Los Angeles Galaxy v Austin prediction

Major League Soccer · · Dignity Health Sports Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Los Angeles Galaxy v Austin, Major League Soccer on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 21:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.9% of 1635 landed (95% range 73.8–77.9%); it had given them 75% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 938 of 1,260 times (74.4%), against an average rating of 70.3%. How we measure →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Los Angeles Galaxy host Austin in Major League Soccer on Saturday 31 October (kick-off 21:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Los Angeles Galaxy or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Both teams scored in 13 of Austin’s last 15 results in all competitions (87%).

Los Angeles Galaxy have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. Austin have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Los Angeles Galaxy’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of Los Angeles Galaxy’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Los Angeles Galaxy have four wins, three draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.14 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 0.86. Los Angeles Galaxy have scored 45 goals, the 11th-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). Los Angeles Galaxy have conceded 54 goals, the 13th-most (shared) of the 30 clubs.

10 of Austin’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Away from home, Austin have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 1.29. Austin have scored 40 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). Austin have conceded 57 goals, the eighth-most of the 30 clubs.

Los Angeles Galaxy are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Los Angeles Galaxy (ninth) and Austin (14th) are seven points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Los Angeles Galaxy the stronger side, 84 rating points above Austin (Los Angeles Galaxy 1524, Austin 1440, after at least 206 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 11 April 2026, finished Austin 1–2 Los Angeles Galaxy.

Team news

Predicted Los Angeles Galaxy XI (4-2-3-1): J. Marcinkowski, J. Haak, J. Nelson, H. Miller, C. Garcés, P. Ruiz, S. Roberto, R. Taylor, E. Thommy, M. Reus, J. Klauss — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Gabriel Pec (5.5 per match over 20 appearances, 11 goals and four assists) and Marco Reus (3.7 per match over 34 appearances, nine goals and 10 assists) have been Los Angeles Galaxy’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Los Angeles Galaxy (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Gabriel Pec averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 1828 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Marco Reus averages 2.9 key passes per 90 over 2260 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Austin XI (4-4-2): D. Las, G. Biro, M. Desler, B. Hines-Ike, I. Sánchez, J. Gallagher, B. Sabovic, J. Rosales, E. Torres, B. Vázquez, F. Torres — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, M. Uzuni (3.9 per match over 28 appearances, 13 goals and two assists) and F. Torres (3.1 per match over 35 appearances, four goals and eight assists) have been Austin’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Austin (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), M. Uzuni averages 2.2 shots per 90 over 2514 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. F. Torres averages 1.1 shots per 90 over 2709 minutes, with a shot in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Major League Soccer · Dignity Health Sports Park
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Los Angeles Galaxy 2 · draws 1 · Austin 3 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Los Angeles Galaxy 2W 2D 1L · Austin 1W 0D 4L

Los Angeles Galaxy v Austin (Major League Soccer): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 1.38
Goals
against 2.25 / 2 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 4.5
Corners
against 5.38 / 5.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.88 / 4.75
Shots on target
against 5.88 / 6.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 1.75
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 29 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 29 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLos Angeles Galaxy for / againstLineAustin for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 2.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 5.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4.5 for · 5.38 against n 8
Shots
13.63 for · 14.75 against n 8
19.5standard
11 for · 18.63 against n 8
Shots on target
5.88 for · 5.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.75 for · 6.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.75 for · 13.25 against n 8
21.5standard
8.75 for · 10.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 1.88 against n 8

Los Angeles Galaxy

Los Angeles Galaxy Goalkeeper

Los Angeles Galaxy — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
JT Marcinkowski30902695 min1023.4 /90401.3 /9010 /90
Novak Mićović780558 min111.8 /90142.3 /9000 /90
Los Angeles Galaxy — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Los Angeles Galaxy before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
JT Marcinkowski n 890.6
3.67/6
Novak Mićović n 881
1.95/2

Los Angeles Galaxy Defensive

Los Angeles Galaxy — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Justin Haak34852893 min561.7 /90411.3 /90200.6 /901384.3 /90381.2 /9060.2 /90
John Nelson28701952 min311.4 /90211 /9040.2 /90643 /9050.2 /9010 /90
Harbor Miller27681831 min482.4 /90291.4 /9090.4 /901035.1 /90281.4 /9040.2 /90
Jakob Glesnes26822137 min331.4 /90271.1 /90241 /90803.4 /90200.8 /9060.3 /90
J. Aude20631266 min302.1 /90171.2 /9040.3 /90715 /90161.1 /9030.2 /90
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Los Angeles Galaxy — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Los Angeles Galaxy before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Justin Haak n 890.6
0.64/1
0.52/2
—
Marco Reus n 858.9
14/1
0.83/1
—
JT Marcinkowski n 890.6
0.11/0
00/0
—
John Nelson n 864.4
0.21/0
00/0
—
Lucas Sanabria n 832.9
2.15/1
1.44/0
—
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Los Angeles Galaxy — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Los Angeles Galaxy before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Justin Haak n 890.6
1.96/5
Marco Reus n 858.9
0.42/0
John Nelson n 864.4
0.94/1
Lucas Sanabria n 832.9
3.87/4
Joseph Paintsil n 856.4
13/1
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Los Angeles Galaxy Attacking

