FC Cincinnati v Seattle Sounders result

Full-time · FC Cincinnati 1–1 Seattle Sounders

Major League Soccer · · TQL Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

FC Cincinnati 1–1 Seattle Sounders — this Major League Soccer match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.39 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 578 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 528 of 821 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

FC Cincinnati and Seattle Sounders drew 1–1 at TQL Stadium in Major League Soccer on Sunday 23 August. FC Cincinnati have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

FC Cincinnati led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — FC Cincinnati: Evander (24’); Seattle Sounders: Kalani Kossa-Rienzi (83’, assisted by Albert Rusnák).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Kalani Kossa-Rienzi’s goal on 83 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: FC Cincinnati 1.38, Seattle Sounders 1.38, from 17 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Drew Fischer, Canada showed three yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — FC Cincinnati: Bryan Ramirez (64’); Seattle Sounders: R. Sailor (38’) and Peter Kingston (75’).

What it changes

FC Cincinnati have scored 67 goals, the fourth-most of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 33 games, ranked per game). FC Cincinnati have conceded 73 goals, the third-most of the 30 clubs.

Seattle Sounders have scored 41 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 32 games, ranked per game). Seattle Sounders have conceded 40 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 30 clubs.

FC Cincinnati are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Seattle Sounders are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Kalani Kossa-Rienzi (Seattle Sounders) 8.7, Evander (FC Cincinnati) 6.8 and Tah Anunga (FC Cincinnati) 5.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

FC Cincinnati next host Nashville SC on 7 November 2026.

Seattle Sounders next travel to Vancouver Whitecaps on 1 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for FC Cincinnati: FC Cincinnati v Nashville SC, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Seattle Sounders: Vancouver Whitecaps v Seattle Sounders, Sunday 1 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: FC Cincinnati 1–1 Seattle Sounders · Major League Soccer
  • Venue: TQL Stadium · Cincinnati
  • Referee: Drew Fischer, Canada
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): FC Cincinnati 1 · draws 1 · Seattle Sounders 1 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: FC Cincinnati 3W 1D 1L · Seattle Sounders 1W 0D 4L

FC Cincinnati 1–1 Seattle Sounders (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 11 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.25 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.29 / 3.25
Corners
against 4.86 / 7 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.86 / 3
Shots on target
against 6 / 7.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.86 / 1.38
Cards
against 1.86 / 0.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.5 yellows
Referee · Drew Fischer, Canada
27.33 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 20 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameFC Cincinnati for / againstLineSeattle Sounders for / against
Goals scored
2.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5our book
0.88 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.29 for · 4.86 against n 7
9.5standard
3.25 for · 7 against n 8
Shots
12.71 for · 16 against n 7
19.5standard
9.88 for · 18.13 against n 8
Shots on target
4.86 for · 6 against n 7
8.5standard
3 for · 7.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.71 for · 10.14 against n 7
21.5standard
9.75 for · 9 against n 8
Cards shown
1.86 for · 1.86 against n 7
3.5standard
1.38 for · 0.75 against n 8

Referee: Drew Fischer, Canada — 3.5 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 27.33 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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FC Cincinnati

FC Cincinnati Goalkeeper

FC Cincinnati — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Roman Celentano20921833 min733.6 /90422.1 /9010 /90
Evan Louro696573 min203.1 /90101.6 /9000 /90
FC Cincinnati — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cincinnati before kick-off, to 20 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Roman Celentano n 891.1
3.77/5
Evan Louro n 894.1
3.27/6

