This Matchweek

Los Angeles GalaxyPortland Timbers

Los Angeles Galaxy v Portland Timbers result

Full-time · Los Angeles Galaxy 2–0 Portland Timbers

Major League Soccer · · Dignity Health Sports Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Los Angeles Galaxy 2–0 Portland Timbers — Los Angeles Galaxy won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.40 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Los Angeles Galaxy beat Portland Timbers 2–0 at Dignity Health Sports Park in Major League Soccer on Thursday 15 October. It is Los Angeles Galaxy’s first win over Portland Timbers since 21 July 2024, after four meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

Los Angeles Galaxy led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Los Angeles Galaxy: Marco Reus (17’, assisted by R. Taylor) and Justin Haak (80’, assisted by Marco Reus).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Marco Reus’s goal on 17 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Los Angeles Galaxy 1.44, Portland Timbers 0.87, from 9 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Chris Penso, USA showed six yellow cards — against 5.0 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Los Angeles Galaxy: P. Ruiz (29’), Sergi Roberto (31’) and Justin Haak (47’); Portland Timbers: J. Fory (38’), K. Velde (62’) and David Pereira da Costa (82’).

What it changes

Los Angeles Galaxy have scored 49 goals, the 11th-fewest of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 33 games). Los Angeles Galaxy have conceded 55 goals, the 14th-most of the 30 clubs.

Portland Timbers have scored 60 goals, the ninth-most of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 33 games). Portland Timbers have conceded 61 goals, the ninth-most of the 30 clubs.

Portland Timbers are winless in their last six matches in all competitions. Los Angeles Galaxy have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Marco Reus (Los Angeles Galaxy) 7.9, Justin Haak (Los Angeles Galaxy) 5.3 and R. Taylor (Los Angeles Galaxy) 4.5 led the match.

Head-to-head

Portland Timbers are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Los Angeles Galaxy.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Los Angeles Galaxy next travel to Real Salt Lake on 8 November 2026.

Portland Timbers next travel to Austin on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Los Angeles Galaxy: Real Salt Lake v Los Angeles Galaxy, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Portland Timbers: Austin v Portland Timbers, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Los Angeles Galaxy 2–0 Portland Timbers · Major League Soccer
  • Venue: Dignity Health Sports Park · Carson, California
  • Referee: Chris Penso, USA
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Los Angeles Galaxy 1 · draws 3 · Portland Timbers 2 · 4.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Los Angeles Galaxy 2W 1D 2L · Portland Timbers 0W 2D 3L

Los Angeles Galaxy 2–0 Portland Timbers (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.75
Goals
against 2.5 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 4.88
Corners
against 4.88 / 5.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.5 / 4.13
Shots on target
against 6.5 / 6 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 1.38
Cards
against 2.5 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5 yellows
Referee · Chris Penso, USA
22.15 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 13 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 12 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameLos Angeles Galaxy for / againstLinePortland Timbers for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 2.5 against n 8
3.5our book
1.75 for · 2.25 against n 8
Corners won
5.38 for · 4.88 against n 8
9.5standard
4.88 for · 5.13 against n 8
Shots
14 for · 16.13 against n 8
19.5standard
13.88 for · 14.25 against n 8
Shots on target
5.5 for · 6.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.13 for · 6 against n 8
Fouls committed
11 for · 13.25 against n 8
21.5standard
9.25 for · 14.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 2.5 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 2.25 against n 8

Referee: Chris Penso, USA — 5 yellow cards a game, 0.15 red cards, 22.15 fouls over 13 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Los Angeles Galaxy

Los Angeles Galaxy Goalkeeper

Los Angeles Galaxy — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
JT Marcinkowski27902425 min913.4 /90401.5 /9010 /90
Novak Mićović780558 min111.8 /90142.3 /9000 /90
Los Angeles Galaxy — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Los Angeles Galaxy before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
JT Marcinkowski n 887.9
47/6
Novak Mićović n 881
1.95/2

