PAU v Nantes prediction

Ligue 2 · Sat, 07 Nov 2026 19:00 GMT · Nouste Camp

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 00:49 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: PAU · Nantes

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for PAU v Nantes, Ligue 2 on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 19:00 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.33 at Bet365

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.6% of 5130 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Predicted on 30 October 2026, before the fixture moved

Match preview, in numbers

The match

PAU host Nantes in Ligue 2 on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 19:00 UK); the model’s free pick is PAU or Nantes (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

PAU have won their last five matches in all competitions. Nantes are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. PAU have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of PAU’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of PAU’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, PAU have four wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.63 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.25. PAU have scored 16 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games). PAU have conceded 11 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Eight of Nantes’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Nantes’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Nantes have one win, one draw and six defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.50 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 1.75. Nantes have scored 12 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games). Nantes have conceded 18 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs.

PAU (fifth) and Nantes (15th) are 11 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have PAU the stronger side, 263 rating points above Nantes (PAU 1637, Nantes 1374, after at least 11 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 5 January 2024, finished PAU 1–4 Nantes.

Team news

Predicted PAU XI (5-3-2): B. Maubleu, G. Paquiez, A. Briançon, A. Bamba, M. Tourraine, T. Pouilly, C. Fall, J. Benet, L. Rajot, H. Benali, B. Leye — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, J. Benet (4.1 per match over 10 appearances, one goal and three assists) and H. Benali (4.0 per match over 10 appearances, three goals) have been PAU’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for PAU (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), J. Benet averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 840 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. H. Benali averages 1.6 shots per 90 over 769 minutes, with a shot in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Nantes XI (5-3-2): P. Carlgren, K. Amian, S. Sow, L. Perrin, F. Guilbert, F. Centonze, J. Lepenant, B. Pierret, I. Sissoko, I. Ganago, T. Robinet — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, F. Guilbert (3.8 per match over eight appearances, one goal) and Bahereba Guirassy (3.7 per match over four appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Nantes’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Nantes (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), F. Guilbert averages 1.9 tackles per 90 over 673 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last eight appearances. Bahereba Guirassy averages 2.8 shots per 90 over 548 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 19:00 GMT · Ligue 2 · Nouste Camp
Referee: Antoine Valnet
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 1): PAU 0 · draws 0 · Nantes 1 · 5 goals/game
Recent form: PAU 5W 0D 0L · Nantes 1W 2D 2L

PAU v Nantes (Ligue 2): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 1.13

Goals

against 1.13 / 1.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.13 / 5.75

Corners

against 4.13 / 3.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.38 / 3.38

Shots on target

against 3.75 / 2.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.38 / 2.25

Cards

against 2.88 / 2.63 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 30 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	PAU for / against	Line	Nantes for / against
Goals scored	1.88 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	1.13 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.13 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.75 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14.38 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.63 for · 8.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.38 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.38 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	16.38 for · 16.25 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	18.5 for · 14.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.38 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.25 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Antoine Valnet.

PAU

PAU Goalkeeper

PAU — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
B. Maubleu	11	90990 min	343.1 /90	70.6 /90	00 /90

PAU — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PAU before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
B. Maubleu n 8	90	2.6 7/6

PAU Defensive

PAU — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
G. Paquiez	11	84922 min	70.7 /90	90.9 /90	40.4 /90	333.2 /90	171.7 /90	40.4 /90
T. Pouilly	10	84835 min	202.2 /90	171.8 /90	10.1 /90	333.6 /90	80.9 /90	10.1 /90
A. Bamba	9	85766 min	60.7 /90	101.2 /90	10.1 /90	252.9 /90	111.3 /90	40.5 /90
A. Briançon	8	77616 min	71 /90	60.9 /90	30.4 /90	324.7 /90	60.9 /90	20.3 /90
A. Abdallah	7	64446 min	71.4 /90	61.2 /90	00 /90	132.6 /90	61.2 /90	20.4 /90
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PAU — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PAU before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
B. Maubleu n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 2/1	—
G. Paquiez n 8	81.5	1.8 7/4	1.4 5/3	—
C. Fall n 8	81.9	1.1 5/3	1.2 6/2	—
J. Benet n 8	83.9	1.6 8/3	0.9 5/2	—
T. Pouilly n 8	81.9	0.8 4/2	1.2 7/2	—
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PAU — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PAU before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
G. Paquiez n 8	81.5	0.6 3/1
C. Fall n 8	81.9	2.2 8/4
J. Benet n 8	83.9	1.9 7/4
T. Pouilly n 8	81.9	2.1 6/4
H. Benali n 8	80.9	1.8 7/3
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PAU Attacking