FC Cincinnati Defensive

FC Cincinnati — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Robinson18761376 min211.4 /90151 /90151 /90744.8 /90120.8 /9010.1 /90
Kyle Smith17651098 min211.7 /9090.7 /9040.3 /90393.2 /90100.8 /9010.1 /90
Matt Miazga16701117 min110.9 /9090.7 /90110.9 /90362.9 /90131 /9070.6 /90
Nick Hagglund1369903 min101 /9050.5 /9090.9 /90474.7 /90111.1 /9010.1 /90
T. Hadebe1047467 min81.5 /9030.6 /9061.2 /90234.4 /9051 /9020.4 /90
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FC Cincinnati — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cincinnati before kick-off, to 20 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Pavel Bucha n 888.3
1.36/3
0.11/0
—
Bryan Ramirez n 852.6
1.54/2
0.63/0
—
Evander n 892.6
0.75/1
2.18/5
—
Kévin Denkey n 880
15/2
0.83/2
—
Samuel Gidi n 870.8
1.34/2
1.45/3
Paul Rothrock
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FC Cincinnati — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cincinnati before kick-off, to 20 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Pavel Bucha n 888.3
27/5
Bryan Ramirez n 852.6
4.37/4
Evander n 892.6
16/2
Kévin Denkey n 880
0.42/1
Samuel Gidi n 870.8
1.34/3
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FC Cincinnati Attacking

FC Cincinnati — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Evander23851950 min130.6 /90100.5 /90653 /90361.7 /90643 /90421.9 /90
Kévin Denkey23831907 min150.7 /9040.2 /90381.8 /90241.1 /90251.2 /90180.8 /90
Tom Barlow23501155 min80.6 /9000 /90221.7 /90161.2 /9060.5 /9030.2 /90
Kenji Mboma Dem18661180 min80.6 /9020.2 /90262 /90120.9 /90151.1 /90141.1 /90
Ayoub Jabbari1241486 min30.6 /9010.2 /90112 /9061.1 /9040.7 /9050.9 /90
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FC Cincinnati — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cincinnati before kick-off, to 20 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Pavel Bucha n 888.3
0.64/1
0.64/1
Bryan Ramirez n 852.6
0.63/0
0.21/0
Evander n 892.6
3.38/8
1.57/4
Kévin Denkey n 880
1.87/3
1.35/3
Samuel Gidi n 870.8
00/0
00/0
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FC Cincinnati — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cincinnati before kick-off, to 20 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Pavel Bucha n 888.3
0.64/1
0.11/0
Bryan Ramirez n 852.6
00/0
0.42/0
Evander n 892.6
0.75/1
0.74/1
Kévin Denkey n 880
0.43/0
00/0
Samuel Gidi n 870.8
00/0
0.21/0
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Seattle Sounders

Seattle Sounders Goalkeeper

Seattle Sounders — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Andrew Thomas19911731 min643.3 /90261.4 /9000 /90
Stefan Frei791634 min436.1 /9091.3 /9000 /90
Seattle Sounders — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Seattle Sounders before kick-off, to 20 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Andrew Thomas n 890
3.27/6
Stefan Frei n 890.5
5.68/6

Seattle Sounders Defensive

Seattle Sounders — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Nouhou Tolo25892221 min381.5 /90351.4 /90120.5 /901054.3 /90160.6 /9030.1 /90
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi24731745 min502.6 /90261.3 /9020.1 /90884.5 /90110.6 /9010.1 /90
Jackson Ragen22891962 min271.2 /90160.7 /90200.9 /90753.4 /90120.6 /9070.3 /90
Alex Roldán18741332 min281.9 /90251.7 /90151 /90674.5 /90100.7 /9020.1 /90
Antino Lopez1271846 min101.1 /9070.7 /9070.7 /90272.9 /9060.6 /9010.1 /90
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Seattle Sounders — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Seattle Sounders before kick-off, to 20 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Nouhou Tolo n 890
0.62/2
1.58/4
—
Paul Rothrock n 881.3
2.27/4
0.85/1
Samuel Gidi
Jesús Ferreira n 861.8
0.42/0
00/0
—
Albert Rusnák n 886.6
0.64/1
0.32/0
—
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi n 863.9
0.21/0
0.53/0
—
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Seattle Sounders — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Seattle Sounders before kick-off, to 20 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Nouhou Tolo n 890
1.98/5
Paul Rothrock n 881.3
0.64/0
Jesús Ferreira n 861.8
1.56/2
Albert Rusnák n 886.6
0.31/1
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi n 863.9
35/4
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Seattle Sounders Attacking