Los Angeles Galaxy Defensive

Los Angeles Galaxy — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Justin Haak31852623 min541.9 /90401.4 /90190.7 /901334.6 /90371.3 /9050.2 /90
John Nelson25671682 min291.6 /90160.9 /9040.2 /90583.1 /9050.3 /9010.1 /90
Jakob Glesnes24872097 min321.4 /90251.1 /90241 /90793.4 /90200.9 /9060.3 /90
Harbor Miller24681642 min382.1 /90271.5 /9090.5 /90874.8 /90271.5 /9040.2 /90
J. Aude20631266 min302.1 /90171.2 /9040.3 /90715 /90161.1 /9030.2 /90
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Los Angeles Galaxy — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Los Angeles Galaxy before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Justin Haak n 890.3
1.26/3
0.74/2
J. Fory
Marco Reus n 859.9
0.94/1
0.63/0
K. Velde
JT Marcinkowski n 887.9
0.11/0
00/0
—
John Nelson n 862.1
0.53/0
0.21/0
J. Fory
Lucas Sanabria n 858.1
2.16/3
1.25/1
—
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Los Angeles Galaxy — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Los Angeles Galaxy before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Justin Haak n 890.3
2.28/5
Marco Reus n 859.9
0.42/0
John Nelson n 862.1
1.35/1
Lucas Sanabria n 858.1
3.38/5
Jakob Glesnes n 890.6
1.26/2
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Los Angeles Galaxy Attacking

Los Angeles Galaxy — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Joao Klauss1565972 min70.6 /9010.1 /90262.4 /90181.7 /9090.8 /9030.3 /90
K. Furuhashi968611 min00 /9000 /9081.2 /9060.9 /9060.9 /9040.6 /90
Matheus Nascimento631183 min00 /9000 /9073.4 /9042 /9042 /9000 /90
Ruben Ramos443173 min10.5 /9000 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9021 /90
C. Ramirez15858 min00 /9000 /9011.6 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
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Los Angeles Galaxy — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Los Angeles Galaxy before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Justin Haak n 890.3
0.64/1
0.22/0
Marco Reus n 859.9
2.36/3
1.55/3
JT Marcinkowski n 887.9
00/0
00/0
John Nelson n 862.1
0.51/1
0.41/1
Lucas Sanabria n 858.1
00/0
00/0
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Los Angeles Galaxy — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Los Angeles Galaxy before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Justin Haak n 890.3
0.11/0
00/0
Marco Reus n 859.9
0.63/0
0.42/0
JT Marcinkowski n 887.9
00/0
00/0
John Nelson n 862.1
00/0
00/0
Lucas Sanabria n 858.1
00/0
00/0
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Portland Timbers

Portland Timbers Goalkeeper

Portland Timbers — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Pantemis28912558 min1154 /90491.7 /9010 /90
T. Muse290180 min31.5 /9042 /9000 /90
Portland Timbers — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Timbers before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Pantemis n 890.6
3.77/4

Portland Timbers Defensive

Portland Timbers — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
F. Surman29902603 min441.5 /90441.5 /90491.7 /901184.1 /90140.5 /9020.1 /90
J. Fory28842352 min522 /90562.1 /9090.3 /901204.6 /90311.2 /9040.2 /90
K. Miller23791816 min190.9 /90241.2 /90160.8 /90703.5 /90221.1 /9050.2 /90
B. Bye22861883 min311.5 /90211 /9050.2 /901065.1 /90201 /9050.2 /90
Ian Smith1534512 min142.5 /90101.8 /9061.1 /90427.4 /9091.6 /9030.5 /90
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Portland Timbers — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Timbers before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Velde n 887.8
0.94/3
2.97/6
Marco Reus
F. Surman n 891.3
0.53/1
0.64/1
—
Antony n 838.5
0.31/0
1.23/1
—
J. Pantemis n 890.6
00/0
00/0
—
J. Fory n 879.1
13/2
17/0
John Nelson
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Portland Timbers — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Timbers before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Velde n 887.8
1.57/3
F. Surman n 891.3
1.26/4
Antony n 838.5
1.84/2
J. Fory n 879.1
37/7
David Pereira da Costa n 879.8
15/2
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Portland Timbers Attacking

