Toronto FCAtlanta United FC

Toronto FC v Atlanta United FC result

Full-time · Toronto FC 1–2 Atlanta United FC

Major League Soccer · · BMO Field

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Toronto FC · Atlanta United FC · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Toronto FC 1–2 Atlanta United FC — Atlanta United FC won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.7% of 492 landed (95% range 64.5–72.6%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 596 of 928 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Atlanta United FC won 2–1 at BMO Field in Major League Soccer on Saturday 25 April. Toronto FC have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Atlanta United FC: Aleksey Miranchuk (48’) and Tristan Muyumba (67’); Toronto FC: Emilio Aristizábal (71’, assisted by Kobe Franklin).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Aleksey Miranchuk’s goal on 48 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Toronto FC 0.64, Atlanta United FC 0.61, from 9 shots to 6 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Ismail Elfath, USA showed two yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Atlanta United FC: Stian Gregersen (38’) and Cooper Sanchez (45+2’).

What it changes

Toronto FC are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Tristan Muyumba (Atlanta United FC) 9.3, Kobe Franklin (Toronto FC) 6.2 and Emilio Aristizábal (Toronto FC) 6.1 led the match.

Head-to-head

Atlanta United FC are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Toronto FC.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.7% of the time in the last 90 days (338 of 492).

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Result: Toronto FC 1–2 Atlanta United FC · Major League Soccer
  • Venue: BMO Field · Toronto
  • Referee: Ismail Elfath, USA
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Toronto FC 1 · draws 4 · Atlanta United FC 1 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Toronto FC 2W 3D 0L · Atlanta United FC 1W 0D 4L

Toronto FC 1–2 Atlanta United FC (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.63 / 5.43
Corners
against 5.75 / 5.14 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5.38 / 5
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 4.29 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.38 / 2
Cards
against 3.13 / 1.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.64 yellows
Referee · Ismail Elfath, USA
22.71 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 14 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 23 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameToronto FC for / againstLineAtlanta United FC for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
5.63 for · 5.75 against n 8
9.5standard
5.43 for · 5.14 against n 7
Shots
12.13 for · 11.13 against n 8
19.5standard
13.57 for · 12.43 against n 7
Shots on target
5.38 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 4.29 against n 7
Fouls committed
13.13 for · 15.38 against n 8
21.5standard
10.43 for · 9 against n 7
Cards shown
2.38 for · 3.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 1.25 against n 8

Referee: Ismail Elfath, USA — 3.64 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 22.71 fouls over 14 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Toronto FC

Toronto FC Goalkeeper

Toronto FC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Luka Gavran991818 min232.5 /90171.9 /9000 /90
Toronto FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toronto FC before kick-off, to 23 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Luka Gavran n 891
2.87/4

Toronto FC Defensive

Toronto FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
R. Laryea991818 min182 /9050.6 /9010.1 /90727.9 /90171.9 /9020.2 /90
Walker Zimmerman779554 min81.3 /90111.8 /9061 /90386.2 /90111.8 /9020.3 /90
Zane Monlouis769484 min112 /9040.7 /9010.2 /90193.5 /9010.2 /9010.2 /90
Raheem Edwards761429 min265.5 /9091.9 /9000 /90449.2 /9081.7 /9020.4 /90
Benjamin Kuscevic592458 min51 /9061.2 /9020.4 /90224.3 /9071.4 /9020.4 /90
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Toronto FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toronto FC before kick-off, to 23 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Laryea n 891
2.17/4
4.68/8
—
Jonathan Osorio n 891
0.97/0
1.17/2
Cooper Sanchez
Luka Gavran n 891
00/0
0.43/0
—
José Cifuentes n 885.5
1.66/3
0.95/2
Cooper Sanchez
Dániel Sallói n 890.1
0.75/1
1.56/3
Cooper Sanchez
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Toronto FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toronto FC before kick-off, to 23 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Laryea n 891
2.27/6
Jonathan Osorio n 891
1.57/3
José Cifuentes n 885.5
2.27/5
Dániel Sallói n 890.1
0.41/1
Alonso Coello n 885.4
2.47/4
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Toronto FC Attacking

Toronto FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Dániel Sallói984757 min30.4 /9020.2 /90161.9 /90101.2 /9081 /9070.8 /90
Josh Sargent671424 min20.4 /9010.2 /9091.9 /9071.5 /9061.3 /9040.8 /90
Derrick Etienne664383 min10.2 /9000 /9081.9 /9051.2 /9030.7 /9000 /90
D. Mihailovic581403 min10.2 /9020.4 /9061.3 /9040.9 /90122.7 /9051.1 /90
Emilio Aristizábal344133 min00 /9000 /9021.4 /9021.4 /9021.4 /9021.4 /90
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Toronto FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toronto FC before kick-off, to 23 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Laryea n 891
0.43/0
0.43/0
Jonathan Osorio n 891
0.43/0
00/0
Luka Gavran n 891
0.11/0
0.11/0
José Cifuentes n 885.5
0.86/0
0.32/0
Dániel Sallói n 890.1
1.77/5
1.15/3
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Toronto FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toronto FC before kick-off, to 23 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Laryea n 891
0.22/0
0.11/0
Luka Gavran n 891
0.11/0
00/0
Jonathan Osorio n 891
00/0
00/0
José Cifuentes n 885.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
Dániel Sallói n 890.1
0.43/0
0.22/0
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Atlanta United FC

Atlanta United FC Goalkeeper

Atlanta United FC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Lucas Hoyos991818 min212.3 /90161.8 /9000 /90
Atlanta United FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atlanta United FC before kick-off, to 23 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Lucas Hoyos n 890
2.66/3

