This Matchweek

ArsenalCoventry

Arsenal v Coventry result

Full-time · Arsenal 3–0 Coventry

Premier League · · Emirates Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Arsenal 3–0 Coventry — Arsenal won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.24 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78.5% of 279 landed (95% range 73.3–82.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 178 of 266 times (66.9%), against an average rating of 68.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Arsenal: 1.85 to 0.56 in expected goals, from 20 shots to 4, ahead on xG from the fourth minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Arsenal beat Coventry 3–0 at Emirates Stadium in the Premier League on Friday 21 August. Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 10 matches in all competitions.

The goals

Arsenal led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Arsenal: Kai Havertz (15’, assisted by Riccardo Calafiori), Bukayo Saka (23’) and Martin Ødegaard (49’, assisted by Ben White).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Kai Havertz’s goal on 15 minutes.

Discipline

T. Bramall showed two yellow cards — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 17 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Arsenal: Gabriel Magalhães (34’); Coventry: Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi (27’).

What it changes

Arsenal are first after this result (one league match played). Arsenal have scored 14 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Arsenal have conceded five goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs.

Coventry are 20th after this result (one league match played). Coventry have scored nine goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Coventry have conceded 16 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs.

Arsenal have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Martin Ødegaard (Arsenal) 7.5, Bukayo Saka (Arsenal) 6.2 and Kai Havertz (Arsenal) 5.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Arsenal to win, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78.5% of the time in the last 90 days (219 of 279).

Next up

Arsenal next host Hull City on 7 November 2026.

Coventry next travel to Everton on 6 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Arsenal: Arsenal v Hull City, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Coventry: Everton v Coventry, Friday 6 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Arsenal 3–0 Coventry · Premier League
  • Venue: Emirates Stadium · London
  • Referee: T. Bramall
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Arsenal 4W 1D 0L · Coventry 3W 2D 0L

Arsenal 3–0 Coventry (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 4 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 2.38
Goals
against 0.38 / 0.63 · 0 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
3 / 5
Corners
against 3.71 / 1.88 · 0 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.57 / 4.88
Shots on target
against 2.57 / 2.5 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.29 / 0.75
Cards
against 1.71 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
4.29 yellows
Referee · T. Bramall
21.53 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 17 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 16 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameArsenal for / againstLineCoventry for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 0.38 against n 8
3our book
2.38 for · 0.63 against n 8
Corners won
3 for · 3.71 against n 7
9.5standard
5 for · 1.88 against n 8
Shots
13.71 for · 10.14 against n 7
19.5standard
14.13 for · 9.63 against n 8
Shots on target
4.57 for · 2.57 against n 7
8.5standard
4.88 for · 2.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.14 for · 11.71 against n 7
21.5standard
9.75 for · 13.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.29 for · 1.71 against n 7
3.5standard
0.75 for · 2.25 against n 8

Referee: T. Bramall — 4.29 yellow cards a game, 0.06 red cards, 21.53 fouls over 17 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Arsenal

Arsenal Goalkeeper

Arsenal — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
David Raya19090 min44 /9000 /9000 /90
Arsenal — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
David Raya n 890
2.36/4

Arsenal Defensive

Arsenal — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Ben White19090 min55 /9022 /9011 /9066 /9022 /9000 /90
Cristhian Mosquera19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /9022 /9011 /9000 /90
Gabriel Magalhães19090 min00 /9011 /9000 /9022 /9011 /9000 /90
Riccardo Calafiori16060 min11.5 /9000 /9000 /9011.5 /9011.5 /9011.5 /90
Piero Hincapié13030 min13 /9000 /9000 /9026 /9013 /9000 /90
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Arsenal — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Cristhian Mosquera n 873.8
1.56/2
1.15/2
—
Gabriel Magalhães n 884.4
0.96/1
1.37/2
—
Ben White n 869.9
0.83/2
0.53/0
—
David Raya n 890
00/0
0.54/0
—
Martin Ødegaard n 866.9
0.73/1
0.52/1
—
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Arsenal — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Cristhian Mosquera n 873.8
1.75/3
Ben White n 869.9
1.44/2
Gabriel Magalhães n 884.4
0.75/0
Martin Ødegaard n 866.9
1.25/2
K. Havertz n 853.5
1.13/2
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Arsenal Attacking

