Toulouse v Lyon result

Full-time · Toulouse 0–2 Lyon

Ligue 1 · Sat, 22 Aug 2026 19:45 BST · Stadium de Toulouse

Updated 5 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Toulouse · Lyon · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Toulouse 0–2 Lyon — Lyon won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.91 at Bet365

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 549 of 855 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.6%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Toulouse: 2.27 to 0.76 in expected goals, from 17 shots to 11, ahead on xG from the second minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Lyon won 2–0 at Stadium de Toulouse in Ligue 1 on Saturday 22 August. It is Lyon’s first win over Toulouse since 29 September 2024, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Lyon: Noah Nartey (68’, assisted by Pavel Šulc) and Malick Fofana (85’, assisted by Corentin Tolisso).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Noah Nartey’s goal on 68 minutes.

Discipline

G. Paradis showed three yellow cards — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Toulouse: Niklas Schmidt (31’); Lyon: Noah Nartey (45’) and T. Tessmann (90+4’).

What it changes

Toulouse are 16th after this result (one league match played).

Lyon are third after this result (one league match played).

Lyon are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Corentin Tolisso (Lyon) 6.3, Malick Fofana (Lyon) 5.8 and Noah Nartey (Lyon) 4.9 led the match.

Head-to-head

Toulouse are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Lyon.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Toulouse next travel to Lens on 21 November 2026.

Lyon next travel to Stade Brestois 29 on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Toulouse: Lens v Toulouse, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Lyon: Stade Brestois 29 v Lyon, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Toulouse 0–2 Lyon · Ligue 1
Venue: Stadium de Toulouse · Toulouse
Referee: G. Paradis
Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Toulouse 2 · draws 1 · Lyon 3 · 2.83 goals/game
Recent form: Toulouse 2W 1D 2L · Lyon 1W 1D 3L

Toulouse 0–2 Lyon (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 5 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.88

Goals

against 2.25 / 1.75 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

2.75 / 7.75

Corners

against 6.13 / 5.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.25 / 5.88

Shots on target

against 6.63 / 4 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.88 / 0.88

Cards

against 1.13 / 3.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4.09 yellows

Referee · G. Paradis

23.73 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 11 matches

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 18 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Toulouse for / against	Line	Lyon for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	2.75 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	7.75 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	10.75 for · 16.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.75 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.25 for · 6.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.88 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.25 for · 8.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.88 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	0.88 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: G. Paradis — 4.09 yellow cards a game, 0.18 red cards, 23.73 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Lyon

Lyon Goalkeeper

Lyon — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
D. Greif	3	91274 min	62 /90	31 /90	00 /90

Lyon — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lyon before kick-off, to 18 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
D. Greif n 8	90.5	2.2 4/4

Lyon Defensive

Lyon — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Abner	3	88265 min	41.4 /90	31 /90	00 /90	62 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90
R. Kluivert	3	86259 min	72.4 /90	20.7 /90	10.3 /90	144.9 /90	72.4 /90	00 /90
A. Maitland-Niles	3	85256 min	51.8 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90	103.5 /90	31.1 /90	10.4 /90
Clinton Mata	3	41123 min	32.2 /90	10.7 /90	21.5 /90	42.9 /90	00 /90	00 /90
M. Niakhaté	2	92184 min	31.5 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	73.4 /90	42 /90	00 /90
See more players · Pro Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Lyon — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lyon before kick-off, to 18 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Loïs Openda n 3	91.3	3.3 3/3	1.6 3/1	—
T. Tessmann n 8	75.4	0.6 3/1	0.6 4/0	—
D. Greif n 8	90.5	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
T. Morton n 8	83.4	0.7 5/0	0.5 4/0	—
C. Tolisso n 8	76.9	1 4/2	2.2 8/5	—
See more players · Pro

Lyon — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lyon before kick-off, to 18 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
T. Tessmann n 8	75.4	0.6 3/1
Loïs Openda n 3	91.3	0.3 1/0
T. Morton n 8	83.4	1.3 7/3
C. Tolisso n 8	76.9	1.5 5/2
Abner n 8	89.3	1.5 6/4
See more players · Pro

