ArsenalLeeds

Arsenal v Leeds result

Full-time · Arsenal 5–0 Leeds

Premier League · · Emirates Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Arsenal · Leeds · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Arsenal 5–0 Leeds — Arsenal won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1452 landed (95% range 65.7–70.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated draw or away (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 829 of 1,283 times (64.6%), against an average rating of 69.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Arsenal: 2.77 to 0.16 in expected goals, 0.76 of it from a penalty, from 18 shots to 3, ahead on xG from the fourth minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Arsenal beat Leeds 5–0 at Emirates Stadium in the Premier League on Saturday 23 August. Arsenal have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Arsenal led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Arsenal: Jurriën Timber (34’, assisted by Declan Rice; 56’, assisted by Riccardo Calafiori), Bukayo Saka (45’, assisted by Jurriën Timber) and Viktor Gyökeres (48’, assisted by Riccardo Calafiori; 90’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jurriën Timber’s goal on 34 minutes.

Discipline

J. Gillett showed two yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 16 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Leeds: Jayden Bogle (9’) and Gabriel Gudmundsson (80’).

What it changes

Arsenal move up from sixth to first (two league matches played). Arsenal have scored 71 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Arsenal have conceded 27 goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs.

Leeds move down from sixth to 11th (two league matches played). Leeds have scored 49 goals, the 10th-fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Leeds have conceded 56 goals, the fifth-most of the 20 clubs.

Arsenal’s five-goal margin was the biggest of round 2, across 10 matches. Arsenal are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jurriën Timber (Arsenal) 15.3, Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal) 10.2 and Riccardo Calafiori (Arsenal) 7.2 led the match.

Head-to-head

Arsenal are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Leeds, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Leeds, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (989 of 1452).

Next up

Arsenal next host Hull City on 7 November 2026.

Leeds next host Tottenham on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Arsenal: Arsenal v Hull City, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Leeds: Leeds v Tottenham, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Arsenal 5–0 Leeds · Premier League
  • Venue: Emirates Stadium · London
  • Referee: J. Gillett
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Arsenal 6 · draws 0 · Leeds 0 · 3.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Arsenal 3W 1D 1L · Leeds 5W 0D 0L

Arsenal 5–0 Leeds (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 2.25
Goals
against 1.25 / 0.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 6.25
Corners
against 3.75 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 5.88
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 1.5 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 1.38
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.5 yellows
Referee · J. Gillett
19.63 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 16 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 18 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameArsenal for / againstLineLeeds for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
2.25 for · 0.38 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 3.75 against n 8
9.5standard
6.25 for · 2 against n 8
Shots
14.13 for · 12.88 against n 8
19.5standard
16.38 for · 7.13 against n 8
Shots on target
5.13 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
5.88 for · 1.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.38 for · 10.88 against n 8
21.5standard
7.63 for · 10.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8

Referee: J. Gillett — 3.5 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 19.63 fouls over 16 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Arsenal

Arsenal Goalkeeper

Arsenal — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
David Raya19090 min77 /9000 /9000 /90
Arsenal — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
David Raya n 890
3.16/5

Arsenal Defensive

Arsenal — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Gabriel Magalhães19090 min11 /9000 /9033 /9066 /9011 /9000 /90
William Saliba19090 min44 /9011 /9022 /9088 /9022 /9000 /90
Riccardo Calafiori17272 min11.3 /9000 /9000 /9033.8 /9022.5 /9011.3 /90
Ben White17171 min22.5 /9011.3 /9011.3 /9056.3 /9022.5 /9000 /90
J. Timber11919 min29.5 /9000 /9000 /90314.2 /9029.5 /9014.7 /90
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Arsenal — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Bukayo Saka n 872.1
0.94/2
1.24/2
—
Gabriel Magalhães n 881.4
0.85/1
0.85/1
J. Rodon
William Saliba n 884.4
0.74/1
0.42/1
P. Struijk
Martin Ødegaard n 879.9
0.63/1
0.62/1
A. Tanaka
David Raya n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
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Arsenal — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
William Saliba n 884.4
27/5
Bukayo Saka n 872.1
1.96/3
Gabriel Magalhães n 881.4
0.75/0
Martin Ødegaard n 879.9
0.63/1
Declan Rice n 885
1.96/4
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Arsenal Attacking

Arsenal — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Bukayo Saka19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011 /9033 /90
Gabriel Martinelli16060 min00 /9000 /9011.5 /9011.5 /9011.5 /9000 /90
K. Havertz13030 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9013 /90
Noni Madueke13030 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9013 /9000 /90
Martin Ødegaard19090 min00 /9000 /9022 /9011 /9011 /9033 /90
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Arsenal — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Bukayo Saka n 872.1
26/3
1.16/1
Martin Ødegaard n 879.9
15/2
0.64/0
Gabriel Magalhães n 881.4
0.43/0
00/0
William Saliba n 884.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
David Raya n 890
00/0
00/0
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Arsenal — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Martin Ødegaard n 879.9
0.11/0
0.43/0
Bukayo Saka n 872.1
0.21/0
00/0
David Raya n 890
00/0
00/0
William Saliba n 884.4
00/0
00/0
Gabriel Magalhães n 881.4
00/0
00/0
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Leeds

Leeds Goalkeeper

Leeds — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Lucas Perri19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /90

