ToulouseLyon

Toulouse v Lyon result

Full-time · Toulouse 2–1 Lyon

Ligue 1 · · Stadium de Toulouse

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Toulouse · Lyon · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Toulouse 2–1 Lyon — Toulouse won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1452 landed (95% range 65.7–70.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated draw or away (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 829 of 1,283 times (64.6%), against an average rating of 69.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Toulouse 1.87, Lyon 1.60 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Toulouse beat Lyon 2–1 at Stadium de Toulouse in Ligue 1 on Sunday 10 May. Toulouse have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Lyon have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Toulouse led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Toulouse: Dayann Methalie (10’, assisted by Y. Gboho) and W. Kamanzi (78’, assisted by S. Hidalgo); Lyon: Corentin Tolisso (71’, assisted by Endrick). Aron Dønnum (79’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with W. Kamanzi’s goal on 78 minutes.

Discipline

B. Dechepy showed eight yellow cards and one red — against 5.3 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Toulouse: Aron Dønnum (26’), Dayann Methalie (44’), Alexis Vossah (45+1’), Mark McKenzie (46’), Charlie Cresswell (57’) and Aron Dønnum (79’); Lyon: Endrick (56’) and Roman Yaremchuk (70’).

What it changes

Toulouse stay 10th after this result (33 league matches played). Toulouse have scored 47 goals, the 11th-most of the 21 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 33 games, ranked per game). Toulouse have conceded 46 goals, the 11th-fewest of the 21 clubs.

Lyon move down from third to fourth (33 league matches played). Lyon have scored 53 goals, the eighth-most of the 21 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Lyon have conceded 40 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 21 clubs.

Toulouse are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Y. Gboho (Toulouse) 8.1, Dayann Methalie (Toulouse) 6.9 and Moussa Niakhaté (Lyon) 6.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Lyon, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (989 of 1452).

Next up

Toulouse next host Strasbourg on 6 November 2026.

Lyon next travel to Stade Brestois 29 on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Toulouse: Toulouse v Strasbourg, Friday 6 November — the preview. Next for Lyon: Stade Brestois 29 v Lyon, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Toulouse 2–1 Lyon · Ligue 1
  • Venue: Stadium de Toulouse · Toulouse
  • Referee: B. Dechepy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Toulouse 1 · draws 1 · Lyon 4 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Toulouse 1W 1D 3L · Lyon 4W 1D 0L

Toulouse 2–1 Lyon (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.5
Goals
against 2.5 / 1.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
2.38 / 4.25
Corners
against 5.63 / 5.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 4.5
Shots on target
against 7.25 / 4.88 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 1.75
Cards
against 0.88 / 3 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.3 yellows
Referee · B. Dechepy
25.2 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameToulouse for / againstLineLyon for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 2.5 against n 8
2.75our book
1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
2.38 for · 5.63 against n 8
9.5standard
4.25 for · 5.5 against n 8
Shots
11.38 for · 16.25 against n 8
19.5standard
11 for · 13.25 against n 8
Shots on target
3.25 for · 7.25 against n 8
8.5standard
4.5 for · 4.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.38 for · 9 against n 8
21.5standard
12.13 for · 14.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 0.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 3 against n 8

Referee: B. Dechepy — 5.3 yellow cards a game, 0.1 red cards, 25.2 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Toulouse

Toulouse Goalkeeper

Toulouse — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Guillaume Restes32892850 min822.6 /90441.4 /9000 /90
K. Haug475300 min92.7 /9061.8 /9000 /90
Toulouse — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toulouse before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Guillaume Restes n 886.3
4.28/6
K. Haug n 883.6
23/1

Toulouse Defensive

Toulouse — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
R. Nicolaisen32832650 min270.9 /90461.6 /90180.6 /901264.3 /90301 /9040.1 /90
C. Cresswell29872533 min230.8 /90271 /90291 /901696 /90301.1 /9070.2 /90
M. McKenzie29862486 min431.6 /90281 /90110.4 /901013.7 /90331.2 /9050.2 /90
W. Kamanzi1850902 min212.1 /9090.9 /9020.2 /90424.2 /9070.7 /9010.1 /90
S. Koumbassa883663 min131.8 /9050.7 /9020.3 /90223 /9030.4 /9010.1 /90
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Toulouse — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toulouse before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Guillaume Restes n 886.3
00/0
0.11/0
—
Y. Gboho n 878.1
0.43/0
2.26/3
—
C. Cásseres n 886
1.78/3
16/2
T. Morton
R. Nicolaisen n 890
0.42/1
0.95/2
Clinton Mata
A. Dønnum n 883
1.66/4
1.26/3
C. Tolisso
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Toulouse — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toulouse before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Y. Gboho n 878.1
1.67/4
C. Cásseres n 886
2.57/5
R. Nicolaisen n 890
1.14/3
A. Dønnum n 883
1.96/3
D. Sidibé n 872.3
2.26/4
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Toulouse Attacking

