Toronto FCCF Montreal

Toronto FC v CF Montreal result

Full-time · Toronto FC 2–1 CF Montreal

Major League Soccer · · BMO Field

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Toronto FC · CF Montreal · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Toronto FC 2–1 CF Montreal — Toronto FC won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.57 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.7% of 492 landed (95% range 64.5–72.6%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 596 of 928 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Toronto FC beat CF Montreal 2–1 at BMO Field in Major League Soccer on Saturday 10 October. Toronto FC are unbeaten in the last five meetings with CF Montreal.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — CF Montreal: Daniel Rios (51’); Toronto FC: L. Morgan (90’, assisted by N. Dorsch) and D. Mihailovic (90’, assisted by Theo Corbeanu).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with D. Mihailovic’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Toronto FC 1.61, CF Montreal 1.54, from 14 shots to 16 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Allen Chapman, USA showed four yellow cards — against 3.1 yellows a game across the last 18 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Toronto FC: R. Laryea (90+6’); CF Montreal: Brayan Vera (55’), Brandan Craig (84’) and Luca Petrasso (87’).

What it changes

Toronto FC have scored 41 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 28 games, ranked per game). Toronto FC have conceded 52 goals, the fifth-most of the 15 clubs.

CF Montreal have scored 33 goals, the second-fewest of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 27 games, ranked per game). CF Montreal have conceded 54 goals, the third-most of the 15 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Theo Corbeanu (Toronto FC) 6.6, Benjamin Kuscevic (Toronto FC) 5.2 and N. Dorsch (Toronto FC) 5.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Result: Toronto FC 2–1 CF Montreal · Major League Soccer
  • Venue: BMO Field · Toronto, Ontario
  • Referee: Allen Chapman, USA
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Toronto FC 3 · draws 2 · CF Montreal 1 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Toronto FC 1W 1D 3L · CF Montreal 1W 0D 4L

Toronto FC 2–1 CF Montreal (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.13
Goals
against 2.25 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
4.25 / 4.63
Corners
against 5.25 / 4.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 6.63 / 5.38 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 2.38
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.06 yellows
Referee · Allen Chapman, USA
17.94 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 18 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 27 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameToronto FC for / againstLineCF Montreal for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.25our book
1.13 for · 2.25 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 5.25 against n 8
9.5standard
4.63 for · 4.63 against n 8
Shots
13.75 for · 13.88 against n 8
19.5standard
12 for · 14.38 against n 8
Shots on target
4.88 for · 6.63 against n 8
8.5standard
4.63 for · 5.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
9 for · 12 against n 8
21.5standard
10.63 for · 10.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: Allen Chapman, USA — 3.06 yellow cards a game, 0.17 red cards, 17.94 fouls over 18 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Toronto FC

Toronto FC Goalkeeper

Toronto FC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Luka Gavran27902443 min933.4 /90481.8 /9000 /90
Toronto FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toronto FC before kick-off, to 27 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Luka Gavran n 890
4.67/6

Toronto FC Defensive

Toronto FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
R. Laryea21911903 min351.7 /90190.9 /9060.3 /901296.1 /90271.3 /9030.1 /90
Walker Zimmerman21831751 min321.6 /90371.9 /90150.8 /901045.3 /90201 /9050.3 /90
Zane Monlouis18661183 min181.4 /90100.8 /9050.4 /90362.7 /9070.5 /9010.1 /90
Kobe Franklin15781165 min272.1 /90211.6 /9090.7 /90544.2 /90151.2 /9000 /90
Benjamin Kuscevic14821150 min171.3 /90171.3 /9050.4 /90473.7 /90161.3 /9040.3 /90
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Toronto FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toronto FC before kick-off, to 27 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Luka Gavran n 890
00/0
00/0
—
Dániel Sallói n 877.9
0.62/1
14/2
—
Alonso Coello n 875
1.76/3
0.85/0
Luca Petrasso
R. Laryea n 890
0.63/2
27/3
Brayan Vera
Walker Zimmerman n 881.5
0.63/1
15/2
—
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Toronto FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toronto FC before kick-off, to 27 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Dániel Sallói n 877.9
00/0
Alonso Coello n 875
2.35/3
R. Laryea n 890
1.55/4
Walker Zimmerman n 881.5
1.96/5
Josh Sargent n 884.5
0.32/0
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Toronto FC Attacking

Toronto FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Josh Sargent20771533 min70.4 /9020.1 /90321.9 /90181.1 /90171 /90191.1 /90
Derrick Etienne19611160 min30.2 /9000 /90171.3 /90100.8 /90131 /9060.5 /90
Theo Corbeanu1361796 min20.2 /9030.3 /90111.2 /9040.5 /90151.7 /90212.4 /90
Emilio Aristizábal1344567 min40.6 /9000 /90121.9 /9071.1 /9071.1 /9071.1 /90
Deandre Kerr1046457 min00 /9000 /9091.8 /9020.4 /9040.8 /9020.4 /90
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Toronto FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toronto FC before kick-off, to 27 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Luka Gavran n 890
00/0
00/0
Dániel Sallói n 877.9
1.45/3
0.43/0
Alonso Coello n 875
0.84/1
0.52/1
R. Laryea n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Walker Zimmerman n 881.5
0.73/2
0.32/0
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Toronto FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toronto FC before kick-off, to 27 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Luka Gavran n 890
00/0
00/0
Dániel Sallói n 877.9
0.43/0
0.43/0
Alonso Coello n 875
00/0
0.21/0
R. Laryea n 890
00/0
00/0
Walker Zimmerman n 881.5
00/0
00/0
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CF Montreal

