Toulouse v Paris Saint-Germain prediction
Team pages: Toulouse · Paris Saint-Germain · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Toulouse v Paris Saint-Germain, Ligue 1 on Sat, 05 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Toulouse host Paris Saint-Germain in Ligue 1 on Saturday 5 December (kick-off 16:00 UK).
The key numbers
Paris Saint-Germain have scored 21 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games).
Paris Saint-Germain have won their last 10 matches in all competitions. Paris Saint-Germain have scored in 13 consecutive matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
11 of Toulouse’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of Toulouse’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Toulouse have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.71. Toulouse have scored 12 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Toulouse have conceded 13 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.
12 of Paris Saint-Germain’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%). Both teams scored in 11 of Paris Saint-Germain’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Paris Saint-Germain have six wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 2.22 points per game, scoring 2.78 and conceding 1.11. Paris Saint-Germain have conceded 10 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games).
Toulouse (12th) and Paris Saint-Germain (first) are 10 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Paris Saint-Germain the stronger side, 331 rating points above Toulouse (Paris Saint-Germain 1934, Toulouse 1604, after at least 254 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
Paris Saint-Germain are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Toulouse. The most recent meeting, on 3 April 2026, finished Paris Saint-Germain 3–1 Toulouse.
Team news
Predicted Toulouse XI (4-4-2): G. Restes, M. McKenzie, C. Tape, R. Nicolaisen, S. Koumbassa, C. Cásseres, T. Jørgensen, N. Sigur, A. Vossah, J. Russell-Rowe, C. Tengstedt — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, C. Cásseres (7.4 per match over nine appearances, five assists) and Casper Tengstedt (4.6 per match over seven appearances, five goals and one assist) have been Toulouse’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Toulouse (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), C. Cásseres averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 1126 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Casper Tengstedt averages 3.8 shots per 90 over 496 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last seven appearances.
Predicted Paris Saint-Germain XI (4-3-3): M. Safonov, I. Zabarnyi, A. Hakimi, L. Hernández, W. Pacho, Vitinha, F. Ruiz, J. Neves, F. Torres, D. Doué, M. Akliouche — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Désiré Doué (6.7 per match over 13 appearances, five goals and four assists) and O. Dembélé (5.4 per match over 10 appearances, four goals and six assists) have been Paris Saint-Germain’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Paris Saint-Germain (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Désiré Doué averages 3.4 shots per 90 over 1547 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. O. Dembélé averages 3.6 shots per 90 over 1399 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The Numbers
- Kick-off: · Ligue 1 · Stadium de Toulouse
- Head-to-head (last 6): Toulouse 1 · draws 0 · Paris Saint-Germain 5 · 3.83 goals/game
- Recent form: Toulouse 2W 2D 1L · Paris Saint-Germain 5W 0D 0L
Toulouse v Paris Saint-Germain (Ligue 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Toulouse for / against | Line | Paris Saint-Germain for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 3.63 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.75 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.88 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12.38 for · 14.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 20.25 for · 15.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 10.13 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 15.88 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 7.13 for · 13.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.13 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 0.5 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
Toulouse
Toulouse Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guillaume Restes | 8 | 88701 min | 182.3 /90 | 81 /90 | 00 /90 |
| M. Niflore | 2 | 55109 min | 32.5 /90 | 32.5 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Guillaume Restes n 8 | 87.6 | 2.3 |
Toulouse Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. McKenzie | 9 | 90810 min | 121.3 /90 | 80.9 /90 | 40.4 /90 | 424.7 /90 | 131.4 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| C. Tape | 9 | 89804 min | 70.8 /90 | 50.6 /90 | 30.3 /90 | 323.6 /90 | 151.7 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| R. Messali | 8 | 59472 min | 132.5 /90 | 112.1 /90 | 20.4 /90 | 336.3 /90 | 122.3 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
| R. Nicolaisen | 6 | 89534 min | 20.3 /90 | 71.2 /90 | 50.8 /90 | 325.4 /90 | 101.7 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
| I. Diallo | 4 | 52207 min | 52.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 10.4 /90 | 114.8 /90 | 31.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Cásseres n 8 | 90 | 2.1 | 2.3 | — |
| M. McKenzie n 8 | 90 | 1.4 | 1.1 | — |
| C. Tape n 8 | 89.3 | 1.8 | 0.5 | — |