Leeds Defensive

Leeds — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
G. Gudmundsson19090 min11 /9022 /9011 /9077 /9000 /9000 /90
J. Bogle19090 min22 /9000 /9011 /9055 /9011 /9000 /90
J. Rodon19090 min00 /9022 /9000 /9044 /9000 /9000 /90
P. Struijk19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9022 /9000 /9000 /90
A. Stach19090 min22 /9011 /9011 /9055 /9011 /9000 /90
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Leeds — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Struijk n 889.5
14/3
0.64/1
William Saliba
J. Bogle n 887.9
0.53/1
0.95/2
—
J. Rodon n 890
0.32/0
14/2
Gabriel Magalhães
A. Tanaka n 888
1.24/3
0.95/2
Martin Ødegaard
E. Ampadu n 888.5
1.37/2
1.46/2
—
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Leeds — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Struijk n 889.5
1.46/4
J. Bogle n 887.9
1.45/4
J. Rodon n 890
0.83/1
A. Tanaka n 888
1.87/3
E. Ampadu n 888.5
1.34/2
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Leeds Attacking

Leeds — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. James17878 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.2 /9000 /90
J. Piroe17878 min00 /9000 /9011.2 /9011.2 /9000 /9000 /90
W. Gnonto16767 min00 /9000 /9022.7 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
A. Stach19090 min00 /9000 /9033 /9011 /9044 /9011 /90
A. Tanaka18989 min00 /9000 /9022 /9000 /9022 /9000 /90
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Leeds — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Bogle n 887.9
0.95/2
0.32/0
P. Struijk n 889.5
0.65/0
0.32/0
J. Rodon n 890
0.31/1
00/0
A. Tanaka n 888
14/3
0.42/1
D. James n 885.6
26/5
0.84/2
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Leeds — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Bogle n 887.9
0.11/0
0.32/0
J. Rodon n 890
00/0
00/0
P. Struijk n 889.5
00/0
00/0
A. Tanaka n 888
0.11/0
00/0
J. Piroe n 879.1
0.61/1
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ArsenalLeeds
68%Possession32%
2.88Expected goals (xG)0.17
18Shots3
5Shots on target1
9Shots off target0
4Blocked shots2
13Shots inside the box2
2Corners2
8Fouls11
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Saves0
599Passes290
92%Pass accuracy76%

Arsenal Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
David Raya9000000007
William Saliba9000000007.3
Gabriel Magalhães9000100007.5
Martín Zubimendi9000100207
Declan Rice9001003008.2
Viktor Gyökeres9020320008.9
J. Timber64213224010
Riccardo Calafiori6402102007.2
Noni Madueke6400002006.6
Bukayo Saka5310112007.7
Martin Ødegaard3800100107
E. Nwaneri sub5200000006.9
Leandro Trossard sub3700101006.3
Cristhian Mosquera sub2600000206.9
Myles Lewis-Skelly sub2600000107.2
Max Dowman sub2600200207

Leeds Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Lucas Perri9000000005.2
J. Rodon9000000105.9
P. Struijk9000110205.9
G. Gudmundsson90000003Y4.9
Ilia Gruev9000000206.3
A. Stach9000003206.3
J. Bogle83000001Y5.2
D. James6600000006.9
W. Gnonto6600000406.6
A. Tanaka5800000005.9
J. Piroe5800000006.2
S. Longstaff sub3200000006.3
L. Nmecha sub3200000006.7
B. Aaronson sub2400000106.7
N. Okafor sub2400000206.3
S. Byram sub800000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Arsenal v Leeds — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ArsenalLDWWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
LeedsWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.8 scored / 0.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Arsenal 6 · 0 draws · Leeds 0 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2023-04-01 Arsenal 4–1 Leeds
  • 2022-10-16 Leeds 0–1 Arsenal
  • 2022-05-08 Arsenal 2–1 Leeds
  • 2021-12-18 Leeds 1–4 Arsenal
  • 2021-10-26 Arsenal 2–0 Leeds
  • 2021-02-14 Arsenal 4–2 Leeds
League standing · 2025/26
Arsenal#1 pos85 pts38 pl+44 GD
Leeds#14 pos47 pts38 pl-7 GD
Goals per game
Arsenal scored1.87
Leeds scored1.29
Arsenal conceded0.71
Leeds conceded1.47

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Arsenal 2.77 xG from 18 shots, Leeds 0.16 from 3. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Viktor Gyokeres 15' · 0.48 xGJurriën Timber 55' · 0.16 xGLeandro Trossard 61' · 0.14 xGRiccardo Calafiori 55' · 0.12 xGPascal Struijk 19' · 0.08 xGMax Dowman 74' · 0.07 xGRiccardo Calafiori 61' · 0.06 xGRiccardo Calafiori 50' · 0.06 xGDaniel James 18' · 0.05 xGEthan Nwaneri 54' · 0.05 xGMartín Zubimendi 37' · 0.03 xGGabriel 14' · 0.03 xGMax Dowman 80' · 0.02 xGDaniel James 10' · 0.02 xGMartin Odegaard 7' · 0.02 xGMartin Odegaard 4' · 0.02 xGViktor Gyokeres 94' · 0.76 xG · goalBukayo Saka 45' · 0.26 xG · goalViktor Gyokeres 47' · 0.18 xG · goalJurriën Timber 55' · 0.17 xG · goalJurriën Timber 33' · 0.13 xG · goal
Arsenal (attacking right)Leeds (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Arsenal1852.77
Leeds300.16

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Arsenal led on xG, 0.97 to 0.16. At full time, Arsenal led on xG, 2.77 to 0.16, 0.76 of it from a penalty. The widest gap was 2.61 xG to Arsenal, in the 94th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.81.400′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Arsenal 33 minGoal - Arsenal 45 minGoal - Arsenal 47 minGoal - Arsenal 55 minGoal - Arsenal 94 min
Arsenal 2.77 xGLeeds 0.16 xGdots = goals · 21 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Arsenal v Leeds?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Arsenal v Leeds was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Arsenal and Leeds?
In their last 6 meetings, Arsenal won 6, Leeds won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Arsenal and Leeds?
Recent form — Arsenal 3W 1D 1L; Leeds 5W 0D 0L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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