This Matchweek

Sporting Kansas CityNew York Red Bulls

Sporting Kansas City v New York Red Bulls result

Full-time · Sporting Kansas City 1–2 New York Red Bulls

Major League Soccer · · Children's Mercy Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Sporting Kansas City 1–2 New York Red Bulls — New York Red Bulls won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

New York Red Bulls won 2–1 at Children's Mercy Park in Major League Soccer on Sunday 24 May. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Sporting Kansas City out-shot New York Red Bulls 15 to 10 and created the better chances, 1.69 xG to 0.88 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

The goals

New York Red Bulls led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — New York Red Bulls: Jorge Ruvalcaba (3’, assisted by Gustav Berggren; 45’, assisted by Julian Hall); Sporting Kansas City: C. Harris (64’, assisted by Manu García).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jorge Ruvalcaba’s goal on 3 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Sporting Kansas City: L. Johnsen (70’); New York Red Bulls: Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty (45+1’) and Nehuen Benedetti (87’).

What it changes

Sporting Kansas City have scored 39 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 33 games). Sporting Kansas City have conceded 81 goals, the most of the 30 clubs.

New York Red Bulls have scored 45 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 33 games). New York Red Bulls have conceded 62 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 30 clubs.

New York Red Bulls are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jorge Ruvalcaba (New York Red Bulls) 10.0, Capita (Sporting Kansas City) 6.0 and J. Reid (Sporting Kansas City) 5.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.4% of the time in the last 90 days (366 of 543).

Next up

Sporting Kansas City next travel to San Diego on 8 November 2026.

New York Red Bulls next host Atlanta United FC on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Sporting Kansas City: San Diego v Sporting Kansas City, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for New York Red Bulls: New York Red Bulls v Atlanta United FC, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Sporting Kansas City 1–2 New York Red Bulls · Major League Soccer
  • Venue: Children's Mercy Park · Kansas City
  • Referee: N. Bensalah
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Sporting Kansas City 2 · draws 2 · New York Red Bulls 2 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Sporting Kansas City 2W 1D 2L · New York Red Bulls 2W 1D 2L

Sporting Kansas City 1–2 New York Red Bulls (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1.63
Goals
against 2.88 / 2.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.71 / 5.71
Corners
against 5.29 / 3.43 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.29 / 3.86
Shots on target
against 5.71 / 5 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.13 / 2.13
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 17 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSporting Kansas City for / againstLineNew York Red Bulls for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 2.88 against n 8
3.5our book
1.63 for · 2.38 against n 8
Corners won
3.71 for · 5.29 against n 7
9.5standard
5.71 for · 3.43 against n 7
Shots
10.71 for · 17.14 against n 7
19.5standard
11.86 for · 13 against n 7
Shots on target
4.29 for · 5.71 against n 7
8.5standard
3.86 for · 5 against n 7
Fouls committed
15.86 for · 10.43 against n 7
21.5standard
12.86 for · 10 against n 7
Cards shown
2.13 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: N. Bensalah.

Sporting Kansas City

Sporting Kansas City Goalkeeper

Sporting Kansas City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Pulskamp992824 min272.9 /90252.7 /9020.2 /90
Sporting Kansas City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting Kansas City before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Pulskamp n 891.8
2.96/6

Sporting Kansas City Defensive

Sporting Kansas City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Wyatt Meyer1079793 min171.9 /9091 /9050.6 /90364.1 /9010.1 /9010.1 /90
J. Reid990807 min192.1 /9060.7 /9020.2 /90404.5 /90121.3 /9010.1 /90
E. Bartlow987779 min40.5 /9070.8 /90131.5 /90232.7 /9070.8 /9010.1 /90
I. James975672 min152 /9070.9 /9060.8 /90212.8 /9070.9 /9000 /90
Jansen Miller669416 min61.3 /9051.1 /9061.3 /90245.2 /90122.6 /9020.4 /90
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Sporting Kansas City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting Kansas City before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Joveljic n 887.6
1.56/3
1.26/2
—
Manu García n 864.9
0.94/1
2.44/4
—
C. Harris n 864.8
1.64/3
2.36/5
—
J. Davis n 878.4
2.48/5
0.73/1
—
J. Bartlett n 872.5
1.96/3
1.26/2
—
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Sporting Kansas City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting Kansas City before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Joveljic n 887.6
0.43/0
Manu García n 864.9
0.74/0
C. Harris n 864.8
1.24/2
J. Davis n 878.4
2.66/5
J. Bartlett n 872.5
0.84/1
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Sporting Kansas City Attacking

Sporting Kansas City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Joveljic13901165 min60.5 /9010.1 /90181.4 /90141.1 /90120.9 /9040.3 /90
C. Harris1371922 min10.1 /9030.3 /90151.5 /9080.8 /9090.9 /9060.6 /90
S. Afrifa923206 min10.4 /9010.4 /9031.3 /9031.3 /9010.4 /9073.1 /90
Capita764446 min10.2 /9000 /9081.6 /9030.6 /9020.4 /9081.6 /90
T. Calheira443172 min00 /9000 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9021 /90
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Sporting Kansas City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting Kansas City before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Joveljic n 887.6
1.26/2
0.95/2
Manu García n 864.9
0.74/0
0.32/0
C. Harris n 864.8
2.15/3
1.23/2
J. Davis n 878.4
0.11/0
00/0
J. Bartlett n 872.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
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Sporting Kansas City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting Kansas City before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Joveljic n 887.6
0.43/0
0.11/0
Manu García n 864.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
C. Harris n 864.8
0.21/0
0.31/1
J. Davis n 878.4
00/0
00/0
J. Bartlett n 872.5
0.21/0
00/0
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New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls Goalkeeper

