4	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
N. Bentaleb n 8	75.9	0 0/0	0.3 2/0

Lille — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
G. Perrin n 8	16.1	4.2 4/2
B. André n 8	75.5	3.6 8/8
A. Bouaddi n 8	60.6	2 6/3
C. Verdonk n 8	22.4	2 3/1
N. Bentaleb n 8	75.9	1.9 7/4

Lille — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
B. Özer n 8	90	1.8 5/1

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Toulouse		Lille
54%	Possession	46%
3.46	Expected goals (xG)	1.21
24	Shots	10
10	Shots on target	6
11	Shots off target	2
3	Blocked shots	2
14	Shots inside the box	6
6	Corners	2
3	Offsides	0
16	Fouls	9
1	Yellow cards	0
0	Red cards	0
5	Saves	9
516	Passes	462
87%	Pass accuracy	85%

Toulouse player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. McKenzie	90	0	0	1	0	0	6.6
R. Nicolaisen	90	2	0	1	0	0	6.9
C. Tape	90	1	1	2	0	0	6.7
C. Cásseres	90	3	1	5	6	0	8.9
T. Jørgensen	90	0	0	3	2	0	7.2
Y. Azizi	90	2	1	1	0	0	6.2
A. Vossah	72	3	0	0	2	0	6.6
Guillaume Restes	71	0	0	0	0	0	8.3
R. Messali	66	0	0	1	1	0	7
J. Russell-Rowe	65	4	3	0	0	0	6.3
S. Hidalgo	57	4	4	1	1	Y	6.3
Julián Vignolo sub	33	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
C. Tengstedt sub	25	2	0	0	0	0	6.3
I. Diallo sub	24	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
M. Niflore sub	19	0	0	0	0	0	7
N. Schmidt sub	18	0	0	2	0	0	6.9

Lille player stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
B. Özer	90	0	0	0	0	0	10
Tiago Santos	90	0	2	1	0	3	7.5
N. Ngoy	90	0	0	0	0	0	8
Alexsandro Ribeiro	90	0	0	0	0	2	8
B. André	90	0	0	0	2	3	7.2
H. Haraldsson	90	0	0	0	4	1	6.7
N. Bentaleb	71	0	0	0	0	1	6.3
E. Mbappé	58	0	1	1	0	1	6.9
O. Giroud	57	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
C. Verdonk	45	0	1	0	0	3	6.6
O. Sahraoui	45	0	1	1	0	0	7
D. Bakwa sub	45	0	0	0	1	1	6.6
R. Perraud sub	45	0	0	0	0	2	7
A. Ueda sub	33	1	2	2	0	0	7
N. Mukau sub	32	0	1	1	0	1	6.7
B. Önal sub	19	0	0	0	0	0	6.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Toulouse v Lille — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

ToulouseWWDLD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

LilleDWLWD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Toulouse 1 · 1 draw · Lille 4 · 3.17 goals/game

2026-04-12 Toulouse 0–4 Lille
2025-09-14 Lille 2–1 Toulouse
2025-04-12 Toulouse 1–2 Lille
2024-10-05 Lille 2–1 Toulouse
2024-02-25 Toulouse 3–1 Lille
2023-11-12 Lille 1–1 Toulouse

League standing · 2026/27

Toulouse#9 pos9 pts7 pl+1 GD

Lille#2 pos14 pts7 pl+5 GD

Goals per game

Toulouse scored1.71

Lille scored1.43

Toulouse conceded1.57

Lille conceded0.71

Shot map and expected goals

Toulouse 3.01 xG from 24 shots, Lille 1.10 from 10. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Toulouse (attacking right)Lille (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Toulouse	24	0	3.01
Lille	10	1	1.10

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Toulouse vs Lille?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Toulouse v Lille was Home or Away (best price 1.30 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Toulouse and Lille?: In their last 6 meetings, Toulouse won 1, Lille won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Toulouse and Lille?: Recent form — Toulouse 2W 2D 1L; Lille 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 17 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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