New York Red BullsReal Salt Lake

New York Red Bulls v Real Salt Lake result

Full-time · New York Red Bulls 2–1 Real Salt Lake

Major League Soccer ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

New York Red Bulls 2–1 Real Salt Lake — New York Red Bulls won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.6% of 1471 landed (95% range 66.2–70.9%); it had given them 75.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated draw or away (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 879 of 1,350 times (65.1%), against an average rating of 69.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

New York Red Bulls beat Real Salt Lake 2–1 in Major League Soccer on Sunday 10 August. Real Salt Lake have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

New York Red Bulls came from behind: Real Salt Lake led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Real Salt Lake: Zavier Gozo (3’); New York Red Bulls: Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting (52’, 90’ pen). D. Luna (85’) and K. Duncan (90’) were sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: New York Red Bulls 3.76, Real Salt Lake 1.17, from 24 shots to 7 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Ricardo Fierro, USA showed six yellow cards and two reds — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — New York Red Bulls: A. Hack (14’), Ronald Donkor (59’) and S. Nealis (77’); Real Salt Lake: Zavier Gozo (77’), D. Luna (83’) and D. Luna (85’).

What it changes

New York Red Bulls have scored 42 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 15 clubs (2025 so far, after 28 games, ranked per game). New York Red Bulls have conceded 38 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 15 clubs.

Real Salt Lake have scored 28 goals, the second-fewest of the 15 clubs (2025 so far, after 27 games, ranked per game). Real Salt Lake have conceded 36 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 15 clubs.

New York Red Bulls are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting (New York Red Bulls) 13.7, Zavier Gozo (Real Salt Lake) 7.7 and Rafael Cabral (Real Salt Lake) 7.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Real Salt Lake, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.6% of the time in the last 90 days (1009 of 1471).

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Result: New York Red Bulls 2–1 Real Salt Lake · Major League Soccer
  • Referee: Ricardo Fierro, USA
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): New York Red Bulls 1 · draws 2 · Real Salt Lake 2 · 2.2 goals/game
  • Recent form: New York Red Bulls 1W 2D 2L · Real Salt Lake 2W 2D 1L

New York Red Bulls 2–1 Real Salt Lake (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.75 / 1 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.6 / 3.8
Corners
against 5.6 / 6.2 · 0 of the last 2 over 9.5
over 5 matches
3.6 / 5
Shots on target
against 5.8 / 3.6 · 2 of the last 2 over 8.5
over 5 matches
2.6 / 3
Cards
against 2.6 / 2.8 · 1 of the last 2 over 3.5
over 5 matches
4 yellows
Referee · Ricardo Fierro, USA
29.44 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 8 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameNew York Red Bulls for / againstLineReal Salt Lake for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
3.6 for · 5.6 against n 5
9.5standard
3.8 for · 6.2 against n 5
Shots
11.4 for · 14.4 against n 5
19.5standard
14 for · 14.4 against n 5
Shots on target
3.6 for · 5.8 against n 5
8.5standard
5 for · 3.6 against n 5
Fouls committed
13.4 for · 9.6 against n 5
21.5standard
11.8 for · 10.2 against n 5
Cards shown
2.6 for · 2.6 against n 5
3.5standard
3 for · 2.8 against n 5

Referee: Ricardo Fierro, USA — 4 yellow cards a game, 0.22 red cards, 29.44 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls Goalkeeper

New York Red Bulls — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Carlos Coronel24912175 min863.6 /90331.4 /9000 /90
AJ Marcucci19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /90
New York Red Bulls — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 8 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Carlos Coronel n 891.9
2.76/5

