ToulouseMonaco

Toulouse v Monaco result

Full-time · Toulouse 2–2 Monaco

Ligue 1 · · Stadium de Toulouse

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Toulouse · Monaco · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Toulouse 2–2 Monaco — this Ligue 1 match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 546 of 850 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Toulouse: 2.29 to 1.35 in expected goals, from 18 shots to 8, ahead on xG from the 73rd minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Toulouse and Monaco drew 2–2 at Stadium de Toulouse in Ligue 1 on Saturday 25 April. Monaco have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Monaco led 2–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Monaco: Jordan Teze (6’, assisted by S. Adingra) and Lamine Camara (18’, assisted by Maghnes Akliouche); Toulouse: Jacen Russell-Rowe (61’, assisted by Dayann Methalie) and Emersonn (90’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Emersonn’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

C. Turpin showed five yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Toulouse: Charlie Cresswell (31’), Rasmus Nicolaisen (66’) and Mário Sauer (90+2’); Monaco: Christian Mawissa Elebi (62’) and Lukáš Hrádecký (75’).

What it changes

Toulouse stay 10th after this result (31 league matches played).

Monaco stay seventh after this result (31 league matches played).

Toulouse are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Monaco are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Aron Dønnum (Toulouse) 9.1, Jordan Teze (Monaco) 8.7 and Lamine Camara (Monaco) 8.4 led the match.

Head-to-head

Monaco are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Toulouse.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.3% of the time in the last 90 days (352 of 515).

Next up

Toulouse next travel to Lens on 21 November 2026.

Monaco next travel to Le Mans on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Toulouse: Lens v Toulouse, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Monaco: Le Mans v Monaco, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Toulouse 2–2 Monaco · Ligue 1
  • Venue: Stadium de Toulouse · Toulouse
  • Referee: C. Turpin
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Toulouse 2 · draws 1 · Monaco 3 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Toulouse 1W 0D 4L · Monaco 3W 1D 1L

Toulouse 2–2 Monaco (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 2
Goals
against 2.5 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
2.29 / 5.38
Corners
against 5.29 / 4.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
2.43 / 4.88
Shots on target
against 7.43 / 5.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.14 / 2.25
Cards
against 1 / 1.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.33 yellows
Referee · C. Turpin
23.75 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 12 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 21 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameToulouse for / againstLineMonaco for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 2.5 against n 8
2.5standard
2 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
2.29 for · 5.29 against n 7
9.5standard
5.38 for · 4.88 against n 8
Shots
9.86 for · 17.57 against n 7
19.5standard
12.88 for · 14.75 against n 8
Shots on target
2.43 for · 7.43 against n 7
8.5standard
4.88 for · 5.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.86 for · 9.86 against n 7
21.5standard
11.75 for · 8.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2.14 for · 1 against n 7
3.5standard
2.25 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: C. Turpin — 3.33 yellow cards a game, 0.08 red cards, 23.75 fouls over 12 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Toulouse

Toulouse Goalkeeper

Toulouse — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Guillaume Restes30892670 min762.6 /90411.4 /9000 /90
K. Haug475300 min92.7 /9061.8 /9000 /90
Toulouse — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toulouse before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Guillaume Restes n 886.3
3.76/4
K. Haug n 883.6
23/1

Toulouse Defensive

Toulouse — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
R. Nicolaisen30822470 min220.8 /90421.5 /90150.5 /901164.2 /90281 /9030.1 /90
C. Cresswell27872353 min230.9 /90240.9 /90281.1 /901596.1 /90291.1 /9060.2 /90
M. McKenzie27852306 min391.5 /90240.9 /90110.4 /90913.6 /90301.2 /9050.2 /90
W. Kamanzi1850902 min212.1 /9090.9 /9020.2 /90424.2 /9070.7 /9010.1 /90
S. Koumbassa883663 min131.8 /9050.7 /9020.3 /90223 /9030.4 /9010.1 /90
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Toulouse — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toulouse before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Y. Gboho n 879.1
0.43/0
2.36/4
—
Guillaume Restes n 886.3
00/0
0.11/0
—
C. Cásseres n 882.6
1.98/4
1.26/3
J. Teze
R. Nicolaisen n 890
0.11/0
0.85/1
T. Kehrer
D. Sidibé n 872.3
1.65/4
0.83/2
—
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Toulouse — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toulouse before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Y. Gboho n 879.1
1.47/3
C. Cásseres n 882.6
2.57/6
R. Nicolaisen n 890
0.52/1
D. Sidibé n 872.3
2.26/4
A. Dønnum n 883
0.96/1
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Toulouse Attacking