CF Montreal Goalkeeper

CF Montreal — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Thomas Gillier19921746 min552.8 /90321.6 /9000 /90
Sebastian Breza895758 min212.5 /90121.4 /9000 /90
CF Montreal — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for CF Montreal before kick-off, to 27 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Thomas Gillier n 892.9
2.34/3
Sebastian Breza n 894.8
2.55/4

CF Montreal Defensive

CF Montreal — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Luca Petrasso25902249 min301.2 /90190.8 /9070.3 /90662.6 /9080.3 /9010 /90
Brayan Vera22871918 min281.3 /90301.4 /90100.5 /90622.9 /90231.1 /9050.2 /90
Dawid Bugaj20781561 min362.1 /90211.2 /90100.6 /90774.4 /90221.3 /9020.1 /90
Efraín Morales15871302 min271.9 /90241.7 /90221.5 /90735 /90171.2 /9000 /90
Jalen Neal15821229 min231.7 /90161.2 /9070.5 /90533.9 /90181.3 /9020.1 /90
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CF Montreal — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for CF Montreal before kick-off, to 27 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Victor Loturi n 873.3
0.64/0
1.56/3
—
Matthew Longstaff n 874.8
0.64/0
0.53/0
—
Luca Petrasso n 883.1
0.43/0
0.32/0
Alonso Coello
Prince Owusu n 885.4
0.75/0
1.37/3
—
Brayan Vera n 885.8
0.95/2
0.42/1
R. Laryea
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CF Montreal — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for CF Montreal before kick-off, to 27 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Victor Loturi n 873.3
1.55/3
Matthew Longstaff n 874.8
0.84/1
Luca Petrasso n 883.1
1.45/4
Prince Owusu n 885.4
0.53/1
Brayan Vera n 885.8
0.74/1
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CF Montreal Attacking

CF Montreal — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Prince Owusu25832084 min150.6 /9060.3 /90572.5 /90321.4 /90351.5 /90140.6 /90
Noah Streit18581036 min10.1 /9010.1 /90100.9 /9050.4 /90161.4 /90242.1 /90
Daniel Rios1848857 min40.4 /9010.1 /90161.7 /9090.9 /90101.1 /9010.1 /90
Fabian Herbers1449691 min10.1 /9000 /9020.3 /9010.1 /90121.6 /9030.4 /90
Olger Escobar839315 min00 /9000 /9020.6 /9010.3 /9030.9 /9010.3 /90
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CF Montreal — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for CF Montreal before kick-off, to 27 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Victor Loturi n 873.3
0.21/0
00/0
Matthew Longstaff n 874.8
1.54/3
0.94/2
Luca Petrasso n 883.1
0.32/0
0.32/0
Prince Owusu n 885.4
3.28/7
1.88/5
Brayan Vera n 885.8
0.82/2
0.42/1
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CF Montreal — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for CF Montreal before kick-off, to 27 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Victor Loturi n 873.3
00/0
00/0
Matthew Longstaff n 874.8
00/0
00/0
Luca Petrasso n 883.1
00/0
0.32/0
Prince Owusu n 885.4
0.74/1
00/0
Brayan Vera n 885.8
0.11/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Toronto FCCF Montreal
52%Possession48%
1.61Expected goals (xG)1.54
14Shots16
5Shots on target7
7Shots off target5
2Blocked shots4
11Shots inside the box12
8Corners6
4Offsides2
9Fouls17
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
6Saves3
352Passes341
77%Pass accuracy75%

Toronto FC Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Laryea90000031Y6.7
Benjamin Kuscevic9000001106.6
Nickseon Gomis9000000407
Matheus Pereira9000210006.5
N. Dorsch9001001107
Theo Corbeanu9001312208.3
Dániel Sallói9000212007
Josh Sargent9000201007.3
Alonso Coello8200002107.2
Jonathan Osorio6100001006.2
Luka Gavran2300000006.6
William Yarbrough sub6700000007.5
D. Mihailovic sub2910211007.5
L. Morgan sub810110007.2

CF Montreal Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Prince Owusu9000104206.6
Jalen Neal9000000306.2
Brayan Vera90002200Y6.6
Dawid Bugaj9000001006.7
Matthew Longstaff9000211006.9
Luca Petrasso90001005Y7
Sebastian Breza9000000006.9
Brandan Craig86000000Y7.2
Daniel Rios8610210006.9
Victor Loturi7200000106.9
A. Sánchez7200323006.7
Fabian Herbers sub1800112006.3
Samuel Piette sub1800000006.2
Wikelman Carmona sub1100000006.3
Efraín Morales sub1100000006

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Toronto FC v CF Montreal — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Toronto FCDWLLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
CF MontrealLLLLW
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Toronto FC 3 · 2 draws · CF Montreal 1 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2026-07-16 CF Montreal 0–0 Toronto FC
  • 2025-08-30 Toronto FC 1–1 CF Montreal
  • 2025-05-17 CF Montreal 1–6 Toronto FC
  • 2024-07-20 CF Montreal 0–1 Toronto FC
  • 2024-05-18 Toronto FC 5–1 CF Montreal
  • 2023-08-20 Toronto FC 2–3 CF Montreal
League standing · 2026
Toronto FC#12 pos39 pts34 pl-15 GD
CF Montreal#15 pos26 pts34 pl-32 GD
Goals per game
Toronto FC scored1.53
CF Montreal scored1.09
Toronto FC conceded1.97
CF Montreal conceded2.03

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Toronto FC v CF Montreal?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Toronto FC v CF Montreal was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.57 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Toronto FC and CF Montreal?
In their last 6 meetings, Toronto FC won 3, CF Montreal won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Toronto FC and CF Montreal?
Recent form — Toronto FC 1W 1D 3L; CF Montreal 1W 0D 4L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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