Lyon Attacking

Lyon — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Loïs Openda	3	91274 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	51.6 /90	31 /90	31 /90	20.7 /90
K. Boudache	2	1733 min	00 /90	00 /90	12.7 /90	12.7 /90	12.7 /90	25.5 /90
T. Tessmann	3	91274 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	20.7 /90	10.3 /90
T. Morton	3	90270 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	41.3 /90	20.7 /90	20.7 /90	10.3 /90
C. Tolisso	3	89268 min	00 /90	20.7 /90	72.4 /90	41.3 /90	62 /90	10.3 /90
See more players · Pro

Lyon — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lyon before kick-off, to 18 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Loïs Openda n 3	91.3	1.6 3/2	1 3/0
T. Tessmann n 8	75.4	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
D. Greif n 8	90.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Morton n 8	83.4	0.9 5/1	0.5 3/1
C. Tolisso n 8	76.9	2.5 8/6	1.5 8/2
See more players · Pro

Lyon — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lyon before kick-off, to 18 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Loïs Openda n 3	91.3	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
D. Greif n 8	90.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Tessmann n 8	75.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Morton n 8	83.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
C. Tolisso n 8	76.9	0.6 4/0	0.7 4/1
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Toulouse		Lyon
48%	Possession	52%
2.77	Expected goals (xG)	0.70
17	Shots	11
2	Shots on target	3
12	Shots off target	5
3	Blocked shots	3
12	Shots inside the box	7
6	Corners	5
2	Offsides	0
15	Fouls	15
1	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	2
435	Passes	479
85%	Pass accuracy	87%

Toulouse Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Guillaume Restes	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
M. McKenzie	90	0	0	1	1	0	6.9
R. Nicolaisen	90	2	0	0	1	0	6.9
C. Tape	90	2	0	1	0	0	5.9
C. Cásseres	90	1	0	4	3	0	7.5
T. Jørgensen	90	1	0	3	3	0	7.3
N. Schmidt	86	1	0	3	2	Y	7.2
Y. Gboho	80	2	0	2	0	0	6.7
I. Diallo	71	0	0	0	2	0	6.5
Julián Vignolo	71	3	1	1	1	0	6.9
S. Hidalgo	71	2	1	0	1	0	6.2
R. Messali sub	19	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
J. Russell-Rowe sub	19	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Y. Azizi sub	19	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
S. Oppong sub	10	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
M. Saka sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Lyon Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
R. Descamps	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.5
Zachary Athekame	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	7
F. Bacher	90	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	7.3
Clinton Mata	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.6
M. Ouédraogo	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
K. Boudache	90	0	0	4	1	0	1	0	7.2
M. Bidstrup	80	0	0	1	0	1	3	0	6.9
M. de Carvalho	69	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.6
N. Nartey	69	1	0	1	1	1	1	Y	7.7
R. Himbert	63	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6
J. Duranville	63	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
M. Fofana sub	27	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	7.9
P. Šulc sub	27	0	1	0	0	2	1	0	6.7
T. Morton sub	21	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.9
C. Tolisso sub	21	0	1	0	0	2	2	0	6.9
T. Tessmann sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Toulouse v Lyon — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

ToulouseLLDWW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

LyonLLLWD

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Toulouse 2 · 1 draw · Lyon 3 · 2.83 goals/game

2026-05-10 Toulouse 2–1 Lyon
2025-10-05 Lyon 1–2 Toulouse
2025-01-18 Lyon 0–0 Toulouse
2024-09-29 Toulouse 1–2 Lyon
2024-03-15 Toulouse 2–3 Lyon
2023-12-10 Lyon 3–0 Toulouse

League standing · 2026/27

Toulouse#10 pos13 pts10 pl+1 GD

Lyon#3 pos17 pts9 pl+8 GD

Goals per game

Toulouse scored1.5

Lyon scored1.67

Toulouse conceded1.4

Lyon conceded0.78

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Toulouse 2.27 xG from 17 shots, Lyon 0.76 from 11. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Toulouse (attacking right)Lyon (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Toulouse	17	0	2.27
Lyon	11	2	0.76

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Toulouse led on xG, 1.61 to 0.03. At full time, Toulouse led on xG, 2.27 to 0.76. The widest gap was 2.05 xG to Toulouse, in the 64th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

Toulouse 2.27 xGLyon 0.76 xGdots = goals · 28 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Toulouse v Lyon?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Toulouse v Lyon was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.91 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Toulouse and Lyon?: In their last 6 meetings, Toulouse won 2, Lyon won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Toulouse and Lyon?: Recent form — Toulouse 2W 1D 2L; Lyon 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 5 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.