Los Angeles Galaxy — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Joao Klauss16661062 min70.6 /9010.1 /90282.4 /90201.7 /9090.8 /9030.3 /90
K. Furuhashi968611 min00 /9000 /9081.2 /9060.9 /9060.9 /9040.6 /90
Matheus Nascimento631183 min00 /9000 /9073.4 /9042 /9042 /9000 /90
Ruben Ramos443173 min10.5 /9000 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9021 /90
C. Ramirez15858 min00 /9000 /9011.6 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
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Los Angeles Galaxy — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Los Angeles Galaxy before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Justin Haak n 890.6
0.75/1
0.43/0
Marco Reus n 858.9
2.97/3
1.96/3
JT Marcinkowski n 890.6
00/0
00/0
John Nelson n 864.4
00/0
00/0
Lucas Sanabria n 832.9
0.31/0
0.31/0
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Los Angeles Galaxy — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Los Angeles Galaxy before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Justin Haak n 890.6
0.22/0
00/0
Marco Reus n 858.9
0.84/0
0.63/0
JT Marcinkowski n 890.6
00/0
00/0
John Nelson n 864.4
00/0
00/0
Lucas Sanabria n 832.9
00/0
00/0
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Austin

Austin Goalkeeper

Austin — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Stuver31912814 min1414.5 /90481.5 /9000 /90
D. Las490360 min143.5 /9020.5 /9000 /90
Austin — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Austin before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Stuver n 890
4.47/6

Austin Defensive

Austin — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Guilherme Biro30792360 min401.5 /90381.4 /90170.6 /901335.1 /90301.1 /9070.3 /90
O. Svatok28782181 min210.9 /90291.2 /90200.8 /90602.5 /90190.8 /9050.2 /90
B. Hines-Ike27701895 min211 /90100.5 /90221 /90663.1 /90110.5 /9020.1 /90
M. Desler21641354 min251.7 /90241.6 /90130.9 /90644.3 /90171.1 /9040.3 /90
J. Bell18711279 min211.5 /90191.3 /90120.8 /90453.2 /9070.5 /9020.1 /90
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Austin — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Austin before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Gallagher n 887.3
0.95/2
0.52/2
—
F. Torres n 879.8
0.42/1
1.77/3
—
J. Rosales n 878.8
14/2
1.95/4
—
B. Stuver n 890
00/0
00/0
—
Guilherme Biro n 882
0.84/2
0.74/1
—
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Austin — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Austin before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Gallagher n 887.3
0.32/0
F. Torres n 879.8
0.62/2
J. Rosales n 878.8
2.47/4
Guilherme Biro n 882
1.56/3
O. Svatok n 856.4
0.82/2
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Austin Attacking

Austin — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
F. Torres34782649 min40.1 /9080.3 /90321.1 /90170.6 /90722.4 /9080.3 /90
M. Uzuni27832246 min120.5 /9020.1 /90542.2 /90311.2 /90220.9 /90220.9 /90
C. Ramirez27541451 min90.6 /9030.2 /90251.6 /90161 /90130.8 /9000 /90
Brandon Vázquez21651375 min30.2 /9010.1 /90402.6 /90181.2 /9060.4 /9080.5 /90
J. Nelson1344570 min20.3 /9000 /9060.9 /9020.3 /9060.9 /90142.2 /90
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Austin — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Austin before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Gallagher n 887.3
0.63/2
0.42/1
F. Torres n 879.8
0.74/1
0.11/0
J. Rosales n 878.8
1.15/2
0.63/1
B. Stuver n 890
00/0
00/0
Guilherme Biro n 882
0.52/1
0.11/0
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Austin — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Austin before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Gallagher n 887.3
00/0
0.11/0
F. Torres n 879.8
00/0
0.32/0
J. Rosales n 878.8
00/0
0.11/0
B. Stuver n 890
00/0
00/0
Guilherme Biro n 882
0.11/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Los Angeles Galaxy v Austin — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Los Angeles GalaxyWLWDD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.2 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
AustinLLLWL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.2 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Los Angeles Galaxy 2 · 1 draw · Austin 3 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-04-11 Austin 1–2 Los Angeles Galaxy
  • 2025-07-17 Los Angeles Galaxy 1–2 Austin
  • 2025-04-19 Austin 1–0 Los Angeles Galaxy
  • 2024-10-06 Los Angeles Galaxy 2–1 Austin
  • 2024-04-27 Austin 2–0 Los Angeles Galaxy
  • 2023-09-25 Austin 3–3 Los Angeles Galaxy
League standing · 2026
Los Angeles Galaxy#9 pos41 pts32 pl-9 GD
Austin#14 pos34 pts31 pl-17 GD
Goals per game
Los Angeles Galaxy scored1.41
Austin scored1.29
Los Angeles Galaxy conceded1.69
Austin conceded1.84

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Expected goals (xG)
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Los Angeles Galaxy v Austin?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Los Angeles Galaxy v Austin is Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Los Angeles Galaxy and Austin?
In their last 6 meetings, Los Angeles Galaxy won 2, Austin won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Los Angeles Galaxy and Austin?
Recent form — Los Angeles Galaxy 2W 2D 1L; Austin 1W 0D 4L.

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