Shamrock Rovers v Bohemians result

Full-time · Shamrock Rovers 2–1 Bohemians

Premier Division · · Tallaght Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Shamrock Rovers 2–1 Bohemians — Shamrock Rovers won this Premier Division match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.33 at William Hill
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Shamrock Rovers beat Bohemians 2–1 at Tallaght Stadium in the Premier Division (Ireland) on Monday 12 October.

Bohemians have scored in eight consecutive matches.

The goals

Shamrock Rovers led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Shamrock Rovers: John McGovern (34’, assisted by Graham Burke) and Dylan Watts (76’, assisted by Lee Grace); Bohemians: Ross Tierney (71’, assisted by Douglas James-Taylor). Dawson Devoy (90’), Michael Noonan (90’) and Naj Razi (90’) were sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Dylan Watts’s goal on 76 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Shamrock Rovers 1.24, Bohemians 1.23, from 8 shots to 16 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

What it changes

Shamrock Rovers stay first after this result (33 league matches played). Shamrock Rovers have won their last three matches.

Bohemians move down from second to third (33 league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Lee Grace (Shamrock Rovers) 6.7, Dylan Watts (Shamrock Rovers) 5.9 and Ed McGinty (Shamrock Rovers) 5.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Shamrock Rovers or Bohemians (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.3% of the time in the last 90 days (3366 of 4357).

Next up

Shamrock Rovers next host Sligo Rovers on 23 October 2026.

Bohemians next host Shelbourne on 23 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Shamrock Rovers: Shamrock Rovers v Sligo Rovers, Friday 23 October — the preview. Next for Bohemians: Bohemians v Shelbourne, Friday 23 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Shamrock Rovers 2–1 Bohemians · Premier Division
  • Venue: Tallaght Stadium · Dublin
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Shamrock Rovers 3 · draws 0 · Bohemians 3 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Shamrock Rovers 2W 2D 1L · Bohemians 5W 0D 0L

Shamrock Rovers 2–1 Bohemians (Premier Division): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 2.25
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.71 / 6.25
Corners
against 3.86 / 3.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5.43 / 5.88
Shots on target
against 4 / 4.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.29 / 1.5
Cards
against 1.86 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameShamrock Rovers for / againstLineBohemians for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.75our book
2.25 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.71 for · 3.86 against n 7
9.5standard
6.25 for · 3.75 against n 8
Shots
8.43 for · 8.57 against n 7
19.5standard
17.38 for · 10.38 against n 8
Shots on target
5.43 for · 4 against n 7
8.5standard
5.88 for · 4.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.86 for · 12.71 against n 7
21.5standard
9.13 for · 13.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.29 for · 1.86 against n 7
3.5standard
1.5 for · 2 against n 8
Shamrock Rovers
Shamrock Rovers — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 8 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Naj Razi n 825.9
3.54/3
1.33/0
—
J. Afolabi n 825.5
1.84/0
2.63/2
—
M. Healy n 882.1
1.67/3
1.45/3
A. McDonnell
Cory O'Sullivan n 850.8
1.65/2
0.21/0
—
Dan Cleary n 864.5
1.44/2
0.73/1
—
Shamrock Rovers — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 8 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Graham Burke n 869.6
3.16/5
1.15/2
John McGovern n 835.8
2.54/3
1.93/2
Aaron Greene n 848.3
1.96/2
0.73/0
J. Afolabi n 825.5
1.83/1
1.33/0
Michael Noonan n 865.1
1.65/4
0.73/1
Shamrock Rovers — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 8 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
John McGovern n 835.8
1.63/2
0.31/0
D. Watts n 866.6
0.53/0
0.52/1
J. Afolabi n 825.5
0.92/0
00/0
Graham Burke n 869.6
0.53/0
0.32/0
Aaron Greene n 848.3
0.73/0
00/0
Shamrock Rovers — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 8 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Grace n 876.5
2.66/5
A. Matthews n 846.9
2.25/2
Naj Razi n 825.9
2.23/1
Jake Mulraney n 853.3
1.74/2
Tunmise Sobowale n 870
1.66/3
Shamrock Rovers — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 8 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Ed McGinty n 891.5
2.77/5
Bohemians
Bohemians — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 8 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. McDonnell n 816.3
2.12/1
3.54/1
M. Healy
S. Mullen n 870.9
1.96/2
1.35/2
—
Sadou Diallo n 860.8
1.74/3
1.34/2
—
D. Rooney n 845.1
1.75/1
0.72/1
—
Zane Myers n 820.8
1.62/1
1.12/0
—
Bohemians — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 8 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Zane Myers n 820.8
3.34/2
1.12/0
R. Tierney n 881.3
38/5
1.76/3
D. James-Taylor n 858.1
2.96/3
1.46/1
C. Whelan n 851
2.97/4
26/2
P. Madden n 825.3
2.24/1
0.92/0
Bohemians — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 8 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Whelan n 851
0.93/1
0.42/0
Zane Myers n 820.8
0.51/0
0.51/0
D. Devoy n 889.6
0.32/0
0.31/1
R. Tierney n 881.3
0.63/1
00/0
N. Morahan n 820.4
00/0
0.61/0
Bohemians — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 8 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. McDonnell n 816.3
3.53/2
N. Morahan n 820.4
2.82/1
S. Mullen n 870.9
2.16/2
D. Rooney n 845.1
25/1
D. Devoy n 889.6
1.98/5
Bohemians — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 8 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Walters n 891.3
2.87/6