Toulouse — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Y. Gboho31842617 min90.3 /9020.1 /90321.1 /90160.6 /90592 /90742.5 /90
Emersonn27631702 min50.3 /9030.2 /90412.2 /90191 /90170.9 /90110.6 /90
S. Hidalgo19591115 min40.3 /9040.3 /90231.9 /9090.7 /90110.9 /9090.7 /90
F. Magri17741264 min50.4 /9010.1 /90251.8 /90120.9 /90141 /90100.7 /90
J. Russell-Rowe834269 min00 /9000 /9041.3 /9010.3 /9051.7 /9010.3 /90
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Toulouse — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toulouse before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Y. Gboho n 879.1
1.35/3
0.42/1
Guillaume Restes n 886.3
00/0
00/0
C. Cásseres n 882.6
0.32/0
0.32/0
R. Nicolaisen n 890
0.54/0
0.11/0
D. Sidibé n 872.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
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Toulouse — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toulouse before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Y. Gboho n 879.1
0.31/1
00/0
Guillaume Restes n 886.3
00/0
00/0
C. Cásseres n 882.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
R. Nicolaisen n 890
0.11/0
00/0
D. Sidibé n 872.3
00/0
0.21/0
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Monaco

Monaco Goalkeeper

Monaco — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
P. Köhn28902508 min873.1 /90481.7 /9010 /90
L. Hrádecký15891339 min483.2 /90211.4 /9000 /90
Monaco — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Köhn n 890
3.97/6
L. Hrádecký n 890
3.87/4

Monaco Defensive

Monaco — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
T. Kehrer35863022 min762.3 /90431.3 /90331 /901895.6 /90300.9 /90100.3 /90
Caio Henrique32782506 min441.6 /90260.9 /90110.4 /90983.5 /90160.6 /9030.1 /90
Vanderson22581278 min453.2 /90322.3 /9040.3 /90835.8 /90282 /9050.4 /90
K. Ouattara19701330 min372.5 /90201.4 /9020.1 /90815.5 /90271.8 /9040.3 /90
M. Salisu18901613 min271.5 /90221.2 /90311.7 /901005.6 /90211.2 /9050.3 /90
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Monaco — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Akliouche n 870.4
1.35/2
1.16/1
—
J. Teze n 872.3
0.52/1
0.53/0
C. Cásseres
F. Balogun n 880.6
2.26/5
14/3
—
T. Kehrer n 887.4
0.64/1
0.43/0
R. Nicolaisen
Caio Henrique n 866.1
0.21/0
0.52/1
—
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Monaco — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Akliouche n 870.4
1.35/3
J. Teze n 872.3
2.56/4
F. Balogun n 880.6
00/0
T. Kehrer n 887.4
2.78/6
Caio Henrique n 866.1
1.56/1
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Monaco Attacking

Monaco — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
F. Balogun39752911 min180.6 /9040.1 /90862.7 /90471.5 /90270.8 /90170.5 /90
M. Biereth25521294 min50.3 /9020.1 /90171.2 /90110.8 /90171.2 /9030.2 /90
Ansu Fati24451085 min100.8 /9000 /90302.5 /90221.8 /90171.4 /90141.2 /90
G. Ilenikhena1134372 min10.2 /9000 /90122.9 /9051.2 /9020.5 /9010.2 /90
Paris Josua Brunner33089 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011 /90
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Monaco — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Akliouche n 870.4
1.66/3
15/1
J. Teze n 872.3
0.63/1
0.32/0
F. Balogun n 880.6
2.58/4
1.58/2
T. Kehrer n 887.4
0.32/0
00/0
Caio Henrique n 866.1
00/0
00/0
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Monaco — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Akliouche n 870.4
0.53/0
0.53/0
J. Teze n 872.3
0.21/0
0.32/0
F. Balogun n 880.6
17/0
0.11/0
T. Kehrer n 887.4
00/0
00/0
Caio Henrique n 866.1
00/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ToulouseMonaco
51%Possession49%
1.75Expected goals (xG)0.74
18Shots8
5Shots on target5
8Shots off target3
5Blocked shots0
10Shots inside the box5
4Corners2
17Fouls10
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Saves3
515Passes501
86%Pass accuracy83%