| T. Jørgensen n 8 | 87.8 | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Russell-Rowe n 8 | 73.1 | 1.1 | 0.5 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. Cásseres n 8 | 90 | 4 |
| M. McKenzie n 8 | 90 | 1.4 |
| C. Tape n 8 | 89.3 | 0.9 |
| T. Jørgensen n 8 | 87.8 | 1.4 |
| J. Russell-Rowe n 8 | 73.1 | 0.5 |
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Toulouse Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Russell-Rowe | 9 | 67604 min | 20.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 152.2 /90 | 111.6 /90 | 30.4 /90 | 30.4 /90 |
| C. Tengstedt | 7 | 71496 min | 50.9 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 213.8 /90 | 81.5 /90 | 30.5 /90 | 20.4 /90 |
| S. Hidalgo | 5 | 45224 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 62.4 /90 | 52 /90 | 31.2 /90 | 31.2 /90 |
| S. Oppong | 5 | 31154 min | 10.6 /90 | 00 /90 | 21.2 /90 | 10.6 /90 | 00 /90 | 63.5 /90 |
| C. Cásseres | 9 | 90810 min | 00 /90 | 50.6 /90 | 91 /90 | 20.2 /90 | 283.1 /90 | 121.3 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Cásseres n 8 | 90 | 1 | 0.3 |
| M. McKenzie n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| C. Tape n 8 | 89.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| T. Jørgensen n 8 | 87.8 | 1.7 | 1 |
| J. Russell-Rowe n 8 | 73.1 | 2.3 | 1.7 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Cásseres n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.6 |
| M. McKenzie n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| C. Tape n 8 | 89.3 | 0.1 | 0 |
| T. Jørgensen n 8 | 87.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| J. Russell-Rowe n 8 | 73.1 | 0.3 | 0 |
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Paris Saint-Germain
Paris Saint-Germain Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Safonov | 15 | 901356 min | 463.1 /90 | 80.5 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Safonov n 8 | 90 | 4 |
Paris Saint-Germain Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hakimi | 14 | 771073 min | 181.5 /90 | 131.1 /90 | 40.3 /90 | 514.3 /90 | 40.3 /90 | 20.2 /90 |
| W. Pacho | 12 | 881060 min | 191.6 /90 | 121 /90 | 40.3 /90 | 393.3 /90 | 40.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
| L. Hernández | 10 | 63626 min | 131.9 /90 | 60.9 /90 | 00 /90 | 233.3 /90 | 60.9 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| Marquinhos | 8 | 87695 min | 60.8 /90 | 20.3 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 222.8 /90 | 50.6 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| I. Zabarnyi | 8 | 83661 min | 40.5 /90 | 60.8 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 243.3 /90 | 30.4 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Safonov n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| M. Akliouche n 8 | 64.5 | 2.1 | 1 | — |
| Vitinha n 8 | 73.9 | 0.6 | 0.6 | — |
| A. Hakimi n 8 | 69.1 | 0.5 | 1 | — |
| D. Doué n 8 | 57 | 1.4 | 1 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Akliouche n 8 | 64.5 | 1 |
| Vitinha n 8 | 73.9 | 0.8 |
| A. Hakimi n 8 | 69.1 | 1.8 |
| D. Doué n 8 | 57 | 2.6 |
| Fabián Ruiz n 8 | 74 | 1.7 |
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Paris Saint-Germain Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Akliouche | 15 | 61912 min | 20.2 /90 | 30.3 /90 | 181.8 /90 | 70.7 /90 | 222.2 /90 | 90.9 /90 |
| D. Doué | 13 | 64831 min | 50.5 /90 | 40.4 /90 | 363.9 /90 | 192.1 /90 | 272.9 /90 | 283 /90 |
| Ferran Torres | 12 | 63760 min | 70.8 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 283.3 /90 | 161.9 /90 | 80.9 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| K. Kvaratskhelia | 11 | 56618 min | 20.3 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 243.5 /90 | 111.6 /90 | 142 /90 | 172.5 /90 |
| O. Dembélé | 10 | 48479 min | 40.8 /90 | 61.1 /90 | 356.6 /90 | 122.3 /90 | 234.3 /90 | 122.3 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Safonov n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Akliouche n 8 | 64.5 | 1.9 | 1 |
| Vitinha n 8 | 73.9 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| A. Hakimi n 8 | 69.1 | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| D. Doué n 8 | 57 | 4.9 | 2.4 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Safonov n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Akliouche n 8 | 64.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Vitinha n 8 | 73.9 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| A. Hakimi n 8 | 69.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| D. Doué n 8 | 57 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
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The day’s free picks, by email
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Toulouse v Paris Saint-Germain — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-04-03 Paris Saint-Germain 3–1 Toulouse
- 2025-08-30 Toulouse 3–6 Paris Saint-Germain
- 2025-02-15 Toulouse 0–1 Paris Saint-Germain
- 2024-11-22 Paris Saint-Germain 3–0 Toulouse
- 2024-05-12 Paris Saint-Germain 1–3 Toulouse
- 2024-01-03 Paris Saint-Germain 2–0 Toulouse
Frequently Asked Questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Toulouse and Paris Saint-Germain?
- In their last 6 meetings, Toulouse won 1, Paris Saint-Germain won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.83 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Toulouse and Paris Saint-Germain?
- Recent form — Toulouse 2W 2D 1L; Paris Saint-Germain 5W 0D 0L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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