New York Red Bulls — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Ethan Horvath14911273 min423 /90312.2 /9000 /90
New York Red Bulls — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Ethan Horvath n 890.9
2.77/4

New York Red Bulls Defensive

New York Red Bulls — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Matthew Dos Santos1467937 min121.2 /90141.3 /9000 /90252.4 /90121.2 /9010.1 /90
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty13801034 min211.8 /90100.9 /9040.3 /90413.6 /9080.7 /9010.1 /90
Dylan Nealis1188972 min151.4 /90151.4 /90100.9 /90605.6 /90141.3 /9020.2 /90
Robert Voloder890723 min131.6 /90131.6 /9010.1 /90384.7 /9040.5 /9020.2 /90
J. Che676453 min132.6 /9061.2 /9081.6 /90265.2 /9040.8 /9020.4 /90
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New York Red Bulls — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Ethan Horvath n 890.9
00/0
00/0
—
Julian Hall n 883.8
1.16/2
0.74/1
—
Adri Mehmeti n 883.4
2.78/6
0.95/2
—
Emil Forsberg n 869
1.34/2
0.74/0
—
Jorge Ruvalcaba n 871.8
0.96/0
0.84/1
—
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New York Red Bulls — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Julian Hall n 883.8
0.73/2
Adri Mehmeti n 883.4
2.36/5
Emil Forsberg n 869
0.85/0
Jorge Ruvalcaba n 871.8
0.52/1
Matthew Dos Santos n 868.4
1.24/2
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New York Red Bulls Attacking

New York Red Bulls — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Julian Hall14861208 min90.7 /9020.1 /90211.6 /90141 /90100.7 /90131 /90
Jorge Ruvalcaba14761068 min50.4 /9000 /90211.8 /90121 /90151.3 /9080.7 /90
Cade Cowell1272869 min10.1 /9030.3 /90171.8 /90111.1 /90192 /9090.9 /90
Rafael Mosquera831246 min00 /9000 /9041.5 /9010.4 /9062.2 /9031.1 /90
Mohammed Sofo645269 min00 /9000 /9051.7 /9031 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90
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New York Red Bulls — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Ethan Horvath n 890.9
00/0
00/0
Julian Hall n 883.8
1.14/1
0.83/1
Adri Mehmeti n 883.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
Emil Forsberg n 869
14/1
0.52/1
Jorge Ruvalcaba n 871.8
1.97/4
0.95/1
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New York Red Bulls — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Ethan Horvath n 890.9
00/0
00/0
Julian Hall n 883.8
0.52/1
0.31/1
Adri Mehmeti n 883.4
0.11/0
00/0
Emil Forsberg n 869
00/0
0.32/0
Jorge Ruvalcaba n 871.8
0.84/1
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Sporting Kansas CityNew York Red Bulls
62%Possession38%
1.69Expected goals (xG)0.88
15Shots10
8Shots on target4
4Shots off target3
3Blocked shots3
12Shots inside the box8
6Corners1
6Offsides1
5Fouls15
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves7
509Passes324
80%Pass accuracy68%

Sporting Kansas City Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Cleveland9000000006.3
I. James9000110106.5
Wyatt Meyer9000000106.2
J. Reid9000001106.5
L. Johnsen90001021Y7.2
C. Harris9010320007.2
D. Joveljic9000211006.9
Capita8200112306.3
T. Calheira7600220306.9
J. Davis5800001206.2
Zorhan Bassong5800111106.7
J. Reynolds sub3200000107
Manu García sub3201003007.6
S. Afrifa sub1400100206.9
S. Suleymanov sub800000006.5

New York Red Bulls Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Ethan Horvath9000000007.9
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty90000002Y6.7
Dylan Nealis9000000206.6
J. Che9000000207.2
Ronald Donkor9000000006.6
Adri Mehmeti9000000306.6
Julian Hall9001211207.2
Omar Valencia8000000306.5
Gustav Berggren7301102006.3
Jorge Ruvalcaba7320330108.9
Cade Cowell1900000006.2
Rafael Mosquera sub6000002106.2
Nehuen Benedetti sub17000010Y6.3
Roald Mitchell sub1700001006.3
C. Harper sub1100101006.7
J. Bazan sub1000000106.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Sporting Kansas City v New York Red Bulls — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Sporting Kansas CityLDLWW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 2.8 conceded per game
New York Red BullsLLWWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Sporting Kansas City 2 · 2 draws · New York Red Bulls 2 · 3 goals/game
  • 2024-09-07 New York Red Bulls 1–1 Sporting Kansas City
  • 2022-07-04 Sporting Kansas City 0–1 New York Red Bulls
  • 2021-04-18 New York Red Bulls 1–2 Sporting Kansas City
  • 2019-04-14 Sporting Kansas City 2–2 New York Red Bulls
  • 2018-07-14 New York Red Bulls 3–2 Sporting Kansas City
  • 2017-09-21 Sporting Kansas City 2–1 New York Red Bulls
League standing · 2026
Sporting Kansas City#15 pos23 pts33 pl-42 GD
New York Red Bulls#10 pos39 pts33 pl-17 GD
Goals per game
Sporting Kansas City scored1.18
New York Red Bulls scored1.36
Sporting Kansas City conceded2.45
New York Red Bulls conceded1.88

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Sporting Kansas City v New York Red Bulls?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Sporting Kansas City v New York Red Bulls was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Sporting Kansas City and New York Red Bulls?
In their last 6 meetings, Sporting Kansas City won 2, New York Red Bulls won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sporting Kansas City and New York Red Bulls?
Recent form — Sporting Kansas City 2W 1D 2L; New York Red Bulls 2W 1D 2L.

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