Toulouse — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Y. Gboho32842699 min90.3 /9020.1 /90341.1 /90170.6 /90602 /90802.7 /90
Emersonn29601745 min70.4 /9030.2 /90462.4 /90211.1 /90180.9 /90110.6 /90
S. Hidalgo21611272 min40.3 /9040.3 /90251.8 /90100.7 /90120.8 /90110.8 /90
F. Magri17741264 min50.4 /9010.1 /90251.8 /90120.9 /90141 /90100.7 /90
J. Russell-Rowe1041406 min10.2 /9000 /9092 /9040.9 /9061.3 /9020.4 /90
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Toulouse — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toulouse before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Guillaume Restes n 886.3
00/0
00/0
Y. Gboho n 878.1
1.35/3
0.42/1
C. Cásseres n 886
0.42/1
0.11/0
R. Nicolaisen n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
A. Dønnum n 883
0.95/1
0.32/0
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Toulouse — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toulouse before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Guillaume Restes n 886.3
00/0
00/0
Y. Gboho n 878.1
0.31/1
00/0
C. Cásseres n 886
0.11/0
0.42/1
R. Nicolaisen n 890
0.11/0
00/0
A. Dønnum n 883
0.11/0
0.11/0
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Lyon

Lyon Goalkeeper

Lyon — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. Greif33902970 min972.9 /90361.1 /9030.1 /90
R. Descamps12901080 min252.1 /9070.6 /9000 /90
Lyon — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lyon before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Greif n 890
3.56/5
R. Descamps n 890
1.94/2

Lyon Defensive

Lyon — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Clinton Mata40893556 min501.3 /90441.1 /90340.9 /901584 /90451.1 /9070.2 /90
M. Niakhaté39873394 min411.1 /90421.1 /90200.5 /901844.9 /90411.1 /9020.1 /90
A. Maitland-Niles38813073 min792.3 /90431.3 /9060.2 /901333.9 /90441.3 /9070.2 /90
Abner31822534 min361.3 /90100.4 /9040.1 /90752.7 /90311.1 /9050.2 /90
N. Tagliafico28701956 min502.3 /90301.4 /9050.2 /901316 /90472.2 /90100.5 /90
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Lyon — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lyon before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Morton n 882.6
0.53/1
0.75/0
C. Cásseres
Clinton Mata n 890
1.17/2
1.34/3
R. Nicolaisen
M. Niakhaté n 881.1
1.15/3
1.45/3
—
A. Maitland-Niles n 887.8
0.95/2
0.43/0
—
C. Tolisso n 873.9
2.16/5
1.76/3
A. Dønnum
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Lyon — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lyon before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Morton n 882.6
1.47/3
Clinton Mata n 890
0.84/2
M. Niakhaté n 881.1
0.85/1
A. Maitland-Niles n 887.8
1.97/3
C. Tolisso n 873.9
1.15/2
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Lyon Attacking

Lyon — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Šulc33652134 min140.6 /9060.3 /90391.6 /90231 /90291.2 /90200.8 /90
Afonso Moreira30692059 min60.3 /90100.4 /90452 /90271.2 /90431.9 /90271.2 /90
Endrick18771380 min80.5 /9060.4 /90473.1 /90312 /90342.2 /90432.8 /90
M. Satriano15831251 min30.2 /9010.1 /90231.7 /90100.7 /90130.9 /90100.7 /90
R. Yaremchuk1056559 min40.6 /9010.2 /90132.1 /9071.1 /9081.3 /9020.3 /90
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Lyon — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lyon before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Morton n 882.6
0.43/0
0.43/0
Clinton Mata n 890
0.11/0
00/0
M. Niakhaté n 881.1
00/0
00/0
A. Maitland-Niles n 887.8
0.32/0
0.32/0
C. Tolisso n 873.9
1.78/2
1.26/2
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Lyon — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lyon before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Morton n 882.6
00/0
00/0
Clinton Mata n 890
00/0
0.11/0
M. Niakhaté n 881.1
00/0
00/0
A. Maitland-Niles n 887.8
00/0
0.11/0
C. Tolisso n 873.9
0.53/0
0.52/1
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ToulouseLyon
39%Possession61%
1.13Expected goals (xG)1.54
14Shots18
6Shots on target3
5Shots off target7
3Blocked shots8
10Shots inside the box13
7Corners8
0Offsides1
20Fouls9
6Yellow cards2
1Red cards0
2Saves4
306Passes481
81%Pass accuracy87%