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Shamrock RoversBohemians
38%Possession62%
1.24Expected goals (xG)1.23
8Shots16
3Shots on target8
3Shots off target0
2Blocked shots8
7Shots inside the box5
3Corners6
4Offsides0
18Fouls13
5Yellow cards2
2Red cards1
6Saves1
267Passes466

Shamrock Rovers player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Michael Noonan95000000R0
Dan Cleary90000002Y6.2
Pico9000000206.6
L. Grace9001101306.4
Tunmise Sobowale90001002Y6.5
M. Healy90001002Y6.4
Ed McGinty9000000007.8
D. Watts8510110207.9
John McGovern8010210007.6
W. Fitzgerald8000111206.3
Graham Burke80011021Y7
Jack Byrne6500002006.3
John O'Sullivan25000000Y6.1
Cory O'Sullivan1000000006.5
J. Afolabi1000000006.9
Aaron Greene1000000106.7
Naj Razi5000000R6.9

Bohemians player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Power9000201006
Patrick Hickey9000220306.5
S. Todd9000000006.8
J. Flores9000210106.5
D. Devoy90002132RY6.2
R. Tierney9010222007.2
P. Walters9000000005.6
Connor Parsons8100002106.1
R. Burke6600210106.7
C. Whelan6000100006
D. Rooney6000100405.9
Markuss Strods30000000Y5.8
D. James-Taylor3001002106.9
A. McDonnell1500100006.4
H. Vaughan900110106.3
Sadou Diallo900000006.4

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Shamrock Rovers v Bohemians — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Shamrock RoversDDLWW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
BohemiansWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 3 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Shamrock Rovers 3 · 0 draws · Bohemians 3 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2026-05-25 Bohemians 1–2 Shamrock Rovers
  • 2026-04-17 Shamrock Rovers 2–1 Bohemians
  • 2026-02-27 Bohemians 3–2 Shamrock Rovers
  • 2025-09-26 Shamrock Rovers 2–1 Bohemians
  • 2025-06-23 Bohemians 2–0 Shamrock Rovers
  • 2025-04-21 Shamrock Rovers 2–3 Bohemians
League standing · 2026
Shamrock Rovers#1 pos65 pts34 pl+19 GD
Bohemians#2 pos62 pts34 pl+19 GD
Goals per game
Shamrock Rovers scored1.59
Bohemians scored1.76
Shamrock Rovers conceded1.03
Bohemians conceded1.21

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Shamrock Rovers v Bohemians was Home or Away (best price 1.33 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Shamrock Rovers and Bohemians?
In their last 6 meetings, Shamrock Rovers won 3, Bohemians won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Shamrock Rovers and Bohemians?
Recent form — Shamrock Rovers 2W 2D 1L; Bohemians 5W 0D 0L.

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