New York City FC v Nashville SC result

Full-time · New York City FC 2–1 Nashville SC

Major League Soccer · Sun, 17 Aug 2025 22:00 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: New York City FC · Nashville SC · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

New York City FC 2–1 Nashville SC — New York City FC won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.7% of 492 landed (95% range 64.5–72.6%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 596 of 928 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

New York City FC beat Nashville SC 2–1 in Major League Soccer on Sunday 17 August.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Nashville SC: J. Shaffelburg (10’, assisted by H. Mukhtar); New York City FC: A. Perea (40’, assisted by Hannes Wolf) and A. Martínez (77’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with A. Martínez’s goal on 77 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: New York City FC 1.37, Nashville SC 1.29, from 12 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — New York City FC: Maxi Moralez (58’), A. Martínez (82’) and A. Perea (90+4’); Nashville SC: E. Tagseth (48’) and S. Surridge (82’).

What it changes

New York City FC have scored 37 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 15 clubs (2025 so far, after 26 games, ranked per game). New York City FC have conceded 30 goals, the third-fewest of the 15 clubs.

Nashville SC have scored 49 goals, the fourth-most of the 15 clubs (2025 so far, after 28 games, ranked per game). Nashville SC have conceded 32 goals, the second-fewest of the 15 clubs.

Nashville SC have lost their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, A. Perea (New York City FC) 6.9, J. Shaffelburg (Nashville SC) 6.9 and Nicolás Fernández (New York City FC) 5.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Result: New York City FC 2–1 Nashville SC · Major League Soccer
Referee: Filip Dujic, USA
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): New York City FC 2 · draws 2 · Nashville SC 2 · 2.33 goals/game
Recent form: New York City FC 2W 1D 2L · Nashville SC 2W 0D 3L

New York City FC 2–1 Nashville SC (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.63

Goals

against 1.63 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.88 / 3.86

Corners

against 5.63 / 2.86 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

5.13 / 3.86

Shots on target

against 4.88 / 3.43 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.63 / 1.86

Cards

against 2.63 / 2.43 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 10 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	New York City FC for / against	Line	Nashville SC for / against
Goals scored	1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.63 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.88 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.86 for · 2.86 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	12.5 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	10.43 for · 11 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	5.13 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.86 for · 3.43 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.88 for · 12.75 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13.43 for · 9.86 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	1.63 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.86 for · 2.43 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: Filip Dujic, USA.

New York City FC

New York City FC Goalkeeper

New York City FC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Matthew Freese	24	902160 min	823.4 /90	321.3 /90	10 /90
T. Romero	3	90270 min	103.3 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90

New York City FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York City FC before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Matthew Freese n 8	90	3.6 7/6
T. Romero n 3	90	3.3 3/2

New York City FC Defensive

New York City FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Justin Haak	27	882373 min	361.4 /90	351.3 /90	220.8 /90	1174.4 /90	250.9 /90	50.2 /90
Thiago Martins	22	871905 min	291.4 /90	130.6 /90	200.9 /90	743.5 /90	170.8 /90	10 /90
Kevin O'Toole	19	731380 min	372.4 /90	201.3 /90	80.5 /90	704.6 /90	161 /90	30.2 /90
M. Ilenič	18	641149 min	120.9 /90	120.9 /90	20.2 /90	514 /90	70.5 /90	10.1 /90
Tayvon Gray	18	591061 min	302.5 /90	90.8 /90	60.5 /90	705.9 /90	100.8 /90	50.4 /90
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New York City FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York City FC before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Justin Haak n 8	89.1	0.6 5/0	1.1 5/3	—
Maxi Moralez n 8	86.6	1.9 7/5	1.9 6/5	H. Mukhtar
Julián Fernández n 8	61	0.6 3/0	1.1 5/1	—
Matthew Freese n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
A. Martínez n 8	76.3	0.4 2/1	0.7 5/0	S. Surridge
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New York City FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York City FC before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Justin Haak n 8	89.1	0.8 5/1
Maxi Moralez n 8	86.6	1.4 6/4
Julián Fernández n 8	61	1.8 5/3
A. Martínez n 8	76.3	0.1 1/0
Hannes Wolf n 8	78.5	2.6 7/5
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New York City FC Attacking

New York City FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Martínez	24	831999 min	140.6 /90	20.1 /90	663 /90	411.8 /90	221 /90	271.2 /90
M. Bakrar	13	43559 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	91.4 /90	50.8 /90	50.8 /90	20.3 /90
Seymour Garfield-Reid	3	3399 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.9 /90	00 /90	10.9 /90	00 /90
Maxi Moralez	26	832149 min	20.1 /90	50.2 /90	210.9 /90	60.3 /90	552.3 /90	50.2 /90
Julián Fernández	25	561399 min	20.1 /90	40.3 /90	291.9 /90	90.6 /90	382.4 /90	171.1 /90
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New York City FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York City FC before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Justin Haak n 8	89.1	0.8 4/2	0.5 3/1
Maxi Moralez n 8	86.6	0.9 4/2	0.3 2/0
Julián Fernández n 8	61	1.5 5/1	0.7 3/1
Matthew Freese n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Martínez n 8	76.3	3.1 8/7	1.9 8/2
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New York City FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York City FC before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Justin Haak n 8	89.1	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Maxi Moralez n 8	86.6	0 0/0	0.4 2/1
Julián Fernández n 8	61	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
Matthew Freese n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Martínez n 8	76.3	0.9 4/1	0.1 1/0
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Nashville SC

Nashville SC Goalkeeper

Nashville SC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Willis	26	902351 min	702.7 /90	291.1 /90	20.1 /90