Toulouse Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Guillaume Restes9000000006.7
M. McKenzie90000011Y6.9
C. Cresswell90002103Y7.2
R. Nicolaisen9000000207.5
C. Cásseres9000002207
Y. Gboho8901303507.9
S. Hidalgo8201221107.2
A. Dønnum79001110RY6.2
A. Vossah61000000Y6.3
J. Russell-Rowe6100000006.2
D. Methalie60101103Y8
W. Kamanzi sub3010110007.2
P. Diop sub2900101006.3
Emersonn sub2900002006.9
D. Sidibé sub800000006.7
S. Koumbassa sub10000000–

Lyon Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Greif9000000007.2
Clinton Mata9000000006.3
M. Niakhaté9000001307.6
Abner9000003206.3
C. Tolisso9010210007.6
Endrick90015212Y6.5
Afonso Moreira9000104107.7
A. Maitland-Niles8900001206.6
T. Morton8300101106.9
R. Yaremchuk83000001Y6.2
K. Merah6700100206.5
P. Šulc sub2300000006.3
N. Nartey sub1400000206.6
Ernest Nuamah sub1400000106.7
M. Fofana sub800000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Toulouse v Lyon — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ToulouseLLLDW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2.8 conceded per game
LyonDWWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Toulouse 1 · 1 draw · Lyon 4 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2025-10-05 Lyon 1–2 Toulouse
  • 2025-01-18 Lyon 0–0 Toulouse
  • 2024-09-29 Toulouse 1–2 Lyon
  • 2024-03-15 Toulouse 2–3 Lyon
  • 2023-12-10 Lyon 3–0 Toulouse
  • 2023-04-14 Toulouse 1–2 Lyon
League standing · 2025/26
Toulouse#10 pos44 pts33 pl+1 GD
Lyon#4 pos60 pts34 pl+13 GD
Goals per game
Toulouse scored1.42
Lyon scored1.56
Toulouse conceded1.39
Lyon conceded1.18

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Toulouse 1.87 xG from 14 shots, Lyon 1.60 from 18. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Endrick 94' · 0.37 xGSantiago Hidalgo 45' · 0.36 xGKhalis Merah 18' · 0.31 xGCharlie Cresswell 62' · 0.18 xGSantiago Hidalgo 61' · 0.11 xGErnest Nuamah 89' · 0.11 xGRoman Yaremchuk 75' · 0.09 xGYann Gboho 50' · 0.08 xGCharlie Cresswell 48' · 0.08 xGEndrick 47' · 0.08 xGTyler Morton 58' · 0.07 xGEndrick 47' · 0.07 xGRoman Yaremchuk 46' · 0.07 xGEndrick 92' · 0.06 xGEndrick 94' · 0.06 xGSantiago Hidalgo 2' · 0.05 xGEndrick 23' · 0.05 xGCorentin Tolisso 64' · 0.05 xGWarren Kamanzi 62' · 0.05 xGDayann Methalie 51' · 0.04 xGAfonso Moreira 95' · 0.04 xGPape Diop 91' · 0.03 xGClinton Mata 94' · 0.03 xGAron Dønnum 74' · 0.02 xGYann Gboho 71' · 0.02 xGMalick Fofana 94' · 0.02 xGEndrick 54' · 0.02 xGYann Gboho 20' · 0.02 xGEndrick 39' · 0.01 xGWarren Kamanzi 77' · 0.60 xG · goalDayann Methalie 9' · 0.22 xG · goalCorentin Tolisso 70' · 0.08 xG · goal
Toulouse (attacking right)Lyon (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Toulouse1421.87
Lyon1811.60

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Toulouse 0.65, Lyon 0.37. At full time, xG was level: Toulouse 1.87, Lyon 1.60. The widest gap was 0.94 xG to Toulouse, in the 77th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.90.900′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Toulouse 9 minGoal - Lyon 70 minGoal - Toulouse 77 min
Toulouse 1.87 xGLyon 1.60 xGdots = goals · 32 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Toulouse v Lyon?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Toulouse v Lyon was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Toulouse and Lyon?
In their last 6 meetings, Toulouse won 1, Lyon won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Toulouse and Lyon?
Recent form — Toulouse 1W 1D 3L; Lyon 4W 1D 0L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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