Arsenal — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Havertz17575 min11.2 /9000 /9011.2 /9011.2 /9011.2 /9000 /90
Bukayo Saka13030 min00 /9000 /9026 /9000 /9000 /9013 /90
C. Tzolis19090 min00 /9022 /9000 /9000 /9033 /9000 /90
Martin Ødegaard18484 min11.1 /9000 /9022.1 /9022.1 /9022.1 /9033.2 /90
Myles Lewis-Skelly17575 min00 /9011.2 /9000 /9000 /9011.2 /9000 /90
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Arsenal — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Gabriel Magalhães n 884.4
0.84/2
0.32/0
Cristhian Mosquera n 873.8
0.21/0
00/0
Ben White n 869.9
0.21/0
00/0
David Raya n 890
00/0
00/0
Martin Ødegaard n 866.9
14/2
0.73/1
See more players · Pro
Arsenal — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
David Raya n 890
00/0
00/0
Gabriel Magalhães n 884.4
00/0
00/0
Cristhian Mosquera n 873.8
00/0
00/0
Ben White n 869.9
00/0
00/0
Martin Ødegaard n 866.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ArsenalCoventry
64%Possession36%
1.88Expected goals (xG)0.20
20Shots4
6Shots on target1
6Shots off target2
8Blocked shots1
10Shots inside the box1
8Corners2
5Offsides0
10Fouls13
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Saves2
616Passes347
92%Pass accuracy78%

Arsenal Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
David Raya9000000007
Ben White9001002107.9
Cristhian Mosquera9000000006.9
Gabriel Magalhães90001000Y6.5
Myles Lewis-Skelly9000101107.3
K. Havertz9010111007.7
Riccardo Calafiori8101001107.3
Martin Ødegaard7610113308.5
C. Tzolis7600323107.3
Declan Rice6800200007.5
Bukayo Saka6810112107.9
Martín Zubimendi sub2200000106.9
Noni Madueke sub2200004006.9
Eberechi Eze sub1400100006.7
Mikel Merino sub1400110006.9
Piero Hincapié sub900000006.7

Coventry Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Rushworth9000000007
M. van Ewijk9000000105.5
B. Thomas9000101107.2
A. Amenda9000000007.2
J. Dasilva9000000006
M. Grimes9000000007
F. Onyeka9000000106.2
L. Tchaouna8200100006.2
B. Thomas-Asante7000000006.2
E. Simms7000001006.7
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi62000000Y6.2
V. Torp sub2800001006.6
J. Rudoni sub2000110106.6
T. Awoniyi sub2000000006.7
G. Hamer sub800000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Arsenal v Coventry — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ArsenalWWWDW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
CoventryDDWWW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Arsenal#1 pos24 pts9 pl+9 GD
Coventry#16 pos9 pts9 pl-7 GD
Goals per game
Arsenal scored1.56
Coventry scored1
Arsenal conceded0.56
Coventry conceded1.78

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Arsenal 1.85 xG from 20 shots, Coventry 0.56 from 4. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Jack Rudoni 85' · 0.51 xGBen White 32' · 0.13 xGMikel Merino 77' · 0.10 xGBukayo Saka 6' · 0.10 xGRiccardo Calafiori 37' · 0.08 xGChristos Tzolis 60' · 0.08 xGChristos Tzolis 4' · 0.08 xGMartin Odegaard 71' · 0.08 xGBukayo Saka 61' · 0.05 xGChristos Tzolis 7' · 0.05 xGMyles Lewis-Skelly 51' · 0.05 xGMikel Merino 90' · 0.04 xGEberechi Eze 94' · 0.04 xGLoum Tchaouna 41' · 0.03 xGChristos Tzolis 64' · 0.03 xGGabriel 81' · 0.03 xGDeclan Rice 46' · 0.03 xGMartin Odegaard 45' · 0.02 xGLoum Tchaouna 12' · 0.01 xGDeclan Rice 8' · 0.01 xGBobby Thomas 66' · 0.01 xGBukayo Saka 22' · 0.63 xG · goalMartin Odegaard 48' · 0.14 xG · goalKai Havertz 14' · 0.10 xG · goal
Arsenal (attacking right)Coventry (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Arsenal2031.85
Coventry400.56

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Arsenal led on xG, 1.20 to 0.05. At full time, Arsenal led on xG, 1.85 to 0.56. The widest gap was 1.72 xG to Arsenal, in the 81st minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.90.900′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Arsenal 14 minGoal - Arsenal 22 minGoal - Arsenal 48 min
Arsenal 1.85 xGCoventry 0.56 xGdots = goals · 24 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Arsenal v Coventry?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Arsenal v Coventry was Home win (best price 1.24 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Arsenal and Coventry?
Recent form — Arsenal 4W 1D 0L; Coventry 3W 2D 0L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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