Toulouse Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Guillaume Restes9000000006.2
M. McKenzie9000001306.9
C. Cresswell90003210Y6.7
R. Nicolaisen90000002Y6.5
A. Dønnum9000314707.9
C. Cásseres9000200107
D. Methalie8901002106.6
P. Diop8900002206.9
A. Vossah7900001206.3
S. Hidalgo7900000106.3
J. Russell-Rowe7410310006.9
Emersonn sub1610210007.5
M. Sauer sub11000010Y6.6
Y. Azizi sub1100000106.6
W. Kamanzi sub10000000–
Julián Vignolo sub10000000–

Monaco Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Hrádecký90000000Y7.3
T. Kehrer9000000306.7
Wout Felix Lina Faes9000000306.6
C. Mawissa Elebi90000006Y6.6
J. Teze9010110308.3
L. Camara9010210307.2
D. Zakaria9000110406.9
S. Adingra8401211006.5
F. Balogun8400002006.3
M. Akliouche7501112107.2
Ansu Fati6100101006.2
A. Golovin sub2900000006.3
E. Dier sub1500000006.5
P. Pogba sub1100000006.5
M. Biereth sub1100001006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Toulouse v Monaco — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ToulouseWLLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1 scored / 2.8 conceded per game
MonacoWWWLD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Toulouse 2 · 1 draw · Monaco 3 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2025-10-25 Monaco 1–0 Toulouse
  • 2025-03-07 Toulouse 1–1 Monaco
  • 2024-12-07 Monaco 2–0 Toulouse
  • 2024-02-18 Monaco 1–2 Toulouse
  • 2023-12-20 Toulouse 1–2 Monaco
  • 2023-06-03 Monaco 1–2 Toulouse
League standing · 2025/26
Toulouse#10 pos44 pts33 pl+1 GD
Monaco#7 pos54 pts34 pl+6 GD
Goals per game
Toulouse scored1.42
Monaco scored1.76
Toulouse conceded1.39
Monaco conceded1.59

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Toulouse 2.29 xG from 18 shots, Monaco 1.35 from 8. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Charlie Cresswell 73' · 0.36 xGSimon Adingra 13' · 0.35 xGDenis Zakaria 88' · 0.33 xGCharlie Cresswell 73' · 0.29 xGJacen Russell-Rowe 40' · 0.25 xGAnssumane Fati 26' · 0.13 xGJacen Russell-Rowe 21' · 0.09 xGAron Dønnum 33' · 0.08 xGSimon Adingra 9' · 0.08 xGCharlie Cresswell 89' · 0.06 xGAron Dønnum 49' · 0.05 xGEmersonn 93' · 0.04 xGEmersonn 81' · 0.04 xGPape Diop 76' · 0.03 xGCristian Cásseres Jr. 35' · 0.02 xGAron Dønnum 67' · 0.02 xGMaghnes Akliouche 4' · 0.02 xGCharlie Cresswell 25' · 0.02 xGLamine Camara 3' · 0.02 xGCristian Cásseres Jr. 76' · 0.02 xGCristian Cásseres Jr. 35' · 0.01 xGAlexis Vossah 18' · 0.01 xGEmersonn 89' · 0.51 xG · goalJacen Russell-Rowe 60' · 0.38 xG · goalJordan Teze 5' · 0.36 xG · goalLamine Camara 17' · 0.06 xG · goal
Toulouse (attacking right)Monaco (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Toulouse1822.29
Monaco821.35

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Monaco led on xG, 1.02 to 0.48. At full time, Toulouse led on xG, 2.29 to 1.35. The widest gap was 0.94 xG to Toulouse, in the 93rd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.31.100′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Monaco 5 minGoal - Monaco 17 minGoal - Toulouse 60 minGoal - Toulouse 89 min
Toulouse 2.29 xGMonaco 1.35 xGdots = goals · 26 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Toulouse v Monaco?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Toulouse v Monaco was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Toulouse and Monaco?
In their last 6 meetings, Toulouse won 2, Monaco won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Toulouse and Monaco?
Recent form — Toulouse 1W 0D 4L; Monaco 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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