Atlanta United FC Defensive

Atlanta United FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Enea Mihaj990814 min141.5 /90151.7 /9030.3 /90323.5 /90111.2 /9010.1 /90
Tomás Jacob888701 min212.7 /9081 /9040.5 /90455.8 /9081 /9030.4 /90
Elías Báez887692 min182.3 /90101.3 /9010.1 /90374.8 /9050.7 /9020.3 /90
Stian Gregersen590450 min81.6 /9061.2 /9020.4 /90234.6 /9061.2 /9010.2 /90
Juan Berrocal492368 min51.2 /9071.7 /9010.2 /90153.7 /9061.5 /9010.2 /90
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Atlanta United FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atlanta United FC before kick-off, to 23 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Lucas Hoyos n 890
0.11/0
0.42/1
—
Enea Mihaj n 889.5
0.95/2
0.31/1
—
Cooper Sanchez n 865.8
1.96/4
0.32/0
Dániel Sallói
Tomás Jacob n 887.6
15/3
1.36/3
—
Elías Báez n 886.5
0.74/1
0.75/0
—
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Atlanta United FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atlanta United FC before kick-off, to 23 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Enea Mihaj n 889.5
1.47/3
Cooper Sanchez n 865.8
1.55/3
Tomás Jacob n 887.6
2.78/5
Elías Báez n 886.5
2.36/6
Emmanuel Latte Lath n 885.9
0.43/0
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Atlanta United FC Attacking

Atlanta United FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Emmanuel Latte Lath886687 min10.1 /9020.3 /90131.7 /9030.4 /9050.7 /9020.3 /90
M. Almirón791636 min00 /9020.3 /90101.4 /9050.7 /90131.8 /90111.6 /90
Saba Lobzhanidze748338 min00 /9000 /9061.6 /9041.1 /9051.3 /9030.8 /90
Fafà Picault341122 min10.7 /9000 /9021.5 /9010.7 /9043 /9010.7 /90
Cooper Sanchez967599 min00 /9000 /9050.8 /9020.3 /9050.8 /9010.2 /90
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Atlanta United FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atlanta United FC before kick-off, to 23 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Lucas Hoyos n 890
00/0
00/0
Enea Mihaj n 889.5
0.32/0
0.32/0
Cooper Sanchez n 865.8
0.94/1
0.32/0
Tomás Jacob n 887.6
0.42/1
0.11/0
Elías Báez n 886.5
0.53/1
0.42/1
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Atlanta United FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atlanta United FC before kick-off, to 23 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Lucas Hoyos n 890
00/0
00/0
Enea Mihaj n 889.5
00/0
00/0
Cooper Sanchez n 865.8
00/0
00/0
Tomás Jacob n 887.6
0.11/0
00/0
Elías Báez n 886.5
00/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Toronto FCAtlanta United FC
51%Possession49%
0.64Expected goals (xG)0.61
9Shots6
2Shots on target2
3Shots off target3
4Blocked shots1
7Shots inside the box3
8Corners7
2Offsides4
10Fouls15
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Saves1
442Passes436
80%Pass accuracy81%

Toronto FC Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Luka Gavran9000000006.2
Kobe Franklin9001001306.3
Zane Monlouis9000110006.9
Raheem Edwards9000000105.7
Jonathan Osorio9000000307.2
Dániel Sallói9000000006.3
Alonso Coello7200101006.6
Emilio Aristizábal7210210007.2
Josh Sargent7200100006.5
José Cifuentes3000001106.6
Benjamin Kuscevic2000000107.2
Lazar Stefanovic sub7000000406.6
Derrick Etienne sub6000001007
Antone Bossenberry sub1800000206.6
Malik Henry sub1800000006.7
Jules-Anthony Vilsaint sub1800000006.3

Atlanta United FC Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Lucas Hoyos9000000006.5
Matthew Edwards9000001106.9
Stian Gregersen90000001Y6.5
Juan Berrocal9000000006.3
Elías Báez9000000006.3
Tristan Muyumba9010111407.9
Ajani Fortune9000100206.6
Aleksey Miranchuk7710210007.7
Cooper Sanchez77001010Y6
Luke Brennan5900001106.2
Cayman Togashi2700000006.5
Emmanuel Latte Lath sub6300000006.2
Fafà Picault sub3101001006.3
William Reilly sub1300000106.9
Matías Galarza sub1300000106.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Toronto FC v Atlanta United FC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Toronto FCWWDDD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 2.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
Atlanta United FCLLWLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Toronto FC 1 · 4 draws · Atlanta United FC 1 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2025-08-24 Atlanta United FC 0–0 Toronto FC
  • 2025-07-12 Toronto FC 1–1 Atlanta United FC
  • 2024-06-29 Atlanta United FC 2–1 Toronto FC
  • 2024-03-23 Toronto FC 2–0 Atlanta United FC
  • 2023-04-15 Toronto FC 2–2 Atlanta United FC
  • 2023-03-05 Atlanta United FC 1–1 Toronto FC
League standing · 2026
Toronto FC#12 pos39 pts34 pl-15 GD
Atlanta United FC#13 pos33 pts34 pl-17 GD
Goals per game
Toronto FC scored1.53
Atlanta United FC scored1.26
Toronto FC conceded1.97
Atlanta United FC conceded1.76

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Toronto FC v Atlanta United FC?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Toronto FC v Atlanta United FC was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Toronto FC and Atlanta United FC?
In their last 6 meetings, Toronto FC won 1, Atlanta United FC won 1 and there were 4 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Toronto FC and Atlanta United FC?
Recent form — Toronto FC 2W 3D 0L; Atlanta United FC 1W 0D 4L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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