PAU — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
H. Benali	10	77769 min	30.4 /90	00 /90	141.6 /90	70.8 /90	172 /90	80.9 /90
B. Leye	8	66528 min	30.5 /90	10.2 /90	193.2 /90	101.7 /90	61 /90	30.5 /90
J. Sebas	6	44261 min	00 /90	20.7 /90	62.1 /90	10.3 /90	31 /90	31 /90
B. Leye	5	46232 min	31.2 /90	00 /90	124.7 /90	51.9 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90
A. Lefebvre	5	38190 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.4 /90	10.5 /90	20.9 /90	00 /90
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PAU — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PAU before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
B. Maubleu n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. Paquiez n 8	81.5	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
C. Fall n 8	81.9	2.1 8/4	1 5/2
J. Benet n 8	83.9	0.9 4/1	0.5 2/1
T. Pouilly n 8	81.9	0.8 6/0	0 0/0
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PAU — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PAU before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
B. Maubleu n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. Paquiez n 8	81.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Fall n 8	81.9	0.4 2/1	0 0/0
J. Benet n 8	83.9	0.1 1/0	0.4 3/0
T. Pouilly n 8	81.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Nantes

Nantes Goalkeeper

Nantes — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Dupé	7	90630 min	131.9 /90	111.6 /90	10.1 /90
P. Carlgren	4	90360 min	61.5 /90	41 /90	00 /90

Nantes — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nantes before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Dupé n 8	90	2 5/3
P. Carlgren n 8	85.8	2.9 5/4

Nantes Defensive

Nantes — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
L. Perrin	10	88884 min	70.7 /90	252.5 /90	40.4 /90	363.7 /90	161.6 /90	20.2 /90
K. Amian	10	84837 min	111.2 /90	131.4 /90	10.1 /90	384.1 /90	131.4 /90	30.3 /90
S. Sow	9	82736 min	101.2 /90	121.5 /90	20.2 /90	334 /90	60.7 /90	10.1 /90
F. Guilbert	8	84673 min	141.9 /90	212.8 /90	20.3 /90	435.8 /90	111.5 /90	30.4 /90
F. Doucouré	7	67466 min	101.9 /90	132.5 /90	00 /90	142.7 /90	101.9 /90	10.2 /90
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Nantes — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nantes before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. Perrin n 8	88	1.4 6/2	1.2 7/2	—
K. Amian n 8	90	1.5 7/3	0.6 3/1	—
J. Lepenant n 8	75.6	2.4 7/5	1.6 6/3	—
S. Sow n 8	80.8	0.8 5/1	1.7 6/3	—
I. Sissoko n 8	71.4	1.9 8/4	1.7 7/3	—
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Nantes — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nantes before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
L. Perrin n 8	88	0.8 4/2
K. Amian n 8	90	1.1 5/4
J. Lepenant n 8	75.6	2.7 5/5
S. Sow n 8	80.8	1.3 5/3
I. Sissoko n 8	71.4	2.2 7/2
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Nantes Attacking

Nantes — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
I. Ganago	9	62554 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	162.6 /90	50.8 /90	61 /90	61 /90
K. Corredor	7	66461 min	20.4 /90	00 /90	122.3 /90	51 /90	61.2 /90	20.4 /90
T. Robinet	5	86432 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	122.5 /90	20.4 /90	40.8 /90	00 /90
A. Joujou	5	21103 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.7 /90	00 /90	10.9 /90	10.9 /90
Bahereba Guirassy	4	75299 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	82.4 /90	51.5 /90	61.8 /90	30.9 /90
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Nantes — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nantes before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
L. Perrin n 8	88	0.6 4/1	0 0/0
K. Amian n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.1 1/0
J. Lepenant n 8	75.6	0.6 4/0	0.1 1/0
S. Sow n 8	80.8	1 6/1	0.1 1/0
I. Sissoko n 8	71.4	1.1 4/2	0.2 1/0
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Nantes — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nantes before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
L. Perrin n 8	88	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
K. Amian n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
J. Lepenant n 8	75.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Sow n 8	80.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
I. Sissoko n 8	71.4	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind PAU v Nantes — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

PAUWWWWW

Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.4 scored / 1 conceded per game

NantesWDLLD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 1

PAU 0 · 0 draws · Nantes 1 · 5 goals/game

2024-01-05 PAU 1–4 Nantes

League standing · 2026/27

PAU#5 pos20 pts11 pl+5 GD

Nantes#15 pos9 pts11 pl-6 GD

Goals per game

PAU scored1.45

Nantes scored1.09

PAU conceded1

Nantes conceded1.64

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win PAU v Nantes?: TACTIX’s free model pick for PAU v Nantes is Home or Away (best price 1.33 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between PAU and Nantes?: In their last 1 meetings, PAU won 0, Nantes won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of PAU and Nantes?: Recent form — PAU 5W 0D 0L; Nantes 1W 2D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 6 Nov 2026, 00:49 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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