Seattle Sounders — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Daniel Musovski21501047 min40.3 /9000 /90201.7 /90131.1 /90110.9 /9050.4 /90
Osaze De Rosario1750857 min10.1 /9000 /90141.5 /9050.5 /9050.5 /90101.1 /90
Jordan Morris1262744 min10.1 /9030.4 /90131.6 /9081 /90121.5 /9060.7 /90
P. de la Vega11717 min00 /9000 /9015.3 /9015.3 /9000 /9000 /90
Paul Rothrock25761899 min70.3 /9030.1 /90311.5 /90150.7 /90251.2 /90170.8 /90
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Seattle Sounders — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Seattle Sounders before kick-off, to 20 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Nouhou Tolo n 890
0.41/1
0.11/0
Paul Rothrock n 881.3
1.45/3
0.62/1
Jesús Ferreira n 861.8
0.52/1
0.21/0
Albert Rusnák n 886.6
1.27/2
0.65/0
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi n 863.9
0.52/1
0.21/0
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Seattle Sounders — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Seattle Sounders before kick-off, to 20 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Nouhou Tolo n 890
00/0
00/0
Paul Rothrock n 881.3
0.11/0
0.31/1
Jesús Ferreira n 861.8
00/0
00/0
Albert Rusnák n 886.6
0.11/0
0.32/0
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi n 863.9
0.21/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FC CincinnatiSeattle Sounders
70%Possession30%
1.38Expected goals (xG)1.38
17Shots10
9Shots on target3
5Shots off target4
3Blocked shots3
11Shots inside the box7
9Corners4
2Offsides1
7Fouls14
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves7
689Passes284
91%Pass accuracy85%

FC Cincinnati Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Roman Celentano9000000006.9
Samuel Gidi9000002307.2
M. Robinson9000110007.7
Andrei Chirila9000001007.3
Gerardo Valenzuela9000004107.2
Evander9010313008.6
Ender Echenique8900211106.9
Tah Anunga8900111307.2
Bryan Ramirez73002201Y6.2
Tom Barlow7300320006.9
Kenji Mboma Dem5900210106.7
Kévin Denkey sub3100000006.7
Pavel Bucha sub1700000006.5
Ayoub Jabbari sub1700000407.2
A. Powell sub10000000–
O. Nwobodo sub10000000–

Seattle Sounders Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Andrew Thomas9000000008.9
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi9010221408.3
S. Hawkins9000000506.7
R. Sailor90000012Y6.9
Paul Rothrock9000101107.3
Peter Kingston90000021Y6.7
Sebastian Gomez8900110006.5
Antino Lopez7700000005.9
Osaze De Rosario7700100006.5
E. Carli6100101006.2
Snyder Brunell6100000106.3
Nouhou Tolo sub2900000106.3
Daniel Musovski sub2900101006.2
Alex Roldán sub1300000106.9
Albert Rusnák sub1301002006.9
Kim Kee-hee sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind FC Cincinnati v Seattle Sounders — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FC CincinnatiWWLDW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Seattle SoundersLWLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
FC Cincinnati 1 · 1 draw · Seattle Sounders 1 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2023-03-12 FC Cincinnati 1–0 Seattle Sounders
  • 2022-09-28 Seattle Sounders 1–1 FC Cincinnati
  • 2019-03-03 Seattle Sounders 4–1 FC Cincinnati
League standing · 2026
FC Cincinnati#7 pos46 pts33 pl-6 GD
Seattle Sounders#9 pos43 pts32 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
FC Cincinnati scored2.03
Seattle Sounders scored1.28
FC Cincinnati conceded2.21
Seattle Sounders conceded1.25

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for FC Cincinnati v Seattle Sounders?
TACTIX’s free model pick for FC Cincinnati v Seattle Sounders was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.39 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between FC Cincinnati and Seattle Sounders?
In their last 3 meetings, FC Cincinnati won 1, Seattle Sounders won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of FC Cincinnati and Seattle Sounders?
Recent form — FC Cincinnati 3W 1D 1L; Seattle Sounders 1W 0D 4L.

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