Nashville SC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Willis n 8	91.4	2.1 6/3

Nashville SC Defensive

Nashville SC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
D. Lovitz	25	902259 min	602.4 /90	291.2 /90	40.2 /90	1014 /90	361.4 /90	40.2 /90
A. Najar	25	802000 min	411.8 /90	371.7 /90	30.1 /90	1135.1 /90	231 /90	10 /90
J. Maher	24	862053 min	120.5 /90	160.7 /90	80.4 /90	592.6 /90	160.7 /90	20.1 /90
J. Palacios	16	871395 min	442.8 /90	120.8 /90	100.6 /90	905.8 /90	110.7 /90	20.1 /90
Walker Zimmerman	14	761066 min	191.6 /90	201.7 /90	90.8 /90	534.5 /90	131.1 /90	30.3 /90
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Nashville SC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Willis n 8	91.4	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
H. Mukhtar n 8	90.4	1 6/2	1.7 6/6	Maxi Moralez
S. Surridge n 8	84.9	0.7 3/2	1.1 5/3	A. Martínez
D. Lovitz n 8	91.4	1.5 6/4	0.4 3/0	—
E. Tagseth n 8	80.1	2.7 8/6	0.7 5/0	—
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Nashville SC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
H. Mukhtar n 8	90.4	0.9 5/2
S. Surridge n 8	84.9	0.4 2/1
D. Lovitz n 8	91.4	1.7 5/3
E. Tagseth n 8	80.1	2.4 7/4
A. Najar n 8	88.3	1.4 5/3
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Nashville SC Attacking

Nashville SC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
S. Surridge	26	862233 min	180.7 /90	30.1 /90	612.5 /90	381.5 /90	261 /90	140.6 /90
J. Shaffelburg	15	42630 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	91.3 /90	40.6 /90	111.6 /90	40.6 /90
Teal Bunbury	7	21145 min	00 /90	00 /90	63.7 /90	21.2 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90
H. Mukhtar	26	892311 min	120.5 /90	50.2 /90	742.9 /90	522 /90	672.6 /90	200.8 /90
E. Tagseth	25	822050 min	00 /90	20.1 /90	50.2 /90	30.1 /90	241.1 /90	110.5 /90
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Nashville SC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Willis n 8	91.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
H. Mukhtar n 8	90.4	2.5 8/7	1.6 7/5
S. Surridge n 8	84.9	2.3 8/6	1.3 6/3
D. Lovitz n 8	91.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
E. Tagseth n 8	80.1	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Nashville SC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Willis n 8	91.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
H. Mukhtar n 8	90.4	0.5 4/0	0 0/0
S. Surridge n 8	84.9	0.8 4/1	0.1 1/0
D. Lovitz n 8	91.4	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
E. Tagseth n 8	80.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
New York City FC		Nashville SC
54%	Possession	46%
1.37	Expected goals (xG)	1.29
12	Shots	11
4	Shots on target	3
7	Shots off target	6
1	Blocked shots	2
7	Shots inside the box	10
2	Corners	3
1	Offsides	0
10	Fouls	12
3	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	2
411	Passes	345
82%	Pass accuracy	84%

New York City FC Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Matthew Freese	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Tayvon Gray	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.3
S. Tanasijevic	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.9
Justin Haak	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Kevin O'Toole	90	0	0	0	0	2	3	0	7.2
Aiden O'Neill	90	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	7
A. Perea	90	1	0	2	1	1	4	Y	7.9
Nicolás Fernández	90	0	0	1	0	3	4	0	7.6
A. Martínez	89	1	0	4	2	0	1	Y	7.3
Maxi Moralez	78	0	0	1	1	2	1	Y	7.3
Hannes Wolf	64	0	1	1	0	1	2	0	7.3
Agustin Ojeda sub	27	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	7.3
Julián Fernández sub	13	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.6
Seymour Garfield-Reid sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Nashville SC Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. Willis	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
A. Najar	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.5
J. Palacios	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.3
J. Bauer	90	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.3
P. Yazbek	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.9
H. Mukhtar	90	0	1	0	0	3	0	0	6.9
S. Surridge	90	0	0	3	2	0	0	Y	6.3
J. Maher	80	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
J. Shaffelburg	80	1	0	3	1	2	1	0	7.3
E. Tagseth	73	0	0	0	0	1	3	Y	6.3
J. Perez	68	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.3
A. Qasem sub	23	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.3
G. Brugman sub	18	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Walker Zimmerman sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7
Teal Bunbury sub	11	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind New York City FC v Nashville SC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

New York City FCDWLWL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Nashville SCLWWLL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

New York City FC 2 · 2 draws · Nashville SC 2 · 2.33 goals/game

2025-05-31 Nashville SC 2–2 New York City FC
2024-10-06 New York City FC 3–1 Nashville SC
2024-06-23 Nashville SC 1–0 New York City FC
2023-04-15 New York City FC 2–1 Nashville SC
2023-02-25 Nashville SC 2–0 New York City FC
2021-10-03 New York City FC 0–0 Nashville SC

League standing · 2025

Last recorded position — not updated during the season.

New York City FC#5 pos56 pts34 pl+6 GD

Nashville SC#6 pos54 pts34 pl+13 GD

Goals per game

New York City FC scored1.47

Nashville SC scored1.71

New York City FC conceded1.29

Nashville SC conceded1.32

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for New York City FC v Nashville SC?: TACTIX’s free model pick for New York City FC v Nashville SC was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between New York City FC and Nashville SC?: In their last 6 meetings, New York City FC won 2, Nashville SC won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of New York City FC and Nashville SC?: Recent form — New York City FC 2W 1D 2L; Nashville SC 2W 0D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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