New York Red Bulls Defensive

New York Red Bulls — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
N. Eile24872085 min361.6 /90231 /90120.5 /90883.8 /90281.2 /9070.3 /90
Omar Valencia18741334 min281.9 /90181.2 /9010.1 /90745 /90181.2 /9060.4 /90
S. Nealis17891518 min221.3 /90291.7 /90100.6 /90694.1 /90130.8 /9040.2 /90
A. Hack17711215 min322.4 /90261.9 /9080.6 /90846.2 /90171.3 /9040.3 /90
K. Duncan14861197 min302.3 /90161.2 /9070.5 /90745.6 /90141.1 /9020.2 /90
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New York Red Bulls — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 8 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Carlos Coronel n 891.9
00/0
00/0
—
Emil Forsberg n 891.8
0.95/2
1.15/1
Diogo Gonçalves
N. Eile n 886.3
1.36/2
0.32/0
—
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting n 879.3
14/2
15/2
—
Wikelman Carmona n 861.8
1.54/3
1.55/2
Diogo Gonçalves
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New York Red Bulls — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 8 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Emil Forsberg n 891.8
0.73/2
N. Eile n 886.3
1.25/3
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting n 879.3
0.43/0
Wikelman Carmona n 861.8
2.97/4
P. Stroud n 872
2.37/4
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New York Red Bulls Attacking

New York Red Bulls — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting24821972 min130.6 /9010 /90351.6 /90261.2 /90281.3 /90311.4 /90
D. Gjengaar1342551 min20.3 /9010.2 /9091.5 /9071.1 /9050.8 /9010.2 /90
Julian Hall1127302 min00 /9000 /9030.9 /9020.6 /9000 /9051.5 /90
S. Ngoma851404 min10.2 /9000 /9040.9 /9030.7 /9040.9 /9040.9 /90
W. Bogacz636213 min10.4 /9000 /9041.7 /9020.8 /9031.3 /9020.8 /90
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New York Red Bulls — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 8 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Carlos Coronel n 891.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
Emil Forsberg n 891.8
1.67/3
0.74/2
N. Eile n 886.3
0.73/2
0.11/0
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting n 879.3
2.15/4
1.65/4
Wikelman Carmona n 861.8
1.14/2
0.21/0
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New York Red Bulls — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 8 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Carlos Coronel n 891.9
00/0
00/0
Emil Forsberg n 891.8
0.53/1
0.22/0
N. Eile n 886.3
00/0
00/0
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting n 879.3
0.63/1
0.11/0
Wikelman Carmona n 861.8
00/0
00/0
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Real Salt Lake

Real Salt Lake Goalkeeper

Real Salt Lake — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Rafael Cabral26902340 min752.9 /90321.2 /9020.1 /90
Real Salt Lake — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Salt Lake before kick-off, to 8 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Rafael Cabral n 890
2.86/5

Real Salt Lake Defensive

Real Salt Lake — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. Junqua24661576 min291.7 /90140.8 /90120.7 /90714.1 /90100.6 /9000 /90
J. Glad21901880 min261.2 /90261.2 /90150.7 /90763.6 /90251.2 /9050.2 /90
A. Katranis21641353 min201.3 /9080.5 /9020.1 /90523.5 /90291.9 /9060.4 /90
Brayan Vera17751268 min171.2 /90120.9 /90120.9 /90553.9 /90201.4 /9070.5 /90
N. Caliskan14841175 min342.6 /90141.1 /9010.1 /90503.8 /90161.2 /9040.3 /90
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Real Salt Lake — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Salt Lake before kick-off, to 8 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Rafael Cabral n 890
00/0
00/0
—
S. Junqua n 872.8
0.64/0
0.63/1
—
Diogo Gonçalves n 885.1
0.43/0
1.38/2
Wikelman Carmona
Braian Ojeda n 864.9
1.45/2
1.44/1
—
J. Glad n 888.8
16/2
0.32/0
—
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Real Salt Lake — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Salt Lake before kick-off, to 8 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Junqua n 872.8
1.75/3
Diogo Gonçalves n 885.1
0.74/1
Braian Ojeda n 864.9
1.24/3
J. Glad n 888.8
1.45/2
D. Luna n 885.8
1.25/3
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Real Salt Lake Attacking