Portland Timbers — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Antony29561634 min40.2 /9030.2 /90281.5 /90130.7 /90241.3 /90251.4 /90
A. Lassiter23571315 min80.5 /9040.3 /90271.8 /90161.1 /90231.6 /90141 /90
K. Kelsy20701402 min90.6 /9030.2 /90412.6 /90161 /90191.2 /9080.5 /90
A. Aravena1336473 min10.2 /9000 /90132.5 /9071.3 /9051 /9091.7 /90
F. Mora852417 min30.6 /9000 /9091.9 /9040.9 /9020.4 /9000 /90
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Portland Timbers — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Timbers before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Velde n 887.8
2.77/5
0.84/2
F. Surman n 891.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
Antony n 838.5
1.84/1
1.24/0
J. Pantemis n 890.6
00/0
00/0
J. Fory n 879.1
0.11/0
0.11/0
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Portland Timbers — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Timbers before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Velde n 887.8
0.42/1
0.11/0
F. Surman n 891.3
0.11/0
00/0
Antony n 838.5
0.31/0
0.31/0
J. Pantemis n 890.6
00/0
00/0
J. Fory n 879.1
00/0
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Los Angeles GalaxyPortland Timbers
46%Possession54%
1.44Expected goals (xG)0.87
9Shots12
5Shots on target3
1Shots off target8
3Blocked shots1
6Shots inside the box8
2Corners5
1Offsides2
7Fouls11
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
3Saves3
473Passes546
86%Pass accuracy91%

Los Angeles Galaxy Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Calegari9000110306.9
Justin Haak90101102Y8
John Nelson9000000207.3
P. Ruiz90001011Y7
JT Marcinkowski9000000007.9
Joao Klauss9000220007.2
Carlos Garcés8600001107.3
Marco Reus8211113008
Joseph Paintsil7200002007.2
Sergi Roberto72000010Y6.6
R. Taylor7201002107.9
Harbor Miller sub1800000106.9
Lucas Sanabria sub1800000206.9
E. Thommy sub1800000006.6
Maya Yoshida sub900000006.7
Elijah Wynder sub800000006.7

Portland Timbers Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. Velde90005221Y6.9
R. Hernandez9000100106.9
J. Waterman9000000007.3
K. Miller9000110207.3
David Pereira da Costa90000021Y6.9
J. Pantemis9000000007.2
J. Ortiz8100001206.2
A. Lassiter8100101006.3
J. Caicedo7400102107
V. Janssen7400201006.6
J. Fory63000000Y6.2
Ian Smith sub2700000106.3
A. Aravena sub1600000006.7
Eric Izoita sub1600000006.2
D. Chara sub900000006.7
O. Fernandez sub900000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Los Angeles Galaxy v Portland Timbers — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Los Angeles GalaxyLDWWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 2.8 conceded per game
Portland TimbersDLLLD
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Los Angeles Galaxy 1 · 3 draws · Portland Timbers 2 · 4.5 goals/game
  • 2026-03-22 Portland Timbers 1–1 Los Angeles Galaxy
  • 2025-04-28 Los Angeles Galaxy 2–4 Portland Timbers
  • 2025-03-16 Portland Timbers 1–1 Los Angeles Galaxy
  • 2024-09-19 Portland Timbers 4–2 Los Angeles Galaxy
  • 2024-07-21 Los Angeles Galaxy 3–2 Portland Timbers
  • 2023-10-01 Los Angeles Galaxy 3–3 Portland Timbers
League standing · 2026
Los Angeles Galaxy#7 pos44 pts33 pl-6 GD
Portland Timbers#8 pos43 pts33 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
Los Angeles Galaxy scored1.48
Portland Timbers scored1.82
Los Angeles Galaxy conceded1.67
Portland Timbers conceded1.85

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Los Angeles Galaxy v Portland Timbers?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Los Angeles Galaxy v Portland Timbers was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.40 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Los Angeles Galaxy and Portland Timbers?
In their last 6 meetings, Los Angeles Galaxy won 1, Portland Timbers won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 4.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Los Angeles Galaxy and Portland Timbers?
Recent form — Los Angeles Galaxy 2W 1D 2L; Portland Timbers 0W 2D 3L.

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