Real Salt Lake — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Piol1646734 min10.1 /9010.1 /9070.9 /9020.2 /9070.9 /9020.2 /90
W. Agada1468953 min20.2 /9010.1 /90141.3 /9050.5 /90151.4 /9040.4 /90
Forster Ajago853423 min20.4 /9000 /90102.1 /9061.3 /9051.1 /9020.4 /90
T. Wolff842334 min00 /9000 /9020.5 /9010.3 /9041.1 /9061.6 /90
J. Russell639231 min20.8 /9000 /9062.3 /9051.9 /9041.6 /9031.2 /90
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Real Salt Lake — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Salt Lake before kick-off, to 8 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Rafael Cabral n 890
00/0
00/0
S. Junqua n 872.8
00/0
00/0
Diogo Gonçalves n 885.1
1.97/4
1.26/2
Braian Ojeda n 864.9
1.46/2
0.32/0
J. Glad n 888.8
0.65/0
00/0
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Real Salt Lake — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Salt Lake before kick-off, to 8 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Rafael Cabral n 890
00/0
00/0
S. Junqua n 872.8
00/0
00/0
Diogo Gonçalves n 885.1
0.32/0
0.11/0
Braian Ojeda n 864.9
0.21/0
00/0
J. Glad n 888.8
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
New York Red BullsReal Salt Lake
55%Possession45%
3.76Expected goals (xG)1.17
24Shots7
7Shots on target3
10Shots off target2
7Blocked shots2
13Shots inside the box6
5Corners0
2Offsides1
16Fouls11
3Yellow cards3
1Red cards1
2Saves5
489Passes406
85%Pass accuracy81%

New York Red Bulls Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
AJ Marcucci9000000006.7
K. Duncan90001023R7.5
S. Nealis90000000Y6.7
Raheem Edwards9000102107.2
D. Edelman9000100207.2
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting9020434009.3
Emil Forsberg8901523107.7
Mohammed Sofo7100210105.9
Ronald Donkor64002101Y7
A. Hack45000010Y6.5
Wikelman Carmona4500001106.6
Tim Parker sub4500000006.9
Julian Hall sub4500001006.9
P. Stroud sub2600000106.6
S. Ngoma sub1900100006.7
Dylan Nealis sub1100000006.3

Real Salt Lake Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Rafael Cabral9000000008
N. Caliskan9000100307.2
J. Glad9000000106.7
Brayan Vera9000000106.5
S. Junqua9000101106.2
Diogo Gonçalves9000000106.9
Z. Gozo90102203Y7.7
Emeka Eneli8900000406.9
D. Luna85000023RY6.5
Braian Ojeda6400000307
W. Agada6401001007.2
P. Ruiz sub2600001106.3
Rwan Cruz sub2600110006.6
J. Russell sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind New York Red Bulls v Real Salt Lake — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
New York Red BullsLLWDD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Real Salt LakeLWDDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
New York Red Bulls 1 · 2 draws · Real Salt Lake 2 · 2.2 goals/game
  • 2023-07-16 Real Salt Lake 3–1 New York Red Bulls
  • 2020-03-07 Real Salt Lake 1–1 New York Red Bulls
  • 2019-06-01 New York Red Bulls 4–0 Real Salt Lake
  • 2018-03-18 Real Salt Lake 1–0 New York Red Bulls
  • 2017-03-25 New York Red Bulls 0–0 Real Salt Lake
League standing · 2025
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
New York Red Bulls#10 pos43 pts34 pl+1 GD
Real Salt Lake#9 pos41 pts34 pl-11 GD
Goals per game
New York Red Bulls scored1.41
Real Salt Lake scored1.12
New York Red Bulls conceded1.38
Real Salt Lake conceded1.44

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for New York Red Bulls v Real Salt Lake?
TACTIX’s free model pick for New York Red Bulls v Real Salt Lake was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between New York Red Bulls and Real Salt Lake?
In their last 5 meetings, New York Red Bulls won 1, Real Salt Lake won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of New York Red Bulls and Real Salt Lake?
Recent form — New York Red Bulls 1W 2D 2L; Real Salt Lake 2W 2D 1L.

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